情绪消费热潮不减，广州零售市场正加速回暖。 近日，广州市统计局公布广州经济运行数据显示，1-5月广州全市实现社会消费品零售总额4699.94亿 元，同比增长5.1%，比1-4月提升1.1个百分点。其中，体育娱乐用品类（36.2%）、文化办公用品类 （57.6%）、电子出版物及音像制品类（1.0倍）等文体娱乐商品消费畅旺，零售额均实现30%以上的正 增长。 市场端也出现相同信号。6月26日，戴德梁行发布2025上半年度广州零售市场回顾及展望报告（以下简 称：报告）显示，上半年广州消费持续回暖，全市购物中心存量突破600万平方米，核心商圈空置率微 降至5.6%，消费类REITs年内综合收益突破34.1%。广州人的"买买买"热情正持续升温。 当消费结构发生质变，情绪消费占比飙升，商业项目也在积极拥抱消费者的情绪价值。孙斌表示，未来 广州K11 Select、白鹅潭万象城、聚龙湾太古里等新商业项目也将陆续入市，跳脱传统购物中心的做 法，以"情绪价值"为核心定位，提供差异化场景，彻底打破广州单核时代的载体稀缺困局。 消费市场的回暖也带动消费类REITs底层资产交出亮眼表现。报告显示，2025年上市的8支REITs，平均 ...

止跌回稳定调行业，静待投资端变化——地产行业 2025 年中期投资策略 20250622 摘要 央行维持 MLF 利率不变，释放流动性，或促使银行下调商业贷款利率。 金融监管总局强调对高品质住宅资金供给，加快出台与房地产发展新模 式相匹配的融资制度。 现房销售政策拉长开发周期至 2-3 年，增加市场不确定性。住建部强调 城市更新，财政部等加大资金支持，房地产市场将从无到有进化到从有 到优，以品质住宅为主导。 专项债落地速度未达预期，截至 2025 年 6 月，不同省市使用专项债收 购存量土地规模约 4,000 亿元，但实际完成交易额度仅 700 亿元，未来 政府或加强推进力度。 REITs 常态化发行提速，底层资产范围扩大，类型多样化。中证 REITs 指数今年以来涨幅达 9.07%，优于股债两市，波动性居股债之间，相对 可控。 推荐保障房类及消费类 REITs，二级市场表现稳定且分红稳定性较高。 今年一季度保障房类 REITs 营收同比增长 15%，可供分配资金同比增长 11%，韧性明显。 Q&A 当前市场关注的地产政策主要有四个方面。首先是央行的政策，包括降准和降 息，下调结构性货币政策工具利率以及公积金 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the importance of boosting domestic demand through consumption and investment, with financial services playing a crucial role in this process [1] - The 2025 government work report identifies "expanding domestic demand" as a top priority, highlighting the need for financial mechanisms to support consumption upgrades [1] - A roundtable discussion at the "2025 Deep Blue Media Think Tank Annual Forum" focused on how finance can stimulate domestic demand and consumption [1] Group 2 - Xue Hongyan from Star Map Financial Research Institute suggests that financial institutions should enhance marketing precision and utilize big data for better customer matching to meet consumer needs [3] - He also points out that banks should explore middle and high-risk customer segments as potential growth areas for consumer loans, especially as the economic recovery progresses [3] - The People's Bank of China announced a 500 billion yuan tool to support service consumption and elderly care, indicating a proactive approach to enhancing consumer finance [4] Group 3 - Chen Jinghao from Xinhua Insurance highlights the importance of "ecosystem" in the insurance industry, focusing on customer needs throughout their life cycle to enhance insurance uptake [6] - He emphasizes that insurance products should align with consumers' life stages and financial responsibilities, suggesting tailored coverage for different age groups [6][7] - Chen also notes that government policies, such as urban inclusive insurance and personal pension products, can alleviate financial pressure on consumers and boost spending capacity [7] Group 4 - Qi Wei from Guangfa Bank indicates that the focus of consumer loans is shifting towards service upgrades and innovative scenarios, with banks enhancing user experience through features like "borrow and repay" [9] - He envisions a future where banks can implement dynamic credit assessments based on borrowers' financial changes, improving the flexibility of loan terms [10] - Qi also discusses the potential for integrating green consumption with consumer loans, supporting sustainable development goals [10] Group 5 - Shi Jianxing from CICC Yinyi highlights the advantages of consumer REITs, including mandatory dividend distributions and low investment thresholds, making them accessible to ordinary investors [12] - He notes that consumer REITs are directly linked to residential consumption demand, presenting a stable investment opportunity amid policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption [12][13] - Shi advises investors to focus on the quality of underlying assets and management capabilities rather than short-term speculation, emphasizing the importance of thorough research [13]

Core Viewpoint - The report "Financial Reshaping Consumption Power" emphasizes the necessity of boosting consumption in the context of economic transformation, highlighting the role of the financial industry in transitioning from mere "funding supply" to "ecosystem construction" [1][4]. Group 1: Consumption Boosting as an Economic Imperative - The need to boost consumption has shifted from an optional strategy to a mandatory requirement due to significant changes in the global economic landscape and domestic economic transformation [3]. - In 2024, the contribution rate of final consumption expenditure to economic growth in China is projected to be 44.5%, a notable decline from 2023 [3]. Group 2: Financial Role in Consumption Enhancement - The core logic for boosting consumption is encapsulated in the concepts of "ability to consume," "willingness to consume," and "daring to consume," which are interrelated and essential for a comprehensive approach to consumption enhancement [4]. - Financial mechanisms can effectively alleviate budget constraints through consumer credit, thereby facilitating the realization of consumption desires and stimulating economic circulation [4][5]. - The report warns against excessive financialization, which could lead to risks such as capital idling and squeezing real consumption demand [4]. Group 3: Financial Product and Service Diversification - Financial institutions are encouraged to provide a diverse range of products and services to lower consumption barriers and meet the varied needs of consumers, thereby unleashing consumption potential and driving overall economic expansion [6][7]. - The report identifies credit policies as a primary tool for boosting consumption, noting a significant drop in loan interest rates from the "3" range to the "2" range due to competitive pressures [7][8]. Group 4: Institutional Transformation and Collaboration - Financial institutions are transitioning from a focus on "traffic competition" to "ecosystem co-construction," with banks and consumer finance companies diversifying their offerings to enhance user engagement [11][12]. - The rise of consumption-related REITs has become a new highlight in the capital market, with an average increase of over 30% in the first quarter of 2025 [12]. Group 5: Innovation and Risk Management in Financial Services - Financial technology is seen as a key to breaking through existing challenges, with significant improvements in digital risk control models leading to lower non-performing loan rates [13]. - The report emphasizes the importance of balancing policy incentives with risk prevention to maintain a healthy cycle between consumption finance and the real economy [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The forum highlighted the unique advantages and future development prospects of consumption REITs, emphasizing their role in expanding domestic demand and promoting consumption in the context of economic recovery [1][3]. Group 1: Advantages of REITs - REITs provide a mandatory annual distribution of at least 90% of the distributable amount to investors, ensuring long-term and stable cash flow [3]. - Listed REITs offer liquidity and can be traded in the secondary market like stocks, making them accessible for investors [3]. - The investment threshold for REITs is low, typically starting from a few hundred yuan, allowing ordinary individuals to participate [3]. Group 2: Consumption REITs Potential - Consumption REITs are seen as investment tools with stable returns and asset appreciation potential, particularly relevant in the context of domestic consumption and policy support [3]. - These REITs primarily invest in shopping centers, department stores, outlet malls, farmers' markets, and community commercial infrastructures, directly linked to consumer demand [3]. - The potential market size for consumption REITs is significant, with expectations that they will become the largest and most market-oriented segment among property REITs in the future [3]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - Consumption REITs offer ordinary investors the opportunity to engage in core commercial real estate with small amounts of capital, emphasizing the importance of underlying asset quality and management capabilities over short-term trading [4]. - Investors are encouraged to adopt a rational investment approach, thoroughly understanding product risks and characteristics through disclosure documents like fund contracts and prospectuses [4].

01 基金经理最新动态 1、万民远减仓阳光诺和 4月24日数据显示，阳光诺和最新公布的前十大流通股东名单中，万民远的融通健康产业混合现身，持股数量比一季度末减少10.8万股。 2、原招商基金基金经理马龙正式加盟天弘基金 5月13日，据业内人士透露，原招商基金首席固定收益投资官、基金经理马龙已正式加盟天弘基金，坊间传言最终落定。据了解，待静默期结束之后，马 龙将继续在固收投研一线从事基金管理工作。 3、华泰柏瑞总经理韩勇卸任 近日，华泰柏瑞发布公告称，总经理韩勇因工作调整卸任，由董事长贾波代行总经理职责。这一调整标志着这家管理规模超6000亿元的头部公募基金公司 进入管理层新老交替阶段。 02 近日，多家基金公司发布公告，旗下红利主题基金暂停大额申购。截至今年一季度末，红利基金总规模达2513.67亿元，再创新高。 2、"固收+"基金产品规模增长明显 截至5月12日，市场上"固收+"基金数量已经超过1700只，整体产品规模较去年年末增长超1400亿元。从业绩来看，部分"固收+"基金年内业绩表现突出， 年内收益率超过10%。 3、私募迎备案热潮，百亿量化私募成备案主力，私募登记却冷清 截至4月30日，年内新登记私 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][71]. Core Viewpoints - Consumer infrastructure REITs have shown strong performance due to favorable fundamentals and policy expectations, with the CSI REITs total return index ranking high among asset classes since the beginning of the year [3][7]. - The operating conditions of consumer infrastructure REITs are stable and improving, with high occupancy and collection rates, and several REITs exceeding revenue forecasts for 2024 [3][18]. - The domestic consumer REITs are entering a "stock + incremental" dual-drive phase, with new categories and foreign players entering the market, indicating growth potential [3][48][60]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Consumer infrastructure REITs have benefitted from a low interest rate environment and effective consumer promotion policies, leading to increased investor interest [3][10]. - The rental rates and collection rates for consumer REITs remain high, with notable performance from 华夏华润商业REIT and 华夏大悦城商业REIT [3][13][21]. - The introduction of new asset types, such as the first public REIT for agricultural markets, indicates diversification in the consumer REIT sector [3][53][56]. New Phase: Expansion and Foreign Players - 华夏华润商业REIT has initiated an expansion plan, marking the first public REIT expansion in the consumer sector, which is expected to enhance asset stability [3][48]. - The valuation of the昆山万象汇 project is estimated at approximately 2.055 billion, indicating a competitive position among existing REITs [3][50]. - The entry of foreign players, such as 凯德投资, into the consumer REIT market is expected to enhance growth prospects [3][60][62]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality shopping center operators and related consumer infrastructure REITs, which are expected to maintain high occupancy and stable sales [3][69].