Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with an initial coverage date of July 8, 2025 [1][4]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the domestic OTA market, particularly benefiting from the growth in lower-tier markets and the overall tourism boom. It is backed by major shareholders Tencent and Trip.com, which provide significant advantages in customer acquisition and supply chain resources [4][6][9]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, formed from the merger of Tongcheng and eLong, is a top-tier one-stop travel service platform in China, successfully ranking among the top three in the OTA industry [17]. Shareholding Structure - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with major shareholders Tencent and Trip.com holding 24.07% and 20.46% respectively, facilitating deep collaboration in business operations [18][21]. Business Breakdown - The core OTA business includes transportation and accommodation bookings, contributing approximately 50% and 30% of revenue respectively. The company is expanding into hotel management and vacation services, enhancing its competitive edge [23]. Financial Performance - The company has shown strong recovery post-pandemic, with revenues of RMB 11.896 billion in 2023 and projected growth to RMB 19.624 billion by 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 80.7% and 45.8% respectively [8][31]. Adjusted net profit is expected to reach RMB 27.07 billion in 2025 [6]. OTA Industry Insights - The online travel market in China is projected to exceed RMB 1 trillion in 2024, with a significant increase in online transaction rates, indicating a robust recovery and growth potential in the sector [39][46]. Competitive Landscape - The OTA market is characterized by a high concentration of major players, with Trip.com leading the market share. The competitive dynamics are stable, with companies leveraging unique strengths to capture different market segments [49][52]. Pricing Power - The pricing power of the company is influenced by the concentration of upstream resources, particularly in transportation and accommodation sectors, which affects commission rates and overall profitability [56][59].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform better than the benchmark index in the next 6-12 months [52]. Core Insights - The social services sector has seen a 5.39% increase in the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.86 percentage points, ranking 12th among 31 sectors [1][12]. - The summer travel season has begun, with a slight decrease in air travel costs year-on-year, suggesting positive operational performance for travel-related companies during the peak season [1][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The social services sector's performance in the last two weeks (June 23 - July 4, 2025) shows a 5.39% increase, ranking 12th among 31 sectors [12]. - The sub-sectors within social services, including education (+11.42%) and professional services (+4.51%), all experienced growth [16]. 2. Industry Dynamics and Company News - The civil aviation sector is expected to handle 150 million passengers during the summer travel period, with a daily average of over 2.4 million passengers, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.4% [1][4]. - The "Su Super" sports events have significantly boosted local consumption, with hotel occupancy rates increasing by 20%-30% and related retail spending rising by 15%-25% [1][4]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Companies with strong growth potential in the travel chain and related industries include Huangshan Tourism, Lijiang Co., Songcheng Performance, and others [4]. - The recovery of business travel and increased market share for hotel brands such as Junting Hotel and Jinjiang Hotel are highlighted as key investment opportunities [4]. 4. Travel Data Tracking - Domestic travel has largely recovered post-pandemic, with international travel policies gradually easing, indicating a positive trend for the travel industry [39][40].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to be higher than that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [4][26]. Core Insights - Financial policies are expected to boost service consumption, with a promising outlook for summer tourism. The combination of seasonal demand, policy support, and AI empowerment is anticipated to drive the tourism market [8][21]. - The summer tourism peak is projected to occur in early July, with family and child travelers making up a significant portion of the demand. The trend of off-peak travel is also highlighted, with specific regions showing increased hotel booking activity [2][20]. Market Performance Summary - The social service sector index experienced a weekly increase of 4.61%, ranking 8th among 31 sectors. The sub-industry performance varied, with professional services leading at 5.70% [1][9]. - Notable individual stock performances included significant gains for companies like Electric Science Institute (16.54%) and Tianmu Lake (14.09%) [1][9]. Industry News Dynamics - The report highlights various initiatives aimed at enhancing tourism experiences, such as the launch of a smart service platform in Zhejiang and promotional activities in Chongqing to attract tourists [22][23]. - The integration of AI technologies in cultural tourism is reshaping visitor experiences, with innovative applications enhancing service efficiency and customer engagement [20][21].

Group 1: Global Gas Turbine and Aerospace Engine Demand - The demand for gas turbines is expected to surge, with GE Vernova projecting a backlog of 60GW by the end of 2025, with orders signed until 2028 [3][4] - In Q1 2025, GE Vernova added 7.1GW in new gas turbine orders, a 44.9% year-on-year increase, primarily from heavy-duty gas turbine orders [3][4] - The aerospace engine market is experiencing robust demand, with Boeing reporting a net addition of 300 aircraft orders in May 2025, raising its backlog to 5943 aircraft [5][6] Group 2: High-Temperature Alloy and Chromium Salt Industry - The growth in gas turbine and aerospace engine demand is driving the need for high-temperature alloys, with domestic manufacturers poised to benefit from supply chain constraints [9][13] - Companies like Zhenhua Co. and Sry New Materials are expanding their production capabilities and reporting significant revenue growth from overseas markets [9][10] - The high-temperature alloy sector is rated as "recommended" due to the increasing demand for core components amid supply chain shifts towards China [13] Group 3: Coal Industry Dynamics - In May 2025, China's industrial raw coal production reached 400 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.2%, indicating a recovery in the coal supply [15][18] - The industrial electricity generation in May 2025 showed a positive shift, with coal-fired power generation increasing by 1.2% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline [19][22] - The coal market is witnessing a gradual improvement in supply-demand dynamics, with coal prices stabilizing and inventory levels decreasing [21][23] Group 4: Real Estate and Land Market Factors - The land market's performance is influenced by five key factors, including financing environment, new housing market stability, inventory reduction, sales model changes, and land supply rules [24][27] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a significant recovery in the real estate market, with new housing transactions positively impacting land market activity [29][30] - The land market is entering a "dual concentration" phase, with significant activity concentrated in major cities and among top real estate firms [25][26] Group 5: Company-Specific Developments - Xiaogoods City (600415.SH) is leveraging its position in Yiwu to enhance its global trade capabilities, with a projected revenue growth of 25% from 2025 to 2027 [36][39] - Huayi Group is diversifying its operations across five core business areas, reporting a revenue increase of 9.3% in 2024 [40]

Core Viewpoint - Lijiang Co., Ltd. is actively investing in the expansion of the Yak Cow Flat tourism cableway project in collaboration with Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area Investment Company, indicating a strategic move to enhance its tourism offerings and infrastructure [1][2]. Group 1: Company Financials - As of June 13, 2025, Lijiang Co., Ltd. reported a closing price of 8.56 yuan, down 1.72% from the previous week [1]. - The company's total market capitalization is 4.704 billion yuan, ranking 13th out of 22 in the tourism and scenic area sector and 3077th out of 5150 in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Investment and Capital Structure - Lijiang Co., Ltd. and Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area Investment Company are jointly increasing capital in Lijiang Yak Cow Flat Tourism Cableway Co., Ltd. to facilitate the cableway expansion project [1]. - Lijiang Co., Ltd. will contribute 314.239 million yuan in cash, while Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area Investment Company will contribute 197.2219 million yuan, combining cash and non-cash assets [1]. - After the capital increase, the registered capital of Yak Cow Flat Company will be 200 million yuan, with Lijiang Co., Ltd. holding 65% and Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area Investment Company holding 35% [2]. Group 3: Future Funding Commitments - The first phase of monetary contributions has been completed, with Lijiang Co., Ltd. having paid approximately 176.14 million yuan and Yulong Snow Mountain Scenic Area Investment Company approximately 78.53 million yuan [2]. - Future monetary contributions are scheduled, with Lijiang Co., Ltd. expected to pay 862.194 million yuan within 210 days and 518.831 million yuan within 510 days [2].

Group 1: Capital Expenditure Cycle Analysis - The capital expenditure (CAPEX) cycle is a dominant driver of industry cycles in China, influencing the relationship between CAPEX, price-to-book (PB) ratio, and return on equity (ROE) [4] - The CAPEX cycle is divided into three stages: Stage 1 (oversupply leads to declining ROE and poor market performance), Stage 2 (declining CAPEX results in rising free cash flow and market rebound), and Stage 3 (supply-side clearing leads to improved ROE and better market performance) [4][14][15] - The PB-ROE model indicates significant investment value in Stage 2 (low PB and improving ROE) and Stage 3 (reasonable PB and steadily rising ROE) [16] Group 2: Market and Industry Comparisons - In Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, the overall capital expenditure of A-share companies (excluding finance and real estate) is contracting, while free cash flow is improving [20] - The median CAPEX/depreciation ratio for secondary industries decreased from 1.35 to 1.29, while the median free cash flow/equity ratio increased from 4.4% to 4.8% [21] - The proportion of secondary industries with free cash flow greater than 0 has significantly increased, indicating a positive trend in cash flow [21][24] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - The consumer sector shows overall CAPEX contraction and slight decline in free cash flow, with CAPEX levels below market averages and free cash flow above market averages [26] - The advanced manufacturing sector also experiences CAPEX contraction, while free cash flow shows slight improvement [4][26] - Eight industries within the consumer sector are highlighted as potential investment opportunities based on supply-side improvements [4][26]

Core Points - Tianmu Lake (603136) closed at 12.6 yuan on June 6, 2025, up 10.53% from the previous week [1] - The company's total market capitalization is 3.404 billion yuan, ranking 16th out of 22 in the tourism and scenic area sector and 3929th out of 5148 in the A-share market [1] Company Announcements - The company approved the use of up to 210 million yuan of idle raised funds for cash management on January 10, 2025, and later increased this amount to a total of 300 million yuan [1] - On June 3, 2025, the company subscribed to two structured deposits with Industrial Bank Co., Ltd., totaling 90 million yuan, with terms of 26 days and 208 days [1] - The funds for cash management come from the net proceeds of 289.731 million yuan from a public convertible bond issuance, primarily for the "Nanshan Xiaozhai Phase II Project" and "Yushui Hot Spring (Phase I) Renovation Project" [1] - As of March 31, 2025, the company's total assets were 1.776 billion yuan, with cash and cash equivalents of 525.464 million yuan, making the cash management amount 17.13% of the latest cash balance [1]

Core Viewpoints - The market in June is expected to remain in a consolidation phase, with large-cap stocks likely to see a recovery. Domestic demand momentum is anticipated to improve marginally, while April's industrial profits continued to show a recovery trend but experienced a decline in both volume and price. The cost decline was the main driver of profit growth in April. PMI data for May indicates a slight recovery in domestic production demand compared to April. It is expected that growth-stabilizing policies will be implemented alongside resilient external demand, and the trend of weak inventory replenishment is likely to continue in the second quarter. However, global trade policies remain uncertain, compounded by concerns over rising US debt rates, which may pressure market sentiment in the short term. In June, various growth-stabilizing policies are expected to accelerate, maintaining a cautious and oscillating market environment. Key areas to watch for a breakthrough include developments in overseas tariffs and the implementation of domestic growth-stabilizing policies in June [4][10][12]. June Stock Recommendations - The June stock selection by the report includes: - SF Express (Transportation) - Anji Technology (Chemicals) - Bairen Medical (Pharmaceuticals) - Lingnan Holdings (Social Services) - Qingdao Beer (Food and Beverage) - Suochen Technology (Computers) [10][12]. Industry Summaries Transportation Industry: SF Express - SF Express reported a net profit of 2.234 billion yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a steady growth trend. The company achieved a total express volume of 3.56 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 19.7%, with revenue reaching 69.85 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. The profit growth was primarily driven by the continuous improvement of the product matrix and enhanced service competitiveness. The company also focused on cost control through operational model reforms and network optimization, achieving a gross profit margin of 13.3%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [12][13]. Chemical Industry: Anji Technology - Anji Technology experienced rapid growth in revenue and net profit in 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by increased market coverage and new product introductions. The gross profit margin for 2024 was 58.45%, with a net profit margin of 29.08%. In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin was 55.70%, and the net profit margin was 30.96%. The company is seeing a steady increase in its global market share for polishing liquids, with a projected market size growth for semiconductor CMP polishing materials [14][15]. Pharmaceutical Industry: Bairen Medical - Bairen Medical reported rapid growth in revenue and profit in 2024, with significant increases in its three main business segments. The heart valve replacement and repair segment saw a year-on-year growth of 64.28%. The company is expected to maintain high growth rates in 2025, driven by the approval of its first interventional valve product, which offers significant advantages in terms of operation and safety [17][18]. Social Services Industry: Lingnan Holdings - Lingnan Holdings achieved a revenue of 4.309 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25.43%, and a net profit of 150 million yuan, up 116.08%. The company’s travel agency operations and hotel management segments are expected to continue growing, particularly with the recovery of inbound tourism and the expansion of hotel management projects [20][21]. Food and Beverage Industry: Qingdao Beer - Qingdao Beer faced pressure on volume and price in Q3 2024, with a year-on-year decline in sales volume of 7.0%. However, the company benefited from a decrease in raw material costs, leading to an improvement in gross profit margins. Future growth is anticipated as restaurant demand recovers, supported by the company's strong brand and distribution network [23][24]. Computer Industry: Suochen Technology - Suochen Technology reported a revenue of 39 million yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.73%. The company is focusing on enhancing its CAE software capabilities and exploring AI applications in various fields. The engineering simulation software segment has shown significant growth, contributing to an overall increase in the company's gross profit margin [25][26][27].

Group 1 - Lingnan Holdings (000524) closed at 11.38 yuan on May 30, 2025, down 4.13% from the previous week's 11.87 yuan, with a market cap of 7.627 billion yuan [1] - The stock reached a high of 12.03 yuan on May 27, 2025, and a low of 11.25 yuan on May 29, 2025 [1] - Lingnan Holdings ranks 5th out of 22 in the tourism and scenic area sector and 2012th out of 5146 in the A-share market [1] Group 2 - Lingnan Holdings, along with China Duty Free Group, Guangzhou Guangbai Co., Ltd., and Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Co., Ltd., has jointly established China Duty Free (Guangzhou) Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 45 million yuan [1] - Lingnan Holdings invested 8.775 million yuan, accounting for 19.50% of the registered capital [1] - The new company received its business license on May 22, 2025, and is located in Tianhe District, Guangzhou, with a focus on retail [2]

Group 1 - Huapei Power received a project intention letter from a domestic new energy vehicle company for a thermal management system PTC water heater, with an estimated sales amount of approximately 9 million yuan over a 5-year lifecycle starting from 2026 [1] - Antu Biotech obtained medical device registration certificates for products including "Cytomegalovirus IgM Antibody Test Kit" [1][2] - Yihong Technology adjusted the upper limit of its share repurchase price to 65.04 yuan per share, with a total repurchase amount of 6.9583 million yuan for 198,000 shares [2] Group 2 - Aihui Long received a medical device registration certificate for the Hepatitis B virus core antibody detection kit, valid until May 28, 2030 [2][3] - Quanxin Co. plans to engage in commodity futures hedging to mitigate raw material price fluctuations, with a maximum guarantee amount of 8 million yuan [3] - Jiahua Intelligent plans to lease idle assets in Dongguan for a total rental amount of approximately 6.3193 million yuan over 6 years [3] Group 3 - Qianjiang Biochemical announced the resignation of its chairman and a director, with a new chairman to be elected [4][5] - Aerospace Morning Light was suspended from participating in military procurement activities due to violations, with internal investigations underway [6] - Guang'an Aizhong intends to establish a fund with a total scale of 70.7 million yuan, focusing on distributed wind and solar power generation [7] Group 4 - Zhejiang Medicine plans to use up to 1 billion yuan of idle funds for entrusted wealth management, with a maximum investment period of 12 months [10] - Hengrui Medicine's subsidiary received approval for clinical trials of HRS9531 injection, aimed at treating type 2 diabetes patients [11] - Taiji Co. announced the purchase of 10 million yuan in wealth management products, with a minimum holding period of 6 months [12] Group 5 - Hong Kong-listed company Huichuang Pharmaceutical received approval for the clinical trial of a spray for treating primary premature ejaculation [26][27] - Haichuang Pharmaceutical's new drug application for a prostate cancer treatment was approved by the National Medical Products Administration [28] - Zhuhai Guanyu was selected as a designated supplier for low-voltage lithium batteries by SAIC Volkswagen [29] Group 6 - Huayi Technology opened a tax refund service for overseas travelers, enhancing its retail offerings [32] - Baobian Electric plans to transfer 90% of its subsidiary's shares for 137 million yuan [33] - Yiwei Communication intends to invest 100 million yuan to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary to enhance its strategic layout [34]