2025年以来，AI芯片产业链景气度持续提升，半导体设备领域投资热度居高不下。据华泰证券统计，2025年第二季度全球半导体设备公司总收入同比增长24%，预计2025年全年全球半导体设备 具体来看，AI芯片对计算性能和功耗的高要求大幅提高了芯片设计和制造的复杂性，因此对高性能SoC测试机和存储测试机的需求显著增长。此外，HBM技术已成为AI计算的标配，其对应的COW 在此背景下，海外半导体设备市场受AI相关投资驱动实现高增，市场规模同比增长40%，其中测试机、封装设备等后道设备的增长尤为显著。 从历史数据来看，北方华创近年毛利率始终保持在40%以上，而芯源微除2023年毛利率达到42.53%，近年其余年份均在36-38%左右。2025年上半年，对芯源微实现并表后，北方华创营业成本 芯源微的主要产品包括涂胶显影设备等核心工艺装备，而北方华创的主要产品涵盖刻蚀、薄膜沉积、热处理、湿法和离子注入等核心工艺装备，二者产品布局具有显著互补性。虽然双方在短期内 第二，报告期内，北方华创研发费用率提升。前两年公司上半年的研发费用率均在11%以下，而2025年上半年，公司研发投入同比高增30.01%至29.15亿元，研发费用率 ...

Industry Overview - Since 2025, the AI chip industry chain has seen a continuous improvement in market conditions, with high investment enthusiasm in the semiconductor equipment sector. Global semiconductor equipment company revenues are expected to grow by 12% year-on-year in 2025, with a 24% increase in Q2 2025 compared to the same period last year [1] - The demand for high-performance SoC testing machines and storage testing machines has significantly increased due to the high requirements for computing performance and power consumption in AI chips. Additionally, HBM technology has become standard for AI computing, driving demand for advanced packaging equipment [1] Market Performance - The overseas semiconductor equipment market has achieved a year-on-year growth of 40%, driven by AI-related investments, with notable growth in testing machines and packaging equipment [1] - In contrast, the Chinese market experienced a slight decline of 1% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, although the domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate increased by 6 percentage points to 21% [1] Company Performance - Among semiconductor equipment manufacturers, there is a notable performance divergence. Nine front-end equipment companies reported revenue growth, but some, such as Jingce Electronics and Tuo Jing Technology, saw significant declines in net profit despite revenue increases [2] - The companies with the highest net profit growth include Weidao Nano, Changchuan Technology, Huafeng Measurement and Control, and Zhongke Fei Measurement, with year-on-year net profit growth rates of 348.95%, 98.73%, 74.04%, and 73.01% respectively [3] - Tuo Jing Technology, despite having the highest revenue growth rate of 54.25%, experienced a significant net profit decline of 26.96% due to high costs associated with new product validation in Q1 2025 [3] Financial Metrics - Tuo Jing Technology's gross margin fluctuated significantly, dropping to 19.89% in Q1 2025 before recovering to 38.83% in Q2 2025 [4] - The company has shipped over 3,000 reaction chambers, including more than 340 new types, and has successfully passed customer certifications for advanced process equipment, indicating strong business growth [5] - As of the end of the reporting period, Tuo Jing Technology's contract liabilities reached 453,577.43 million yuan, a 52.07% increase compared to the end of 2024, reflecting a solid order backlog for future revenue growth [5]

出品：新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者：光心 2025年以来，AI芯片产业链景气度持续提升，半导体设备领域投资热度居高不下。据华泰证券统计， 2025年第二季度全球半导体设备公司总收入同比增长24%，预计2025年全年全球半导体设备企业收入同 比增长12%。 归母净利润增速最高的四家半导体设备企业分别为微导纳米、长川科技（维权）、华峰测控、中科飞 测，2025年上半年归母净利润分别同比增长348.95%、98.73%、74.04%、73.01%，两家龙头企业北方华 创、中微公司归母净利润增速分别为14.97%、36.62%。 长川科技业绩实现高速成长的主要原因或有两方面：一是产品品类不断拓宽；二是实现从中低端市场向 中高端市场的转换。 长川科技始终专注于集成电路测试设备领域，后重点开拓覆盖SoC、逻辑等多种高端应用场景的数字测 试设备、三温探针台、三温分选机等产品，不断拓宽产品线。2025年上半年，公司营收高增41.80%至 21.67亿元。 分品类来看，2025年上半年，公司测试机收入为12.50亿元，同比增长34.30%；分选机收入为7.09亿 元，同比增长50.36%。截至2025年半年报，公司存货为30. ...

Core Insights - The AI chip industry has seen a continuous increase in prosperity since 2025, with high investment levels in the semiconductor equipment sector. Global semiconductor equipment company revenues are expected to grow by 12% year-on-year in 2025, with a 24% increase in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year [1] - The demand for high-performance SoC testing machines and storage testing machines has significantly increased due to the high requirements for computing performance and power consumption in AI chips. Additionally, HBM technology has become standard for AI computing, driving demand for advanced packaging equipment [1] - The overseas semiconductor equipment market has experienced a 40% year-on-year growth driven by AI-related investments, particularly in testing and packaging equipment [1] - In contrast, the Chinese market saw a slight decline of 1% year-on-year in H1 2025, although the domestic semiconductor equipment localization rate increased by 6 percentage points to 21% [1] Company Performance - In H1 2025, there was a performance divergence among semiconductor equipment manufacturers. While nine front-end equipment companies reported revenue growth, some, including Jingce Electronics and Tsinghua Unigroup, saw significant declines in net profit [4] - Notably, Northern Huachuang's revenue and net profit in Q2 2025 grew by 22.5% and declined by 1.6%, respectively, indicating revenue growth without profit increase. In contrast, Zhongwei Company experienced simultaneous high growth in both revenue (51.3%) and net profit (46.8%) [4] Factors Affecting Performance - Northern Huachuang's weaker net profit growth in 2025 may be attributed to the acquisition of ChipSource, which was included in the consolidated financial statements from June 30, 2025. ChipSource's declining gross margin impacted Northern Huachuang's profitability [5] - Historically, Northern Huachuang maintained a gross margin above 40%, but after the acquisition, its gross margin decreased to 42.17%, down 3.33 percentage points year-on-year [5] - The increase in R&D expenses for Northern Huachuang, which rose by 30.01% to 2.915 billion yuan, also contributed to the decline in net profit margin. The R&D expense ratio increased to 12.87% in H1 2025 [6] - The company launched several new products, including ion implantation and electroplating equipment, and achieved significant sales in etching and thin film deposition equipment, indicating a comprehensive product line [6]

Market Overview - The market experienced a rebound after a dip, with mixed performance across the three major indices. Semiconductor stocks showed strength in the afternoon, with notable gains in companies like Changchuan Technology and Demingli, both reaching new highs. The shipping sector was robust, with Nanjing Port and Ningbo Maritime hitting the daily limit. Banking stocks also saw a collective rebound, while the tourism sector faced a downturn, with several stocks hitting the daily limit down. Overall, over 4,200 stocks declined across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets, with a total trading volume of 2.52 trillion yuan [1]. Key Highlights Lithography Machines - The lithography machine concept remained active, with Huasoft Technology achieving a three-day consecutive rise, and stocks like Zhangjiang Hi-Tech and Kaimeteqi hitting the daily limit near the close. The lithography machine is a critical component in semiconductor manufacturing, with a single unit valued at over 100 million USD, accounting for more than 20% of total semiconductor equipment investment [4][5][6]. Domestic Chips - The domestic chip sector showed strong performance, with Tianpu Co. achieving a 15-day consecutive rise. Other companies like Heertai and Lianmei Holdings also saw significant gains. Changchuan Technology forecasted a net profit of 827 million to 877 million yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 131.39% to 145.38%. Goldman Sachs raised the target price for SMIC, indicating a positive outlook for domestic AI chip demand [7][8]. Shipping Sector - The shipping sector experienced notable movements, with Nanjing Port and Ningbo Maritime hitting the daily limit. According to CITIC Securities, the VLCC market maintained high export volumes, with overall performance remaining active, leading to a significant increase in transportation rates for imports [11][12].

点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"❤"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，寻 志同道合 的你 正文 AI芯片快速发展，带来封测设备新需求。 (1)测试机： SoC芯片作为硬件设备的"大脑"，承担着AI运算控制等核心功能，对计算性能和能耗的要求极高，这使得芯片设计和制造的复杂性大幅增加，先进存储 芯片为AI算力芯片提供高带宽的数据存储和传输支持，其容量和带宽的不断提升也进一步增加了芯片的复杂性，因此 SoC芯片和先进存储芯片的复杂性提升共同推 动了对高性能测试机需求的显著增长 ； (2)封装设备： HBM显存的高带宽突破了加速卡的显存容量限制；COWOS封装技术作为一种2.5D技术，是GPU与HBM高速互联的关键支撑。 2.5D和3D封装技术需 要先进的封装设备的支撑，进一步推动了对先进封装设备的需求增长 。 后道测试：AI测试要求提升，关注国产测试机双龙头。 我们预估2025年半导体测试设备市场空间有望突破138亿美元，SoC与存储测试机分别合计达48/24亿美元。 (1)SoC测试机： AIHPC芯片的高集成度、高稳定性要求以及先进制程特性，导致测试量与测试时间显著增加，从而推动了对SoC测试机的需求 ...

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor testing equipment market is projected to exceed $13.8 billion by 2025, driven by the increasing complexity and demand for SoC and storage testing machines due to advancements in AI and HPC chips [1][3]. Group 1: Semiconductor Testing Equipment Market - The semiconductor testing equipment market is expected to reach $13.8 billion by 2025, with SoC and storage testing machines contributing approximately $4.8 billion and $2.4 billion, respectively [1][3]. - The demand for SoC testing machines is increasing due to the high integration, stability requirements, and advanced process characteristics of AI and HPC chips, leading to a significant rise in testing volume and time [1][3]. - Storage testing machines are becoming more complex due to HBM testing, which includes wafer-level testing and KGSD testing, enhancing the difficulty of storage testing processes [1][3]. Group 2: Advanced Packaging Equipment - The rapid development of AI chips is creating new demands for packaging equipment, particularly for HBM memory, which enhances the capacity of accelerator cards [2]. - Advanced packaging technologies such as CoWoS are critical for high-speed interconnections between GPUs and HBM, necessitating advanced packaging equipment [2][4]. - The difference between advanced and traditional packaging lies in the connection methods, with advanced packaging using faster transmission techniques, leading to increased equipment requirements [4]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to focus on domestic AI chip-related packaging equipment opportunities, as the complexity of testing increases with larger pins and currents in domestic AI chip manufacturing [5]. - Key domestic companies to watch in the testing equipment sector include Huafeng Measurement and Control and Changchuan Technology, which are positioned to benefit from breakthroughs in domestic testing machines [5]. - In the packaging equipment sector, companies like Jingsheng Electromechanical and Huahai Qingke are highlighted for their potential in advanced packaging equipment, as China strengthens its global competitiveness in the packaging segment [5].

Investment Rating - The report recommends a positive investment outlook for the semiconductor back-end testing equipment industry, particularly focusing on domestic testing equipment opportunities driven by the AI industry trend [2][3]. Core Insights - Advantest's stock price and performance have reached new highs, benefiting fundamentally from the global AI industry trend. The company has shown significant growth over the past year, three years, and ten years, with respective increases of +131%, +578%, and +5630% [3][11]. - The domestic back-end testing equipment market is expected to exceed 30 billion yuan, with a notable increase in demand for AI chips driving this growth. Companies like Changchuan Technology, Huafeng Measurement Control, and Jinhai Tong have reported impressive revenue growth rates of +40%, +39%, and +89% respectively in Q2 2025 [3][27]. - The report highlights the optimistic outlook for the global testing machine market, projecting a market size of $6 billion by 2025, with Advantest holding a significant market share [3][23]. Summary by Sections Advantest's Performance - Advantest's revenue and net profit for Q2 2025 were $1.79 billion and $610 million, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of +90% and +278% [3][20]. - The company's PE-TTM is currently at 46 times, significantly higher than its competitors, indicating a premium valuation due to its dominant position in the SOC and storage testing machine markets [3][16]. Domestic Testing Equipment Market - The domestic back-end testing equipment sector is experiencing a resurgence, with significant capital expenditure from downstream packaging and testing companies expected to drive demand [27][32]. - The report estimates that the domestic testing machine market will reach 22.3 billion yuan by 2026, with SOC and storage testing machines accounting for 11.1 billion and 6.7 billion yuan, respectively [48][49]. AI Chip Demand - The demand for testing machines is expected to surge due to the increasing complexity and requirements of AI chips, which necessitate longer testing times and higher performance standards [50][53]. - Major Chinese tech companies are ramping up their capital expenditures, with Alibaba's capital expenditure reaching 38.6 billion yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a strong commitment to AI development [53][55]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on domestic companies such as Changchuan Technology and Huafeng Measurement Control, which are well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI testing machines [3][58][75]. - Changchuan Technology is highlighted as a core player in the SOC testing machine market, with a significant increase in revenue and profit margins expected due to its strong R&D capabilities and product offerings [58][62].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 427 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 98.73%, indicating strong growth driven by the expansion of mid-to-high-end products [1] Investment Highlights - The company maintains an "Overweight" rating with a target price of 56.75 yuan per share, supported by the expected ramp-up of CIS testing machines and storage testing machines in 2025-2026, leading to upward adjustments in EPS forecasts for 2025-2027, with EPS projected at 1.62, 2.08, and 2.64 yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 122.98%, 28.32%, and 26.82% [2] - The company focuses on integrated circuit testing equipment, expanding its product line to include digital testing equipment and various high-end applications, resulting in a revenue of 2.167 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 41.80% [2][3] - The company’s R&D investment for the first half of 2025 reached 577 million yuan, accounting for 26.65% of revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 35.38%, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [3] Product Performance - In the first half of 2025, the testing machine segment generated revenue of 1.250 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.30%, while the sorting machine segment achieved revenue of 709 million yuan, up 50.36% [3] - The company has developed new products in the AOI measurement system field, including the NanoX-6000 and NanoX-8000 series, which cater to critical measurement needs in the semiconductor and PCB sectors, respectively [3]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a focus on the technology sector for investment opportunities, particularly in growth stocks, as the market index has shown upward momentum [2][6]. - The report outlines a selection of ten key stocks, highlighting their respective industries, market capitalizations, earnings per share (EPS) forecasts, and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2026 and 2027 [2][68]. Group 1: Key Stock Recommendations - **Neway Valve (603699.SH)**: A leading global industrial valve manufacturer, benefiting from a surge in LNG and marine engineering sectors, with expected overseas order growth of over 50% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [11][12]. - **Yongxing Environmental (601033.SH)**: The sole operator of waste incineration in Guangzhou, with a projected capacity utilization rate of 79% and a commitment to high dividends, expecting a 174% increase in free cash flow in 2024 [17][18]. - **Aerospace Electronics (600879.SH)**: Focused on aerospace electronics and unmanned systems, with anticipated high growth driven by the commercial space industry and demand for satellite communication technologies [26][27]. - **Miaokelando (600882.SH)**: Positioned for long-term growth in the dairy sector, with a focus on product innovation and cost management, expecting significant revenue growth in the upcoming quarters [31][32]. - **Laopu Gold (6181.HK)**: A high-end gold jewelry brand with strong revenue growth, projected to achieve 8.51 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, benefiting from the expanding market for traditional gold products [36][38]. - **Jingzhida (688627.SH)**: Engaged in the semiconductor testing equipment sector, with significant market potential and expected strong performance due to key customer orders [42][43]. - **Shensanda A (000032.SZ)**: Positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI infrastructure and applications, with a strong foothold in public data services [47][48]. - **Sanqi Interactive (002555.SZ)**: Anticipating strong performance from new game releases, particularly the upcoming "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World," with high player interest [53][56]. - **CATL (300750.SZ)**: Expected to maintain strong profit growth, with projected net profits of 66.1 billion yuan in 2025, driven by increasing demand for electric vehicle batteries [59][60]. - **Borui Pharmaceutical (688166.SH)**: Forecasted to achieve net profits of 2.6 billion yuan in 2025, with significant potential in the Amylin pipeline, which has attracted substantial investment interest [63][64]. Group 2: Financial Data Overview - The report provides detailed financial forecasts for the ten key stocks, including projected revenues and net profits for 2025 to 2027, highlighting the growth potential across various sectors [68]. - For instance, Neway Valve is expected to generate 74.53 billion yuan in revenue in 2025, with a net profit of 14.49 billion yuan, reflecting strong operational performance [68]. - CATL's projected revenue for 2025 is 472.43 billion yuan, with a net profit forecast of 66.13 billion yuan, indicating robust growth in the electric vehicle battery market [68].