展望后市，东方证券表示，在全球货币宽松周期、资源战略地位提升及新旧产业转型共振下，有色 金属进入供需紧平衡驱动的新周期，走势相对独立。中信建投认为，2026年有色牛市有望再进阶。此 外，中信证券指出，预计供给紧张将望推动铜钴等商品价格继续上行，锂价则受益于储能需求超预期有 望上涨。黄金等贵金属整体看涨思路并未改变，电解铝等年内滞涨品种或将在四季度获得更高关注度。 预计在流动性宽松以及各国加强关键资源获取力度的背景下，大宗商品的投资热度有望延续。 不同的金属，景气度、节奏与驱动点不一致，分化在所难免，揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色龙头 ETF（159876）及其联接基金（017140）标的指数全面覆盖铜、铝、黄金、稀土、锂等行业，相较投资 单一金属行业，能够分散风险，适合作为投资组合的一部分进行配置。 11月19日，揽尽有色金属行业龙头的有色龙头ETF（159876）强势反攻，场内价格盘中一度涨逾 2%，该ETF近3日连续吸金合计1.96亿元，反映大资金看好板块后市，积极进场抢筹。据民生证券统 计，2025年第三季度，公募基金对有色金属板块的持仓比例升至5.69%，环比上季度增加1.43%，达到 2021年以来新高 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent performance of the Shanghai Composite Index, surpassing 4000 points, is driven by strong gains in the non-ferrous metals and chemical sectors, indicating a bullish trend in these industries [1] Group 1: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The Non-Ferrous Metals Leader ETF (159876) saw a price increase of 4.46%, with a trading volume exceeding 580 million yuan, reflecting active market participation [1] - Among the 60 constituent stocks of the Non-Ferrous Metals Leader ETF, 44 companies have reported Q3 results, with 40 achieving profitability and 31 showing year-on-year net profit growth [1] - Industry experts believe that non-ferrous metals are positioned as a key component in the current commodity bull market, driven by long-term capital expenditure cycles and increasing global manufacturing investment [1] Group 2: Chemical Sector - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracked a significant upward trend, with a price increase of over 3% throughout the day, indicating positive market sentiment [1] - The price-to-earnings ratio of the Chemical ETF's underlying index is 20.08, which is at a low point compared to the past decade, suggesting attractive long-term investment opportunities [2] - The chemical industry is expected to enter a recovery phase, with improving demand and low inventory levels, leading to a potential rebound in profitability [2][3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The Non-Ferrous Metals Leader ETF provides diversification across various metals, including copper, gold, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium, making it suitable for portfolio allocation [2] - The Chemical ETF covers a wide range of sub-sectors within the chemical industry, with nearly 50% of its holdings concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, allowing investors to capitalize on strong market leaders [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a strong rebound in the non-ferrous metals sector, driven by price increases announced by two major rare earth companies, resulting in over 17 billion yuan of net inflow from institutional investors [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector ETF (159876) saw a price increase of over 4%, with real-time transaction volume exceeding 110 million yuan, indicating high trading activity [1] - The non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) has attracted 258 million yuan in the last three trading days, reaching a record high fund size of 584 million yuan, making it the largest ETF product in its index [1] Group 2 - China holds a leading position in the rare earth sector, with a projected mining share of 61% of global output in 2024, and over 90% of the refining process concentrated in China [1] - The non-ferrous metals industry maintains a high level of prosperity, with precious metals influenced by factors such as Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, and tariff policies, leading to international gold prices surpassing 4,000 USD [1] - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are experiencing price increases due to supply constraints from Indonesian mine shutdowns and a weak dollar environment, while rare earth prices remain strong due to tightening export control policies [1] Group 3 - Different non-ferrous metals exhibit varying degrees of prosperity, rhythm, and driving factors, leading to inevitable differentiation within the sector [2] - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metals ETF (159876) and its linked fund (017140) allows for better risk management across the entire sector, as it passively tracks the CSI Non-Ferrous Metals Index with significant weightings in copper, gold, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share core indices experienced a pullback after a significant surge, with the non-ferrous metals sector seeing a decline of over 3% in early trading, despite continued strong capital inflow into the sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector's leading ETF (159876) saw its decline narrow to 1.2% after an initial drop [1] - On October 9, the non-ferrous metals leading ETF (159876) attracted 117 million yuan in a single day, raising its total fund size to 493 million yuan, a new historical high [1] - As of the report, the non-ferrous metals leading ETF (159876) received real-time net subscriptions exceeding 63 million units [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - CITIC Securities suggests focusing on investment opportunities within the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting the recent surge in gold prices during the holiday period [1] - The rise in international gold prices is attributed to short-term fluctuations caused by the U.S. government shutdown, political changes in Japan, ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and global central banks' continued gold purchases [1] - Copper prices have also strengthened recently due to supply shortages and the logic of computational revolution [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Looking ahead, CITIC Securities indicates that the monetary easing from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, along with domestic initiatives to optimize production factors and improve profitability across various sectors, will facilitate the transmission of rising metal prices to downstream markets [1] Group 4: Sector Diversification - Different non-ferrous metals exhibit varying degrees of market conditions, rhythms, and driving factors, leading to inevitable differentiation [2] - A diversified approach through the non-ferrous metals leading ETF (159876) and its linked fund (017140) allows for better capture of the sector's beta performance, with the index weights for copper, gold, aluminum, rare earths, and lithium at 27.6%, 14.5%, 13.1%, 10.4%, and 8.4% respectively [2] - This diversified strategy helps mitigate risks compared to investing in a single metal sector [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant inflow of funds into the non-ferrous metals sector, particularly through the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876), which has seen a year-to-date increase of over 50% as of September 16, 2023 [1][2] - On September 15, 2023, spot gold reached a historical high of $3678.89 per ounce, marking a milestone in global financial asset pricing, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and increased market risk aversion [1] - Analysts suggest that the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts will lead to a depreciation of the dollar, making dollar-denominated metals cheaper and boosting global demand, while also reducing borrowing costs for companies, thereby increasing demand for industrial metals like copper and aluminum [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities forecasts that the ongoing monetary easing from the Federal Reserve, combined with domestic policies aimed at optimizing production factors and improving profitability, will support upward price transmission for metals [2] - As of the end of August, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) and its linked fund (017140) have significant weightings in copper (25.3%), aluminum (14.2%), rare earths (13.8%), gold (13.6%), and lithium (7.6%), which helps to diversify risk compared to investing in single metal sectors [2] - The latest scale of the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) reached a historical high of 281 million yuan as of September 15, 2023 [2]