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本轮牛市会在4000点上方停留多久?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-29 04:58
Core Viewpoint - The market has recently broken through the 4000-point mark for the first time in a decade, indicating a significant milestone in the current market cycle [1][9]. Market Performance - The current bull market is characterized by extreme differentiation, with high-growth sectors like AI hardware being highly valued and traditional sectors like certain cyclical and consumer sectors remaining at relatively low valuations [2][3]. - The A-share market saw a slight decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index dropping between 0.15% and 0.44% [9]. - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 21,479 billion, a decrease of 1,923 billion from the previous day [9]. Strategic Insights - The "15th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes technology as a key investment area, focusing on strategic emerging industries such as new energy, aerospace, and advanced materials [6][7][8]. - The plan is expected to direct resources and funding towards the technology sector over the coming years, potentially boosting related stocks [8]. Sector Analysis - The technology sector is showing promising signs, with core stocks like Industrial Fulian and Hua Hong Semiconductor breaking through their September highs, indicating a potential upward trend [17]. - The PCB and its upstream sectors have also performed well recently, suggesting a growing interest in these areas [17]. Market Outlook - The market is expected to experience some short-term adjustments, with a focus on the 4000-4180 point range for the Shanghai Composite Index as a critical observation point [11][13]. - Despite potential short-term pullbacks, the overall sentiment remains bullish, with an emphasis on identifying solid investment opportunities in high-potential sectors like AI hardware and military electronics [17].
永城市嘉普新能源有限公司成立 注册资本10万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 04:41
天眼查App显示,近日,永城市嘉普新能源有限公司成立,法定代表人为许波,注册资本10万人民币, 经营范围为一般项目:生物质燃料加工;专用化学产品制造(不含危险化学品);再生资源回收(除生 产性废旧金属);再生资源加工;资源再生利用技术研发;污水处理及其再生利用;再生资源销售;机 械设备销售;农村生活垃圾经营性服务;农业专业及辅助性活动;农林牧渔业废弃物综合利用;资源循 环利用服务技术咨询;技术服务、技术开发、技术咨询、技术交流、技术转让、技术推广(除依法须经 批准的项目外,凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动)许可项目:餐厨垃圾处理(依法须经批准的项目, 经相关部门批准后方可开展经营活动,具体经营项目以相关部门批准文件或许可证件为准)。 ...
《建议》未提经济增速具体目标,怎么看?
第一财经· 2025-10-29 03:57
2025.10. 29 本文字数:2443,阅读时长大约4分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 即将开启的"十五五"时期,是承上启下的关键五年。 10月28日公布的《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(下称《建 议》),擘画出未来五年的发展蓝图。 《建议》提出了"十五五"时期经济社会发展的主要目标,包括高质量发展取得显著成效,科技自立自 强水平大幅提高,进一步全面深化改革取得新突破,社会文明程度明显提升,人民生活品质不断提 高,美丽中国建设取得新的重大进展,国家安全屏障更加巩固等方面。 经济增长保持在合理区间 与"十四五"规划一脉相承的是,《建议》并未提出明确的经济增速目标,而是要求"经济增长保持在 合理区间",并新增了"居民消费率明显提高,内需拉动经济增长主动力作用持续增强,经济增长潜力 得到充分释放,全国统一大市场建设纵深推进"等表述。 第十三届全国政协经济委员会副主任杨伟民曾参与"九五"至"十四五"六个五年规划编制工作。他撰文 指出,保持经济持续平稳增长是"十五五"时期我国发展的头等大事。虽然中国存在一些长期结构性问 题,但也拥有完整的现代产业体系、丰富的人才资源、便捷的基础设施、潜 ...
申银万国期货早间策略-20251029
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - After the high - level oscillation in September, the stock index is expected to enter a direction - selection stage again. The domestic liquidity environment is expected to remain loose, and residents may increase their allocation of equity assets. With the Fed's interest rate cut and RMB appreciation, external funds are also expected to flow into the domestic market. In the fourth quarter, the market style may return to value and be more balanced compared to the third quarter [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Stock Index Futures Market - **IF Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices for IF contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 4648.40, 4634.80, 4604.00, and 4567.40 respectively, with increases of 68.60, 68.00, 62.40, and 66.80 and increases of 1.50%, 1.49%, 1.37%, and 1.48% respectively. The trading volumes were 24392.00, 74172.00, 14177.00, and 3440.00, and the open interest changes were - 2317.00, - 6793.00, - 1216.00, and 1074.00 [1] - **IH Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices for IH contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 3051.20, 3051.60, 3053.00, and 3049.20 respectively, with decreases of - 17.00, - 16.20, - 16.00, and - 18.80 and decreases of - 0.55%, - 0.53%, - 0.52%, and - 0.61% respectively. The trading volumes were 10401.00, 34831.00, 4435.00, and 1454.00, and the open interest changes were - 808.00, - 1601.00, 52.00, and - 68.00 [1] - **IC Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices for IC contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 7287.40, 7231.00, 7068.20, and 6886.60 respectively, with decreases of - 25.60, - 28.40, - 25.40, and - 20.20 and decreases of - 0.35%, - 0.39%, - 0.36%, and - 0.29% respectively. The trading volumes were 24174.00, 82049.00, 15658.00, and 4523.00, and the open interest changes were - 2679.00, - 6265.00, - 377.00, and - 112.00 [1] - **IM Contracts**: The previous day's closing prices for IM contracts (current month, next month, next quarter, and far - quarter) were 7410.00, 7335.60, 7122.60, and 6907.20 respectively, with increases of 2.60, 3.00, 4.20, and 3.00 and increases of 0.04%, 0.04%, 0.06%, and 0.04% respectively. The trading volumes were 38819.00, 141946.00, 22315.00, and 8213.00, and the open interest changes were - 3501.00, - 1434.00, - 1256.00, and 1365.00 [1] - **Inter - month Spreads**: The current values of inter - month spreads for IF (next month - current month), IH (next month - current month), IC (next month - current month), and IM (next month - current month) were - 13.60, 0.40, - 56.40, and - 74.40 respectively, compared to previous values of - 12.80, - 0.60, - 56.00, and - 76.80 [1] 2. Stock Index Spot Market - **CSI 300 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 300 index was 4691.97, with a trading volume of 220.91 billion shares and a total trading value of 5715.63 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 4716.02, with a trading volume of 262.20 billion shares and a total trading value of 6726.70 billion yuan. The decline was - 0.51% [1] - **SSE 50 Index**: The previous value of the SSE 50 index was 3050.42, with a trading volume of 54.63 billion shares and a total trading value of 1487.20 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 3069.53, with a trading volume of 70.41 billion shares and a total trading value of 1852.95 billion yuan. The decline was - 0.62% [1] - **CSI 500 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 500 index was 7341.03, with a trading volume of 202.12 billion shares and a total trading value of 4220.69 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 7379.39, with a trading volume of 232.05 billion shares and a total trading value of 4717.62 billion yuan. The decline was - 0.52% [1] - **CSI 1000 Index**: The previous value of the CSI 1000 index was 7479.22, with a trading volume of 251.80 billion shares and a total trading value of 4310.16 billion yuan. The previous two - day value was 7495.38, with a trading volume of 265.34 billion shares and a total trading value of 4581.70 billion yuan [1] - **Industry Performance**: The declines in energy, raw materials, industry, and optional consumption were - 0.86%, - 2.97%, - 0.31%, and - 0.06% respectively. For other industries like major consumption, medicine and health, real - estate finance, and information technology, the changes were 0.01%, - 1.61%, etc. [1] 3. Futures - Spot Basis - The previous values of the basis for CSI 300, SSE 50, and CSI 1000 futures contracts were provided, showing differences compared to the previous two - day values [1] 4. Other Domestic and Overseas Indexes - Information on the previous values and changes of domestic indexes such as the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, Small and Medium - Cap Board Index, and ChiNext Index, as well as overseas indexes like the Hang Seng Index, Nikkei 225, S&P Index, and DAX Index were presented [1] 5. Macroeconomic Information - The "15th Five - Year Plan" proposal was released, with goals including economic growth in a reasonable range, increased total factor productivity, and higher resident consumption rates. It also proposed developing strategic emerging industries and key technology breakthroughs in certain fields. China and ASEAN signed the FTA 3.0 upgrade protocol. There are talks about a China - EU meeting on rare - earth issues. China is committed to opening up its financial sector [2] 6. Industry Information - The 11th batch of national drug procurement was successfully bid. The soybean area in China is expected to remain above 150 million mu for four consecutive years, and the number of breeding sows has decreased. A special campaign against live - streaming reward chaos was launched. The added value of the wholesale and retail industry increased by 5.6% in the first three quarters, and rural road construction progress and investment were reported [2] 7. Stock Index Views - U.S. stock indexes continued to rise, while the domestic stock index adjusted downward the previous day. The market turnover was 2.17 trillion yuan, and the margin trading balance increased. After the high - level oscillation in September, the stock index is expected to enter a direction - selection stage. The market style may return to value in the fourth quarter [2]
新能源龙头业绩大增,创业板新能源ETF(159387)涨超3%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-29 03:40
消息面,阳光电源三季度净利润41.47亿元,同比+57.04%。受业绩利好催化,创业板新能源ETF (159387)涨超3%。 新能源板块前期涨幅相对有限,后续或还有空间,感兴趣的投资者可以关注相关布局机会。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 值得关注的是,近期新能源产业链迎多项利好:(1)固态电池新技术突破,推动行业快速发展;(2) 国内外储能需求景气度向上,电芯涨价利好头部厂商;(3)反内卷积极推进,助力价格稳定。 ...
“十五五”规划展望系列-前瞻布局新质生产力主题投资
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 03:40
Core Insights - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is set to launch, focusing on a strategic blueprint for China's development over the next five years and beyond, emphasizing the importance of new quality productivity as a core national strategy [1] - New quality productivity encompasses not only technological innovation but also a systemic leap in production methods, industrial structure, and growth dynamics, driven by technological advancements [1] - The report identifies three main areas for new quality productivity: strategic emerging industries, traditional industry upgrades through digital technologies, and the digital economy [1] Group 1: New Quality Productivity - New quality productivity is characterized by high-tech, high-efficiency, and high-quality advancements, significantly enhancing total factor productivity to address challenges like aging population and global tech competition [1] - Key sectors include strategic emerging industries such as new generation information technology, renewable energy, biotechnology, and advanced equipment, along with future industries in manufacturing, information, energy, space, health, and materials [1] - Cutting-edge fields like humanoid robots, quantum computing, 6G, brain-computer interfaces, commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, and deep-sea technology are expected to create trillion-level market opportunities [1] Group 2: Capital Market Response - The capital market has already recognized opportunities, with the new quality productivity theme index showing a cumulative increase of 92.23% from September 2024 to September 2025, outperforming the broader market [2] - Sub-sectors such as cloud computing, computing power, artificial intelligence, and integrated circuits have shown particularly strong performance, with institutions favoring sectors like electronics, pharmaceuticals, and power equipment [2] - Ongoing reforms in the capital market, including the support for new quality productivity enterprises through various financial mechanisms, are expected to create a virtuous cycle of technology, industry, and finance [2]
三峡成立新公司
Group 1 - The establishment of the solar thermal operation and maintenance subsidiary marks a significant step for the company in the solar thermal sector, aligning with the "14th Five-Year Plan" for energy structure optimization and industrial upgrading [3] - The company aims to create a first-class professional operation and maintenance company, focusing on safety, efficiency, and high-quality development [3] - There is an emphasis on strengthening capability building through a professional operation and maintenance system, driven by talent and innovation [3] Group 2 - The company plans to deepen the integration of party building and corporate culture, fostering a positive development environment for high-quality growth in the solar thermal sector [3]
20cm速递|十五五规划,加快建设新能源体系!创业板新能源ETF华夏(159368)上涨1.90%,规模同类第一
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-29 03:14
每日经济新闻 2025年10月29日,创业板新能源ETF华夏(159368)上涨1.90%,持仓股德福科技涨超10%,阳光 电源涨超5%,鹏辉能源涨超5%。 (责任编辑:贺翀 ) "十五五"时期经济社会发展的指导方针和主要目标,提到加快建设新型能源体系。持续提高新能源 供给比重,推进化石能源安全可靠有序替代,着力构建新型电力系统,建设能源强国。坚持风光水核等 多能并举,统筹就地消纳和外送,促进清洁能源高质量发展。加强化石能源清洁高效利用,推进煤电改 造升级和散煤替代。全面提升电力系统互补互济和安全韧性水平,科学布局抽水蓄能,大力发展新型储 能,加快智能电网和微电网建设。提高终端用能电气化水平,推动能源消费绿色化低碳化。加快健全适 应新型能源体系的市场和价格机制。 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点,与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立,不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考,并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱: news_center@staff.hexun.com 湘财证券认为,需通过技术突破、模式创新与政策支持提升产业竞争力。整体来看,新能源、新材 料等战略 ...
成长风格持续回暖,创业板50ETF大成(159298)红盘涨超2%,跟踪指数优势凸显:多元赛道+高弹性+契合“十五五”政策
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-29 03:06
截至10月28日,创业板50ETF大成(159298)近1周累计上涨5.61%,涨幅排名可比基金第一。截至10月28 日,创业板50ETF大成(159298)最新规模达4.71亿元,最新份额达4.17亿份,均创成立以来新高。 截至2025年10月29日 10:28,创业板50ETF大成(159298)盘中一度涨超2%,现涨1.68%, 冲击5连涨。跟 踪指数创业板50指数强势上涨1.66%,成分股阳光电源上涨7.97%,三环集团上涨7.31%,先导智能上涨 6.78%,泰格医药,川宁生物等个股跟涨。 【深度契合"十五五"政策导向】 2025年10月28日,《中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(以下简称《建 议》)正式发布。"十五五"规划明确强调科技自立自强与新兴产业培育,指数高度贴合新质生产力方 向,在人工智能、高端制造、绿色能源等领域权重占比超80%。政策红利下,光模块(1.6T需求爆 发)、新能源(产能出清优化)等细分赛道有望持续受益。 消息面上,中共中央关于制定国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议发布。其中指出,加快新能 源、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等战略性新兴产业集群发展 ...
碳中和50ETF(159861)涨超3.2%,绿色转型预期支撑板块表现
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-10-29 02:54
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 碳中和50ETF(159861)跟踪的是环保50指数(930614),该指数从沪深市场中选取涉及环境保护、清 洁能源、节能减排等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本,覆盖新能源、环保设备与服务等行业,旨在反 映绿色经济相关上市公司证券的整体表现。 中泰证券指出,电力设备行业方面,加快能源绿色低碳转型是全面绿色转型的"牛鼻子","十五五"将加 快建设新型能源体系,重点发展非化石能源并推进化石能源清洁高效利用。光伏设备行业方面,硅料价 格重心小幅波动,成交整体偏观望;硅片价格虽有波动但整体稳健;电池片环节显现颓势,183N需求 持续减弱;组件价格小幅震荡,210需求较高但210R价格下跌;光伏玻璃成交不佳,头部企业坚挺高价 而二三线让利出货,库存增多下价格可能进一步松动。国内海风建设节奏有序进行,预期逐步迎来交付 高峰期。 ...