投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 5 月 22 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/05/21 | -190.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/20 | -190.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/19 | -189.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/16 | -187.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/05/15 | -187.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 ...

Core Insights - Dongying City is focusing on high-end, intelligent, green, and cluster-based development to enhance its industrial economy, implementing a strategy of "industrial city and manufacturing strong city" [1][26] - In 2024, Dongying's GDP is projected to reach 430.77 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.5% compared to the previous year [2][4] - The city's industrial output value is expected to increase by 7.4% to 254.33 billion yuan in 2024, with significant growth in high-tech manufacturing [4][6] Economic Overview - Dongying is strategically located in the Yellow River Delta, serving as a hub between the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the Jiaodong Peninsula [2] - The three industrial sectors are structured as follows: primary industry (4.6%), secondary industry (59.4%), and tertiary industry (36.0%) [2] - Fixed asset investment is projected to grow by 6.4% in 2024, with significant increases in investments across all three sectors [6] Industrial Structure - Dongying is developing a modern industrial system focusing on five key industries: petrochemicals, rubber, petroleum equipment, non-ferrous metals, and new materials [8] - The city aims to enhance its manufacturing capabilities through digital transformation and innovation, with a target of 35% of manufacturing enterprises reaching the integration stage of industrialization by 2025 [10][12] Petrochemical Industry Analysis - Dongying is the leading city in China for refining capacity, with a focus on transforming basic refining into high-end chemical products [16] - In 2024, the Shengli Oilfield is expected to produce 23.59 million tons of crude oil, marking a year-on-year increase [16] Chemical Park Development - The seven chemical parks in Dongying are projected to generate 661.78 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, accounting for 32% of the province's total chemical park revenue [18] - The Dongying Port Chemical Industry Park is recognized as one of the top chemical parks in China, achieving significant revenue and accolades for its smart and green development [18] Rubber Industry Analysis - Dongying is recognized as a major production base for radial tires in China, with 72 rubber tire enterprises generating 63.89 billion yuan in revenue in 2023 [20] - The city aims to enhance its rubber tire industry through a development plan that focuses on optimizing the industry chain and fostering leading enterprises [24][22] New Quality Productivity Development - Dongying is committed to fostering new quality productivity through traditional industry upgrades and the cultivation of emerging industries [26] - The city plans to focus on future industries such as carbon capture, artificial intelligence, and hydrogen energy, establishing new productivity industrial parks [26]

行业 PTA 日报 日期 2025 年 5 月 22 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 硅）028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯 ...

Jis 沥青早报 重交沥青山东-华东 重交沥青山东-东北 重交沥青华东-华南 800 - 800 - 400 600 200 600 400 400 200 -200 200 -400 0 0 -200 -600 1 C 0 G -400 -800 -200 2019 2021 2019 2021 - 2022 - 2021 - 2022 · 2019 · 2020 - 2022 2020 2020 2023 2023 2024 · 2024 2025 2024 - 2025 = 2023 · 2025 基差&月差 山东基差 华东基差 华南基差 800 1200 r 1 200 1000 600 1000 800 400 600 200 500 400 0 200 -20Q 0 -400 -200 -500 -600 -400 -1000 -800 -600 2019 2019 2021 · 2020 2021 2020 - 2022 · 2019 2020 - 2022 2022 · 2021 2023 · 2023 · 2024 · 2024 2025 · 2024 - 2023 · 2025 - 202 ...

Group 1 - The "Jinjiang Experience" is a theoretical achievement formed through deep research by Xi Jinping, focusing on the development of social productivity and the direction of socialist market economy reform, providing a scientific guide for the growth of the private economy [1][2] - Over 20 years, the "Jinjiang Experience" has evolved with the principles of "six persistent commitments" and "correctly handling five major relationships," showcasing its enduring theoretical charm and practical power [1][2] - Jinjiang's GDP grew from less than 150 million yuan in 1978 to over 350 billion yuan in 2024, ranking it third in comprehensive economic and social development among county-level cities in China [1][2] Group 2 - The essence of the "Jinjiang Experience" lies in the commitment to developing social productivity and adapting to new forms of productivity, which has led to the growth of private enterprises and the establishment of over 50 listed companies in Jinjiang [2][3] - Jinjiang has successfully transformed traditional industries like footwear and textiles while also investing in emerging sectors such as integrated circuits and digital economy, demonstrating a continuous leap in productivity [2][3] Group 3 - The "Jinjiang Experience" emphasizes the importance of a robust real economy, with Jinjiang focusing on manufacturing and developing nine trillion-level industrial clusters, including textiles, footwear, and petrochemicals [3][4] - The shift from competing on price to competing on technology is evident in the footwear industry, with companies like 361° investing in smart factories to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [3][4] Group 4 - A sound legal environment is crucial for the development of productivity, with the "Jinjiang Experience" advocating for a legal framework that supports private enterprises and fosters a fair market environment [4][5] - Recent legal reforms, including the Civil Code and amendments to anti-monopoly laws, have created a favorable environment for private enterprises to thrive [4][5] Group 5 - The approach to addressing issues faced by private enterprises has shifted from a rigid "one-size-fits-all" method to a more supportive and innovative strategy, aiming to create a first-class business environment [5][6] - The focus is on minimizing unnecessary interference in business operations while providing substantial support to enterprises, ensuring they can grow and innovate in a stable and predictable environment [5][6]

Group 1: Carbon Industry Development - China Petroleum established a carbon industry technology company to focus on carbon resource management and promote green low-carbon development [1] - The company has developed nine technologies for carbon capture and created a new path for large-scale carbon resource utilization [1] - It aims to build a carbon neutral technology research center and a digital carbon credit platform to support low-carbon business models [1] Group 2: Green Supply Chain Initiatives - JD.com integrates green concepts into its development strategy, promoting green supply chain construction and advocating for green consumption [2] - The "Qingliu Plan" focuses on establishing industry standards in warehousing, transportation, and trading, leading to approximately 100 million green orders [2] - JD.com has developed a carbon footprint management platform that serves over 100 brands and manages more than 40 million shipping orders [2] Group 3: Urban Green Development - Ordos City is enhancing its livability, ecology, and low-carbon reputation by increasing green spaces and improving urban infrastructure [3][4] - The city has completed ecological construction over 22.05 million acres and achieved a vegetation coverage of over 70% [3] - Ordos is recognized as a national ecological civilization demonstration zone, contributing to global desertification prevention [3] Group 4: Sustainable Practices in Traditional Industries - Moutai emphasizes ecological protection and has invested over 400 million yuan in the ecological preservation of the Chishui River basin [5] - The company aims for 100% resource utilization of brewing by-products and has implemented a comprehensive carbon reduction plan [5] - Moutai is exploring green and sustainable growth through biotechnological advancements and energy-efficient practices [5][6] Group 5: Carbon Offset Projects - Longjiang Forest Industry Group is developing carbon offset projects to enhance ecological security in Heilongjiang Province [7] - The group has completed afforestation over 3.015 million acres and is actively involved in voluntary carbon reduction projects [7] - It has signed agreements to apply forestry carbon offset mechanisms in ecological law enforcement [7] Group 6: Smart Systems in Production - Xifeng Group is integrating green development and ecological brewing into its operations, focusing on lifecycle management to reduce carbon emissions [8][9] - The company is implementing smart control systems to optimize brewing processes and reduce energy consumption [8] - Xifeng is collaborating with upstream and downstream enterprises to promote green supply chain practices [9] Group 7: Environmental Management and Innovation - Zhongyuan Environmental Protection is focusing on innovative green technologies and has established over 50 projects for wastewater and sludge treatment [10] - The company is transitioning traditional wastewater treatment to resource and energy centers, achieving recognition as a national green low-carbon benchmark [10] - Zhongyuan is developing a comprehensive carbon management system to enhance carbon accounting and trading [10] Group 8: Energy Supply and Green Transition - China Petroleum is committed to ensuring energy security while promoting a multi-faceted clean energy supply system [11] - The company is implementing measures for carbon reduction, including significant natural gas production and renewable energy installations [11] - It is exploring full-process low-carbon development across its operations and has established a significant carbon capture and storage project [11] Group 9: Smart Environmental Solutions - Chengdu Environment Group is focusing on resource recycling and energy development, aiming to maximize the value of urban waste [12] - The group plans to establish zero-carbon benchmark facilities and implement a full-process carbon management system [12] - It is enhancing its smart environmental management capabilities through advanced digital technologies [12] Group 10: Green Financial Services - Industrial Bank is actively participating in green finance to support the transition to a low-carbon economy [13][14] - The bank is enhancing its green financial products and services to meet diverse financing needs in the green sector [13] - It has developed a carbon account system, managing 18,000 corporate and 3.7 million personal carbon accounts [14]

大宗商品研究所 燃料油研发报告 大宗商品研究所 燃料油研发报告 燃料油日报 2025 年 5 月 21 日 吴晓蓉 期货从业证号： F03108405 投资咨询从业证号： Z0021537 ： 021-65789108 燃料油日报 ： wuxiaorong_qh @chinastock.com.cn 第一部分 相关数据 | | 2025/5/21 | 2025/5/20 | 2025/5/14 | 2025/4/23 | Δ日 | Δ周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU主力 | 3074 | 3042 | 3057 | 3068 | 32 | 17 | | FU主力持仓(万手) | 15.8 | 15.6 | 14.7 | 25.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | | FU仓单(吨) | 28950 | 28950 | 38620 | 46170 | 0 | -9670 | | LU主力 | 3571 | 3556 | 3647 | 3507 | 15 | -76 | | LU主力持仓(万手） | 7.0 | 7.5 | 7.1 | 3.9 | ...

逻辑:今早美媒爆出以色列可能对伊朗发动袭击,原油受地缘担 忧小幅跳空高开,但无后续消息原油收复大半涨幅,解读与昨日哈梅 内伊讲话一样可视作美伊第五轮谈判前的施压,目前看美伊均有达成 新伊核协议动机,倾向于会出现新伊核协议。短期地缘关注美伊第五 中期结构 短期结构 小时周期策略 品种 偏空 震荡 原油 空单持有 偏空 偏容 空单试空机会 EB 偏空 偏多 观望等短期破位 PX 观望等短期破位 偏空 偏多 PTA 偏空 偏空 空单持有 PP 小时观望,15分钟有试空机会 塑料 偏空 偏多 15 分钟有空单试空机会 甲醇 偏空 偏空 偏空 小时观望,15分钟有试空机会 偏多 EG 震荡区间上沿逢高空 橡胶 偏空 震荡 寻反抽结束做空机会 PVC 偏空 偏空 BR 橡胶 偏空 偏多 小时观望,15分钟有试空机会 板块观点汇总 轮谈判。中期供应过剩驱动的下一个时间节点是 6 月 1 日的 OPEC+ 月度会议。 日度技术追踪:原油日线级别中期下跌结构,小时级别短期震荡 结构。今日减仓反弹长上沿,视作反抽。策略上小时周期空单持有。 数据来源:天富期货研询部、文华财经 原油受消息扰动反抽之下聚酯类与聚烯烃 类分化,优先关注 ...

Group 1: Strategic Positioning - Shandong Energy Group aims to position Qixiang Tengda as a key player in the petrochemical sector, focusing on high-end chemical and new materials development [1] - The strategic framework includes a "3+1" business system, emphasizing coal, electricity, new energy, high-end chemicals, and strategic mineral resources [1] Group 2: Implementation Directions - The company plans to extend its industrial chain towards downstream new materials, focusing on carbon three and carbon four chains, including products like alcohols, esters, and specialized chemicals [2] - A new R&D center will support the development of high-value fine chemical products, transitioning from basic industrial raw materials to high-end fine chemicals [2] - Mergers and acquisitions will be utilized for rapid industrial chain integration [2] Group 3: Current Profitability - Key profitable products include tert-butanol, isobutylene, acetone, acrylic acid, and rubber [2] - The company experienced a year-on-year decline in performance due to weak downstream demand but anticipates recovery with easing trade tensions and falling raw material prices [2] Group 4: Export Performance - In Q1, the company exported 154,100 tons of products, generating $11.2 million in foreign exchange, indicating sustained growth [2] - Major export regions include East Asia, Southeast Asia, West Asia, Europe, and South America, with flexible adjustments to export volumes based on domestic and international price differences [2]

地缘风险引发成本端油价上行，PX、PTA短线获得支撑 通惠期货研发部 李英杰 从业编号：F03115367 投资咨询：Z0019145 手机：18516056442 liyingjie@thqh.com.cn 成本端，05月20日，布油主力合约收盘65.48美元/桶。WTI收62.15美元/ 桶。 需求端，05月20日，轻纺城成交总量为748.0万米，15 日平均成交为 987.53万米。 供应端，PX：中海油惠州150万吨3月29日检修50天左右，扬子石化重整检 修至5月上旬，PX有降负预期，天津石化PX计划6-7月份检修，海南炼化计 划4-5月检修，浙石化250万吨装置已重启，盛虹炼化400万吨原计划4月检 修，目前推迟至5月。PX国内装置开工率为73%，亚洲开工率为67.9%。 PTA：台化兴业150万吨5月6日检修，逸盛大连225万吨计划4月26日检修6 周，另375万吨4月21日重启。嘉兴石化150万吨计划5月中检修10天左右， 中泰石化120万吨计划5月中上复产。PTA开工率在75.6%附近。聚酯开工率 在94.2%附近。 据美国情报部门，以色列正准备袭击伊朗核设施，原油价 格快速冲高，短线重点关 ...