Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Near the military parade node, market funds have shown signs of pre - emptive action. Driven by heavy - weight sectors, the broader market was relatively stable on the day. Affected by the sentiment related to the military parade, the market may stage a phased rally, but attention should be paid to the adjustment pressure after the rally. In the short term, the market may face shock consolidation, but in the medium - to - long term, it still has an upward foundation [3] Summary by Directory 1. Market Analysis - Domestically, the Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration issued a notice clarifying 4 tax - exemption measures to support the operation and management of state - owned equity and cash proceeds transferred to enrich the social security fund. The measures are effective from April 1, 2024, and eligible taxpayers who have already paid taxes before the notice can get a refund. This tax preference directly boosts the investment return rate of the social security fund by reducing the operating costs of the receiving entities. Overseas, the US ISM manufacturing index in August rose slightly from 48 in July to 48.7, lower than the market expectation of 49, and remained below the boom - bust line for six consecutive months. The new orders index rose to 51.4, expanding for the first time since the beginning of this year, but the output index dropped 3.6 points to 47.8, falling back into the contraction range [1] - In the spot market, the three major A - share indices fluctuated and adjusted. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.45% to close at 3858.13 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.85%. Most sector indices declined, with banking, public utilities, and household appliances sectors leading the gains, while communication, computer, electronics, and national defense and military industries leading the losses. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets on the day was 2.87 trillion yuan. Overseas, the US Federal Circuit Court of Appeals ruled on August 29 that the law cited by Trump when imposing tariffs on multiple countries did not actually authorize him to levy these taxes. The three major US stock indices closed down across the board, with the Nasdaq falling 0.82% to 21279.63 points [2] - In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures rebounded, and the deep discount situation of IC and IM improved. Both the trading volume and open interest of stock index futures increased [2] 2. Strategy - Near the military parade node, market funds have shown pre - emptive action. Driven by heavy - weight sectors, the broader market was relatively stable on the day. Affected by the sentiment related to the military parade, the market may stage a phased rally, but attention should be paid to the adjustment pressure after the rally. In the short term, the market may face shock consolidation, but in the medium - to - long term, it still has an upward foundation [3] 3. Macro - economic Charts - The content mainly includes charts such as the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, the relationship between US Treasury yields and A - share trends, the relationship between the RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and the relationship between US Treasury yields and A - share styles, with data sources from Flush and Huatai Futures Research Institute [6][9][11] 4. Spot Market Tracking Charts - The daily performance of major domestic stock indices on September 1, 2025, shows that the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.46%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.05%, the ChiNext Index rose 2.29%, the CSI 300 Index rose 0.60%, the SSE 50 Index rose 0.00%, the CSI 500 Index rose 0.94%, and the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.84%. There are also charts of the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance, with data sources from Flush and Huatai Futures Research Institute [13][14] 5. Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts - The trading volume and open interest data of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts show changes. For example, the trading volume of the IF contract was 144,297 with a change of - 55,399, and the open interest was 276,618 with a change of - 16,713 [15] - The basis data of stock index futures show the basis and its changes for different contracts (current month, next month, current quarter, and next quarter) of IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the current - month contract basis of the IF contract was - 13.11 with a change of - 22.55 [39] - The inter - delivery spread data of stock index futures show the spreads and their changes between different delivery months (next month - current month, next quarter - current month, etc.) for IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the next - month minus current - month spread of the IF contract was - 7.60 with a change of - 2.20 [42]

Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in the A-share market, particularly the 2.85% drop in the ChiNext Index, is not indicative of the end of a bull market but rather a typical shakeout behavior during an upward trend, suggesting a potential for short-term rebound [1][4]. Market Adjustment Factors - The market adjustment on September 2 was influenced by multiple factors, including technical pressure from accumulated profit-taking after a prolonged upward trend since April [3]. - There was a significant rotation of funds from high-valuation growth sectors, particularly in technology, to undervalued defensive sectors such as banking and utilities, amplifying market volatility [3]. - The negative sentiment from the substantial decline in U.S. tech stocks and the market's cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting contributed to the adjustment [3]. Long-term Market Support - Despite the recent downturn, the core logic supporting a medium to long-term positive outlook for the market remains intact, driven by ongoing policies in sectors like "Artificial Intelligence+" and measures aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting consumption [5]. - The rapid decline is seen as a quick release of risks, effectively digesting profit-taking and eliminating localized bubbles, which can accumulate strength for future upward movement [5]. Short-term Market Outlook - In the short term, there is potential for a technical rebound following the recent sharp decline, supported by ample policy tools for growth stabilization and expectations of possible interest rate cuts [7]. - The anticipated easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and a weaker dollar may enhance the attractiveness of RMB assets, potentially leading to a continued inflow of northbound capital [7]. - The significant trading volume of 2.87 trillion yuan during the decline indicates a release of short-term selling pressure, with stabilization in key sectors providing support for the market [7]. - The emotional release from the sharp drop may lead to a stabilization of market sentiment, allowing for a recovery of quality stocks that were oversold [7].

Market Performance - On September 2, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 2.14%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 2.85%[3] - The total trading volume on September 2 was 2.91 trillion, an increase of approximately 130 billion compared to the previous trading day[1] Sector Analysis - Major sectors experienced declines, with communication, computing, electronics, and military industries leading the losses, while banking, utilities, and home appliances saw slight gains[1] - The net outflow of funds from the Shanghai market was 194.51 billion yuan, and from the Shenzhen market, it was 315.77 billion yuan on September 2[4] Market Sentiment - The market is facing significant resistance at its current position, with a more pronounced adjustment compared to the previous trading days[1] - There is a short-term pressure for profit-taking in the main sectors, leading to increased volatility in market sentiment[1] Industry Developments - The logistics industry in China showed a positive trend with a logistics prosperity index of 50.9% in August, indicating continuous demand growth[7] - The software industry reported a revenue of 83,246 billion yuan in the first seven months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3%[8] Investment Trends - Overseas Chinese stock ETFs have seen significant growth, with the KraneShares China Internet ETF surpassing 8.5 billion USD in size[11] - Recent policies in Shanghai support the development of AI chips, indicating a focus on enhancing technological capabilities in the region[5][6]

Market Overview - Recent stock market volatility has raised concerns among investors, with significant fluctuations in trading activity despite high transaction volumes exceeding 3 trillion [1][3] - A collective market drop occurred, with over 4,500 stocks declining, highlighting the importance of risk awareness [1] Trading Activity - High trading volumes did not correlate with sustained price increases, indicating potential profit-taking by large investors [1] - The market's trading volume may have peaked at 3.2 trillion, suggesting a possible difficulty in further upward movement [3] Financing Trends - Financing balance surged to a historical high of 2.28 trillion, surpassing levels seen during the 2015 bull market, with a net buy of 35.396 billion [3] - The increase in financing is concentrated in the technology sector, with notable spikes in financing balances for specific tech stocks, indicating potential volatility risks if market adjustments occur [3] Sector Performance - Defensive sectors such as banking, utilities, and home appliances performed well, while technology sectors like communications, computing, and defense saw significant declines [5]

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced a downward trend, with the ChiNext index leading the decline, while defensive sectors such as banking and public utilities showed gains [5][8][6] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 2.14%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 2.85%, while the Shanghai 50 Index rose by 0.39% [5][8] - The total market turnover was approximately 2.91 trillion yuan, with 4,055 stocks declining across the market [5][8] Industry Performance - On September 2, 2025, the banking sector (+1.97%), home appliance manufacturing (+0.99%), public utilities (+0.98%), and oil and gas petrochemicals (+0.87%) were the leading industries [8] - Conversely, the telecommunications sector (-5.57%), computer industry (-4.17%), and electronics sector (-3.70%) faced significant declines [8] - Concept stocks such as central enterprise banks (+2.16%), reducers (+2.05%), and gold jewelry (+1.97%) performed well, while sectors like optical modules (-8.24%) and digital currency faced substantial corrections [8] Market Drivers - The decline in major A-share indices was attributed to a cautious market sentiment, particularly affecting the technology sector, which saw significant adjustments [8][6] - The technology sector's previous rapid gains led to profit-taking, contributing to the overall market's cautious shift, despite defensive sectors attempting to stabilize the market [8][6] - The gold price increased due to the interest rate cut cycle, benefiting the gold jewelry sector, while industrial mother machine concept stocks gained strength following new standards issued by regulatory bodies [8][6] Future Outlook - The report maintains a bullish outlook on the Chinese stock market, anticipating continued monetary and fiscal support policies [8] - Historical experiences from previous bull markets in 1999, 2014, and 2019 suggest that domestic policy initiatives can help the market withstand external risks and volatility [8] - Investment directions include focusing on non-bank sectors in a "slow bull" market, technology growth areas like AI computing, and sectors benefiting from improved supply-demand dynamics such as metals, transportation, chemicals, lithium batteries, photovoltaics, and pig farming [8]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective pullback on September 2, with all three major indices declining [1] - The main funds saw a net outflow of 119.685 billion yuan throughout the day [1] Sector Performance - Only three sectors saw net inflows: Public Utilities (2.04 million yuan), Comprehensive (1.89 million yuan), and Textile & Apparel (403.974 billion yuan) [1] - The electronics, computer, and communication sectors had the largest net outflows, with amounts of 24.716 billion yuan, 22.009 billion yuan, and 17.822 billion yuan respectively [1] - Other sectors with significant net outflows included Power Equipment, Non-ferrous Metals, and National Defense & Military Industry, each exceeding 5 billion yuan [1] - Non-bank financials, pharmaceutical biology, and machinery equipment sectors also experienced net outflows exceeding 4 billion yuan [1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45% on September 2, with six industries experiencing gains, led by the banking and public utilities sectors, which rose by 1.95% and 0.99% respectively [1] - The oil and petrochemical industry saw a modest increase of 0.37% [1] - A total of 27 industries experienced net outflows of capital, with the electronics sector leading the outflow at 34.544 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with a net outflow of 24.560 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The banking sector had the highest net inflow of capital, amounting to 3.417 billion yuan, contributing to its 1.95% increase [1] - The public utilities sector also saw a net inflow of 936 million yuan, with a daily increase of 0.99% [1] - The oil and petrochemical industry recorded a net inflow of 249 million yuan, with 14 out of 47 stocks in the sector rising [2] Individual Stock Performance in Oil and Petrochemical Sector - China National Petroleum Corporation (PetroChina) led the net inflow in the oil and petrochemical sector with 475 million yuan, followed by China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) and Sinopec, with net inflows of 109 million yuan and 90 million yuan respectively [2] - Among the stocks with significant net outflows, Guanghui Energy, ST Xinchao, and Rongsheng Petrochemical had outflows of 68.911 million yuan, 46.946 million yuan, and 41.555 million yuan respectively [2][3]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45% on September 2, with six industries experiencing gains, led by the banking and public utilities sectors, which rose by 1.95% and 0.99% respectively [2] - The total net outflow of capital from the two markets was 151.27 billion yuan, with four industries seeing net inflows, primarily in the banking sector, which had a net inflow of 3.42 billion yuan [2] Public Utilities Sector - The public utilities sector increased by 0.99%, with a total net inflow of 936 million yuan, comprising 131 stocks, of which 58 rose and 67 fell [3] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the public utilities sector were Changjiang Electric Power (net inflow of 625 million yuan), Luxiao Technology (net inflow of 481 million yuan), and Jingyun Tong (net inflow of 224 million yuan) [3] - The sector also had six stocks with net outflows exceeding 50 million yuan, led by Hengtong Optic-Electric, Guodian Power, and Inner Mongolia Huadian, with net outflows of 163 million yuan, 83.1 million yuan, and 82.7 million yuan respectively [3] Capital Inflow and Outflow Rankings - The top stocks in the public utilities sector by capital inflow included: - Changjiang Electric Power: +1.51%, turnover rate 0.73%, net inflow 625 million yuan - Luxiao Technology: +5.22%, turnover rate 17.78%, net inflow 481 million yuan - Jingyun Tong: +10.13%, turnover rate 5.90%, net inflow 224 million yuan [4] - The top stocks by capital outflow included: - Hengtong Optic-Electric: -3.13%, turnover rate 7.40%, net outflow 162.57 million yuan - Guodian Power: +0.41%, turnover rate 1.11%, net outflow 83.1 million yuan - Inner Mongolia Huadian: +0.50%, turnover rate 1.10%, net outflow 82.7 million yuan [5]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45% on September 2, with six industries experiencing gains, led by the banking and public utilities sectors, which rose by 1.95% and 0.99% respectively [1] - A total of 27 industries saw net outflows of capital, with the electronics sector leading the outflow at 34.544 billion yuan, followed by the computer sector with a net outflow of 24.560 billion yuan [1] Computer Industry Performance - The computer industry experienced a decline of 4.06%, with 319 out of 335 stocks in the sector falling, including two stocks hitting the daily limit down [2] - Among the stocks in the computer sector, 42 saw net inflows, with seven stocks receiving over 50 million yuan in net inflows, led by iFlytek with a net inflow of 195 million yuan [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows included Inspur Information, Tonghuashun, and Zhinan Zhen, with net outflows of 1.378 billion yuan, 1.092 billion yuan, and 920 million yuan respectively [2] Capital Flow in Computer Sector - The top stocks with net inflows in the computer sector included: - iFlytek (002230) with a gain of 0.49% and a capital flow of 195.46 million yuan - Aerospace Hongtu (688066) with a gain of 1.91% and a capital flow of 112.35 million yuan - Hongsoft Technology (688088) with a decline of 5.83% and a capital flow of 96.93 million yuan [3] - The stocks with the highest net outflows included: - Inspur Information (000977) with a decline of 7.43% and a capital outflow of 1.377 billion yuan - Tonghuashun (300033) with a decline of 3.38% and a capital outflow of 1.092 billion yuan - Zhinan Zhen (300803) with a decline of 4.92% and a capital outflow of 919.69 million yuan [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant adjustment, with the ChiNext Index dropping nearly 4% and falling below the 2900-point mark, while the Shenzhen Component Index, Sci-Tech 50, and CSI 500 also declined over 2% [1] - Over 4100 stocks saw declines, indicating a broad market downturn [1] Sector Performance - Oil and gas extraction, forestry, reducers, and banking sectors showed positive performance, while communication equipment, components, diversified finance, and chips faced notable declines [2] - Popular stocks that previously surged, such as Dechuang Environmental Protection and Jianye Co., experienced sharp reversals, with some stocks hitting the daily limit down [2] Capital Flow - Major capital inflows were observed in the banking sector (net inflow of over 6.5 billion), automotive (over 5.2 billion), public utilities, and machinery (each over 3 billion), while the electronics sector saw a significant net outflow exceeding 30.3 billion [5] - The options market indicates increased volatility expectations for the next 30 days, suggesting that some investors may anticipate a change in market trends [5] Market Highlights - The humanoid robot concept saw a strong afternoon rally, with the reducer sector leading gains, and several stocks hitting the daily limit up [6] - A strategic cooperation agreement was reached between Xingchen Intelligent and Shanghai Xiangong Intelligent Technology for a large order of humanoid robots, marking a significant development in the industrial sector [8] - The humanoid robot sector has seen 111 investment events this year, with a notable increase in activity compared to previous years [8] Policy Support - The People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies issued a notice to support high-quality development in forestry, proposing 15 specific measures to enhance financial services and support for the forestry industry [8]