市场资讯汇总：黑龙江哈尔滨市场国标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.12元/斤，较昨日跌0.01元/斤；黑龙 江双鸭山宝清市场国标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.11元/斤，较昨日跌0.02元/斤；黑龙江佳木斯富锦市场 国标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.10元/斤，较昨日跌0.02元/斤；黑龙江齐齐哈尔讷河市场国标一等蛋白 41%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.22元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江黑河嫩江市场国标一等蛋白41%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价 2.19元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江绥化海伦市场国标一等蛋白41%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.20元/斤，较昨日平。今日 南方产区杂花豆，蛋白42-43%，安徽淮北百善报价2.75元/斤，较昨日平；河南周口报价2.70元/斤，较昨日平。 昨日豆一期货价格震荡运行，东北地区受国储粮竞拍影响，低蛋白价格有所下滑，南方因开学季来临，市场走量 小幅增加，但是对于豆价支撑有限，价格多维持稳定，从供需面来看，供应上新豆即将上市，下游需求可替代食 品种类较多，叠加国储库陈粮持续投放，震荡运行。 油料日报 | 2025-08-27 油料价格偏弱，部分油厂入市 大豆观点 市场分析 期货方面 ...

2025 年 8 月 27 日 棕榈油：基本面暂无新驱动，等待回调 豆油：四季度缺豆交易暂缓，震荡整理 | | | 期货研究 【基本面跟踪】 油脂基本面数据 | | 棕榈油主力 | 单 位 元/吨 | 收盘价 (日盘） 9,424 | 涨跌幅 -0.67% | 收盘价 （夜盘） 9,488 | 涨跌幅 0.68% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 豆油主力 | 元/吨 | 8,536 | 0.00% | 8,402 | -1.57% | | | 菜油主力 | 元/吨 | 9,941 | -0.57% | 9,810 | -1.32% | | 期 货 | 马棕主力 | 林吉特/吨 | 4,470 | -0.51% | 4,451 | -0.43% | | | CBOT豆油主力 | 美分/磅 | 53.46 | -2.57% | | | | | | 单 位 | 昨日成交 | 成交变动 | 昨日持仓 | 持仓变动 | | | 棕榈油主力 | 手 | 29,423 | -7102 | 31,104 | -11,004 | | | 豆油主力 | 手 | ...

花生需求偏弱，价格承压 大豆观点 油料日报 | 2025-08-26 市场分析 期货方面，昨日收盘豆一2511合约3992.00元/吨，较前日变化+7.00元/吨，幅度+0.18%。现货方面，食用豆现货基 差A11+268，较前日变化-7，幅度32.14%。 市场资讯汇总：东北市场今日大豆价格维持稳定，部分贸易商销售国储库豆源，价格2.1-2.12元/斤，走货一般。随 着新豆上市脚步临近，市场多预期丰产，叠加国储竞拍持续，预计新豆价格或将压制陈豆。黑龙江哈尔滨市场国 标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.13元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江双鸭山宝清市场国标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔 粮装车报价2.13元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江佳木斯富锦市场国标一等蛋白39%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.12元/斤，较 昨日平；黑龙江齐齐哈尔讷河市场国标一等蛋白41%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.22元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江黑河嫩 江市场国标一等蛋白41%蛋白中粒塔粮装车报价2.19元/斤，较昨日平；黑龙江绥化海伦市场国标一等蛋白41%蛋白 中粒塔粮装车报价2.20元/斤，较昨日平。 昨日豆一期货价格震荡运行，粮贸企业手中库存不多，等待新豆大量上 ...

油脂油料早报 研究中心农产品团队 2025/08/22 隔 夜 市 场 信 息 ： USDA：8月14日止当周美国大豆出口销售合计净增113.69万吨 符合预期 美国农业部（USDA）周四公布的出口销售报告显示，8月14日止当周，美国当前市场年度大豆出口销售净减0.57万 吨，较之前一周减少98%，较前四周均值减少105%，市场此前预估为净减30.0万吨至净增30.0万吨。 当周，美国下一市场年度大豆出口销售净增114.26万吨，市场此前预估为净增40.0万吨至净增100.0万吨。 当周，美国大豆出口装船为51.79万吨，较之前一周减少3%，较此前四周均值增加9%。 当周，美国当前市场年度大豆新销售13.65万吨。美国下一市场年度大豆新销售114.54万吨。 美国大豆市场年度为9月1日至次年8月31日。 当地价格上扬，促使印度五年来首次进口菜籽油 行业人士表示，印度采购了一批将在8月运抵的菜籽油，为近五年来首见，这是因为该国菜籽油价格攀升至三年半 高位，令进口菜籽油变得更具吸引力。 食用油贸易商GGN Research的管理合伙人Rajesh Patel表示，从阿联酋进口的6,000吨菜籽油预计将在本月运抵古 ...

Core Insights - In 2024, global sunflower oil production is severely impacted by climate disasters, particularly in major producing countries like Russia and Ukraine, leading to a significant decrease in output and rising prices [1][8][10] - The global sunflower oil production and consumption for the 2024/25 season are projected to decline by 8.72% and 9.11% respectively, reaching 20.2 million tons and 19.05 million tons [1][8][10] Industry Overview - Sunflower oil is extracted from the seeds of the sunflower plant, containing over 50% oil content, and is recognized for its health benefits, including high levels of unsaturated fatty acids [2] - It ranks fourth in global consumption among plant oils, following palm oil, soybean oil, and canola oil [2] Industry Supply Chain - The upstream of the sunflower oil industry includes raw materials and production equipment such as sunflower seeds, oil extraction machines, and refining equipment [4] - The downstream applications of sunflower oil span across food processing, catering, cosmetics, and pharmaceuticals [4] Current Industry Status - Russia's sunflower oil production has decreased by nearly 10% to 15.7 million tons due to drought, while Ukraine's output has also significantly reduced [8][10] - The introduction of an export tax by Russia starting November 2024 is expected to further increase global supply costs and prices [1][8] Key Companies' Performance - Major players in the Chinese sunflower oil market include COFCO, Shandong Luhua, and Yihai Kerry, which dominate the market through brand influence and extensive distribution networks [12] - COFCO's sunflower oil brand "Fulinmen" and Yihai Kerry's "Golden Dragon Fish" are notable for their quality and market presence [14][16] Industry Development Trends - The market concentration is increasing, with leading companies like Golden Dragon Fish and COFCO solidifying their positions through full supply chain integration and brand strength [18] - There is a noticeable trend towards high-end and functional products in the sunflower oil market, driven by rising health consciousness among consumers [19][20] - The reliance on imported sunflower oil is over 60%, with a significant drop in imports due to geopolitical tensions, prompting a push for domestic production and alternative oil sources [21]

Core Insights - The FAO reported that global food commodity prices reached a two-year high in July, driven by significant increases in meat and vegetable oil prices, despite declines in grain, dairy, and sugar prices [1][2] Group 1: Food Price Index - The FAO Food Price Index averaged 130.1 points in July, up 1.6% from June, marking the highest level since February 2023, but still 18.8% lower than the peak in March 2022 [1] - The meat price index reached a record high of 127.3 points, increasing by 1.2% from June, influenced by strong import demand from China and the U.S. [1] Group 2: Vegetable Oil Prices - The vegetable oil price index surged to 166.8 points, a 7.1% increase month-on-month, the highest level in three years, driven by strong global demand and tightening supply [2] - Palm oil, soybean oil, and sunflower oil prices rose, while canola oil prices fell with the new season's harvest in Europe [2] Group 3: Grain and Dairy Prices - The grain price index fell to its lowest level in nearly five years due to seasonal supply pressures from the Northern Hemisphere's wheat harvest [2] - Dairy prices saw a slight decline for the first time since April 2024, with butter and milk powder prices dropping, offsetting increases in cheese prices [2] Group 4: Sugar Prices - The sugar price index has declined for the fifth consecutive month, despite signs of recovering global import demand, influenced by expected increases in production from Brazil and India [2] Group 5: Supply and Demand Estimates - The FAO did not update its grain supply and demand forecast data this month [3]

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The report suggests going long on the palm oil 09 contract and the soybean oil 09 contract [2] Group 3: Summary of Related Data Spot Price - On August 7, 2025, the spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Tianjin was 9120 yuan, up 50 yuan from the previous day; in Zhangjiagang it was 9050 yuan, up 50 yuan; in Huangpu it was 9000 yuan, up 50 yuan [1] - The spot price of first - grade soybean oil in Tianjin was 8550 yuan, up 50 yuan; in Zhangjiagang it was 8630 yuan, up 50 yuan; in Huangpu it was 8670 yuan, up 50 yuan [1] - The spot price of fourth - grade rapeseed oil in Zhangjiagang was 9630 yuan, down 70 yuan; in Wuhan it was 9680 yuan, down 70 yuan; in Chengdu it was 9890 yuan, down 70 yuan [1] Futures Data - On August 7, 2025, the price difference between the soybean and palm oil main contracts was - 544, up 20 from the previous day; the price difference between the rapeseed and soybean oil main contracts was 1090, down 66 [1] - The palm oil warehouse receipts were 570, unchanged; the soybean oil warehouse receipts were 15370, an increase of 3830; the rapeseed oil warehouse receipts were 3487, unchanged [1] Import Data of India - In July, India's palm oil imports decreased by 10% month - on - month to 858,000 tons; soybean oil imports soared by 38% month - on - month to 495,000 tons; sunflower oil imports decreased by 7% month - on - month to 201,000 tons; total edible oil imports increased by 1.5% month - on - month to 1.53 million tons [2] Malaysian Data - Bloomberg's July MPOB forecast: production increased by 8.3% month - on - month to 1.83 million tons, imports were 50,000 tons, exports increased by 3.2% to 1.3 million tons, local consumption was 250,000 - 450,000 tons, and inventory increased by 10% to 2.23 million tons [2] - From July 1 - 31, Malaysia's palm oil yield per unit increased by 7.19% month - on - month, the oil extraction rate decreased by 0.02% month - on - month, and production increased by 7.07% month - on - month [2] - According to ITS, from July 1 - 31, exports decreased by 6.7% compared to the previous month; according to AmSpec, exports decreased by 9.6% compared to the previous month [2] Other Data - Indonesia raised the reference price of crude palm oil (CPO) in August to $910.91 per metric ton, up from $877.89 in July, and the export tax will increase from $52 per ton in July to $74 per ton [2] - From July 27 to August 2, Brazil's soybean exports were 2.5504 million tons, up from 2.2902 million tons the previous week [2] - In the next two weeks, the overall precipitation in the US soybean - growing areas is good, which is beneficial to the soybean yield per unit [2] - As of the week ending July 27, the good - to - excellent rate of US soybeans was 70%, higher than the market expectation of 67%, and the flowering rate was 76% [2]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The US soybean export inspection volume in the week ending July 31, 2025, was higher than expected, while the export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 0 tons. The cumulative export inspection volume of US soybeans for the current crop year was higher than the same period last year [1]. - As of the week ending August 3, 2025, the US soybean good and excellent rate was 69%, in line with expectations. The flowering rate and pod - setting rate of US soybeans showed different trends compared with the previous week and the same period last year [1]. - StoneX predicted that Brazil's soybean production in the 2025/26 season would be 178.2 million tons, a 5.6% increase from the previous year. The estimated production of Brazil's second - quarter corn in the 2024/25 season was also raised by 3.2% [1]. - In July 2025, India's palm oil imports decreased by 10% to 858,000 tons, while soybean oil imports increased by 38% to 495,000 tons, reaching a three - year high. Sunflower oil imports decreased by 7% to 201,000 tons. The total edible oil imports increased by 1.5% to 1.53 million tons [1]. - Malaysia's palm oil product exports in July 2025 decreased by 25.01% compared with the previous month [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information - **US Soybean Export Inspection**: In the week ending July 31, 2025, the US soybean export inspection volume was 612,539 tons, higher than the market forecast of 250,000 - 460,000 tons. The previous week's revised volume was 427,734 tons. The cumulative export inspection volume for the current crop year was 47,834,010 tons, compared with 43,037,528 tons in the same period last year. The export inspection volume to the Chinese mainland was 0 tons [1]. - **US Soybean Crop Growth**: As of the week ending August 3, 2025, the US soybean good and excellent rate was 69%, the same as the market expectation, down from 70% the previous week and up from 68% in the same period last year. The flowering rate was 85%, up from 76% the previous week, the same as the same period last year and slightly lower than the five - year average. The pod - setting rate was 58%, up from 41% the previous week, slightly higher than the same period last year and equal to the five - year average [1]. - **Brazil's Crop Production Forecast**: StoneX estimated that Brazil's soybean production in the 2025/26 season would be 178.2 million tons, a 5.6% increase from the previous year due to increased planting area and crop yield. It also raised the estimated production of Brazil's second - quarter corn in the 2024/25 season by 3.2% to 111.7 million tons [1]. India's Edible Oil Imports - **Palm Oil**: In July 2025, India's palm oil imports decreased by 10% to 858,000 tons, lower than the 11 - month high in June [1]. - **Soybean Oil**: India's soybean oil imports in July 2025 increased by 38% to 495,000 tons, reaching a three - year high. The increase was due to the delayed shipments in June being unloaded in July [1]. - **Sunflower Oil**: India's sunflower oil imports in July 2025 decreased by 7% to 201,000 tons [1]. - **Total Edible Oil**: The total edible oil imports in India in July 2025 increased by 1.5% to 1.53 million tons, the highest level since November last year [1]. Malaysia's Palm Oil Exports - Malaysia's palm oil product exports in July 2025 were 896,362 tons, a 25.01% decrease compared with 1,195,265 tons in the previous month [1]. Price and Basis Information - **Spot Prices**: The report provided the spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from July 29 to August 4, 2025 [1]. - **Basis**: The report presented the basis data of protein meals (soybean meal and rapeseed meal) and oils (soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil) in different months and regions, as well as the price difference between soybean oil and palm oil in South China [1][2][3].

Group 1: Inflation in Russia and Ukraine - Russia is experiencing significant inflation, with electricity prices rising by 13%, natural gas by 13.5%, and water prices by 14.9%, marking the largest increase in recent years [1] - Ukraine is also facing rising prices, with food prices soaring; for instance, apple prices have nearly tripled, cabbage prices increased by 2.5 times, and chicken egg prices rose by 62.7% [1] Group 2: Agricultural Export Dynamics in Ukraine - The average cost of exporting 1 ton of agricultural products from Ukraine is €291, while the average cost for the EU is $1,538, indicating a significant profit margin for Ukrainian exports [2] - The cost advantage of Ukrainian agricultural products is a key reason for Eastern European countries' resistance to Ukraine's EU membership, fearing detrimental impacts on their agricultural sectors [4] Group 3: Government Measures in Ukraine - To address domestic food price increases due to high agricultural exports, the Ukrainian government plans to impose a 10% export tax on soybeans and sunflower seeds, which is expected to generate over 7 billion hryvnias annually for the government [4] - The export tax will be gradually reduced by 1% each year over the next five years and will only affect traders, not producers [4]

1. Overnight Market Information - The export inspection volume of US soybeans in the week ending July 10, 2025 was 147,045 tons, lower than the market forecast of 200,000 - 500,000 tons and the revised figure of 399,600 tons in the previous week [1] - As of July 13, 2025, the good - excellent rate of US soybeans was 70%, higher than the market expectation of 67%, with a flowering rate of 47% and a pod - setting rate of 15% [1] - Brazil exported 4,331,243.97 tons of soybeans in the first two weeks of July 2025, with an average daily export volume 1.61% lower than that in July last year [1] - China's soybean imports from January to June 2025 were 4,937 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.8%, while the imports of edible vegetable oil decreased by 8.6% [1] - India's palm oil imports in June 2025 jumped 60% to 955,683 tons, reaching an 11 - month high, and the domestic vegetable oil inventory increased to 156.8 million tons as of July 1 [1] 2. Spot Prices - The spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from July 8 - 14, 2025 are presented in a table [9] 3. Other Information - There are sections about the import soybean crushing profit on the futures market, protein meal basis, oil basis, oil futures price spread, and oil import profit, but no specific content is provided [3][10][12][15]