Core Insights - The report highlights the integrated development of Kangnong Agriculture, focusing on hybrid corn seed production, breeding, and promotion, achieving a revenue CAGR of 30.5% and a profit CAGR of 42.1% from 2022 to 2024 [2][10] - The industry is experiencing a demand for high-yield and quality varieties, with a projected tight balance in corn supply and demand for the 2025/26 season, leading to stable corn prices and positive planting enthusiasm among farmers [2][10] - Kangnong's flagship product, Kangnong Yu 8009, is expected to drive growth, with sales projections indicating significant volume increases in the coming years [2][10] Company Overview - Kangnong Agriculture specializes in hybrid corn seeds and has streamlined its operations across breeding, propagation, and promotion since 2017 [2][10] - The company has successfully entered new markets, including the Huanghuaihai summer sowing area and northern spring sowing area, which have become new growth drivers [2][10] Industry Analysis - The seed market is currently facing a supply-demand imbalance, with a projected supply-demand ratio of 175% for the 2024/25 season, indicating a high inventory situation that may take 2-3 years to improve [2][10] - High-quality varieties are favored in the market, commanding better price premiums, while competition among homogeneous varieties remains intense, putting pressure on prices [2][10] Short-term Outlook - For 2025, the company aims to achieve both revenue growth and cost reduction, with expectations of increased gross margins due to self-propagation models [2][10] - The anticipated gross margin for 2025 is projected to improve by 1.2-5.0 percentage points based on sensitivity analysis [2][10] Long-term Strategy - Kangnong plans to expand its national sales footprint, leveraging its market position in the Southwest and introducing diverse product offerings in the Huanghuaihai and Northeast markets [2][10] - The company has a robust pipeline for transgenic varieties, with a strategic rollout across different regions [2][10] Investment Rating and Valuation - The report forecasts Kangnong's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 0.96 billion, 1.23 billion, and 1.50 billion respectively, with a target market capitalization of 4.5 billion, indicating a potential upside of 90% from the current closing price [2][10] - The report assigns a "Buy" rating based on the company's growth potential and favorable market conditions [2][10]

Core Insights - The report focuses on Kangnong Agriculture (837403), which specializes in hybrid corn seeds and has integrated breeding, propagation, and promotion since 2017, leading to significant growth in new markets [3][11] - The company is projected to achieve a revenue CAGR of 30.5% and a profit CAGR of 42.1% from 2022 to 2024, driven by the successful launch of its main product, Kangnong Yu 8009 [3][11] - The report highlights the favorable market conditions for high-yield and quality seed varieties, with a predicted stable corn price and strong planting enthusiasm among farmers [3][11] Company Overview - Kangnong Agriculture has established a comprehensive development model that connects breeding, propagation, and promotion, enhancing its market competitiveness [3][11] - The company has successfully entered new markets in the Huanghuaihai summer sowing area and the northern spring sowing area, which have become new growth drivers [3][11] Industry Analysis - The seed market is currently experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with a supply-demand ratio of 175% expected for the 2024/25 season, indicating a high inventory situation that may take 2-3 years to improve [3][11] - High-quality seed varieties are favored in the market, commanding better premiums, while competition among homogeneous varieties remains intense, leading to price pressures [3][11] Short-term Outlook - For 2025, the company aims to increase revenue while reducing costs, with Kangnong Yu 8009 expected to lead growth [3][11] - The self-propagation model is anticipated to lower costs, with a projected gross margin increase of 1.2-5.0 percentage points in 2025 based on sensitivity analysis [3][11] Long-term Strategy - The company plans to continue expanding its national sales footprint, leveraging its market position in the southwest and introducing diverse product combinations in the Huanghuaihai market [3][11] - Kangnong Agriculture has a robust pipeline of transgenic varieties, with a structured approach to commercialization across different regions [3][11] Investment Rating and Valuation - The report forecasts the company's net profit for 2025-2027 to be 0.96 billion, 1.23 billion, and 1.50 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 25, 19, and 16 times [3][11] - A target market capitalization of 45 billion is set for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 90% from the closing price on September 25, 2023, with a "Buy" rating assigned [3][11] Catalysts for Stock Performance - Key catalysts include exceeding expectations in contract liabilities for Q3 2025, higher-than-expected sales of Kangnong Yu 8009, and progress in promoting high-protein corn [3][11]

Group 1: Swine Industry - In H1 2025, the swine industry experienced profitability, with a focus on capacity reduction in H2 [2] - The average price of pork in Q2 2025 was 14.55 yuan/kg, down 3.1% quarter-on-quarter and 11.2% year-on-year [2] - Major companies like DeKang Agriculture, Lihua Co., Shennong Group, and Wens Foodstuff reported net profits exceeding 200 yuan per head in H1 2025 [2] - The supply pressure in H2 remains, but initial results from weight reduction efforts and seasonal consumption may limit further price declines [2] Group 2: Poultry Industry - In H1 2025, the poultry industry faced low prices due to weak consumption and increased supply [3] - White feather chicken prices rebounded slightly in Q2 but still faced losses, while yellow chicken prices continued to decline [3] - The poultry industry is expected to see a price increase in H2 due to slight capacity reduction and seasonal demand [3] Group 3: Feed and Animal Health - The feed and animal health sectors are experiencing upward trends in H1 2025, driven by recovery in livestock and aquaculture stocks [4] - Sales, revenue, and profit growth accelerated in Q2 2025 [4] - Continued recovery in livestock stocks is anticipated, supporting recommendations for feed and animal health companies [4] Group 4: Seed Industry - The seed industry is facing significant pressure with a severe oversupply situation, leading to increased return rates [5] - Despite challenges, new leading companies are achieving substantial growth driven by successful products like Kangnong Yumi 8009 [5] Group 5: Pet Food Industry - The pet food sector is seeing a steady increase in brand market share, with exports expected to gradually recover [6] - Companies with Southeast Asia and global factory layouts are showing more stable growth [6] - Domestic demand remains resilient, with leading companies enhancing market share through supply chain advantages and brand strength [6] Group 6: Fruit Industry - The fruit industry is experiencing differentiation across various segments, with blueberries emerging as a new consumer favorite [7] - Companies are expanding production and improving efficiency, leading to steady growth [7] - The processing segment benefits from stable raw material prices and strong export demand, while retail faces challenges [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a first-time recommendation [11]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve breakthrough growth by leading the current variety replacement cycle with its densely planted product, Kangnongyu 8009, which is set for large-scale promotion in the Huanghuaihai region in 2024 [4][7]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a projected revenue of 3.37 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and a net profit of 830 million yuan, up 55.2% year-on-year, primarily driven by the market expansion of Kangnongyu 8009 [8][24]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Kangnong Seed Industry, established in 2007, focuses on the research, production, and sales of hybrid corn seeds, driven by scientific innovation [8][18]. - The company has a concentrated ownership structure, with the chairman holding 51.56% of the shares, indicating strong management expertise [8][18]. Industry Analysis - The corn seed industry in China is currently experiencing a period of variety replacement, supported by national policies aimed at revitalizing the seed industry and reducing homogenization [9][30]. - The introduction of new seed laws and policies since 2021 aims to enhance intellectual property rights and promote innovation, which could lead to improved profit margins for quality enterprises [9][30][47]. Competitive Position - The company has established a significant market presence in the central and southwestern regions of China, with a market share of 5.97% in these areas [10][11]. - Kangnongyu 8009 has been recognized for its high yield and resilience, achieving a second-place ranking in a national corn variety competition with a yield of 1,089 kg per mu [10][11]. Future Development - The company's future growth strategy includes regional expansion and product innovation, leveraging the advantages of its densely planted varieties to increase market penetration [11][18]. - The company is also focusing on high-protein corn products to reduce reliance on imported soybean meal, with several of its corn varieties exceeding the national protein content standard of 11% [11][18].

Group 1: Investor Relations Activities - The company participated in the 2025 online collective reception day for investors in Hubei on June 12, 2025 [3][4] - The event was conducted remotely via the "Panorama Roadshow" website [4] Group 2: Key Issues Addressed - The company is expanding its business into the Huang-Huai-Hai region with multiple new varieties entering the approval stage, aiming to enhance market competitiveness [6] - In the Northeast region, the company is addressing ear rot disease with two main varieties, JN 198 and HSD 568, showing significant disease resistance [6] - Strategic partnerships have been established with research institutions to enhance R&D capabilities in the Northeast [6] Group 3: M&A Plans - The company is considering M&A plans based on industry developments and its own strategic goals, with timely disclosures to be made as required [6]

□特定对象调研 √业绩说明会 证券代码：837403 证券简称：康农种业 公告编号：2025-050 湖北康农种业股份有限公司 投资者关系活动记录表 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连 带法律责任。 一、 投资者关系活动类别 □媒体采访 □现场参观 □新闻发布会 □分析师会议 □路演活动 □其他 二、 投资者关系活动情况 活动时间：2025 年 5 月 21 日(星期三)15：00-16:00 活动地点：价值在线（www.ir-online.cn） 参会单位及人员：通过网络方式参加公司 2024 年年度报告说明会的投资者 上市公司接待人员：公司董事、总经理彭绪冰先生；董事、董事会秘书李丹 妮女士；财务负责人邓恢勇先生；一创投行保荐代表人刘毅先生。 三、 投资者关系活动主要内容 回答：尊敬的投资者，您好。目前我国玉米种子行业整体供大于求的局面对 于种业企业既是挑战也是机遇。从宏观层面讲，我国将粮食安全摆在极为重要的 位置，从政策层面对种业良性发展起到了良好的支撑。从行业和企业层面讲，种 业行业竞争加剧有助于 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market shows a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3342.00, down 0.30%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 10126.83, down 0.69% [2] - The total market capitalization of the Shanghai Composite Index is 6425.68 billion, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11.78 and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.22 [3] Economic Indicators - In April, China's CPI decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the PPI fell by 2.7% [24][25] - China's exports in April, measured in USD, increased by 8.1% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [28][30] Industry Dynamics - In April 2025, excavator sales in China continued to grow, with a total of 22,142 units sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.6% [37] - The global power battery installation reached 206.9 GWh in Q1 2025, with lithium iron phosphate batteries accounting for 51.5% of the total [39][40] Company Updates - Jinzai Food (003000.SZ) has successfully launched its new product, soft-boiled quail eggs, in select stores [44] - Meikang Bio (300439.SZ) has obtained two medical device registration certificates, enhancing its product line in the in vitro diagnostic field [47] - Qingdao Beer (600600.SH) plans to acquire 100% equity of Shandong Jimo Yellow Wine Factory for 665 million RMB, aiming to diversify its product offerings [49][51] - Kangnong Seed Industry (837403.BJ) reports rapid growth in the promotion area of its corn variety, Kangnongyu 8009, and steady progress in its transgenic business [53]

Group 1: Investor Relations Activity - The investor relations activity was conducted online from May 6 to May 8, 2025, with participation from various investment firms and funds [3][4] - Key attendees included the company's board members and financial executives [4] Group 2: Sales Performance and Strategic Planning - The company introduced the corn variety "Kangnongyu 8009," which has received positive feedback and is expected to significantly increase market share in the Huanghuaihai region [5][6] - The company is exploring a "grain production integration" model and plans to enhance its product lineup with multiple new varieties in the Huanghuaihai region [6] Group 3: Transgenic Development - The company has obtained a transgenic production license and is actively developing the transgenic variety "Kangnong 20065KK," with over 300 acres planned for demonstration planting this year [6][7] - The company is also conducting regional trials in the Southwest and East North China areas to promote transgenic technology [6][7] Group 4: High-Protein Corn Initiatives - The company has been collaborating with Huazhong Agricultural University since 2018 to develop high-protein corn varieties, with current products exceeding 12% protein content [8] - The demand for high-lysine corn varieties is urgent and holds significant application value in the feed industry [8] Group 5: Regional Planning and Positioning - In the Southwest region, the company has established a sales network for new varieties and plans to implement a large single product strategy [9] - The company is adjusting its strategy in the East North China region, with promising results from varieties showing disease resistance [9] Group 6: Fundraising Project Progress - The annual production base project for hybrid corn seeds has achieved a revenue of approximately ¥47.25 million as of December 31, 2024 [10][11] - The ongoing technical upgrade project is expected to enhance processing and storage capacity, addressing production bottlenecks and improving seed quality [10][11]