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突发!美元大跳水
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-12 00:32
Core Points - The US dollar index experienced a sudden decline on the evening of November 11, leading to a rise in non-US currencies [1][3] - The ADP reported a weekly average reduction of 11,250 jobs in the private sector for the four weeks ending October 25, indicating a deterioration in the labor market [4][5] - The report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas highlighted that the number of announced layoffs in October was the highest for that month in over two decades, raising concerns about labor market health [5] - A survey by the University of Michigan revealed that 71% of respondents expect the unemployment rate to rise in the next year, the highest percentage since 1980 [5] - Goldman Sachs economists estimate that non-farm employment in the US may decrease by 50,000 in October, considering employees participating in the government "deferred resignation plan" [5] - The latest employment data has increased expectations for interest rate cuts, with a nearly 70% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December [6]
伊以局势降温,原油多头占比居高不下;市场传闻特朗普可能设立“影子美联储主席”,降息预期料支撑黄金,后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-26 02:49
Group 1 - The situation between Israel and Palestine is cooling down, while the long positions in crude oil remain high [1] - Market rumors suggest that Trump may establish a "shadow Federal Reserve Chairman," which is expected to support gold due to anticipated interest rate cuts [1] Group 2 - The sentiment in various indices shows a significant disparity between long and short positions, with the Nasdaq index having 77% long positions and 23% short positions [3] - The S&P 500 index shows 27% long positions compared to 73% short positions, indicating a bearish sentiment [3] - The Dow Jones index has 69% long positions, suggesting a more favorable outlook compared to the S&P 500 [3] - The Hang Seng index shows a balanced sentiment with 55% long and 45% short positions [3] - The DAX 40 index has 53% long positions, indicating a slight bullish sentiment [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has 16% long positions and 84% short positions, reflecting a strong bearish sentiment [4] - The GBP/USD pair shows a contrasting sentiment with 84% long positions and 16% short positions [4] - The USD/JPY pair has 59% long positions, indicating a more balanced outlook [4]
美国上诉法院裁定特朗普关税在上诉期间或继续生效,嘉盛市场情绪指数显示,现货黄金多头占比仍超过60%,道指空头占比达67%。后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-11 02:48
Group 1 - The U.S. Court of Appeals has ruled that tariffs imposed by Trump may continue to be effective during the appeal process [1] - The market sentiment index from GAIN Capital shows that over 60% of the positions in spot gold are long [1] - The Dow Jones index has a short position ratio of 67% [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a long position ratio of 63% and a short position ratio of 37% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a long position ratio of 75% and a short position ratio of 25% [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a long position ratio of 85% and a short position ratio of 15% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has a long position ratio of 49% and a short position ratio of 51% [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a long position ratio of 38% and a short position ratio of 62% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a long position ratio of 22% and a short position ratio of 78% [3] - The Euro/GBP pair has a long position ratio of 72% and a short position ratio of 28% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 17% and a short position ratio of 83% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair has a long position ratio of 27% and a short position ratio of 73% [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a long position ratio of 19% and a short position ratio of 81% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 35% and a short position ratio of 65% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 36% and a short position ratio of 64% [3] - The USD/CAD pair has a long position ratio of 75% and a short position ratio of 25% [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a long position ratio of 92% and a short position ratio of 8% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a long position ratio of 50% and a short position ratio of 50% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 49% and a short position ratio of 51% [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 33% and a short position ratio of 67% [4] - The NZD/USD pair has a long position ratio of 54% and a short position ratio of 46% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a long position ratio of 52% and a short position ratio of 48% [4] - The USD/CNH pair has a long position ratio of 34% and a short position ratio of 66% [4]
伊朗称美国有关伊核协议的方案“不可接受” ,嘉盛市场情绪指数显示,现货黄金和美国原油多头占比均超过60%。后市市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-10 02:40
Group 1 - Iran has declared the U.S. proposal regarding the nuclear agreement as "unacceptable" [1] - The market sentiment index from GAIN Capital indicates that both spot gold and U.S. crude oil bulls exceed 60% [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 40% and bearish sentiment of 60% [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 70% and bearish sentiment of 30% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 77% and bearish sentiment of 23% [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 28% and bearish sentiment of 72% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a balanced sentiment with 50% bullish and 50% bearish [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 31% and bearish sentiment of 69% [3] Group 3 - The EUR/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 29% and bearish sentiment of 71% [3] - The EUR/GBP pair shows a bullish sentiment of 76% and bearish sentiment of 24% [3] - The EUR/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 18% and bearish sentiment of 82% [3] - The EUR/AUD pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 39% and bearish sentiment of 61% [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 19% and bearish sentiment of 81% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 29% and bearish sentiment of 71% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 62% and bearish sentiment of 38% [3] - The USD/CAD pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 29% and bearish sentiment of 71% [3] - The USD/CHF pair shows a bullish sentiment of 7% and bearish sentiment of 93% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 42% and bearish sentiment of 58% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 58% and bearish sentiment of 42% [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 60% and bearish sentiment of 40% [4] - The NZD/USD pair reflects a bullish sentiment of 54% and bearish sentiment of 46% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 39% and bearish sentiment of 61% [4] - The USD/CNH pair has a bullish sentiment of 48% and bearish sentiment of 52% [4]
国际金价仍维持高位,多头情绪进一步增强,当前占比约7成。油价昨日收涨约1.5%,上行动能稍有减弱,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-04 02:25
Group 1 - International gold prices remain high, with bullish sentiment increasing, currently at approximately 70% [1] - Oil prices rose by about 1.5% yesterday, although upward momentum has slightly weakened [1] Group 2 - Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 20% and bearish sentiment of 80% [3] - Nasdaq Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 77% and a bearish sentiment of 23% [3] - Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 53% and bearish sentiment of 47% [3] - German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] Group 3 - Euro/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - Euro/GBP currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 77% and bearish sentiment of 23% [4] - Euro/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - Euro/AUD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/USD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - USD/JPY currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [4] - USD/CAD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - USD/CHF currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 17% and bearish sentiment of 83% [4] Group 4 - AUD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 39% and bearish sentiment of 61% [4] - AUD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [4] - CAD/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 65% and bearish sentiment of 35% [4] - NZD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 47% and bearish sentiment of 53% [4] - NZD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 67% and bearish sentiment of 33% [4] - USD/CNH currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 23% and bearish sentiment of 77% [4]
美国政府再就关税释放积极信息,哈塞特称:对某些国家的关税可能降至10%或更低;美国佛州州长签署法案,承认金银为法定货币,现货黄金在昨日跌破3300美元关口后,今日亚盘略有回升,当前多空形势仍不明朗,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-05-28 03:12
Group 1 - The U.S. government has released positive signals regarding tariffs, with Hassett stating that tariffs on certain countries may be reduced to 10% or lower [1] - Florida's governor has signed a law recognizing gold and silver as legal tender, which may influence market dynamics [1] - Spot gold prices dipped below $3,300 but showed slight recovery in the Asian session, indicating an unclear market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment with 72% long positions and 28% short positions [3] - The S&P 500 Index has 74% long positions compared to 26% short positions, indicating strong bullish sentiment [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a significant bearish sentiment with 78% short positions [3] - The Dow Jones Index is evenly split with 50% long and 50% short positions [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a slight bearish sentiment with 53% short positions [3] - The DAX 40 Index has a strong bearish sentiment with 86% short positions [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has 36% long positions and 64% short positions, indicating a bearish outlook [4] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a strong bearish sentiment with 88% short positions [4] - The Euro/JPY pair has 72% long positions, suggesting a bullish outlook [4] - The GBP/USD pair has 23% long positions and 77% short positions, indicating a bearish sentiment [4] - The USD/JPY pair has 40% long positions and 60% short positions, suggesting a bearish outlook [4] - The USD/CAD pair shows a slight bearish sentiment with 56% short positions [4] - The USD/CHF pair has a strong bullish sentiment with 87% long positions [4]
美国4月CPI温和上涨,但在关税背景下,通胀前景仍不明朗,特朗普再次施加降息压力。受此影响,现货黄金收涨于3250美元,目前市场情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-05-14 03:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights a moderate increase in the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April, indicating an unclear inflation outlook amidst tariff impacts and renewed pressure from Trump for interest rate cuts [1] - The current market sentiment is reflected in the rise of spot gold prices, which have reached 3250 USD [1] Group 2 - The sentiment analysis of various indices shows a significant bullish outlook for the Nasdaq index at 82%, while the Dow Jones index has a more balanced sentiment with 55% bullish and 45% bearish [3] - The Hang Seng Index shows a strong bullish sentiment at 79%, indicating positive market expectations [3] - In the foreign exchange market, the Euro to US Dollar pair has a bearish sentiment with 72% of positions being short, while the British Pound to US Dollar pair shows a strong bullish sentiment at 84% [3][4]
特朗普关税谈判新进展压制黄金上涨势头,两日大涨后开始回落,目前多头占据微弱优势,凌晨美联储利率决议将发出何种信号?后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-05-07 02:44
Group 1 - The recent developments in US-China tariff negotiations have suppressed the upward momentum of gold prices, which experienced a significant increase over the past two days before starting to decline [1] - Currently, the bullish sentiment in the market is slightly prevailing, with attention on the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision and its potential implications for market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 72% compared to 28% bearish, while the S&P 500 Index has 59% bullish and 41% bearish sentiment [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a significant bearish sentiment with 84% compared to 16% bullish, while the Dow Jones Index shows a more balanced sentiment with 56% bullish and 44% bearish [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index has a bullish sentiment of 53% against 47% bearish, and the German DAX 40 Index shows a strong bearish sentiment of 84% compared to 16% bullish [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 79% against 21% bullish, while the Euro/GBP pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 69% compared to 31% bearish [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has 59% bullish and 41% bearish sentiment, while the Euro/AUD pair shows 39% bullish against 61% bearish [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 77% compared to 23% bullish, and the GBP/JPY pair is nearly balanced with 49% bullish and 51% bearish [3] - The USD/JPY pair shows a balanced sentiment of 49% bullish and 51% bearish, while the USD/CAD pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 76% against 24% bearish [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a very strong bullish sentiment of 90% compared to 10% bearish [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair shows a nearly balanced sentiment with 51% bullish and 49% bearish, while the AUD/JPY pair has a bullish sentiment of 60% against 40% bearish [4] - The CAD/JPY pair shows a slight bullish sentiment of 52% compared to 48% bearish, while the NZD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 60% against 40% bearish [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a strong bearish sentiment of 67% compared to 33% bullish, and the USD/CNH pair shows a very strong bullish sentiment of 86% against 14% bearish [4]
黄金周二亚盘大涨50美金,多头情绪仍占优,美股股指隔夜结束九连涨,美联储决议前资金流动是否转向?后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-05-06 02:37
Group 1 - Gold prices surged by $50 during the Asian trading session, indicating a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market [1] - U.S. stock indices ended a nine-day rally, raising questions about potential shifts in capital flows ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 78%, while the S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 37% [3] - The Nasdaq Index has a strong bullish sentiment at 79%, contrasting with the Dow Jones Index at 36% bullish sentiment [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index reflects a neutral sentiment at 50% [3] - The DAX 40 Index shows a bearish sentiment of 78% [3] Group 3 - In the forex market, the Euro/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 60%, while the Euro/GBP pair shows a bearish sentiment of 67% [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a significant bearish sentiment at 85% [3] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 76% [3] - The USD/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 56% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 55%, while the AUD/JPY pair shows a bearish sentiment of 58% [4] - The NZD/USD pair reflects a neutral sentiment at 50% [4] - The offshore RMB/USD pair has a strong bearish sentiment at 87% [4]
现货黄金昨日一度逼近3200美元关口,现反弹至3250美元,空头情绪仍稍有升温。欧佩克4月原油产量不增反减,美、布两油今日均涨超1%,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-05-02 03:26
Group 1 - Spot gold prices approached $3200 before rebounding to $3250, indicating a slight increase in bearish sentiment [1] - OPEC's April crude oil production decreased rather than increased, leading to over 1% gains in both WTI and Brent crude oil prices [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 82% compared to 18% bearish [3] - The S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 23% and bearish sentiment of 77% [3] - The Nasdaq Index reflects a bullish sentiment of 40% and bearish sentiment of 60% [3] - The Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 45% and bearish sentiment of 55% [3] - The Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 59% and bearish sentiment of 41% [3] - The German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 26% and bearish sentiment of 74% [3] Group 3 - The Euro/USD pair has a near-even sentiment with 49% bullish and 51% bearish [3] - The Euro/GBP pair shows a strong bullish sentiment of 69% against 31% bearish [3] - The Euro/JPY pair has a significant bearish sentiment of 90% [3] - The Euro/AUD pair shows a bearish sentiment of 87% [4] - The GBP/USD pair has a bearish sentiment of 76% [3] - The GBP/JPY pair shows a bullish sentiment of 60% [3] - The USD/JPY pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 79% [3] - The USD/CAD pair shows a bearish sentiment of 63% [3] - The USD/CHF pair has a very strong bullish sentiment of 89% [3] Group 4 - The AUD/USD pair has a bullish sentiment of 69% [4] - The AUD/JPY pair shows a near-even sentiment with 47% bullish and 53% bearish [4] - The CAD/JPY pair has a bearish sentiment of 57% [4] - The NZD/USD pair shows a bullish sentiment of 56% [4] - The NZD/JPY pair has a strong bullish sentiment of 67% [4] - The USD/CNH pair shows a very strong bullish sentiment of 86% [4]