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全球“晶圆代工 2.0”市场 2025 年 Q3 营收同比增长 17% 至 850 亿美元,台积电与日月光表现亮眼
Counterpoint Research· 2025-12-25 06:14
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry has officially entered the "Wafer Foundry 2.0" era, characterized by deep integration of manufacturing, packaging, and testing, driven by the global AI boom, leading to higher quality growth [4][8]. Group 1: Market Overview - The global wafer foundry 2.0 market revenue is expected to grow by 17% year-on-year in Q3 2025, reaching $84.8 billion, primarily driven by the demand for AI GPUs in front-end wafer manufacturing and advanced packaging [4][8]. - TSMC continues to lead the pure wafer foundry market with a 41% year-on-year revenue growth, supported by the ramp-up of 3nm chips for Apple's flagship smartphones and strong demand from AI accelerator customers like NVIDIA and AMD [7][8]. - Non-TSMC wafer foundries experienced a modest 6% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, indicating a diminishing effect from previous tariff-related orders, although local subsidy policies in China still provide some support [8][12]. Group 2: Segment Performance - Non-storage IDM manufacturers saw a brief recovery with a 4% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, led by a 14% increase from Texas Instruments [8][12]. - The OSAT industry continued its growth momentum with a 10% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, driven by strong demand for advanced packaging, particularly from companies like ASE and SPIL [8][12]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The overall wafer foundry 2.0 market revenue growth for 2025 is projected to be around 15%, with the pure wafer foundry market expected to grow by 26%, supported by ongoing shipments of AI GPUs and ASICs [10]. - TSMC's advanced packaging capabilities are anticipated to continue driving revenue growth into 2026, with a focus on NVIDIA's AI GPU platforms [9][10]. - The OSAT sector is expected to see a significant increase in advanced packaging capacity by 100% in 2026, with AI GPU and ASIC demand becoming the primary growth engines for OSAT manufacturers [12].
三星与SK 海力士,首次超越台积电
半导体芯闻· 2025-12-24 10:19
当AI 应用逐步从「训练」转向「推理」,对于高速资料储存与即时存取的需求大幅提升,必须仰 赖HBM 等记忆体,将资料持续供应给GPU 进行运算。 即便通用记忆体的效能不及HBM,市场对高效能通用记忆体的需求仍快速成长。在推理初期阶 段,工作负载多由GDDR7、LPDDR5X 等通用DRAM 处理,而HBM 则主要保留给更密集的推理 任务。 NVIDIA 在以推理为主的AI 加速器中采用GDDR7,便是一项代表性案例。 记忆体业者也计划透过开发AI 导向的高效能产品,延续「记忆体为核心」的产业趋势。举例来 说,记忆体内运算(Processing-In-Memory,PIM)技术,让记忆体可承担部分原本由GPU 执行 的运算工作。报导也指出,垂直通道电晶体(VCT)DRAM 与3D DRAM 等新技术,透过在更小 面积中储存更多资料来提升密度,预期将陆续导入市场。 如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 随着人工智能需求快速攀升,记忆体价格大幅上涨,半导体产业的获利结构正出现变化。根据《韩 国经济新闻》报导,三星电子的记忆体部门,以及SK 海力士,预期在2025 年第四季的毛利率将 超越台积电,这将是自2018 ...
中芯国际部分产能涨价10%,晶圆代工行业产能紧张
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-24 01:37
Core Viewpoint - SMIC has implemented a price increase of approximately 10% on certain capacities due to rising demand in mobile applications and AI, alongside increased raw material costs and adjustments in competitor capacity [1][5]. Group 1: Price Increase and Market Demand - SMIC's price increase is driven by strong market demand, particularly in the server market, and rising costs of raw materials, especially metals [1][5]. - The company has stated it will follow industry pricing trends rather than being the first to raise prices, aligning with adjustments made by competitors like TSMC [1][5]. - The overall semiconductor product demand is growing, influenced by the increasing demand for chips [1][5]. Group 2: Capacity Utilization and Financial Performance - Both SMIC and Huahong's capacity utilization rates are increasing and nearing full capacity or exceeding it [1][5]. - In Q3, SMIC reported a 3.8% increase in average selling price due to more complex product shipments, with continued growth expected despite the typical seasonal slowdown in Q4 [6]. - SMIC's Q4 revenue guidance indicates a stable to 2% growth, with an expected annual revenue exceeding $9 billion, marking a new milestone for the company [8]. Group 3: Competitor Insights - Huahong's overall capacity utilization reached 109.5% in Q3, with high utilization rates in its 8-inch wafer fabs and significant output from its 12-inch fab [9]. - ADI, an Apple supplier, has announced a price increase of about 15% effective February 1, 2026, due to ongoing inflationary pressures in raw materials, labor, energy, and logistics [4][9].
传统+先进制程需求均旺盛,晶圆代工龙头确定涨价
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-23 23:27
据上海证券报报道,从多个渠道求证获悉,中芯国际已对部分产能实施涨价,涨幅约10%,相关公司反 馈涨价将很快执行。此前存储产品因价格过低,晶圆厂已率先启动涨价。 华虹公司:大陆第二大晶圆代工厂,公司指引四季度毛利率将大体维持三季度的水平。展望明年,一方 面市场需求旺盛,公司晶圆价格有继续上行的空间,另一方面无锡的12寸厂产能持续释放带来增长。 *免责声明:文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议 国金证券认为,中芯国际Q4呈现淡季不淡态势,尽管新增产能导致当季产能利用率环比降至85.5%,但 全年平均产能利用率达85.6%,在行业竞争中保持稳健优势;台积电积极扩张AI产能的动作,将进一步 带动产业链上下游需求释放,利好国产相关企业。 产业链层面,晶圆代工涨价将向上游设备、材料企业传导需求,向下游芯片设计公司形成成本传导,带 动整个半导体产业链进入景气上行周期。 据上市公司公告、互动平台及券商研报表示, 中芯国际:中国大陆技术最先进、规模最大的集成电路晶圆代工企业。 半导体业内人士解读,涨价核心驱动力来自手机应用和AI需求的持续增长,直接带动套片需求攀升, 进而拉动整体半导体产品需求增长,同时原材料涨价也助推了调价动作。 ...
打不过台积电,怎么办?
半导体芯闻· 2025-12-22 10:17
Core Viewpoint - The global wafer foundry market is experiencing a clear structural shift, with TSMC solidifying its position as the dominant player, while competitors like Intel and Samsung are adjusting their strategies to find their niches in the market [2][3][43]. TSMC's Dominance - TSMC's revenue for Q3 2025 reached $33.063 billion, with a market share of 71%, reflecting its significant lead over competitors [2]. - The overall foundry market is projected to grow, but TSMC is capturing the majority of this growth, showcasing a "magnification effect" of its advantages in advanced processes and capital expenditures [2]. Competitors' Strategies - Other foundries, such as Samsung, are struggling to close the gap in market share, with Samsung's Q3 revenue at $3.184 billion and a market share decline to 6.8% [3]. - Intel is aggressively transforming its strategy, focusing on advanced technology and ecosystem restructuring to regain competitiveness in specific areas [4][43]. Intel's Advanced Process and Packaging - Intel's 14A process node is positioned as a competitive choice for external customers, utilizing High-NA EUV technology, which is expected to enhance power efficiency and chip density [5]. - Intel's EMIB technology is emerging as a viable alternative to TSMC's CoWoS packaging, with significant interest from major clients like Apple and Broadcom [7][9]. Samsung's 2nm Process - Samsung is betting heavily on its 2nm process, which is expected to turn its foundry division profitable by 2027, with a current yield improvement from 50% to a target of 70% [15][16][24]. - The company has secured significant contracts, including a $16.5 billion deal with Tesla for AI6 chips, indicating a strong market position in automotive semiconductors [17][19]. UMC's Differentiation Strategy - UMC is focusing on mature processes and high-value applications, avoiding the advanced process competition while establishing a foothold in advanced packaging and silicon photonics [25][27]. - The collaboration with Qualcomm on advanced packaging is expected to enhance UMC's position in high-performance computing markets [27]. GlobalFoundries' Focus on Specialty Processes - GlobalFoundries is concentrating on mature processes and specialty technologies, with a recent acquisition of AMF to strengthen its position in silicon photonics [34][36]. - The company is also enhancing its capabilities through the acquisition of MIPS, aiming to provide integrated solutions for clients in various high-growth markets [37]. Conclusion - The wafer foundry market is evolving, with companies like Intel, Samsung, UMC, and GlobalFoundries adopting differentiated strategies to navigate the competitive landscape, focusing on their unique strengths and market opportunities [43].
打不过台积电,怎么办?
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-21 03:58
Core Viewpoint - TSMC has solidified its position as the core pillar of the global foundry market, capturing over 70% market share and achieving a revenue of $33.063 billion in Q3 2025, reflecting a 9.3% quarter-on-quarter growth [1][2]. Group 1: TSMC's Market Position - TSMC's revenue growth is significantly higher than its competitors, with a market share increase to 71% [1]. - The overall foundry market is growing, but TSMC is capturing the most substantial portion of this growth [1][2]. - Other foundry players, such as Samsung and SMIC, are struggling to close the gap in market share despite their revenue increases [2]. Group 2: Intel's Strategic Shift - Intel is aggressively transforming its strategy, focusing on advanced technology and ecosystem restructuring to regain competitiveness in the foundry market [3][4]. - The 14A process node is central to Intel's strategy, utilizing High-NA EUV technology to enhance power efficiency and chip density [4][5]. - Intel's EMIB technology is emerging as a viable alternative to TSMC's CoWoS packaging, addressing the demand for advanced packaging solutions [6][7]. Group 3: Customer Acquisition and ASIC Business - Intel has made significant strides in securing major clients, including Apple, which is expected to utilize Intel's 18A-P process for its M-series chips [8][9]. - Intel is establishing a dedicated ASIC department to provide customized chip solutions, leveraging its manufacturing capabilities to attract clients [10][11]. Group 4: Samsung's 2nm Strategy - Samsung is betting heavily on its 2nm process technology, aiming to turn its foundry business profitable by 2027 [12][13]. - The yield rate for Samsung's 2nm process has improved from 50% to a target of 70%, which is crucial for attracting major clients [13][21]. - Samsung has secured contracts with Tesla and Qualcomm, indicating a successful shift in its client base [14][15]. Group 5: UMC's Differentiation Strategy - UMC is focusing on mature processes and high-value applications, avoiding the high-risk advanced process competition [22][23]. - UMC has made significant progress in advanced packaging, securing a partnership with Qualcomm for high-performance chips [24]. - UMC is also entering the silicon photonics market through collaboration with IMEC, aiming to capture the next-generation high-speed connectivity applications [25][26]. Group 6: GlobalFoundries' Focus on Specialty Processes - GlobalFoundries is concentrating on mature and specialty processes, with a clear strategy to establish a unique position in specific markets [29][30]. - The acquisition of Advanced Micro Foundry enhances GlobalFoundries' capabilities in silicon photonics, positioning it as a leader in this field [31][32]. - GlobalFoundries is also acquiring MIPS to strengthen its computing capabilities, providing clients with ready-to-use IP modules [33][34]. Group 7: European Expansion and Local Manufacturing - GlobalFoundries plans to invest €1.1 billion to expand its Dresden facility, aiming to meet the growing demand for secure and differentiated technology in Europe [35][36]. - The company is also exploring partnerships for local manufacturing in the U.S. to address the increasing demand in key industries [27][37]. Conclusion - The foundry market is evolving, with TSMC maintaining a dominant position while competitors like Intel, Samsung, UMC, and GlobalFoundries are carving out their niches through strategic adjustments and technological advancements [38].
粤芯,冲刺科创板
半导体行业观察· 2025-12-20 02:22
Core Viewpoint - Yu Xin Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. has officially received approval for its IPO application on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, aiming to raise 7.5 billion yuan, with Guotai Junan Securities as the sponsor [1][2]. Company Overview - Yu Xin Semiconductor, established in 2017, focuses on providing 12-inch wafer foundry services and specialized process solutions for domestic and international chip design companies [4][5]. - The company has developed a comprehensive technology matrix covering various fields, including consumer electronics, industrial control, automotive electronics, and artificial intelligence [2][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of 1.545 billion yuan in 2022, 1.044 billion yuan in 2023, 1.681 billion yuan in 2024, and 1.053 billion yuan in the first half of 2025. The revenue for 2024 shows a significant increase of 61.09% compared to 2023 [3][4]. Shareholder Information - Major shareholders include Yu Xin Zhong Cheng, Guangdong Semiconductor Fund, and several other investment institutions, with notable ownership stakes [3]. Technological Advancements - Yu Xin Semiconductor has achieved significant breakthroughs in silicon photonics technology, becoming one of the few foundries in China capable of providing integrated circuit, power device, and optoelectronic fusion services [6][7]. - The company plans to enhance its technological advantages and transition from consumer-grade wafer foundry to industrial-grade and automotive-grade processes, focusing on applications in artificial intelligence and near-memory computing [5][6]. Market Opportunities - The global silicon photonics market is projected to reach $10.26 billion by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of nearly 40% from 2023 to 2029, indicating substantial market potential for Yu Xin Semiconductor [6][7]. Strategic Importance - As the first 12-inch wafer manufacturing enterprise in Guangdong Province, Yu Xin Semiconductor plays a crucial role in the development and security of the semiconductor industry in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [7].
A股或“迎芯”!粤芯半导体 申报IPO获受理
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-19 13:50
Core Viewpoint - Yu Xin Semiconductor has been accepted for IPO application on the ChiNext board, with a post-financing valuation of 25.3 billion yuan, focusing on analog chip manufacturing and being the first 12-inch wafer manufacturer in Guangdong province [1][3]. Company Information - Yu Xin Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. is referred to as "Guangzhou's first chip" and is the first 12-inch wafer manufacturing enterprise in Guangdong to enter mass production [1]. - The company is sponsored by GF Securities and has a projected fundraising amount of 7.5 billion yuan [2][15]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 is reported as 1.545 billion yuan, 1.044 billion yuan, 1.681 billion yuan, and 1.053 billion yuan respectively, with a projected revenue growth of 61.09% in 2024 [3][4]. - Despite positive cash flow from operating activities, the company has not yet achieved profitability, with net losses increasing from 1.043 billion yuan in 2022 to 2.253 billion yuan in 2024 [3][4][6]. Shareholder Structure - The company currently has no controlling shareholder, with the founding shareholders being Yu Xin Zhong Cheng Equity Investment Partnership and Science City Investment Group [8][11]. - Yu Xin Zhong Cheng holds an 80% stake, while Science City Group holds 20% [10]. Investment Projects - The IPO aims to raise 7.5 billion yuan, with 3.5 billion yuan allocated for a 12-inch integrated circuit analog specialty process production line and 2.5 billion yuan for technology platform research and development [15][16]. - The company plans to transition from pure analog foundry to a composite technology platform focusing on analog and digital integration, aiming to enhance domestic production of high-end analog and mixed-signal chips [17].
A股或“迎芯”!粤芯半导体,申报IPO获受理
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 13:50
来源:中国基金报 记者 邱德坤 【导读】粤芯半导体申报创业板IPO获受理,最近一次融资投后估值253亿元 12月19日,粤芯半导体技术股份有限公司(以下简称粤芯半导体)申报创业板IPO获深交所受理,保荐 机构为广发证券。 粤芯半导体被称为"广州第一芯",是广东省自主培养且首家进入量产的12英寸晶圆制造企业,专注于模 拟芯片制造,最近一次外部股权融资对应的投后估值为253亿元。 | | | ■ 粤芯半导体技术股份有限公司 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 已受到 2025-12-19 | 已同向 | 上市委会议 | 提交注册 | 注册结果 | | | | | | | | 项目基本信息 | | | | | | 公司全称 | ■芯半导体技术股份有限公司 | 公司简称 | 电芯半导体 | | | 受理日期 | 2025-12-19 | 更新日期 | 2025-12-19 | | | 事核状态 | 已受理 | 预计融资金额(亿元) | 75 | | | 保存机构 | 广发证券股份有限公司 | 保存代表人 | 离油,杨华川 | | | 会计师事务所 | 数周会计师事务所(特殊 ...
A股或“迎芯”!粤芯半导体,申报IPO获受理
中国基金报· 2025-12-19 13:45
Core Viewpoint - Yu Xin Semiconductor has submitted its IPO application to the ChiNext board and has been accepted, with a post-financing valuation of 25.3 billion yuan [2] Financial Performance - The financial data disclosed in the prospectus shows that Yu Xin Semiconductor's operating revenues for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025 are projected to be 1.545 billion yuan, 1.044 billion yuan, 1.681 billion yuan, and 1.053 billion yuan respectively, with a significant year-on-year growth of 61.09% expected in 2024 [5] - The company has maintained positive net cash flow from operating activities from 2022 to the first half of 2025 [5] Profitability Challenges - Yu Xin Semiconductor has not yet achieved profitability, with increasing losses projected for the years 2022 to 2025, amounting to -1.043 billion yuan, -1.917 billion yuan, -2.253 billion yuan, and -1.201 billion yuan respectively [6][7] - The company indicates that the time to reach breakeven is relatively long due to the capital-intensive nature of the wafer manufacturing industry and the characteristics of analog chips [6][8] Shareholder Structure - The company currently has no controlling shareholder or actual controller, with the founding shareholders being Yu Xin Zhong Cheng Equity Investment Partnership and Science City Investment Group [11] - Yu Xin Zhong Cheng holds an 80% stake, while Science City Group holds 20% [14] Future Plans and Investment - Yu Xin Semiconductor plans to raise 7.5 billion yuan through the IPO, with 3.5 billion yuan allocated for the production line project of 12-inch integrated circuit analog specialty processes and 2.5 billion yuan for the development of specialty process technology platforms, together accounting for 80% of the total fundraising [20] - The company aims to transform from a "pure analog foundry" to a composite technology platform that integrates analog and digital technologies, focusing on collaboration with design companies and the terminal industry chain [22]