1. Report Industry Investment Rating - All the analyzed energy and chemical products are rated as "Oscillating" [1][3][4][5][7] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The overall volatility of oil prices has decreased, lacking market drivers, and oil prices are oscillating repeatedly. Most energy and chemical products' markets have unclear unilateral drivers and generally follow the cost - end crude oil for narrow - range fluctuations [1][3][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Crude Oil**: On Thursday, oil prices rebounded. WTI August contract rose $1.16 to $67.54 per barrel (1.75% increase), Brent September contract rose $1.00 to $69.52 per barrel (1.46% increase), and SC2508 closed at 524.1 yuan per barrel, up 10.5 yuan (2.04% increase). Last week, US crude oil inventories declined, and Iraq's crude oil production decreased by about 200,000 barrels per day. Chevron's production in the largest US oil field is approaching a plateau. Entering the hurricane - prone season, its impact on oil prices needs attention. Speculators' net long positions in NYMEX light - sweet crude oil futures decreased by 10.8% [1] - **Fuel Oil**: On Thursday, the main fuel oil contract FU2509 on the SHFE closed down 0.28% at 2,863 yuan per ton, and the low - sulfur fuel oil contract LU2509 closed down 1.89% at 3,580 yuan per ton. As of the week ending July 14, Singapore's on - land fuel oil inventories decreased by 1323000 barrels (5.35%) week - on - week, and Fujairah's fuel oil inventories decreased by 682000 barrels (6.65%) week - on - week. The short - term market follows the cost - end crude oil for range - bound oscillations [3] - **Asphalt**: On Thursday, the main asphalt contract BU2509 on the SHFE closed up 0.3% at 3,628 yuan per ton. This week, the total inventory level of domestic refinery asphalt was 26.18%, down 0.82% week - on - week; the social inventory rate was 35.34%, down 0.14% week - on - week; the domestic asphalt plant operating rate was 33.72%, down 0.88% week - on - week. The short - term market follows the cost - end crude oil for narrow - range fluctuations [3] - **Polyester**: TA509 closed at 4,714 yuan per ton, up 0.17% yesterday; EG2509 closed at 4,372 yuan per ton, up 0.48%. As of July 17, the overall ethylene glycol operating load in the Chinese mainland was 66.2% (up 1.37% from the previous period), and the PTA load reached 79.7%. Polyester prices are oscillating weakly. Attention should be paid to changes in the macro environment and crude oil prices [4] - **Rubber**: On Thursday, the main rubber contract RU2509 rose 165 yuan per ton to 14,665 yuan per ton, and the NR main contract rose 95 yuan per ton to 12,585 yuan per ton. In June 2025, China's synthetic rubber production was 703000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.7%. Rubber prices are expected to oscillate [5] - **Methanol**: The price has returned to an oscillating trend. Iran's plant operating load has recovered to a high point, and the arrival volume has increased to a relatively high level, with limited subsequent increments. Downstream profits have recovered, and subsequent operations will remain stable [5] - **Polyolefins**: The supply of polyolefins has limited changes, demand is at the bottom, and there is little room for further decline. The agricultural film market will strengthen seasonally, and the market is expected to gradually trade on demand recovery, with prices expected to fluctuate narrowly [7] - **Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC)**: The price in the East China PVC market changed little on Thursday. The overall supply has decreased, and although demand has not improved significantly, the fundamentals have not deteriorated further. The upside rebound space is limited [7] 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - The report provides the spot prices, futures prices, basis, basis rates, and their changes of multiple energy and chemical products on July 17 and 16, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, fuel oil, etc. It also explains the calculation methods and data sources [9] 3.3 Market News - Signs of tightness in the crude oil spot market supported oil prices. Last week, US crude oil inventories declined, and Iraq's crude oil production decreased due to drone attacks. Chevron's production in the largest US oil field is approaching a plateau. Former US Treasury Secretary Summers warned that Trump's preference for Fed interest - rate setting may lead to a surge in inflation expectations and higher long - term borrowing costs [11] 3.4 Chart Analysis - **Main Contract Prices**: Presents the historical closing price trends of the main contracts of various energy and chemical products from 2021 to 2025, including crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, etc. [13][15][17] - **Main Contract Basis**: Displays the historical basis trends of the main contracts of various products, such as crude oil, fuel oil, etc. [26][28][32] - **Inter - term Contract Spreads**: Shows the historical spreads between different contracts of products like fuel oil, asphalt, etc. [40][42][45] - **Inter - product Spreads**: Illustrates the historical spreads and ratios between different products, such as crude oil's internal and external spreads, fuel oil's high - low sulfur spreads, etc. [58][61][62] - **Production Profits**: Presents the historical production profit trends of products like ethylene - glycol, polypropylene, etc. [66][68] 3.5 Team Member Introduction - **Zhong Meiyan**: Assistant Director of the Institute and Director of Energy and Chemicals, with over ten years of experience in futures and derivatives market research, has won multiple awards [71] - **Du Bingqin**: Analyst for crude oil, natural gas, fuel oil, asphalt, and shipping, with in - depth research on the energy industry and many achievements [72] - **Di Yilin**: Analyst for natural rubber and polyester, with strong data analysis and logical abilities, and has won many awards [73] - **Peng Haibo**: Analyst for methanol, PE, PP, and PVC, with experience in combining financial theory and industrial operations [74]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index has shown positive performance, with a 0.94% increase over the past month, an 18.02% increase over the past three months, and a 12.03% increase year-to-date [1] - The China Hong Kong 300 upstream index is composed of securities selected based on the China Securities Industry Classification, reflecting the overall performance of various thematic securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [1] - The index has a base date of December 31, 2004, with a base point of 1000.0 [1] Group 2 - The top ten holdings of the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (28.76%), PetroChina Company Limited (13.17%), Zijin Mining Group (10.73%), China Shenhua Energy Company (9.47%), Sinopec Limited (9.06%), China Hongqiao Group (4.45%), China Coal Energy Company (3.29%), Zhaojin Mining Industry Company (3.19%), Luoyang Molybdenum Company (2.74%), and Yanzhou Coal Mining Company (2.33%) [1] - The index's holdings are entirely composed of securities listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with a 100% allocation [1] Group 3 - In terms of industry composition, the China Hong Kong 300 upstream index has a significant allocation to oil and gas at 51.38%, followed by precious metals at 15.91%, coal at 15.56%, and industrial metals at 14.64% [2] - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Special circumstances may lead to temporary adjustments to the index, such as delisting of sample companies or corporate actions like mergers and acquisitions [2]

俄罗斯能源部：俄罗斯汽油和柴油储备接近历史最高水平。 ...

Core Insights - The Daqing Oilfield of China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) is expected to see an increase in domestic crude oil production by 10,900 tons year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [1] - Natural gas production is projected to rise by 222 million cubic meters year-on-year [1] - The operational scale of renewable energy projects is 538,700 kilowatts, with a generated power of 554 million kilowatt-hours, achieving 52% of the annual plan [1] Production and Operations - In the first half of the year, Daqing Oilfield conducted 2,363 well adjustments and monitoring operations [1] - The oil production from the block reached 791,000 tons, exceeding the planned target by 42,000 tons [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Daqing Oilfield is experiencing an increase in domestic crude oil and natural gas production in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [1] - Crude oil production is expected to increase by 10,900 tons year-on-year [1] - Natural gas production is projected to rise by 222 million cubic meters year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The operational scale of renewable energy projects is 538,700 kilowatts [1] - The generated electricity from these projects is 554 million kilowatt-hours, achieving 52% of the annual plan [1]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating - High - sulfur fuel oil: Oscillating [3] - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Oscillating [3] 2) Core Viewpoints - The crude oil price has been oscillating strongly since the OPEC meeting, and the unilateral prices of FU and LU are supported by the cost side. However, there is an expectation of a looser balance sheet in the medium - term crude oil market, which may limit the upside space of prices. The recent oil price decline has also led to a weaker market drive [1]. - The current market structure of high - sulfur fuel oil is weak, with spot discounts, monthly spreads, and crack spreads continuously declining. Although there are still structural support factors, the crack spreads need to further adjust to attract the return of refinery demand [1]. - The market structure of low - sulfur fuel oil has been stable recently, supported by the strong performance of overseas diesel. The overall supply pressure is limited due to the significant year - on - year decline in domestic production in the first half of the year. However, the surplus production capacity is abundant, and the long - term carbon - neutral trend in the shipping industry will suppress the market [1]. - The current market structure of low - sulfur fuel oil is slightly stronger than that of high - sulfur fuel oil, and the high - low sulfur spread has been widening recently, but the structural contradiction has not completely reversed, and there is no room for a significant increase in the spread [2]. 3) Strategy Summary - High - sulfur: Maintain an oscillating trend [3] - Low - sulfur: Maintain an oscillating trend [3] - Cross - variety: Short the FU crack spread (FU - Brent or FU - SC) on rallies [3] - Cross - period: Gradually take profit on the previous FU reverse spread positions [3] - Spot - futures: No strategy [3] - Options: No strategy [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report The report indicates that the crude oil market will continue its oscillating pattern in the short - term, with increasing upward pressure. Supply - side factors such as the环比 growth of OPEC+ output and the seasonal restart of US refineries ease the risk of geopolitical supply disruptions. However, demand - side issues like gasoline inventory build - up and reduced imports from India limit the upside potential of prices. The accumulation of inventory strengthens the expectation of a marginal weakening in supply - demand balance. If the inventory draw during the US summer driving season falls short of expectations, it may trigger a further price correction [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Daily Market Summary - **Crude Oil Futures Market Data Changes**: On July 15, 2025, the price of the SC main contract closed at 518.2 yuan/barrel, down 9.3 yuan/barrel (-1.76%) from the previous trading day. WTI and Brent prices remained stable at 66.83 dollars/barrel and 69.13 dollars/barrel respectively. The SC - Brent and SC - WTI spreads weakened by 1.34 dollars, and the SC continuous - contango 3 spread dropped from 26.0 yuan/barrel to 24.3 yuan/barrel [2]. - **Supply - side Analysis**: According to the OPEC monthly report on July 15, OPEC's crude oil production in June increased by 220,000 barrels per day to 2,723.5 million barrels per day, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE increasing production and Iran and Libya reducing output. Iraq plans to increase the output of the Himreen oilfield to 60,000 barrels per day. US API data on July 16 showed an increase in crude oil imports and refinery throughput [3]. - **Demand - side Analysis**: OPEC maintains the 2025 demand growth forecast at 1.29 million barrels per day. The US gasoline inventory unexpectedly increased by 1.931 million barrels in the week ending July 11, and India's crude oil imports in June decreased, indicating weaker - than - expected terminal consumption [4]. - **Inventory - side Analysis**: US commercial crude oil inventory increased by 839,000 barrels, and the OECD inventory in May increased by 34.5 million barrels to 2.77 billion barrels, showing overall inventory pressure. The heating oil inventory decreased by 763,000 barrels, suggesting a structural differentiation in energy consumption [5]. - **Price Trend Judgment**: In the short - term, the market will remain range - bound with increasing upward pressure. Supply - side growth and refinery restarts ease supply risks, but demand - side issues and inventory build - up limit price increases. If the US summer driving season fails to reduce inventory as expected, prices may correct further [6]. 3.2 Industrial Chain Price Monitoring - **Crude Oil**: On July 15, 2025, SC, WTI, and Brent futures prices decreased, while the OPEC basket price remained unchanged. The spreads of SC - Brent, SC - WTI, and SC continuous - contango 3 all decreased. The US dollar index increased, and the S&P 500 and DAX indices decreased. US commercial crude oil, Cushing, and strategic reserve inventories all increased, and the US refinery weekly operating rate decreased slightly [8]. - **Fuel Oil**: On July 15, 2025, most fuel oil futures and spot prices showed changes, with some increasing and some decreasing. The Singapore and US distillate inventories also had corresponding changes, and the spreads between high - and low - sulfur fuel oils in Singapore and China also showed different trends [9]. 3.3 Industrial Dynamics and Interpretation - **Supply**: On July 16, US API data showed an increase in crude oil imports and refinery throughput. According to the OPEC monthly report on July 15, the production of many OPEC member countries changed in June, with the overall OPEC production increasing by 220,000 barrels per day. Iraq plans to increase the output of the Himreen oilfield to 60,000 barrels per day [10][11]. - **Demand**: The OPEC monthly report expects global crude oil demand to be 106.36 million barrels per day in 2025 and 107.52 million barrels per day in 2026, and maintains the 2025 and 2026 demand growth forecasts at 1.29 million barrels per day and 1.28 million barrels per day respectively [12]. - **Inventory**: In the week ending July 11, US API heating oil inventory decreased, gasoline inventory increased unexpectedly, and crude oil inventory increased. The OECD inventory in May increased by 34.5 million barrels to 2.77 billion barrels. The warehouse receipts of medium - sulfur crude oil, fuel oil, and low - sulfur fuel oil futures remained unchanged [13]. - **Market Information**: The crude oil futures price decreased, and the market's reaction to the US threat of sanctions on Russia was calm. The fuel oil main contract price dropped. The market is concerned about possible US restrictions on European oil, and after the implementation of restrictions, the crude oil price may correct but will still maintain an oscillating pattern [14]. 3.4 Industrial Chain Data Charts The report provides multiple data charts, including the prices and spreads of WTI and Brent first - line contracts, the spread between SC and WTI, US and global oil rig numbers, US refinery operating rates and throughput, and various inventory data, etc., to visually display the changes in the industrial chain data [15][17][19]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Oil prices will fluctuate within a range, and a medium - term short - position allocation is recommended [3] Group 2: Core Viewpoints - Saudi Arabia's recent production increase is not for market share but due to the Middle East conflict. It is to transfer supply overseas, not directly increase sales to customers. This operation is not sustainable as the conflict eases. Saudi Arabia is still restrained in production increase and aims to balance Trump's call to lower oil prices with its own interests [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Market News and Important Data - WTI August crude oil futures fell $1.47, a nearly 2.15% decline, to $66.98 per barrel. Brent September crude oil futures dropped $1.15, over a 1.63% decline, to $69.21 per barrel [1] - Trump said the US will send more weapons to Ukraine, produce weapons independently, and have Ukraine bear the cost. If no agreement is reached in 50 days, the US will impose 100% secondary tariffs on Russia, possibly targeting countries buying Russian oil [1] - The IEA monthly report raised oil supply forecasts for this and next year. Iranian crude production and exports declined in June, while Saudi oil production soared in June, far exceeding OPEC+ quotas [1] - OPEC Secretary - General Haitham Al Ghais said OPEC and its allies are increasing oil production. Third - quarter oil demand will be "very strong", and supply - demand will be in a tight balance in the following months. The organization expects 2025 demand to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day year - on - year. However, OPEC lowered its global oil demand forecast for the next 4 years last week [1] Investment Logic - Saudi Arabia's production increase is not for market share but due to the Middle East conflict and will not be sustainable [2] Strategy - Oil prices will have a range - bound movement, and a medium - term short - position allocation is advised [3]

Group 1 - WTI August crude oil futures closed at $66.98 per barrel [1] - Abu Dhabi Murban crude oil futures are currently down 1.13%, trading at $70.74 per barrel as of 02:31 Beijing time [1] - NYMEX August natural gas futures closed at $3.4660 per million British thermal units [1] Group 2 - NYMEX August gasoline futures closed at $2.1654 per gallon [1] - NYMEX August heating oil futures closed at $2.3898 per gallon [1]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of a "supercharging corridor" for electric heavy trucks in Yichang, Hubei, marks a significant shift towards green energy in the phosphate mining transportation sector, addressing previous challenges such as range anxiety and high operational costs associated with diesel trucks [1][2][3]. Group 1: Project Implementation - The Yichang area, as the largest phosphate production base in the Yangtze River Basin, has a transportation task of 7 million tons of phosphate rock annually, previously relying on over 1,500 diesel trucks [2]. - The "supercharging corridor" project was completed in just 45 days, showcasing rapid project execution and effective coordination with local government [3]. - The charging network includes three key stations, providing a total power capacity of over 2,100 kilowatts, allowing simultaneous charging for 14 heavy trucks [3]. Group 2: Economic and Environmental Impact - Transitioning to electric heavy trucks has resulted in a 40% reduction in transportation costs per trip and an annual decrease of over 10,000 tons in carbon dioxide emissions [3]. - The success of the charging infrastructure has encouraged several transport companies to order additional electric trucks, forming a green transportation alliance with 11 surrounding enterprises [3]. Group 3: Service Enhancements - Customized services such as staggered charging, dedicated lanes, and 24-hour operation have been introduced to cater to the unique needs of phosphate transport [4]. - The company has improved customer experience by providing real-time charging availability updates and creating rest areas for drivers, enhancing the overall service quality [4]. - Additional amenities such as showers, laundry facilities, and kitchen appliances have been made available at charging stations to support drivers [4].