每经AI快讯，1月6日，沪铜主力合约日内大涨4%，现报10.44万元/吨。 ...

12月31日（周三），伦敦金属交易所(LME)期铜周三小幅下跌，但预计2025年，期铜料录得自2009年以 来最大年线涨幅，且为基本金属总表现最好者，因供应忧虑和AI繁荣和能源唤醒等引发的需求增长预 期。 作为"万物电气化"的主要受益者之一，由于美国关税的不确定性和对可能限制供应的矿山生产中断的担 忧，铜价今年迄今已飙升逾42%。 三个月期铜最新跌0.49%，报每吨12,497美元。 沪铜主力合约周三收高0.84%，报每吨98,240元，今年累计上涨33.27%。 今年铜价数度突破关键水准，触及纪录新高，主要是受矿山生产中断，比如自由港旗下印尼旗舰 Grasberg铜金矿一度暂停生产，这推动铜价走升。 周三LME三个月期铝上涨0.44%，料录得逾17%的年线涨幅。沪铝主力合约周三收盘上涨2.25%，今年 累计上涨14.65%。 预计镍价将自2023年以来首度录得年线涨幅，因印尼政府计划削减2026年矿业出口配额，以支撑价格。 三个月期镍下跌1.35%，最新报每吨16,600美元，今年料录得逾8%的年线涨幅。沪镍主力合约周三收高 2.44%，年线涨幅为4.93%。 其他基本金属方面，三个月期锌下跌0.24%，而 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese commodity market experienced a significant surge in prices for precious and non-ferrous metals, with multiple products reaching historical highs, driven by various market factors and government policy announcements [2][9][12]. Group 1: Price Movements - Precious metals and non-ferrous metals collectively surged, with platinum futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange hitting a record high of 709.85 yuan per gram, marking a monthly increase of 61.9% [2]. - Silver futures also rose sharply, reaching 18,658 yuan per kilogram, with a total trading volume of 267.69 billion yuan, making it the largest contract by trading volume in the futures market [4]. - Copper futures peaked at 99,730 yuan per ton, closing at 98,720 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3.60% increase [5]. - Lithium carbonate futures surged by 8.12%, reaching a new high of 131,000 yuan per ton since November 2023 [6]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The recent surge in non-ferrous metals prices was catalyzed by a government announcement emphasizing the optimization of traditional industries, which raised expectations for a contraction in supply growth for aluminum and copper [9]. - International macroeconomic factors, including expectations of a shift in U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy and rising geopolitical tensions, have also contributed to increased demand for precious metals as safe-haven assets [12][13]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The copper market is expected to face supply constraints due to recent mining accidents and declining ore grades, which are anticipated to drive prices higher in the long term [13]. - The zinc market is showing signs of recovery, with expectations of increased supply from new smelting capacities and a potential tightening of supply by 2026, which could lead to a bullish trend in zinc prices [14]. Group 4: Industry Performance - The non-ferrous metals industry is projected to see significant revenue growth, with a reported income of 2.82 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.3% [17]. - The net profit for the industry is expected to rise by 41.55%, with energy metals showing the most substantial profit growth of 385.53% year-on-year [17]. Group 5: Investment Strategies - Investment strategies are focusing on companies with strong resource reserves, scale, and integrated supply chains, while suggesting a cautious approach for retail investors during market volatility [19]. - Recommendations include building a diversified portfolio with leading copper and aluminum companies, gold ETFs for hedging, and targeting undervalued mining companies for potential value appreciation [19]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The non-ferrous metals market is anticipated to enter a sustained bull market in 2026, driven by global economic recovery and improved supply-demand dynamics [20].

上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限量发放！先到先得！ 12月26日上午， A股市场冲高回落， 上证指数跳水转跌，创业板指回吐早盘近1%涨幅。截 至午间收盘，沪指跌0.19%，深成指涨0.17%，创业板指跌0.15%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3952.09 | 13554.07 | 1459.17 | | -7.53 -0.19% +22.66 +0.17% | | +1.21 +0.08% | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1342.12 | 3234.63 | 6407.02 | | -6.94 -0.51% -4.72 -0.15% -0.15% -2.87 -0.04% | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4643.95 | 7415.97 | 5646.41 | | +1.41 +0.03% +5.26 +0.07% +9.67 +0.17% | | | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 7570.90 | 5864.85 ...

中国基金报记者 李智 一起来看下上午的市场情况及最新资讯。 12月26日上午，A股市场冲高回落，上证指数跳水转跌，创业板指回吐早盘近1%涨幅。截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.19%，深成指涨0.17%，创业板指跌 0.15%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | | 北证50 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3952.09 | 13554.07 | | 1459.17 | | | -7.53 -0.19% +22.66 +0.17% +1.21 +0.08% | | | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | | 万得全A | | | 1342.12 | 3234.63 | | 6407.02 | | | -6.94 -0.51% -4.72 -0.15% -0.15% -2.87 -0.04% | | | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | | 中证A500 | | | 4643.95 | 7415.97 | | 5646.41 | | | +1.41 +0.03% +5.26 +0.07% +9.67 +0.17% | | | | | | 中证1000 | 深证10 ...

【导读】A股市场冲高回落，有色板块震荡拉升，商业航天板块再度活跃 中国基金报记者 李智 一起来 看下上午的市场情况及最新资讯。 12月26日上午， A股市场冲高回落， 上证指数跳水转跌，创业板指回吐早盘近1%涨幅。截至午间收盘，沪指跌0.19%，深成指涨 0.17%，创业板指跌0.15%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 北证50 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3952.09 | 13554.07 | 1459.17 | | -7.53 -0.19% +22.66 +0.17% +1.21 +0.08% | | | | 科创50 | 创业板指 | 万得全A | | 1342.12 | 3234.63 | 6407.02 | | -6.94 -0.51% -4.72 -0.15% -2.87 -0.04% | | | | 沪深300 | 中证500 | 中证A500 | | 4643.95 | 7415.97 | 5646.41 | | +1.41 +0.03% | +5.26 +0.07% | +9.67 +0.17% | | 中证1000 | 深证100 | 中证红利 | | 7570.9 ...

2025.12.26 本文字数：1430，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |一财阿驴 11:31 A股午盘丨沪指午前小幅跳水半日跌0.19% 截至午盘，沪指跌0.19%，深成指涨0.17%，创业板指跌0.15%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 7 | 3952.09 | -7.53 | -0.19% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | হ | 13554.07 | 22.66 | 0.17% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | W | 3234.63 | -4.72 | -0.15% | 盘面上，AI产业链集体回调，CPO、液冷、高速铜概念跌幅居前，机器人、光刻机等科技类题材普遍休 整；锂电池产业链逆势爆发，有色行业集体加速，洛阳钼业、紫金矿业双双历史新高，商业航天概念开 始分化。 | 板块名称 | 涨幅号 | 涨速 | 张停数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 海南自贸区 | +3.83% | +0.48% | 4 | | 海南 | ...

2025.12. 26 本文字数：1430，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 一财 阿驴 11:31 A股午盘丨沪指午前小幅跳水半日跌0.19% 截至午盘，沪指跌0.19%，深成指涨0.17%，创业板指跌0.15%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 5 | 3952.09 | -7.53 | -0.19% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | ﺟ | 13554.07 | 22.66 | 0.17% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 14 | 3234.63 | -4.72 | -0.15% | 盘面上，AI产业链集体回调，CPO、液冷、高速铜概念跌幅居前，机器人、光刻机等科技类题材普 遍休整；锂电池产业链逆势爆发，有色行业集体加速，洛阳钼业、紫金矿业双双历史新高，商业航天 概念开始分化。 | 板块名称 | 涨幅号 | 涨速 | 涨停数 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 海南自贸区 | +3.83% | +0.48% | પ | | ...

每经AI快讯，沪铜主力合约短线下挫，日内跌幅扩大至1.26%，现报92410元/吨。国际铜主力合约日内 走低1000元，现报82980.00元/吨，跌幅1.19%。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report does not provide a unified industry - wide investment rating. Instead, it gives specific investment suggestions for different metals: - Copper: Suggests waiting and seeing or trading in a light - position range [3] - Aluminum: Recommends waiting and seeing [3] - Zinc: Advises range trading [3] - Lead: Recommends range trading and being cautious and bearish [3] - Nickel: Suggests cautious short - holding or waiting and seeing [4] - Stainless steel: Recommends waiting and seeing [4] - Tin: Advises cautious range trading [4] - Industrial silicon: Recommends waiting and seeing [4] - Polysilicon: Suggests low - buying and high - selling [4] - Lithium carbonate: Recommends exiting and waiting and seeing [4] 2. Report's Core View - The macro - environment has a significant impact on metal prices. For example, the uncertainty of the Fed's policy and geopolitical conflicts affect market sentiment. At the same time, the fundamentals of supply and demand also play a crucial role in determining metal prices. Some metals are facing supply - side challenges such as production cuts or disruptions, while others are affected by changes in downstream demand. Overall, the market is complex and volatile, and different metals show different trends and investment opportunities [3][4]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Metals Market Analysis 3.1.1 Copper - Price trend: The Shanghai copper main contract continues to show a high - level volatile pattern. In the short term, it will remain at 85,000 - 88,000. The long - term demand outlook is optimistic, but in the short term, it is necessary to be vigilant about the suppression of consumption by high copper prices and the pressure brought by changes in the Fed's policy expectations [3]. - Fundamentals: Market consumption has improved recently, and social inventories have declined. The focus has shifted to the long - term contract negotiation of mines. Freeport - McMoRan plans to resume large - scale production in the Grasberg mine in Indonesia in the second quarter of 2026, which is expected to ease the anxiety about mine - end supply [3]. 3.1.2 Aluminum - Price trend: The price has fallen from a high level. The aluminum price is expected to fluctuate at the current position. - Fundamentals: The price of bauxite in Shanxi and Henan is stable, while the price of imported bauxite in Guinea has decreased. The operating capacity of alumina has increased, and the inventory has also increased. The operating capacity of electrolytic aluminum remains unchanged. Some enterprises have carried out production reduction and technological transformation. The downstream demand is gradually entering the off - season, and the inventory of aluminum ingots has decreased slightly [3]. 3.1.3 Zinc - Price trend: The zinc price has fluctuated weakly in the range of 22,000 - 22,800 yuan/ton. - Fundamentals: The processing fees of domestic and imported zinc mines have continued to decline, and there are expectations of production cuts. Terminal consumption is weak, and the inventory is still at a high level [3]. 3.1.4 Lead - Price trend: The Shanghai lead main contract shows a bearish trend and is expected to fluctuate weakly after a rapid decline. The reference range is 16,800 - 17,300 yuan/ton. - Fundamentals: The supply of Shanghai lead has decreased, and the prices of lead concentrate, lead ingots, and waste batteries have all declined. With the completion of the first large - capacity all - solid - state battery production line in China, the market is affected [3]. 3.1.5 Nickel - Price trend: The price has declined widely and is expected to continue to decline. - Fundamentals: The global refined nickel has continued to accumulate inventory. The price of nickel ore is stable, the price of nickel iron has declined, and the pattern of nickel iron surplus continues. The downstream stainless steel is in the off - season, with weak demand and continuous increase in inventory. The price of nickel sulfate has slightly declined, and the demand is weak [4]. 3.1.6 Tin - Price trend: The price shows a high - level volatile pattern and is expected to rise overall. The reference range is 280,000 - 300,000 yuan/ton. - Fundamentals: The domestic refined tin production has increased year - on - year, and the import of tin concentrate has increased month - on - month. The export of refined tin in Indonesia has decreased. The semiconductor industry is expected to continue to recover, and the inventory is at a medium level. The supply of tin ore is expected to improve [4]. 3.1.7 Industrial Silicon and Related Products - Price trend: Industrial silicon is at high risk and is recommended to wait and see; polysilicon is recommended for low - buying and high - selling. - Fundamentals: The production of industrial silicon has decreased, and the inventory of polysilicon has increased. The production of organic silicon has increased, and enterprises have reached a price - holding consensus and formulated production - cut measures. The production of the photovoltaic industry chain is expected to decline slightly [4]. 3.1.8 Lithium Carbonate - Price trend: The price has risen and then fallen, and it is expected to fluctuate strongly. - Fundamentals: The supply of lithium carbonate is in a tight balance. The production in October has increased month - on - month, and the import has also changed. The downstream demand is strong, especially in the energy storage field. However, there are still uncertainties in the mining rights of Yichun mines [4]. 3.2 Macroeconomic Data - The report provides a series of macro - economic data, including the US economic data (such as the New York Fed manufacturing index, durable goods orders, unemployment rate, etc.), euro - zone inflation data, and China's loan market quotation rate (LPR). These data reflect the current economic situation of different regions and have an impact on the metal market [12][15][16].