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这是要吹爆AI泡沫么?
美股研究社· 2025-10-10 12:53
让你的钱,聪明那么一点点。 为了拯救地球人,奥特曼需要一直追着打小怪兽。 为了维持美国的AI公司的估值,奥特曼需要一直和大企业签订合作协议。 前一个奥特曼是日本动漫人物,后一个奥特曼是现实中OPENAI公司的CEO。 来源 | 财主家的余粮 过去一个月里,OPENAI的山姆-奥特曼(Sam Altman)很忙很忙,忙着和那些与未来AI时代算力和芯片有关的超大型科技企业,签订各种 花样的AI合作协议。 这不,我看到一张图,画出来了当今涉及AI的大公司之间令人眼花缭乱的交叉投资、合作行为——最核心的两家公司,是英伟达和OPENAI。 以下文章来源于财主家的余粮 ,作者财主家没有余粮啦 财主家的余粮 . 于是,短短3天之内,AMD的股价从160美元暴涨至235美元。 难道,美帝这些AI大佬们,都学会了中国前两年流行的"羊毛出在猪身上"的资本游戏? 还记得一个月前,美股甲骨文股票一夜暴涨40%的传奇么?就是因为OPENAI许诺未来几年将购买3000亿美元甲骨文公司的算力…… 就中国的国庆放假期间,美股AMD公司再度上演暴涨45%的传奇一幕。 简单来说,就是OpenAI在未来几年内,将预定购买AMD芯片金额约600~9 ...
股市开始泡沫了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 14:04
Core Insights - OpenAI has signed a significant contract with AMD for chip orders worth approximately $60 billion to $90 billion, which could lead to explosive profit growth for AMD [2][3]. - The agreement allows OpenAI to purchase 10% of AMD's stock at a nominal price if AMD's stock price reaches a certain level, effectively allowing OpenAI to gain substantial equity without upfront costs [4][5]. - Following the announcement, AMD's stock surged from $160 to $235 within three days, marking a 46% increase [6]. AMD's Financial Impact - AMD's annual revenue is less than $30 billion, with profits under $2 billion, meaning the contract could sustain AMD for three years [3]. - The stock price increase is attributed to the large order from OpenAI, which is expected to significantly boost AMD's market valuation [6]. OpenAI's Valuation and Orders - OpenAI's valuation has skyrocketed from $150 billion to $500 billion in one year, with total external order commitments reaching $1.5 trillion, despite its annual revenue being only $10 billion and operating at a loss [11]. - The scale of OpenAI's commitments is compared to the total free cash flow of the five largest tech companies over the past five years, which is approximately $1.4 trillion [11]. Market Comparisons - The current AI bubble is likened to the 2000 internet bubble, with AMD's valuation metrics approaching those seen at the peak of the previous bubble [13][17]. - AMD's stock price reached a historical high of $47 in 2000 before experiencing a significant decline, illustrating the volatility of tech stocks [14][16]. Speculative Nature of the Market - The article emphasizes the speculative nature of current investments in tech stocks, suggesting that investors should be cautious and aware of the potential for significant losses [20]. - The overall market for tech stocks is described as being in a bubble, but not yet at the extreme levels seen in 2000, indicating that there may still be room for growth before a potential correction [18].
零一万物CEO李开复:推理芯片需求的增长将超过训练
0:00 21世纪经济报道记者 董静怡 上海报道 9月25日,在零一万物华东数智大会上,零一万物CEO李开复在接受21世纪经济报道记者采访时表示, 应用爆发后,推理芯片的需求是未来更具成长潜力的方向。基础模型的竞争仍会持续,但训练的占比在 整体数据中心支出中会逐渐下降。 视频编辑:陈泽锴 实习生孙筠雅 ...
精彩抢先看 | 价值与投资——前沿产业的价值跨越
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-09-25 07:32
Group 1 - The initiative "Value and Investment" is launched by Shanghai Stock Exchange and Yicai Media to enhance the service for China's capital market reform and promote rational, value, and long-term investment concepts [2] - The focus is on high-barrier, original, and leading-edge industries driven by hard technology, which are seen as strategic points for a new round of technological revolution and industrial leap [2] - The program features discussions on how frontier industries can accelerate commercialization and value enhancement, with insights from industry leaders and index analysis [2] Group 2 - The live event will be available on Yicai's official website and app on September 26, 2025, at 15:00 [3]
60+AI创新领袖新加坡论剑,三大维度突围构造全球AI新格局
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-08-31 02:06
Group 1 - The event organized by CSAIA in Singapore focused on the unique opportunities and challenges within the AI ecosystem in Singapore, featuring participation from top global tech companies and investment firms [1][2] - Key discussions revolved around Singapore's positioning in the global AI competition, including strategies for overcoming challenges posed by larger tech giants and the importance of localized AI solutions [2][4] Group 2 - The forum included three main discussion panels, startup pitches, and open exchanges, emphasizing investment, product technology, and business growth [2] - Participants highlighted the significance of edge computing and inference chips, addressing challenges such as low latency, privacy, and power consumption in AI applications [6][7] Group 3 - The focus on localized AI solutions was emphasized, with companies encouraged to avoid competing in the "big model arms race" and instead tailor products to meet the specific needs of Southeast Asian markets [8] - The discussions also covered the importance of rethinking business processes from an AI-native perspective to enhance efficiency and effectiveness [9] Group 4 - Early-stage investment strategies were discussed, with a focus on the importance of direction and team dynamics, as well as the need for rapid iteration and data-driven decision-making [12][13] - The event showcased over ten high-potential early-stage projects across various sectors, including AI marketing, healthcare, and robotics, reflecting Singapore's innovative AI landscape [29]
半导体板块领涨,国产算力板块迎密集催化,芯片ETF易方达(516350)、云计算ETF(516510)等受关注
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 05:06
Group 1 - The China Securities Chip Industry Index rose by 5.5%, the China Securities Cloud Computing and Big Data Theme Index increased by 3.9%, and the China Securities Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme Index went up by 3.6% [1] - CITIC Securities pointed out that the domestic computing power sector is experiencing intensive catalysts, with Tencent's earnings meeting indicating multiple supply channel options for inference chips, suggesting that domestic inference computing power chips are expected to provide support amid international supply chain fluctuations [1] - DeepSeek updated its model to clearly support FP8 precision and the upcoming next-generation domestic chips, indicating that leading domestic open-source models' support for domestic chips is likely to accelerate the implementation of the domestic computing power ecosystem [1]
芯片股大爆发,寒武纪逼近5000亿市值
财联社· 2025-08-22 04:16
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant gains, particularly in domestic chip stocks, driven by positive market sentiment and developments in AI chip technology [1][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Chip stocks are rising sharply, with Haiguang Information up over 17% and Cambrian up over 12% as of midday trading [1]. - Cambrian's stock price approached 1200 yuan, with a market capitalization nearing 500 billion yuan, reflecting a nearly 94% increase since July [1]. - The STAR 50 Index surged over 5%, and several chip-related ETFs rose more than 6% [2]. Group 2: ETF Performance - Multiple chip-related ETFs showed strong performance, with the following notable increases: - The STAR Chip ETF Index rose by 6.55% [3]. - The BoShi STAR Chip ETF increased by 6.54% [3]. - The Guotai STAR Chip ETF saw a rise of 6.48% [3]. Group 3: Industry Developments - The release of DeepSeek-V3.1, which supports the upcoming generation of domestic chips, indicates a shift towards domestic AI chip applications, potentially accelerating the domestic computing ecosystem [3][4]. - Citic Securities believes that the domestic computing sector is entering a phase of intensive catalysts, with opportunities arising from the international supply chain fluctuations [4]. - Noan Fund emphasizes the importance of AI in technology investments, highlighting the need to monitor the ASIC replacement process and the long-term opportunities presented by domestic alternatives [4].
突发!4000亿巨头,冲击20%涨停
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-22 03:27
Market Overview - A-shares opened mixed on August 22, with all three major indices showing positive performance by the time of reporting [1] - The STAR 50 index rose over 5%, driven by a strong performance in the semiconductor industry, with Haiguang Information hitting a 20% limit up and Cambrian Technology rising nearly 12% [1] Sector Performance - The computing power and big data sectors showed strength, while the liquid cooling concept continued to adjust, and sectors like fintech, stablecoins, and rare earths experienced slight declines [4] - The computing power sector saw significant gains, with Kede Education hitting the limit up and other companies like Cambrian Technology and Chipone also performing well [5] Catalysts and Trends - Research reports indicate that the domestic computing power sector is experiencing concentrated catalysts, with Tencent's earnings call highlighting multiple supply channel options for inference chips, suggesting potential support for domestic inference computing power chips amid international supply chain fluctuations [7] - The rare earth permanent magnet sector continued to strengthen, with companies like San Chuan Wisdom hitting the limit up and others like China Northern Rare Earth Group also seeing gains [7] Price Movements - As of August 21, the price of praseodymium oxide reached 657,500 yuan per ton, up 110,000 yuan from the beginning of the month, marking a more than 20% increase and a year-to-date increase of over 58% [9] - Neodymium oxide also saw a price increase, reaching 657,500 yuan per ton, with a month-to-date increase of 115,000 yuan and a year-to-date increase of 62.95% [9] Company Highlights - In the Hong Kong market, Miniso's stock surged nearly 16%, with Q2 revenue reaching 4.97 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.1%, and an adjusted net profit of 690 million yuan, up 10.6% year-on-year [12] - XPeng Motors' stock rose over 12%, following the announcement of share purchases by its co-founder and CEO, He Xiaopeng, who acquired 3.1 million shares at an average price of 80.49 HKD per share [12] Chip Sector Performance - The Hong Kong chip sector saw gains, with companies like SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and Shanghai Fudan rising over 7% [13]
港股异动 | 芯片股全线飙升 国产算力芯片近期迎多重利好 自主可控算力需求不断提升
智通财经网· 2025-08-22 02:09
Group 1: Chip Stock Performance - Chip stocks have surged, with notable increases: Huahong Semiconductor up 8.69% to HKD 51.65, Shanghai Fudan up 7.37% to HKD 32.06, SMIC up 6.77% to HKD 55.2, and ZTE up 5.87% to HKD 33.16 [1] Group 2: Domestic Computing Power Developments - Recent positive developments for domestic computing power include Tencent's announcement of multiple supply options for inference chips and DeepSeek's model update to version V3.1, which is expected to support FP8 precision and domestic chips [1] - Huawei's Ascend chip-based server products are being deployed in large orders across government, finance, and telecommunications sectors [1] - ZTE's inference chip on Huahong's 7nm process has successfully passed initial testing, with the first batch currently being tested by clients [1] Group 3: Regulatory Environment and Market Demand - The U.S. has tightened security reviews on high-performance GPUs, with Nvidia's H20 chip criticized by state media for being "neither advanced, safe, nor environmentally friendly," leading to cautious procurement reminders for key internet companies [2] - Following the U.S. announcement to resume H20 exports to China with new conditions, there is an increasing domestic demand for self-controlled computing power, accelerating policy and capital flow towards domestic AI chip and computing chain manufacturers [2]
中信建投:国产算力板块迎来密集催化
Core Viewpoint - The domestic computing power sector is experiencing significant catalysts, with advancements in domestic inference chips and support from leading open-source models expected to accelerate the domestic computing ecosystem [1] Group 1: Domestic Computing Power Sector - CITIC Securities research indicates that the domestic computing power sector is poised for rapid development due to multiple catalysts [1] - Tencent's earnings report highlights that the supply channels for inference chips have various options, suggesting that domestic inference computing chips can provide support amid international supply chain fluctuations [1] - The release of DeepSeek V3.1, which supports FP8 precision and the upcoming next-generation domestic chips, is expected to enhance the domestic computing ecosystem [1] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Huawei's Ascend chips are increasingly participating in tenders for government, finance, and telecommunications sectors, demonstrating the growing competitiveness of domestic chips [1]