货币金融

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打破美元霸权?俄罗斯对印度提要求,石油贸易只收人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-10 11:26
国际市场上根本没人认卢比,你拿着卢比想去买其他国家的东西,人家理都不理你。俄罗斯本来想拿着 这些卢比从印度买点急需的商品,结果一看,印度除了神油、咖喱,也没啥能入得了俄罗斯眼的硬货。 而且卢比汇率还特别不稳定,贬值得飞快,俄罗斯手里的卢比越放越不值钱,这换谁谁不憋屈啊? 其实卢比之所以这么没存在感,核心问题就是印度的生产力不行。你想啊,货币的信用说到底得靠实体 经济撑着,人家拿着你的钱,得能买到实实在在的东西才行。中国为啥能成为"世界工厂",人民币能越 来越吃香?就因为全球各国拿着人民币,小到手机、衣服,大到汽车、机械设备,几乎啥都能买到。 可印度呢,连自己国内的很多商品都得靠进口,造不出别人需要的东西,货币自然没人愿意要,全球对 卢比的需求量极小,这也导致过去3年俄罗斯与印度的贸易合作始终处于被动接受的状态。 不过风水轮流转,现在轮到印度求着俄罗斯了。之前印度一直跟在美国屁股后面,想借着美国的势力在 亚太地区搞事情,可后来美印因为贸易摩擦、技术封锁闹得不可开交,关系彻底破裂。这时候印度才发 现,自己在国际上没啥靠山了,只能转头求俄罗斯,甚至想拉上中国一起制衡美国。 普京对印度的信任程度其实有限,为啥这么说呢 ...
中国“锄头”猛挖美元霸权墙角!美国霸权这下真“扛不住”了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-05 05:08
Core Insights - China has made a significant decision to suspend dollar settlements for iron ore imports from Australia, raising concerns in international economic and political spheres [1][3] - Australia, while being a close ally of the U.S., heavily relies on China for trade, with the trade volume expected to exceed $210 billion in 2024 [1][3] - The move is seen as a strategic blow to the U.S. dollar's dominance, as losing China as a major customer could severely impact Australia's economy [3][5] Group 1 - The suspension of dollar settlements is a critical maneuver that could destabilize the U.S. dollar's position, especially if even close allies like Australia begin to abandon it [3][6] - Australia exports only $24.3 billion to the U.S. annually, indicating that the loss of Chinese trade could create a significant economic void that the U.S. cannot fill [3][5] - China's approach is likened to a strategic "Taiji" move, targeting Australia's economic lifeline while signaling discontent with dollar-based transactions [3][8] Group 2 - The internationalization of the renminbi is advancing rapidly, with China prepared to counter potential threats from the U.S. regarding SWIFT and dollar dominance [6][8] - Australia is not the only country considering abandoning the dollar, as discussions with Saudi representatives suggest a broader trend towards de-dollarization [6][8] - The relationship between China and Australia is characterized as mutually beneficial, with Australia providing essential resources that China needs [5][6]
地缘经济论 | 第十一章 地缘经济新形势下的国际货币体系演变
中金点睛· 2025-09-28 01:03
历史上货币形式的演变可从商品货币与信用货币、私人货币与国家货币两个维度理解。货币形式创新的动力可能来自私人部门,而当私人部门创新发展到 具有系统性重要性时,则需政府监管来管理风险和负外部性,当前基于数字技术的货币竞争也可参照这一逻辑。过去40余年的美元国际货币体系两大基础 是全球化和金融化,但全球金融危机后,金融监管加强,贸易摩擦增加,近年来在新的地缘形势下,全球经济的逆全球化和去金融化趋势加剧,推动国际 货币体系演变。当前,应对国际上的"去美元化"趋势,美国采取的加密货币战略可看作金融与财政手段的结合,将其作为应对财政赤字和美元地位下滑的 货币化延伸渠道,但在实施过程中或面临阻力。未来国际货币体系或将从美元主导向多极化方向演变,促进人民币国际化或不必一切以资本账户开放为着 力点,应更重视实体经济的竞争力和科技创新,以贸易和实体投资的伙伴关系为抓手促进中国与其他国家在支付和金融领域的合作。相应地,平台货币的 经济属性较强、金融属性较弱,更能发挥中国在制造业和产成品贸易的规模优势。央行数字货币作为一个外生力量,有利于应对在位国际货币在市场竞争 中的内生优势,如通过多边央行数字货币合作建立跨境支付基础设施。 正文 ...
贵金属:从原子到宇宙的 6 种稀缺性密码
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-07 17:32
Core Insights - Precious metals have been a symbol of wealth and power throughout history, and they play a crucial role in various modern industries, including technology, healthcare, and electronics [1] Group 1: Characteristics of Precious Metals - Precious metals are defined as rare, high-density metals with significant economic value, including Ruthenium (Ru), Rhodium (Rh), Palladium (Pd), Osmium (Os), Iridium (Ir), Platinum (Pt), Silver (Ag), and Gold (Au) [1] - The abundance of these metals in the Earth's crust is extremely low, with concentrations measured in grams per ton: Silver 0.1, Palladium 0.01, Gold and Platinum 0.005, and Rhodium, Iridium, Ruthenium, Osmium 0.001 [1] - Silver excels in electrical and thermal conductivity, while Gold ranks third, and Platinum group metals are known for their thermal stability in electronic applications [3] - Gold and Silver possess exceptional malleability, with 1 gram of Gold capable of being drawn into a wire measuring 3420 meters [3] Group 2: Applications of Precious Metals - Precious metals are ideal for jewelry due to their aesthetic qualities, with Silver reflecting white light most effectively and Gold reflecting infrared light strongly [4] - The ability of precious metals to absorb gases like oxygen and hydrogen makes them valuable in catalytic reactions and gas purification processes [6] - Precious metals exhibit high corrosion resistance, with Iridium being the most resistant, making them suitable for use in harsh chemical environments [7] - Palladium catalysts can enhance organic reaction rates by up to 1 million times, playing a vital role in automotive emissions control and petroleum refining [9] Group 3: Industry Impact - In the electronics industry, Gold, Silver, and Platinum are used for their excellent conductivity and stability, with Gold ensuring stable electronic signal transmission [13] - Platinum and Palladium are increasingly in demand for automotive catalytic converters due to stricter environmental regulations [14] - In aerospace, precious metals are used in high-temperature alloys for critical engine components, capable of withstanding extreme conditions [15] - Precious metals are essential in the chemical industry for processes like nitric acid production and petroleum reforming, improving reaction efficiency and reducing costs [18] Group 4: Financial and Economic Role - Historically, Gold and Silver served as currency and continue to influence monetary value, with central banks holding significant Gold reserves to enhance currency credibility [19] - The precious metals market is vast, with Gold being the largest segment, and prices are influenced by various factors, including economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions [21] - Platinum and Palladium prices are closely tied to the automotive industry, with demand driven by vehicle sales and environmental regulations [21] Group 5: Future Outlook - Precious metals are positioned as key players in future technological advancements and sustainable development, serving as catalysts in energy and life sciences [22]