Group 1: Securities Industry Outlook - The securities industry is rated "outperform" by Guolian Minsheng Securities, with expectations of policy-driven recovery in investor confidence since September 2024 [1] - A significant increase in A-share trading activity has been observed since late September, indicating potential profitability for brokerages if market conditions improve [1] - The implementation of swap convenience details is expected to enhance market liquidity and trading activity [1] Group 2: Fund Management Changes - The new public fund regulations may impact the performance contributions of fund companies, with notable declines in net profit contributions from certain brokerages [2] - The top three brokerages experiencing the largest declines in contribution ratios are First Capital, Southwest Securities, and Great Wall Securities, with decreases of -43.5%, -11.4%, and -11.2% respectively [2] - The reforms are anticipated to shift the focus of fund companies from scale to returns, potentially optimizing the public fund industry landscape [2] Group 3: Financial Market Trends - There is a growing trend towards non-directional investments in brokerage proprietary trading, reducing reliance on market performance [3] - As of the end of 2024, 85% of CITIC Securities' equity financial assets are hedged through over-the-counter derivatives [3] - New tools like swap convenience are expected to provide innovative asset allocation strategies for brokerages [3] Group 4: Investment Banking and Private Equity - The current regulatory environment may continue to pressure IPO volumes in the short term for brokerages [4] - The contribution of private equity subsidiaries to brokerage profits is expected to increase, with average revenue and net profit contributions of 0.55% and 2.55% respectively for listed brokerages in 2024 [4] - The revised regulations for private equity fund subsidiaries are likely to promote more standardized development in this area [4]

2025 年 05 月 07 日 策略类●证券研究报告 政策强化股市震荡偏强的趋势 事件点评 投资要点 事件：2025 年 5 月 7 日，国新办举行新闻发布会，请中国人民银行、国家金融监 督管理总局、中国证券监督管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳 预期"有关情况。 发布会侧重落实政治局会议的政策方向，货币宽松和支持科技创新是重点。（1） 央行出台的 10 项政策措施主要集中在货币宽松、稳定楼市和消费、支持科技创新、 稳定股市：一是降准 0.5 个百分点释放长期流动性约 1 万亿、下调 7 天逆回购利率 0.1 个百分点、下调结构性货币政策工具利率 0.25 个百分点，这些均是为了给市场 增加长期流动性、降低融资成本；二是降低个人住房公积金贷款利率 0.25 个百分 点，目的是刺激居民购房需求、稳定楼市；三是设立 5000 亿服务消费与养老再贷 款，目的是进一步提振消费；四是将科技创新和技术改造再贷款额度由 5000 亿增 加到 8000 亿，同时创设科技创新债券风险分担工具，支持科技创新的政策导向明 确。五是将互换便利 5000 亿元和股票回购增持再贷款 3000 亿元额度合并使用， 总额度 ...

潘功胜表示，在政策实施过程中，人民银行会同证监会、金融监管总局不断总结实践经验，结合各方建 议，优化工具政策要素，提高政策实施效率。一是将两项工具总额度8000亿元合并使用，额度打通后两 个工具都可以用，有助于提升工具便利性、灵活性，更好满足不同类型市场主体的需求。二是互换便利 方面，证监会将参与机构范围由首批20家券商基金扩大至40家的备选机构池，质押品范围纳入港股、限 售股等，并指导金融基础设施降低业务收费标准。三是回购增持再贷款方面，将贷款最长期限由1年延 至3年，鼓励银行发放信用贷款，将上市公司回购增持股票的自有资金比例要求从30%下调至10%，将 中国诚通控股和中国国新控股这两个国有资本运营平台纳入支持范围，两家公司已经宣布拟使用工具资 金合计1800亿元，用于增持上市公司股票。 此外，潘功胜表示，汇金公司是维护资本市场稳定的重要战略力量。人民银行坚定支持汇金公司在必要 时实施对股票市场指数基金的增持，并向其提供充足的再贷款支持，坚决维护资本市场的平稳运行。 "这两项工具内嵌逆周期调节属性，主要发挥托底作用。"潘功胜表示，在资本市场被明显低估时，证券 业机构、上市公司和主要股东将有更强的意愿使用两项 ...

互换便利工具在去年下半年推出，不少券商陆续获得了参与互换便利的业务资格。不过，究竟有哪些券商实 际落地了互换便利业务？参与额度又有多少？部分券商年报有披露。 "我们坚定加大权益投资规模，积极开展互换便利业务，为维护资本市场稳定运行贡献力量。" 方正证券表示 。 有的券商在年报中表示，公司使用互换便利获得的资金持仓股票和股票ETF。还有的券商称，公司主动参与央行 第二批互换便利操作且积极配置A股市场。年报数据显示，有的券商互换便利质押式回购接近50亿元。 买入股票和股票ETF "作为首批获得互换便利业务资格的金融机构，整体参与进度属于同业前列；发挥做市商专业优势，为中小微企 业提供专业化的流动性支持，公司在北交所做市业务中创市场先例，首家通过互换便利账户开展北交所做市业 务，向市场传递积极信号。" 申万宏源表示 。 财通证券称， 互换便利作为国家支持资本市场健康发展的增量政策，为资本市场和行业发展带来了重大政策机 遇。公司积极承接政策，获得互换便利业务资格，并在第一时间完成股票增持的首笔交易。据悉，财通证券使 用互换便利获得的资金持仓股票和股票ETF。 东吴证券称， 响应国家政策号召，成功取得互换便利操作资格， ...

互换便利工具在去年下半年推出，不少券商陆续获得了参与互换便利的业务资格。不过，究竟有哪些券商实际落地了互换 便利业务？参与额度又有多少？部分券商年报有披露。 有的券商在年报中表示，公司使用互换便利获得的资金持仓股票和股票ETF。还有的券商称，公司主动参与央行第二批互换便 利操作且积极配置A股市场。年报数据显示，有的券商互换便利质押式回购接近50亿元。 买入股票和股票ETF "作为首批获得互换便利业务资格的金融机构，整体参与进度属于同业前列；发挥做市商专业优势，为中小微企业提供专业化 的流动性支持，公司在北交所做市业务中创市场先例，首家通过互换便利账户开展北交所做市业务，向市场传递积极信号。" 申万宏源表示 。 财通证券称， 互换便利作为国家支持资本市场健康发展的增量政策，为资本市场和行业发展带来了重大政策机遇。公司积极 承接政策，获得互换便利业务资格，并在第一时间完成股票增持的首笔交易。据悉，财通证券使用互换便利获得的资金持仓 股票和股票ETF。 东吴证券称， 响应国家政策号召，成功取得互换便利操作资格，主动参与央行第二批互换便利操作且积极配置A股市场。 东方证券 稳妥使用互换便利资金，高效筛选合适的A股标的 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the monetary policy and financial support measures for technological innovation in China, as outlined by the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, during a press conference at the National People's Congress. Group 1: Monetary Policy Adjustments - In 2024, the central bank implemented multiple monetary policy adjustments, including two reductions in the reserve requirement ratio and policy interest rates, leading to a significant decline in loan market quotation rates. By the end of 2024, the growth rates of social financing, broad money M2, and RMB loans were all between 7% and 8%, exceeding the nominal economic growth rate by approximately 3 percentage points, with financing costs at historical lows [2]. - For 2025, the central bank plans to maintain a relatively loose monetary stance and will consider further reductions in reserve requirements and interest rates based on domestic and international economic conditions. There is room for downward adjustments in the reserve requirement ratio and the rates of structural monetary policy tools [2]. Group 2: Financial Support for Technological Innovation - The central bank, in collaboration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Ministry of Science and Technology, plans to introduce a "Technology Board" in the bond market to enhance financial support for technological innovation. This initiative aims to facilitate the issuance of technology innovation bonds by financial institutions and support the issuance of medium- to long-term bonds by growing and mature tech companies [4][5]. - The central bank will also expand the scale of re-loans for technological innovation and technological transformation from the current 500 billion yuan to between 800 billion and 1 trillion yuan to better meet the financing needs of enterprises [5]. Group 3: Risk Prevention and Financial Stability - The overall stability of China's financial system is emphasized, with local debt and real estate risks continuing to recede. By the end of 2024, commercial banks had a capital adequacy ratio of 16%, a non-performing loan ratio of 1.5%, and a provision coverage ratio of 211%, all significantly above regulatory standards [6]. - Approximately 40% of financing platforms have exited the market through various means, including market exit and transformation, indicating progress in mitigating local financing platform debt risks [6][7]. - The average interest rate for newly issued bonds by financing platforms was 2.67% in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting a significant decline in risk premium levels in the financial market [7].