Investment Rating - The report gives a "Hold" rating for the company, QiXin Group [4][79]. Core Viewpoints - QiXin Group is a leading enterprise in domestic office procurement, transitioning from stationery manufacturing to a comprehensive office solution provider, focusing on digital procurement services for medium to large government and enterprise clients [2][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the continuous penetration and market share increase in the B2B office procurement sector, as well as the expansion of its MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Operations) business, which has significant growth potential [4][79]. - The report highlights the company's efforts in enhancing its self-owned brand through collaborations with popular domestic IPs, which is anticipated to improve its profit structure and create new growth points [4][66]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - QiXin Group, established in 1991, has evolved into a comprehensive procurement service platform, serving over 60 central enterprises and becoming a pioneer in the B2B procurement market [2][11]. Office Procurement - The digitalization of B2B office procurement is on the rise, with a projected market size of 175.4 trillion yuan in 2023, and a digital procurement penetration rate of approximately 9.8% [3][33]. - The company has developed a digital operation platform that covers various procurement needs, significantly reducing management costs for clients [3][53]. MRO Business - The MRO market is substantially larger than traditional office supplies, with an estimated size of 8.9 trillion yuan compared to 2 trillion yuan for traditional office supplies [3][36]. - QiXin Group's MRO business has already served major clients like State Grid and Southern Power Grid, positioning it for future growth [3][4]. Brand Development - The company has been enhancing its self-owned brand "COMIX QiXin" through IP collaborations, aiming to increase the proportion of high-value products [4][66]. - The domestic market for cultural and creative products is expected to grow significantly, with the company focusing on appealing to younger consumers [4][62]. Financial Forecast and Investment Suggestions - Revenue growth is projected at 11%, 9%, and 8% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth of 70%, 41%, and 37% respectively [4][75]. - The report anticipates an EPS of 0.15 yuan, 0.21 yuan, and 0.29 yuan for the same period, with a current PE ratio of 48x for 2025 [4][79].

Group 1: Economic Overview - In May 2025, retail sales (社零) grew by 6.4% year-on-year, significantly exceeding the expected 4.9% and marking the highest monthly growth since January-February 2023[3] - Industrial added value increased by 5.8% year-on-year in May, slightly above the expected 5.7% but down from 6.1% in the previous month[5] - Fixed asset investment for January-May 2025 showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 3.7%, below the expected 4.0%[5] Group 2: Consumption Insights - The "old-for-new" policy led to a 6.5% year-on-year growth in retail sales of goods, the highest since December 2023, with home appliances seeing a remarkable growth of 53%[4] - Service consumption, boosted by holiday effects, saw restaurant sales increase by 5.9% year-on-year, reaching the highest point since April 2024[7] - The total sales from the five major categories under the "old-for-new" policy reached 1.1 trillion yuan, with approximately 175 million subsidies issued to consumers[4] Group 3: Investment Trends - Manufacturing investment growth fell to 7.8% year-on-year in May, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month[12] - Infrastructure investment growth slightly declined to 9.2% year-on-year in May, down from 9.6% in April, primarily due to a slowdown in water conservancy investments[19] - Real estate development investment saw a year-on-year decline of 12.4% in May, worsening from a 10.3% drop in March[25] Group 4: Risks and Future Outlook - The economic recovery is facing challenges, including reduced working days in May and the impact of U.S. tariff policies[2] - There is a need for continued policy precision to enhance domestic economic momentum, as household income growth remains under pressure[2] - The ongoing uncertainty in international trade relations necessitates a focus on strengthening domestic circulation to maintain economic stability[7]

Group 1 - In May, China's retail sales of consumer goods increased by 6.4% year-on-year, accelerating by 1.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - From January to May, the retail sales of services grew by 5.2%, which is a slight acceleration of 0.1 percentage points compared to the first four months of the year [1] - The policy of replacing old consumer goods with new ones has shown significant results, leading to a rapid increase in sales of related products [1] Group 2 - In May, retail sales of household appliances and audio-visual equipment, communication equipment, cultural and office supplies, and furniture increased by 53%, 33%, 30.5%, and 25.6% respectively, contributing 1.9 percentage points to the total retail sales growth [1] - The "6·18" online retail promotion, which started on May 13, combined with the old-for-new policy, accelerated online retail sales [1] - From January to May, the online retail sales of physical goods increased by 6.3% year-on-year, accounting for 24.5% of total retail sales [1] Group 3 - The May holidays led to a rapid increase in consumption in areas such as cultural tourism, travel services, and dining out, with restaurant income growing by 5.9% year-on-year [2] - From January to May, retail sales in tourism consulting, transportation services, and cultural and recreational services maintained double-digit growth [2] - The expansion of visa-free entry for foreign visitors has stimulated the consumption market, with a more than 70% year-on-year increase in the number of foreign visitors entering under the visa-free policy during the "May Day" holiday [2]

Group 1: Business Overview - The company focuses on B2B office supplies procurement, serving over half of the 98 central enterprises in China, including major clients like state-owned enterprises and Fortune 500 companies [2][3] - The main business segments include office supplies, MRO industrial products, employee welfare items, and marketing materials, with office supplies accounting for nearly half of the business [9] Group 2: Market Trends and Growth - The MRO industrial products segment is rapidly growing, leveraging existing office supplies clients to expand its market share [4][9] - The employee welfare market is shifting towards integrated and diversified procurement models, with increasing online penetration [4] Group 3: Brand Development and Strategy - The company emphasizes its proprietary brand as a cornerstone of its long-term development, focusing on young consumers and integrating traditional Chinese culture into product design [5][10] - Collaborations with quality IPs are a key strategy to enhance brand appeal and market reach, with partnerships including popular domestic IPs [12][13] Group 4: Financial Performance and Projections - The company expects stable growth in B2B business revenue, with over 50% of central enterprises engaged in procurement, providing new growth opportunities [6] - Strategies to improve gross margins include increasing the sales proportion of proprietary brand products and enhancing supply chain management [11] Group 5: Future Investments - The company maintains a strong cash flow and is open to exploring investment and acquisition opportunities while ensuring prudent evaluation [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The April economic data indicates a mixed performance in China's economy, with strong industrial production and consumption, but a decline in investment and real estate sectors [1][13]. Demand Side - April's external demand faced challenges due to reciprocal tariffs, leading to a significant drop in exports to the US; however, transshipment trade helped maintain export resilience [1][2]. - Internal demand showed a decline in both investment and consumption, although consumption remained at a high level; investment was dragged down by the real estate and manufacturing sectors [1][7]. Production Side - Industrial production maintained a high level, with April's industrial value-added growth rate dropping to 6.1%, supported by equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing [3][5]. - The service sector's production index slightly decreased, but still benefited from low base effects and consumption recovery [3]. Investment Trends - National fixed asset investment growth rate fell by 0.8 percentage points to 3.5%, with real estate investment continuing to decline significantly [7]. - High-tech industry investments performed well, particularly in information services and computer manufacturing, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.6% and 28.9% respectively [7]. Consumption Patterns - Retail sales growth rate decreased by 0.8 percentage points to 5.1%, while service retail sales showed an upward trend, particularly in tourism-related sectors [9]. - Essential consumer goods saw a decline in growth, while sectors benefiting from trade-in programs performed strongly [9]. Real Estate Market - Real estate sales area growth rate worsened to -2.1%, with new construction area also declining significantly [11]. - Despite the drop in sales volume, housing prices continued to rise, with the decline in new and second-hand housing prices narrowing [11]. Employment and External Factors - The unemployment rate remained stable at 5.1%, indicating a steady employment situation despite external challenges [13]. - Future export performance may exceed expectations due to potential European recovery, although this could lead to a more cautious domestic policy response [13].

Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.397 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.69% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 63 million CNY, a decrease of 18.32% compared to the previous year [2] - In Q1 2025, the revenue was 2.212 billion CNY, with a net profit of 49 million CNY [4] Digital Transformation and Technology - The company has launched over 50 application scenarios on its digital operation platform, with more than 70% focused on core business production [3] - The digital platform integrates cloud computing, big data analysis, and AI technologies to enhance operational efficiency and customer service [6] - Future plans include further improving the digital system architecture and functionality to provide a better one-stop procurement experience for enterprise customers [3][12] B2B Business and Market Strategy - The B2B business focuses on high-quality clients such as state-owned enterprises and Fortune 500 companies, with a steady growth in order reserves [4] - In 2024, the B2B office supplies and new brand stationery business generated a revenue of 11.352 billion CNY, with a net profit of 220 million CNY excluding goodwill impairment [4] - The company aims to enhance its product structure and customer base while increasing the sales proportion of its proprietary brand products [9] Brand and IP Collaboration - The company has established partnerships with various well-known IPs to enhance brand value and appeal to younger consumers [7] - It has created its own IPs and collaborated with domestic IPs to develop culturally relevant products [10] Social Responsibility and Shareholder Returns - In response to natural disasters, the company donated 200,000 CNY for flood relief and contributed 280,000 CNY in educational resources to rural schools [11] - The company distributed a total of 109.24 million CNY in cash dividends over two years and repurchased 9.6 million shares for 50.5 million CNY [11] Customer Service and Logistics - The company has built a nationwide fulfillment network to optimize logistics and delivery efficiency [7] - It utilizes a combination of localized service teams and digital systems to ensure rapid response and resource allocation [7] Future Outlook - The company plans to explore new business models and fields while focusing on digital transformation and enhancing service capabilities [12] - It aims to become a trusted enterprise-level full-scenario operation service provider by connecting business activities through digitalization [12]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and maintained [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 11.397 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to decline by 18% to 63 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to decrease by 21% to 59 million yuan [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company anticipates total revenue of 3.001 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 10%. The net profit is expected to be a loss of 96 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, total revenue is projected to be 2.212 billion yuan, with a slight year-on-year increase of 1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 49 million yuan, showing a decrease of 1% [2][4] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The B2B business is estimated to achieve stable growth in 2024, contributing to a total revenue increase of 3%. The revenue from the B2B segment is expected to be 11.352 billion yuan, driven by digital transformation and the use of AI tools to optimize business processes [11] - The SAAS business is projected to generate 4.5 million yuan in revenue, a decrease of 42%, as the company focuses on the smart education sector [11] Profitability - The company's net profit for 2024 is expected to be 63 million yuan, with a net profit of 110 million yuan after excluding goodwill impairment [11] - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 8.6%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points. The gross margins for B2B and SAAS businesses are expected to be 8.58% and 10.40%, respectively [11] Future Outlook - In Q4 2024, the company anticipates revenue pressure across all business segments, leading to losses. The B2B revenue is expected to decline by 10%, while SAAS revenue is projected to drop by 52% [11] - For Q1 2025, the company expects a recovery in B2B revenue and positive profitability from the good vision business adjustments [11] - The company aims to optimize its B2B customer structure and enhance its MRO share, leveraging AI for cost reduction and efficiency improvements [11]