Core Insights - The report indicates that the current market sentiment score is 62, categorizing it as "relatively hot," suggesting a positive outlook for the market [6][10]. - Recent policy support and improved market sentiment have led to an upward trend in the market, with historical data showing that a sentiment score below 30 provides support, while above 90 indicates resistance [10]. Theme Tracking - **Cross-Border Payment**: The People's Bank of China has issued a plan to enhance cross-border financial services, aiming to improve service levels for enterprises going abroad. Related stocks include Cross-Border Communication (002640) and Qingdao Jinwang (002094) [7]. - **Virtual Power Plants**: The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have released guidelines to advance virtual power plant development, targeting a capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030. Related stocks include Guoneng Rixin (301162) and Kehua Data (002335) [7]. - **Duty-Free Theme**: The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have announced measures to optimize the departure tax refund policy, aiming to enhance inbound consumption. Related stocks include China Duty Free (601888) and Wangfujing (600859) [7]. Market Capital Flow - The report lists the top ten stocks with the highest net inflow of funds, with Liou Co., Ltd. (002131) leading at 884.26 million yuan, followed by Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) at 581.87 million yuan [11][12]. - The report also highlights the top ten stocks with the highest net outflow, with Shenghong Technology (300476) showing a net outflow of -389.52 million yuan, followed by Huayin Power (600744) at -387.68 million yuan [13][23]. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into the net inflow and outflow of funds across various industries, indicating that the machinery and home appliance sectors have seen significant net inflows, while the public utilities and food and beverage sectors have experienced notable net outflows [17][18].

Group 1 - The report indicates that the current market sentiment score is 48, categorizing it as "neutral" [6][11][22] - Recent market trends show a gradual upward movement supported by improved market sentiment and policy backing [11] - Historical sentiment trends suggest that when the sentiment score is below or near 30, the market tends to find support, while scores above 90 may indicate resistance [11] Group 2 - Key themes tracked include cross-border payments, virtual power plants, and duty-free shopping [7] - The cross-border payment theme is driven by the People's Bank of China's initiative to enhance cross-border financial services, with related stocks including Cross-Border Pass (002640) and Qingdao Kingking (002094) [7] - The virtual power plant initiative aims for a national adjustment capacity of over 20 million kilowatts by 2027 and 50 million kilowatts by 2030, with related stocks such as Guoneng Rixin (301162) and Kehua Data (002335) [7] - The duty-free shopping theme is supported by a new policy to optimize exit tax refund policies, with related stocks including China Duty Free (601888) and Wangfujing (600859) [7] Group 3 - The report provides a list of stocks with significant net inflows, including Dazhi Technology (600589) with a net inflow of 464.47 million and Hangang Co. (600126) with 246.20 million [12] - It also highlights stocks with significant net outflows, such as Tuo Wei Information (002261) with a net outflow of -825.75 million and BYD (002594) with -725.89 million [14][23] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring financing net purchases and securities lending net sales as indicators of market sentiment and investor behavior [23]

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce and five other departments issued a notice to optimize the departure tax refund policy and expand inbound consumption, leading to a surge in related A-share retail and duty-free stocks [1] - Wangfujing reported that 26 stores have been approved for departure tax refund services, including 10 stores providing "buy and refund" services [1] - Wushang Group plans to complete the first batch of departure tax refund store applications by April 2025 [1] Group 2 - Kenen Health confirmed that its products fall within the "buy and refund" scope under the current policy [2] - New World City is enhancing its services around departure tax refunds and international payment, including the addition of 21 new payment devices [2] - The State Council reported that inbound traveler spending is projected to reach $94.2 billion in 2024, a 77.8% increase year-on-year, indicating significant growth potential for inbound consumption [2] Group 3 - CITIC Securities noted that the optimization of departure tax refund policies will boost inbound tourism and shopping, positively impacting domestic consumption [3] - The long-term market potential for departure tax refunds is substantial, with a focus on the upcoming "May Day" travel peak [3]

2025.04. 28 导读 ： 离境退税政策再优化；五一旅游市场热度持续攀升；解锁【第一财经智享会员】实时解读市场动态，把握投资先机。 1、政策加码优化离境退税流程，免税产业链各环节有望直接受益 近日，商务部等6部门发布《关于进一步优化离境退税政策扩大入境消费的通知》。从推动离境退税商店增量扩容、丰富离境退税商品供给、提升离境退税 服务水平三方面提出8条具体措施。 通知提出，下调离境退税起退点。境外旅客同日同店购买退税物品金额达到2 0 0元人民币，且符合其他相关规定的，可以申请办理离境退税；优化离境退税 支付服务，将现金退税限额上调至2 0 0 0 0元人民币。 【第一财经智享会员专属】 【 今 日 速 读 】 精选行业研报，助您捕捉行业风口 【精选快读】 1、 政策加码优化离境退税流程，免税产业链各环节有望直接受益 2、五一旅游市场热度持续攀升，消费板块配置吸引力提升 商务部副部长盛秋平2 7日在国新办新闻发布会上表示，进一步优化离境退税政策，有利于推动离境退税销售额继续快速增长，为提振消费注入新动力、拓 展新空间。下一步，商务部将积极会同相关部门加快推进政策落实落地，不断提高离境退税服务质量和水平，让 ...

Group 1 - The establishment of Hainan Free Trade Port is a significant strategic decision by the Chinese government to respond to global trade changes and enhance domestic consumption, especially in light of the U.S. imposing "reciprocal tariffs" [2][35] - The year 2025 marks a critical milestone for Hainan Free Trade Port as it aims to achieve "closure," allowing for a unique operational model where goods can flow freely between Hainan and international markets while being regulated for entry into mainland China [2][14] - Hainan is expected to become a "tax haven" due to four key policies: 1) Exemption from tariffs for products with over 30% value-added processing; 2) Zero tariffs on non-negative list goods post-closure; 3) A reduced corporate income tax rate of 15% for qualifying businesses; 4) A progressive personal income tax structure capped at 15% [2][28][30] Group 2 - Hainan is positioned as a dual circulation hub, leveraging its geographical advantages to attract global capital, particularly from foreign enterprises seeking access to the Chinese market [12][31] - The tourism sector is being developed to attract international visitors and promote high-end consumption, with initiatives like duty-free shopping and international medical tourism [41][46] - The report highlights the rapid growth of new enterprises in Hainan, with over 150,000 new companies established annually from 2020 to 2024, indicating a robust investment environment [33]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【电新】上海车展趋势观察：大电量增程、商用车电动化、宁德时代引领新技术——碳中和领域动态追踪（一 百五十五） 宁德时代引领新技术突破，骁遥双核+自生成锂/钠负极再次拉开产品代差。增程车型有望成为电动化下半 场主力，大电量增程成为趋势。重卡等商用车电动化加速。上海车展新车型发布，大电量增程、商用车电 动化等趋势有望带动锂电需求，新技术突破有望催化固态电池、钠电等主题行情。 （殷中枢/陈无忌） 2025-04-27 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【汽车】2025上海车展开幕，聚焦智能化主旋律——汽车和汽车零部件板块跟踪报告 2025上海车展开幕，智驾+机器人共振，全产业链变革加速。1）预计2025E销量提振前景依然可期， ...

自作出免税资产注入承诺以来，海南控股始终积极作为。针对当前中小股东存在的疑惑，海南控股相关 负责人表示，公司始终坚持维护中小股东利益，前期已结合市场案例以及相关制度规定，并论证了现金 收购、发行股份购买资产等多套方案，相关启动注入方案已提交监管部门，甚至考虑到全球精品亏损的 情况，也曾谋划以净资产为基础平价注入上市公司。同步按照承诺期限制定专项工作时间表，对全球精 品进行全面尽调、推动整改提升。但近年全球精品受海南离岛免税消费市场环境变化等因素影响经营亏 损，无法满足监管对于注入资产的要求，强行注入海南发展与"严监严管、推动上市公司高质量发展、 维护中小股东利益"的监管导向相悖，致使多种注入方案均无法实施。同时，考虑当前监管对于上市公 司跨界收购十分谨慎，遏制打击市场炒作，对拟注入资产的业务协同性等方面要求较高。当下公司体系 内机场、算力等业务位于其他上市公司体内，需避免构成同业竞争，而其余房地产、光伏发电等相对传 统的业务与海南发展业务关联度不高，注入上市公司也无法有效提升上市公司经营水平及市场价值。一 直以来，公司支持海南发展整合集团免税资源、向大消费领域转型的战略信心坚定、从未动摇，当前公 司已制定针对 ...

股东结构层面发生调整之际，格力地产（600185.SH）迎来人事变动。 4月22日晚间，格力地产公告于近日收到公司董事长陈辉的书面辞职报告，由于工作调动原因，陈辉申 请辞去其所担任的公司第八届董事会董事、董事长、董事会专门委员会及下属子公司相关职务，并不再 代行公司总裁职责。 辞职后，陈辉不再担任格力地产及下属子公司任何职务。截至4月22日，陈辉未持有格力地产股票。 与此同时，格力地产控股股东珠海投资控股有限公司（以下简称"珠海投控"）提名郭凌勇、李向东为格 力地产第八届董事会非独立董事候选人。公告显示，郭凌勇、李向东均为华发股份（600325.SH）现任 高管。就在不久前，华发股份控股股东珠海华发集团有限公司（以下简称"华发集团"）成为格力地产间 接控股股东。 而对于陈辉的最新去向，格力地产方面对《中国经营报》记者表示："相关信息请以公司公告为准。" 根据格力地产方面此前披露，陈辉出生于1971年，2022年10月起担任格力地产董事长、法定代表人，任 期三年。也就是说，距离其到任日期还有半年之际，陈辉递交了辞呈。 任职时长两年半 陈辉上任格力地产董事长是在曾执掌格力地产14年的鲁君四之后。彼时，格力地产重大 ...

Core Insights - The report by EY analyzes the duty-free market from both consumer and operator perspectives, highlighting the current state, competitive landscape, and future trends of the industry [1][10]. Group 1: Market Development Trends - The global duty-free market is experiencing robust growth alongside the recovery of the tourism industry, with the Asia-Pacific region being significant but still not fully recovered to pre-pandemic levels, while Europe and the Americas have largely rebounded [1][15]. - The Chinese duty-free market faces challenges due to weakened domestic consumption and outbound consumption diversion, but with supportive policies, it is expected to enter a new phase of prosperity [1][10]. Group 2: Consumer Insights - The global duty-free market saw severe shrinkage during the early pandemic but is gradually recovering, with stable demand for perfumes and cosmetics, which hold a significant market share [2][22]. - In China, luxury goods demand has decreased due to macroeconomic factors, leading to more rational consumer behavior and increased outbound consumption, which has intensified structural adjustments in the duty-free market [2][40]. - Hainan's duty-free market benefits from unique policies, with peak consumption during the Spring Festival, although average spending per customer has shown a slight decline, indicating increased competition and a shift towards value-oriented purchasing [2][44][47]. Group 3: Operator Strategies - The Asia-Pacific region leads the global duty-free market, with China's market share steadily expanding, aided by visa-free transit policies [3][25]. - New regulations for city duty-free stores are invigorating the industry, with companies like China Duty Free Group and Wangfujing actively expanding their presence [3][31]. - Operators are innovating collaboration models with airport duty-free shops to balance interests, while the closure of Haikou has significant implications for the industry, presenting both opportunities and challenges [3][31]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Government policies aimed at boosting consumption and expanding domestic demand are providing favorable conditions for the duty-free industry, which is expected to accelerate transformation through innovative services and models [4][30]. - The recovery of the global tourism market, combined with supportive policies in China, positions the duty-free industry as a vital force for driving growth and stimulating domestic demand [4][30].

Core Viewpoint - The phenomenon of "ice and fire" is evident in China Duty Free Group (China Duty Free), where a new tax refund policy boosts stock prices despite ongoing declines in company performance and valuation [1][3]. Group 1: Policy Impact - The State Taxation Administration announced the nationwide implementation of the "immediate purchase and refund" tax refund policy, which simplifies the refund process and stimulates inbound tourism potential [1][7]. - The new policy allows foreign tourists to experience tax refunds more directly, potentially increasing their willingness to spend [8]. - Historical data from Japan indicates that similar tax refund policies significantly enhance inbound tourist spending, suggesting a positive outlook for the Chinese market [7]. Group 2: Company Performance - In 2024, China Duty Free is projected to see a revenue decline of 16.38% to 56.474 billion yuan and a net profit drop of 36.44% to 4.267 billion yuan, indicating significant performance pressure [3][4]. - The company's sales from duty-free goods decreased by 12.58% to approximately 38.666 billion yuan, while taxable goods sales fell by 23.49% to about 17.095 billion yuan, reflecting a contraction in online business due to competition [3][4]. - The Hainan region, a core market for the company, experienced a revenue decline of 27.13%, significantly impacting overall performance [3][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite an increase in market share in Hainan, the overall market contraction means that this gain did not translate into revenue growth [4]. - The competitive landscape has intensified with the opening of new duty-free stores, reducing the company's monopoly advantage [4][10]. - The company's profit margins are under pressure due to increased discounting and rising operational costs, with a notable 76.9% drop in net profit in the fourth quarter [5][6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The recovery of the Hainan market is expected to rely on policy stimuli, such as increased tax refund limits, and will face challenges from international competition post-border closure [6]. - The overall trend of policy support and consumer recovery suggests a potential for sustained recovery in the duty-free market [10]. - China Duty Free holds an 81.74% market share in the domestic duty-free market, positioning it well to benefit from the anticipated growth in inbound tourism [8][10].