需求端：资本开支延续高增态势。1)海外：2025年三季度海外大厂资本开支延续高增态势，总和达 996.17亿美元，同比增80.39%，环比升9.54%。2)国内：2025年第三季度阿里、腾讯资本开支均显放 缓。2025年第三季度，阿里资本开支315亿元，同比增80.10%但环比降18.55%。公司在2025年三季度业 绩会上重申三年3800亿元投资框架，不排除进一步增投。腾讯资本开支130亿元，同比降24.05%、环比 降32.05%，下调全年指引，开支低于年初预期。 爱建证券近日发布数据中心供配电设备行业跟踪：海外：2025年三季度海外大厂资本开支延续高增态 势，总和达996.17亿美元，同比增80.39%，环比升9.54%。国内：2025年第三季度阿里、腾讯资本开支 均显放缓。2025年第三季度，阿里资本开支315亿元，同比增80.10%但环比降18.55%。公司在2025年三 季度业绩会上重申三年3800亿元投资框架，不排除进一步增投。腾讯资本开支130亿元，同比降 24.05%、环比降32.05%，下调全年指引，开支低于年初预期。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点： 数据中心已成为电力设备行业核心增量应 ...

Core Viewpoint - The data center sector is driving significant growth in the power equipment industry, with capital expenditures showing a high growth trend, particularly among major overseas players, while domestic giants like Alibaba and Tencent are experiencing a slowdown in their capital spending [1][3]. Demand Side - Overseas capital expenditures in Q3 2025 reached $99.617 billion, marking an 80.39% year-on-year increase and a 9.54% quarter-on-quarter rise [3]. - Alibaba's capital expenditure for Q3 2025 was 31.5 billion yuan, reflecting an 80.10% year-on-year increase but a decline of 18.55% quarter-on-quarter. The company reiterated its three-year investment framework of 380 billion yuan, indicating potential for further investment [3]. - Tencent's capital expenditure was 13 billion yuan in Q3 2025, down 24.05% year-on-year and 32.05% quarter-on-quarter, with a downward revision of its annual guidance, indicating spending below initial expectations [3]. Supply Chain - NVIDIA reported total revenue of $57.006 billion in Q3 2025, with data center product revenue reaching $51.215 billion, a historical peak, showing a 24.62% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 66.44% year-on-year increase, accounting for over 89% of total revenue [4]. - TSMC's revenue for December 2025 was 335 billion new Taiwan dollars, a 20.4% year-on-year increase but a 2.5% quarter-on-quarter decline, achieving a record high for the same period [4]. - The CPU price index in November 2025 was 99.04, slightly up from 98.20 in October, while DRAM spot prices surged from $27.14 on November 17, 2025, to $66.50 by January 16, 2026, reflecting a more than 145% increase over two months, indicating strong server demand [4]. Application Side - The number of models in use is steadily increasing, with application deployments becoming more frequent. Token usage from January 5 to January 12, 2026, reached 7.65 trillion, an 18.97% increase from the previous period [4]. - In Q3 2025, the release of models such as Grok4Fast, GPT-5nano, and gpt-oss-20B led to a decline of over 50% in the price of tokens for models scoring above 40 on the ArtificialAnalysis intelligence index [4]. Investment Recommendations - The construction of AI data centers is expected to drive demand for HVDC and SST technologies. The global data center installation capacity is projected to increase by approximately 14 GW in 2024, with major cloud providers maintaining high capital expenditures. TSMC's capital expenditure for 2026 is expected to reach $52-56 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 30% [5]. - The increasing power density of data center cabinets is likely to enhance the penetration of HVDC and SST technologies, with smart busbars expected to see widespread adoption [5]. - Recommended stocks include Zhongheng Electric (002364), Oulu Tong (300870), Weiteng Electric (688226), and Sunshine Power (300274). Stocks to watch include Kehua Data (002335), Keda (002518), Kelu Electronics (002121), Magmi Tech (688676), and Sifang Co. (601126) [5].

Group 1: Company Strategy and Product Development - The company has initiated a "Manufacturing Reboot" strategy since 2024, focusing on the R&D of various smart distribution network devices, including modular UPS systems and high-voltage direct current power systems [2] - The company is developing solid-state transformer (SST) products and has a strong technical background, having exported high-voltage frequency converter technology in 2012 [2] - The company has seen a significant increase in supply to data centers and computing centers, with a focus on modular power supply systems and high-voltage direct current power systems [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of Q3 2025, the company reported total revenue of CNY 947 million, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 41.09% [3] - The company achieved a net cash flow from operations exceeding CNY 1 billion, a year-on-year increase of 320% due to faster collection of renewable energy subsidies [3] - The company’s smart distribution network business has a gross margin of approximately 20% and a net profit margin of about 3% [5] Group 3: Market and Sales Strategy - The company aims for a 20% growth in its manufacturing sector orders compared to the previous year, with a focus on large clients and international sales teams [4] - The company has set a revenue growth target of 10% for its renewable energy generation business, supported by ongoing project developments [12] - The company has received over CNY 200 million in national subsidy payments this year, with approximately CNY 1 billion in outstanding subsidy receivables [4] Group 4: New Business Models and Projects - The company is developing a new business model combining distributed wind power and clean energy heating, with a projected internal rate of return exceeding 10% [8] - The company has secured over 300 MW of distributed wind power indicators and is working on five heating project assets [6] - The company has a project pipeline of over 1 GW in construction and an additional 2-3 GW in development for its renewable energy generation business [11] Group 5: International Expansion - The company has successfully bid for key energy projects in Central Asia and Cambodia, and is actively exploring opportunities in Belt and Road countries and ASEAN nations [14] - The company is optimistic about its overseas power generation business and is assessing multiple investment opportunities in wind and solar projects in Southeast Asia and Central Asia [15]

Group 1: Company Strategy and Product Development - The company has initiated a strategic direction called "Manufacturing Industry Restart" since 2024, focusing on the R&D of various smart distribution network devices, including modular UPS systems and high-voltage DC power systems [2][3] - The company is developing solid-state transformer (SST) products and has a strong technical background, having exported high-voltage frequency converter technology in 2012 [2][3] - The company has established a new R&D center in Jiangsu to enhance product competitiveness and reduce transportation costs [4] Group 2: Financial Performance - As of Q3 2025, the company reported total revenue of CNY 947 million, a year-on-year decrease of 2.75%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 43.12 million, down 41.09% [3][4] - The company achieved a significant increase in non-recurring net profit, which rose by 170.88% to CNY 48.01 million [3] - Operating cash flow improved significantly, exceeding CNY 300 million, a year-on-year increase of 320% [3][4] Group 3: Market and Sales Strategy - The company aims for a 20% increase in orders for its manufacturing sector in 2025, with a detailed sales plan in place [4] - The company is focusing on large clients and has begun establishing an overseas sales team to enhance international sales capabilities [4] - The distribution of smart distribution network equipment orders is approximately 1/3 from the grid and 2/3 from outside the grid, with a gross margin of about 20% and a net margin of around 3% [4] Group 4: Renewable Energy and New Projects - The company has received over CNY 200 million in national subsidies for renewable energy this year, with a faster repayment speed [3][5] - The company is developing a new business model combining decentralized wind power and heating, with over 300 MW of wind power indicators reserved [5][6] - The projected internal rate of return for the decentralized wind power and clean energy heating projects is over 10% [5][6] Group 5: Future Outlook and Goals - The company has set revenue growth targets for 2025: 20% for smart distribution networks, 10% for renewable energy, and 10% for comprehensive smart energy [6] - The company is exploring overseas business opportunities, particularly in Central Asia and ASEAN countries, and has successfully bid for a key energy storage project [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively focusing on emerging technologies such as solid-state transformers to seize market opportunities in the distribution equipment sector [1] Group 1: Company Products and Services - The company's distribution equipment business includes high and low voltage busbars, medium and low voltage complete equipment, transformers, and smart components [1] - The company can provide a variety of products for data centers, including power busbars, smart busbars, complete equipment, and components [1]

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with two other departments, has issued the "Power Equipment Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", indicating a strong demand for the power equipment industry due to the global transition to a green and low-carbon energy structure [1] - The main targets for 2025-2026 include maintaining an average revenue growth rate of around 6% for traditional power equipment, ensuring stable growth for new energy equipment, and increasing the export volume of new energy equipment [1][2] - The plan emphasizes the importance of leading regions and enterprises, aiming for an average revenue growth rate of 7% for advanced manufacturing clusters in the power equipment sector and 10% for leading enterprises [1] Industry Growth Targets - The average revenue growth target for traditional power equipment has been adjusted to 6%, lower than the previous plan's target of over 9%, reflecting a slowdown in electricity consumption growth [2] - The export prospects for new energy equipment remain positive despite external uncertainties, with emerging markets outside of Europe and the U.S. presenting significant opportunities [2] Nuclear Power Development - The plan encourages the steady advancement of nuclear power development, with a focus on safely and orderly promoting coastal nuclear power projects [3] - The language used in the current plan suggests a potential acceleration in the pace of nuclear power development compared to previous plans [3] Digital Transformation and Smart Upgrades - The plan calls for the integration of new information technologies with power equipment, promoting green upgrades and digital transformation across the industry [4] - Enhancements in the intelligence of distribution bus systems are crucial for supporting the construction and operation of computing power centers, which are expected to see significant increases in electricity demand due to advancements in artificial intelligence [5][6] Impact of Computing Power Centers - The construction of computing power centers poses challenges for electricity demand, necessitating low-carbon and intelligent support systems [5] - Smart bus technology is identified as a key technology for ensuring high-quality development of computing power centers, improving power distribution reliability, and enhancing energy efficiency [6]