Summary of Conference Call on Waterproof Industry Price Increase Industry Overview - The waterproof industry is experiencing a significant price increase due to a challenging market environment in 2024, primarily influenced by a downturn in the real estate sector and a subsequent decline in demand for renovation and construction materials [1][2][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Price War Impact**: In 2024, the industry faced a price war that led to three rounds of price reductions (15%-20%), which did not improve sales or market share but diluted profits [1][2]. - **Price Increase Implementation**: Starting mid-June 2025, companies began to implement price increases across various product categories: waterproof materials (3%-8%), mortar products (5%-7%), and sealants (8%-10%), with an overall increase of approximately 6%-7% [1][2]. - **Sales and Profit Goals**: The price increase aims to improve unsatisfactory sales progress and profit margins from the first half of 2025. Companies hope to encourage distributors to increase inventory and meet sales targets [1][2][7]. - **Market Stability and Volatility**: Current market prices are relatively stable, but fluctuations may occur during late July to early August when distributors purchase in bulk, making this a critical period for assessing the effectiveness of the price increase [1][8]. - **Profit Margin Expectations**: If the price increase is successful, company-level profits are expected to rise by 4-5 percentage points. Some companies are also reducing costs through layoffs and cutting unnecessary expenses [1][10]. - **Distributor Contract Adjustments**: Major companies are adjusting distributor contracts to lower sales targets, helping distributors maintain profit margins amid market challenges [1][11]. Additional Important Insights - **Regional Demand Decline**: The Southwest region has seen a more than 30% reduction in demand for construction materials since 2023, with new projects decreasing significantly [2][16]. - **Market Share Variability**: Companies like Dekor and Rain Rainbow have varying market shares in the Southwest, with Dekor holding about 12%-13% and Rain Rainbow around 10% [22]. - **Future Trends**: The trend of rural self-built housing is expected to continue, particularly in regions like Yunnan and Guizhou, driven by local cultural factors and government policies [20][21]. - **Profitability Focus Shift**: There is a potential shift in performance evaluation from sales volume to profit margins, which may lead to changes in operational strategies, including cost-cutting measures [29][30]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the waterproof industry's current state and future outlook.

Core Viewpoint - The construction industry is joining the "anti-involution" movement, aiming to enhance industry self-discipline and eliminate excessive competition, following similar trends in the photovoltaic and new energy vehicle sectors [2][4]. Group 1: Industry Trends - In the first five months of the year, national real estate development investment reached 36,234 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.7%, with declines in new construction, ongoing projects, and completions [2]. - A joint initiative by 33 construction companies aims to promote industry transformation through technological innovation and to avoid blind expansion and excessive debt [2][6]. - The construction industry is experiencing significant slowdowns due to urbanization and reduced market demand, leading to overcapacity and a noticeable decline in growth rates [2][6]. Group 2: Cement Industry - The China Cement Association has issued guidelines to align actual production capacity with registered capacity, emphasizing the importance of capacity replacement policies for industry optimization [3][6]. - The cement industry is familiar with capacity reduction, with a projected utilization rate of 53% for cement clinker in 2024, down 6 percentage points from 2023, and an expected profit of around 25 billion yuan, a 20% decrease year-on-year [6][7]. - The industry is facing significant profit declines due to ongoing adjustments in the real estate sector and delays in infrastructure projects [6][7]. Group 3: Waterproofing Sector - Waterproofing companies have initiated price increases to counteract rising raw material costs, with price adjustments ranging from 3% to 13% for various products [4][5]. - Major waterproofing firms reported a significant drop in net profits for 2024, with Beijing Oriental Yuhong's net profit down 95.24% year-on-year, while Keshun Waterproof managed to turn a profit despite challenges [5]. - The waterproofing industry is experiencing a decline in production due to fluctuating downstream demand, prompting companies to raise prices to stabilize their financial performance [5].

证券研究报告 | 行业定期报告 2025 年 07 月 08 日 反内卷升级，看好建材板块盈利能力修复 建材行业定期报告 中游制造/建材 本周（2025/6/30-7/6）建材动态：水泥高温雨季压制需求，价格延续下滑趋势， 水泥协会发布《通知》打响"反内卷"攻坚战；浮法玻璃价格整体偏弱运行， 区域涨跌互现；玻纤中，粗纱稳中偏弱，电子纱高端产品仍有涨价预期；消费 建材方面，头部企业自律升级、破除内卷，消费建材中长期配置价值凸显。 推荐（维持） 行业规模 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数（只） | 96 | 1.9 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 795.7 | 0.9 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 736.6 | 0.9 | 行业指数 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 3.1 15.0 24.4 相对表现 0.7 10.6 8.8 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 Jul/24 Oct/24 Feb/25 Jun/25 (%) 建材 沪深300 相关报告 1、《建材行业定期报告—地产政策 延续止跌回稳，看好中报龙头基本面 修复》202 ...

周专题：轨道频谱稀缺驱动竞赛，国内低轨星座建设步入加速期 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 通信卫星轨道主要分为地球静止轨道（GEO）、中地球轨道（MEO）和低地球轨道（LEO）。LEO轨道可降 低功率衰减、通信时延并简化终端设计，但需多星组网覆盖。相比GEO，LEO/MEO系统时延更小，且卫星体 积小、重量轻，利于一箭多星发射，降低星座构建成本和周期。低轨空间轨道和频段资源稀缺（低轨容量约6 万颗，星链计划占4.2万颗），L/S/C等优质频段殆尽，Ku/Ka频段协调难度大。根据国际电信联盟（ITU）规 则，运营商需在限定时间内（2年10%、5年50%、7年100%）完成卫星部署以锁定资源，导致竞争加剧。中国 星网"国网"、垣信"千帆"首批星已入轨，蓝箭"鸿鹄 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scarcity of orbital spectrum drives competition, and the construction of domestic low - orbit constellations has entered an accelerated phase. With limited low - orbit space and spectrum resources and strict deployment time requirements from the ITU, competition for resource locking is intensifying. China is expected to see an accelerated launch of low - orbit satellites from 2025 - 2030. Representative constellations include "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3". Shanghai Harbor, with its satellite energy system products, is expected to benefit from the accelerated development of low - orbit satellites [5]. - Leading waterproofing companies such as Yuhong, Beixin, and Keshu have raised prices on both civil construction and engineering products. In the context of the industry's "anti - involution", the collective price increase by leading enterprises may promote price recovery, but the degree of price repair remains to be seen due to weak demand [5]. - Investment suggestions include paying attention to companies like Honglu Steel Structure, China Jushi, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering, China State Construction, Shanghai Harbor, Sinoma Science & Technology, and Keda Manufacturing [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - Specific Topic: Orbital Spectrum Scarcity Drives Competition, and Domestic Low - Orbit Constellation Construction Enters an Accelerated Phase - **Satellite Orbit Types**: Communication satellite orbits are mainly divided into GEO, MEO, and LEO. LEO can reduce power attenuation and communication delay, simplify terminal design, and is suitable for multi - satellite networking. Compared with GEO, LEO/MEO has smaller delay, and satellites are smaller and lighter, facilitating multi - satellite launches and reducing constellation construction costs and cycles [5][7]. - **Resource Scarcity and Competition**: Low - orbit space and frequency spectrum resources are scarce. The total capacity of low - orbit satellites is about 60,000, and Starlink plans to send 42,000 satellites into low - orbit by 2027, accounting for about 70%. The L, S, C frequency bands are almost exhausted, and the Ku, Ka bands are difficult to coordinate. According to ITU rules, operators need to complete satellite deployment within a specified time to lock resources, intensifying competition [5][11]. - **Policy Support**: Since 2014, China has successively introduced policies to encourage private capital to participate in commercial space activities. In 2023, commercial space was included in strategic emerging industries, and it has been mentioned in the government work reports of 2024 and 2025, indicating strong policy support [16]. - **Global and Domestic Constellation Construction Status**: Globally, SpaceX leads in low - orbit constellation construction, with other countries' enterprises following. In China, constellations like "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3" have formulated phased launch plans. Although the number of launches in 2024 did not meet expectations, the launch rhythm is expected to accelerate from the second half of 2025 [5][17][23]. 3.2 Profit Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies The report provides profit forecasts, valuations, and investment ratings for multiple companies, including Hainan Huatie, Punan Co., Ltd., China Jushi, etc. EPS, P/E, P/B, and other indicators for 2024 - 2027 are presented, and most investment ratings are maintained [33]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: In the week from June 28th to July 4th, 2025, the building and building materials industries showed certain fluctuations. Among building sub - sectors, the garden engineering index had the highest increase at 2.20%, while among various industries, the steel index had a relatively large decline [38][40]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The report lists the closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, weekly, monthly, year - to - date, 250 - day, and IPO - since price changes of multiple infrastructure public REITs. The average weekly increase was 1.07%, the average monthly increase was 1.31%, and the average year - to - date increase was 20.99% [46][47]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: The report presents data on real estate new construction, construction, completion, sales area cumulative year - on - year growth, land transaction area, and real estate transaction data from 2022 - 2025 [49][58][68]. - **Social Financing Data**: Data on monthly new social financing, new RMB loans, new corporate bond financing, etc., from 2022 - 2025 are provided [78]. - **Infrastructure Investment Data**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of narrow - sense and broad - sense infrastructure investment, as well as investment in power, transportation, and water conservancy industries from 2022 - 2025, are shown. The new contract signing data of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 - 2025Q1 are also presented [88][94]. - **Special Bond Issuance Data**: Data on monthly and cumulative new and replacement special bond issuance from 2022 - 2025 are provided [96]. 3.5 High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: Information on national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price, cement - coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate is presented [107][114]. - **Float Glass Data**: Data on glass spot price, futures price, inventory, and daily melting volume are provided [115][117][119][122]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: Information on soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, inventory, and daily melting volume is presented [122][123][125]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: Prices of SMC roving, winding direct roving, injection roving, G75 electronic yarn, and glass fiber inventory are shown [128][129][132][134][138]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: Data on carbon fiber average price, raw silk price, inventory, production, capacity utilization rate, gross profit margin, cost, and gross profit are provided [135][139][142][146][148][151][152]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Price Data**: Prices of large - crystal fused magnesia and alumina are presented [153][156]. - **Upstream Raw Material Price Data**: Prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE are shown [159][160][162][163]. - **Physical Workload Data**: Prices of titanium dioxide and acrylic acid, high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average capacity utilization rate are presented [167][168][170][173].

防水涂料界的龙头企业东方雨虹（002271），决定从7月起带头涨价。 东方雨虹早前对合作伙伴发布了调价函，宣布从7月开始，针对民用建材中的部分防水涂料、美缝剂和 部分瓷砖胶产品价格进行上调。 其中，防水涂料价格上调3%—13%、美缝剂上调4%—9%、C0级瓷砖胶价格上调1%—5%(部分区域)。 对于涨价的原因，东方雨虹在调价函中表示，此次是为了"维护品牌长期健康发展，稳定市场秩序，确 保市场良性竞争"。 今年3月，东方雨虹的工建集团从今年2月起，就已经宣布将价格上调1%—5%，此番涨价则蔓延至民建 产品。 不过有业内人士表示，东方雨虹主要的涨价对象还是在经销商方面："至于经销商会不会把提价传导给 终端消费者，还是要看市场需求，不排除经销商不敢轻易涨价，自行将涨价的部分吸收的可能。" 化工涂料原料价格持续上涨 事实上，从今年以来，化工涂料市场就因为原材料价格上涨、运输成本增加等因素，出现全面上涨。 早在今年1月，全球最大的化工企业巴斯夫就上调了MDI价格，当时的价格已经达到18700元—19000元/ 吨，较早前基础上上涨了700元/吨。LG化学也从3月1日开始，对中国地区POE价格上涨$100/MT(约等 于 ...

点击上图▲立即收听 " 近几年 ' 内卷式 ' 竞争的出现，并非是企业、雇员变得 ' 急功近利 ' 所致，其背后有深刻的宏观经济背景，受经济周期变化、体制机制问题和技术发展规律综合影响。 文 / 巴九灵（微信公众号：吴晓波频道） 一股"刀刃向内"的改革正在一些重点行业展开。 汽车行业在这轮行动中最出圈，轰轰烈烈的60天账期革命备受关注，与此同时，近日，全国工商联汽车经销商商会又向各大汽车生产厂家提出缩 短返利兑现账期、简化返利政策、取消复杂限制条件等呼吁，打响了"反内卷"第二枪。 据路透社报道，中国新能源一家头部企业近期在多家工厂取消夜班、将部分产线产能削减至少1/3，并推迟新增产线计划。 还有"二师兄"。近期， 多家头部猪企接相关部门要求，去产能、二育调控、头部企业带头稳价格，集团场暂停能繁母猪扩产，出栏体重也需要控 制在120公斤左右。 光伏行业在主动踩刹车。自7月起，国内头部光伏玻璃企业计划集体减产30％，预计供应量将由此前的约64GW降至约45GW。 水泥行业则在展开自查。中国水泥协会发布文件，要求各会员企业对照备案产能与实际产能差异，依法依规按备案日产能和年产能组织生产。 " 7月的第一天， 中央财 ...

[Table_Invest] 优于大势 水泥、光伏玻璃等行业反内卷加速 水泥： [Table_Summary] 水泥行业协会大力推动反内卷。7 月 1 日，中国水泥协会发布《关于进 一步推动水泥行业"反内卷""稳增长"高质量发展工作的意见》，要求 所有会员企业切实推动水泥行业熟料生产线备案产能与实际产能的统一 工作，逐条逐项核查自身熟料生产线的备案产能与实际产能差异情况， 对于实际产能大于备案产能的企业，尽快按《实施办法》补齐产能差额 并完善备案、环评、能评等相关手续，依法依规按备案日产能和年产能 组织生产。 我国 2025H1 水泥价格同比小幅恢复。据国家统计局统计，我国 2025 年 年初至 6 月 20 日 P.O 42.5 散装普通水泥市场均价 332 元/吨，较 2024H1 平均同比+14 元/吨，较 2024 年全年平均+2 元/吨。据水泥行情通大数据 6 月 27 日消息，为改善经营状况，6 月 20 日北京、天津、唐山、秦皇岛 等地水泥企业通知上调水泥价格 30 元/吨。6 月 24 日起石家庄、邢台、 邯郸等地区主导水泥企业通知上调水泥价格 30 元/吨，6 月 25 日起河南 地区水泥企 ...

金十数据7月1日讯，针对"东方雨虹7月1日起上调防水产品价格"的市场消息，东方雨虹证券部工作人员 称，涨价消息属实，公司确实向下游客户发送过涨价通知。此轮上调价格，主要针对防水涂料、美缝 剂、瓷砖胶等。这也是年内比较大范围的一次调价。"本次涨价，不止是东方雨虹一家，行业很多头部 公司都进行了调价。本轮普遍上调价格，说明行业正在往好的方向发展。"上述工作人员表示。对于涨 价对公司的影响，上述工作人员称，目前对公司业绩的影响还不好直接判断，但是行业整体在逐步形成 良性竞争格局。 （中证金牛座） 东方雨虹回应调价：行业逐步进入良性竞争格局，对公司业绩的影响还不好判断 ...

具体来看，此次涨价函中涉及的产品包括防水涂料、美缝剂、瓷砖胶、卷材类等多个核心品类，涨幅普 遍在1%至13%之间，个别品类如防水涂料最高涨幅达13%。 以东方雨虹为例，其全资子公司东方雨虹民用建材有限责任公司6月份发布的《产品调价函》显示，为 了维护品牌长期健康发展，稳定市场秩序，确保市场良性竞争，同时保障客户的长远利益，经公司研究 决定，对防水涂料、美缝剂、瓷砖胶的部分产品价格进行上调。 该调价函显示，涉及调价产品的调整幅度如下：防水涂料上调3%至13%；美缝剂上调4%至9%；C0级瓷 砖胶上调1%至5%（部分区域）。产品调价将于2025年7月1日正式执行，具体调价产品明细以各大区通 知为准。 科顺股份的全资子公司科顺民用建材有限公司也发布了相关调价函，该调价函显示，为稳定市场价格和 市场秩序，保障广大合作伙伴的长远利益，实现长期同行的合作目标，经公司研究决定，对防水涂料、 瓷砖胶、美缝剂、卷材类部分产品进行价格上调，调价详情显示：防水涂料上调3%至13%；C0级、C2 级瓷砖胶上调1%至5%（按区域情况调整）；美缝剂上调4%至9%；卷材类上调3%至7%。新价格政策计 划自各大区7月1日最新发布的价格表为准 ...