Core Viewpoint - The fixed asset investment in China (excluding rural households) for the first ten months of 2025 shows a decline of 1.7% year-on-year, with private investment decreasing by 4.5% [1][4]. Investment by Industry - Investment in the primary industry reached 807.5 billion yuan, growing by 2.9% year-on-year [3][4]. - The secondary industry saw an investment of 14,841.1 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.8% year-on-year, while the industrial investment specifically increased by 4.9% [3][4]. - The tertiary industry experienced a decline in investment of 5.3%, totaling 25,242.9 billion yuan [3][4]. - Within the secondary industry, mining investment grew by 3.8%, manufacturing by 2.7%, and investment in electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply surged by 12.5% [3][4]. Investment by Region - Eastern regions reported a year-on-year investment decline of 5.4%, while central regions saw a decrease of 0.5%. In contrast, western regions experienced a slight growth of 0.4%, and northeastern regions faced a significant drop of 11.7% [3][4]. Investment by Registration Type - Domestic enterprises' fixed asset investment fell by 1.7%, while investment from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan enterprises decreased by 1.8%. Foreign enterprises saw a more substantial decline of 12.1% [3][4].

Core Points - The industrial added value of large-scale industries in October increased by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.17%. The cumulative growth from January to October was 6.1% [1][5]. Group 1: Industrial Growth by Sector - In October, the mining industry saw a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 5.4% [3][5]. - Among the 41 major industries, 29 experienced year-on-year growth in added value. Notable growth was seen in coal mining and washing (6.5%), chemical raw materials and products manufacturing (7.1%), and automobile manufacturing (16.8%) [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Type Analysis - State-owned enterprises reported a year-on-year growth of 6.7%, while joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.2%. Foreign and Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan-invested enterprises increased by 4.0%, and private enterprises saw a growth of 2.1% [3][5]. Group 3: Product Output and Sales - In October, out of 623 industrial products, 313 saw a year-on-year increase in output. Notable increases included ethylene (11.7%) and automobile production (11.2%), with new energy vehicles growing by 19.3% [4][6]. - The product sales rate for large-scale industrial enterprises was 96.4%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. The export delivery value was 1,324.5 billion yuan, a nominal decrease of 2.1% [5][6].

Core Insights - The overall fixed asset investment in China for the first ten months of 2025 reached 4,089.14 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 1.7%. However, project investment excluding real estate development increased by 1.7% [2] Group 1: Equipment Investment - Investment in equipment and tools saw a significant increase of 13.0% year-on-year, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the overall investment growth. This category accounted for 17.0% of total investment, up 2.2 percentage points from the previous year [3] Group 2: Industrial Investment - Industrial investment grew by 4.9% year-on-year, contributing 1.7 percentage points to overall investment growth. Within this sector, mining investment increased by 3.8%, while manufacturing investment rose by 2.7%. Notably, investment in railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment surged by 20.1%, and automotive manufacturing investment grew by 17.5% [4] Group 3: High-Tech Service Investment - Investment in high-tech services increased by 5.5% year-on-year, representing 5.3% of total service investment, an increase of 0.5 percentage points from the previous year. Information service investment alone grew by 32.7% [5] Group 4: Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment in key areas saw rapid growth, with internet and related services investment rising by 20.0% and water transportation investment increasing by 9.4%. Private investment in infrastructure grew by 4.5%, making up 22.6% of total infrastructure investment, an increase of 1.0 percentage points from the previous year [6] Group 5: Livelihood Investment - In the primary industry, forestry investment surged by 35.6%, and fishery investment grew by 10.9%. In the secondary and tertiary industries, investment in electricity and heat production increased by 14.6%, while accommodation and catering investment rose by 10.5% [7]

Core Insights - The overall industrial production in China is stable with significant growth in various sectors, indicating a solid advancement towards high-quality development [1] Group 1: Industrial Production Overview - In the first ten months of the year, the industrial added value for large-scale industries increased by 6.1% year-on-year, surpassing the previous year's growth by 0.3 percentage points [1] - In October, the industrial added value grew by 4.9% year-on-year, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% after seasonal adjustments [1] - Among the three major sectors, manufacturing increased by 4.9%, while mining and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply grew by 4.5% and 5.4%, respectively [1] - Out of 41 major industrial categories, 29 experienced year-on-year growth, resulting in a growth coverage of 70.7% [1] - Of the 623 major industrial products tracked, 313 saw an increase in production, representing a growth coverage of 50.2% [1] Group 2: Equipment Manufacturing Sector - The added value of large-scale equipment manufacturing increased by 8.0% year-on-year, accounting for 36.1% of the total industrial output, which is an increase of 1.5 percentage points compared to the entire year of 2024 [2] - All eight industries within equipment manufacturing reported growth, with the automotive and electronics sectors leading at growth rates of 16.8% and 8.9%, contributing 22.8% and 19.3% to the overall industrial growth, respectively [2] - The railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace sectors have maintained double-digit growth since December 2024, with a growth rate of 15.2% in October [2] - High-end equipment products are steadily developing, with production increases of 71.3% for railway locomotives, 21.4% for civil steel ships, and 16.9% for generator sets [2] Group 3: Emerging Industries and Digital Integration - The integration of the real economy and digital economy is deepening, with high-tech manufacturing and digital product manufacturing increasing by 7.2% and 6.7% year-on-year, respectively, both exceeding the overall industrial growth by 2.3 and 1.8 percentage points [3] - Specific sectors such as electronic materials, integrated circuits, and smart vehicle equipment saw substantial growth rates of 35.5%, 33.7%, and 28.4%, respectively [3] - The rapid development of "artificial intelligence+" has led to production increases of 34.0% for servers and 17.7% for integrated circuits; the robotics sector is also thriving, with production of robot reducers and industrial robots increasing by 4.6 times and 17.9%, respectively [3] Group 4: Traditional Industries - The petroleum processing industry saw an 8.1% year-on-year increase in added value, with the biofuel processing sector growing by 19.1%, contributing 1.9 percentage points more than the same period in 2024 [4] - The chemical fiber industry grew by 7.3%, with bio-based materials manufacturing increasing by 26.3%, contributing 13.3 percentage points more than the same period in 2024 [4] - Other traditional industries also showed positive growth, with chemical and coal industries increasing by 7.1% and 6.5%, respectively; non-ferrous and ferrous metal mining grew by 6.2% and 5.9% [4] - The long-term positive conditions and trends for China's industrial economy remain unchanged, although challenges such as insufficient effective demand and pressure on corporate profits persist [4]

Economic Overview - In October, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 4.9% year-on-year, a significant decline of 1.6 percentage points from the previous month[1] - The cumulative year-on-year growth for the first ten months of 2025 was 6.1%, compared to 5.8% for the entire year of 2024[1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods in October increased by 2.9% year-on-year, slightly down from 3.0% in the previous month[1] Industrial Production - The mining and manufacturing sectors saw a notable decline in growth rates, with year-on-year increases of 4.5% and 4.9%, down 1.9 and 2.4 percentage points respectively from the previous month[4] - The export delivery value for large-scale industrial enterprises fell by 2.1% year-on-year, marking a significant drop of 5.9 percentage points from the previous month, the lowest growth rate of the year[5] Consumer Trends - The retail sales growth for household appliances, furniture, and automobiles saw declines of 14.6%, 9.6%, and 6.6% respectively, with significant drops of 17.9, 6.6, and 8.2 percentage points from the previous month[8] - The retail sales of gold and silver jewelry surged by 37.6% year-on-year, an increase of 27.9 percentage points from the previous value, driven by rising international gold prices[9] Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment for January to October showed a year-on-year decline of 1.7%, a drop of 1.2 percentage points from the previous value, marking two consecutive months of negative growth[10] - Real estate investment decreased by 14.7% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.8 percentage points from the previous value, reflecting ongoing adjustments in the housing market[13] Future Outlook - The government is expected to enhance growth-stabilizing policies before the end of the year, focusing on expanding domestic demand and releasing consumption potential[2] - The anticipated implementation of new fiscal and monetary policies, including potential interest rate cuts, aims to counteract the impacts of slowing external demand[2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core View of the Report In October 2025, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee with Comrade Xi Jinping at its core, various regions and departments implemented the decisions and arrangements of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the general tone of making progress while maintaining stability, and the national economy maintained a generally stable and progressive development trend, with stable production and supply, overall stable employment, improved prices, and the cultivation and growth of new driving forces [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Industry - In October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 4.9% year - on - year and 0.17% month - on - month. The added value of the mining industry, manufacturing, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water increased by 4.5%, 4.9%, and 5.4% respectively. The added value of the equipment manufacturing and high - tech manufacturing industries increased by 8.0% and 7.2% respectively, faster than the overall industrial enterprises above designated size. The output of 3D printing equipment, new energy vehicles, and industrial robots increased by 30.8%, 19.3%, and 17.9% respectively. From January to October, the added value of industrial enterprises above designated size increased by 6.1% year - on - year [2]. - In October, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, and the enterprise production and operation activity expectation index was 52.8%. From January to September, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size was 5373.2 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.2% [2]. Services - In October, the national service industry production index increased by 4.6% year - on - year. The production indexes of information transmission, software and information technology services, leasing and business services, and the financial industry increased by 13.0%, 8.2%, and 5.6% respectively, faster than the service industry production index. From January to October, the national service industry production index increased by 5.7% year - on - year. From January to September, the operating income of service enterprises above designated size increased by 7.6% year - on - year [3]. - In October, the service industry business activity index was 50.2%, and the service industry business activity expectation index was 56.1%. The business activity indexes of industries such as railway transportation, air transportation, postal services, accommodation, and culture, sports, and entertainment were in the high - level prosperity range of 60.0% and above [3]. Consumption - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 4629.1 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.9% and a month - on - month increase of 0.16%. Retail sales in urban and rural areas increased by 2.7% and 4.1% respectively. Retail sales of goods and catering revenue increased by 2.8% and 3.8% respectively. Retail sales of basic necessities and some upgraded consumer goods grew rapidly. From January to October, the total retail sales of consumer goods were 41216.9 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.3%. The national online retail sales were 12791.6 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 9.6%. The retail sales of physical goods online were 10398.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.3%, accounting for 25.2% of the total retail sales of consumer goods. From January to October, the retail sales of services increased by 5.3% year - on - year, 0.1 percentage points faster than in the first three quarters [4]. Investment - From January to October, the national fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) was 40891.4 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 1.7%. Excluding real estate development investment, fixed - asset investment increased by 1.7%. Infrastructure investment decreased by 0.1%, manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, and real estate development investment decreased by 14.7%. The sales area and sales volume of newly built commercial housing decreased by 6.8% and 9.6% respectively. Investment in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries increased by 2.9%, 4.8%, and decreased by 5.3% respectively. Private investment decreased by 4.5%. Excluding real estate development investment, private investment increased by 0.2%. Investment in information services, aerospace equipment manufacturing, and computer and office equipment manufacturing in high - tech industries increased by 32.7%, 19.7%, and 4.1% respectively. In October, fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) decreased by 1.62% month - on - month [5]. Import and Export - In October, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 3702.8 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.1%. Exports were 2171.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.8%, and imports were 1531.1 billion yuan, an increase of 1.4%. From January to October, the total volume of goods imports and exports was 37309 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.6%. Exports were 22114.6 billion yuan, an increase of 6.2%, and imports were 15194.4 billion yuan, remaining flat year - on - year. General trade imports and exports increased by 2.3%, accounting for 63.4% of the total import and export volume. Imports and exports to countries along the Belt and Road increased by 5.9%. Private enterprise imports and exports increased by 7.2%, accounting for 57.0% of the total import and export volume, 1.9 percentage points higher than the previous year. Exports of mechanical and electrical products increased by 8.7%, accounting for 60.7% of the total export volume [6]. Prices - In October, the national consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month. Food and tobacco prices decreased by 1.6%, while clothing, housing, daily necessities and services, education, culture and entertainment, medical care, and other supplies and services prices increased. The core CPI excluding food and energy prices increased by 1.2% year - on - year, 0.2 percentage points higher than the previous month. From January to October, the national CPI decreased by 0.1% year - on - year. The national producer price index for industrial products (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points, and increased by 0.1% month - on - month. The purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 2.7% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.4 percentage points, and increased by 0.1% month - on - month. From January to October, the national PPI and the purchase price index for industrial producers decreased by 2.7% and 3.2% respectively [7]. Employment - From January to October, the average urban surveyed unemployment rate nationwide was 5.2%. In October, the urban surveyed unemployment rate was 5.1%, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month. The surveyed unemployment rate of local household registration labor force was 5.3%, and that of migrant labor force was 4.7%, among which the surveyed unemployment rate of migrant agricultural household registration labor force was 4.5%. The surveyed unemployment rate in 31 large - scale cities was 5.1%, 0.1 percentage points lower than the previous month. The average weekly working hours of enterprise employees nationwide were 48.4 hours [8].

Group 1: Industrial Growth - In October, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises in China increased by 4.9% year-on-year and 0.17% month-on-month [2] - By sector, mining industry added value grew by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 5.4% [2] - Equipment manufacturing added value rose by 8.0%, and high-tech manufacturing increased by 7.2%, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.1 and 2.3 percentage points respectively [2] - From January to October, the industrial added value increased by 6.1% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Economic Types and Product Performance - State-owned enterprises saw a 6.7% year-on-year increase in added value, while joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.2%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises by 4.0%, and private enterprises by 2.1% [2] - Notable product performance included 3D printing equipment, which grew by 30.8%, new energy vehicles by 19.3%, and industrial robots by 17.9% [2] Group 3: Service Sector Growth - The service sector also experienced stable growth, with the service production index increasing by 4.6% year-on-year in October [3] - Key sectors within services included information transmission, software, and IT services, which grew by 13.0%, leasing and business services by 8.2%, and financial services by 5.6%, all exceeding the overall service production index growth [3] - From January to October, the service production index increased by 5.7% year-on-year [4]

Core Insights - In October, the industrial added value of large-scale enterprises increased by 4.9% year-on-year, a decline of 1.6 percentage points compared to September. For the period from January to October, the industrial added value grew by 6.1% [1] - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October was 49.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [1] - Among the three major sectors, mining added value grew by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water by 5.4% in October [1] Economic Type Analysis - In October, state-owned enterprises saw a 6.7% year-on-year increase in added value, while joint-stock enterprises grew by 5.2%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises by 4.0%, and private enterprises by 2.1% [2] High-tech Manufacturing Insights - High-tech manufacturing added value increased by 7.2% year-on-year in October, surpassing the overall industrial added value growth by 2.3 percentage points. Cumulatively, from January to October, high-tech manufacturing added value rose by 9.3% [3] Industry Performance - Out of 41 major industries, 29 reported year-on-year growth in added value in October. Notable growth was seen in the automotive manufacturing sector at 16.8%, transportation equipment manufacturing at 15.2%, electrical machinery and equipment manufacturing at 4.9%, and computer, communication, and other electronic equipment manufacturing at 8.9% [5] - The decline in industrial production momentum in October is attributed to the fading impact of short-term factors from September and a decrease in export growth, which is expected to affect industrial production [5] Policy and Economic Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools have been fully allocated, supporting 2,300 projects with a total investment of approximately 7 trillion yuan. Additionally, 500 billion yuan in special bonds have been allocated to support local investment projects [6] - Analysts predict a potential slight rebound in exports in November, supported by fiscal policies aimed at stabilizing growth, which may bolster industrial production [6] - The economic growth momentum is expected to shift from manufacturing to services, marking a significant change from the previous year [6] - Despite supportive policies, challenges remain with a persistent imbalance between strong supply and weak demand, alongside pressures from slowing exports and rising base effects [6][7]

Economic Overview - In October, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 46,291 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2][3][38] - The industrial added value above designated size grew by 4.9% year-on-year in October, with a month-on-month increase of 0.17% [8][36] Retail Sales - Retail sales excluding automobiles amounted to 42,036 billion yuan in October, growing by 4.0% [2][38] - For the first ten months, total retail sales reached 412,169 billion yuan, an increase of 4.3% [2][38] - Online retail sales for the first ten months were 127,916 billion yuan, up 9.6%, with physical goods online sales accounting for 25.2% of total retail sales [7][38] Industrial Production - The industrial added value for the first ten months increased by 6.1% year-on-year [8][36] - In October, the mining industry saw a 4.5% increase, manufacturing grew by 4.9%, and the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry rose by 5.4% [10][36] - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing showed strong growth, with increases of 7.2% and 8.0% respectively [36] Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 408,914 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [20][39] - Manufacturing investment increased by 2.7%, while real estate development investment fell by 14.7% [39][20] Employment and Unemployment - The urban surveyed unemployment rate in October was 5.1%, slightly lower than the previous month [3][41] - The average working hours for employees in enterprises was 48.4 hours per week [41] Price Trends - In October, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.2% year-on-year, reversing a previous decline [42] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) for industrial producers decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with a narrowing decline compared to the previous month [42] Overall Economic Stability - The national economy showed overall stability in October, with ongoing transformation and upgrading efforts [3][43] - The government aims to expand domestic demand and stabilize employment, enterprises, and market expectations [43]

Economic Overview - In October, the value added of the mining industry increased by 4.5%, manufacturing by 4.9%, and the production and supply of electricity, heat, gas, and water by 5.4% [2] - The value added of state-controlled enterprises grew by 6.7%, joint-stock enterprises by 5.2%, foreign and Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan-invested enterprises by 4.0%, and private enterprises by 2.1% [2] Industry Performance - Out of 41 major industries, 29 experienced year-on-year growth in value added in October. Notable growth was seen in coal mining and washing (6.5%), chemical raw materials and products manufacturing (7.1%), and automotive manufacturing (16.8%) [2] - The manufacturing of automobiles and railway, shipbuilding, aerospace, and other transportation equipment saw significant increases of 16.8% and 15.2%, respectively [2] Product Output - Among 623 industrial products, 313 saw a year-on-year increase in output. Notable increases included ethylene (11.7%), automobiles (11.2%), and electricity generation (7.9%) [3] - The production of cement and steel, however, declined by 15.8% and 0.9%, respectively [3][6] Sales and Exports - The sales rate of industrial products was 96.4%, a decrease of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The export delivery value of industrial enterprises was 1,324.5 billion yuan, a nominal decrease of 2.1% year-on-year [4][6]