西非经济门户网1月7日报道，2025年第三季度科特迪瓦外贸实现跨越式增长，出口激增带动外贸呈 现近年来罕见的复苏态势。2025年7月至9月，科贸易总额同比增长28%，出口额为74.2亿美元，同比增 长51.4%，进口额为48.5亿美元，同比小幅增长3.5%，贸易顺差达到25.7亿美元，比去年同期的2.2亿美 元增长了十多倍。出口品类方面，橡胶和橡胶制品（11亿美元，+47.1%）、黄金等贵金属（11亿美 元，+28.2%）、腰果（6.5亿美元，+74.4%）、原油（6.1亿美元，+89%）是带动出口增长的主要驱动 力。出口目的地方面，科产品出口市场仍以欧洲和亚洲为主，瑞士和法国分别以9.8亿美元和9.4亿美元 的进口额位列科前两大采购国地位，其后分别是荷兰、马里、越南、马来西亚、中国、德国、美国和西 班牙，前十大采购国占科出口总额的66.5%。进口品类方面，石油产品（5亿美元，+21.4%）、通用机 械（+9.3%）和汽车（+28.5%）是主要进口产品，需要指出的是，原油进口大幅下降66%，金属制品进 口也呈下降趋势，是促进贸易平衡的重要因素。进口来源国方面，中国仍是科最大供应国，对科出口额 为9.4亿美元， ...

在非油气领域，钢铁产品出口表现尤为突出。2025 年前 8 个月，阿尔及利亚对意钢铁出口额达到 1.21 亿欧元，同比增长 169.6%。同期，化工产品和化肥出口增长 65.3%，而原油和石油炼制产品出口则出 现一定回落。 在进口方面，阿尔及利亚自意大利进口的增长主要集中在工业设备和技术密集型产品领域，包括通用机 械、能源与流体设备，以及农工和建筑用专业机械，反映出国内工业投资和现代化项目对设备需求持续 上升。 钢铁出口快速增长与双方近期在冶金领域推进的合作密切相关。2025 年 7 月，阿尔及利亚企业与意大 利合作伙伴签署协议，计划在阿建设一座直接还原铁（DRI）工厂，投资规模约 10 亿欧元，有望进一 步提升阿尔及利亚钢铁产能，并扩大其在意大利及欧洲市场的出口空间。 （原标题：阿尔及利亚对意大利贸易顺差扩大 非油气出口加快增长） 据 Algérie360 网站 12 月 14 日报道，2025 年 1—8 月，阿尔及利亚与意大利双边贸易保持明显顺差，顺 差规模接近 50 亿欧元。在天然气出口继续占据主导地位的同时，阿非油气出口，尤其是钢铁产品，对 意出口大幅增长，显示出口结构正出现积极变化。 报告期内阿尔 ...

Core Viewpoint - The significant rebound in November exports is primarily attributed to the dissipation of short-term supply disruptions rather than an improvement in external demand [2][7][30] Export Analysis - November exports increased by 5.9% year-on-year (YoY) in USD terms, a notable recovery from a decline of 1.1% in October, driven by factors such as increased working days and the reduction of "production rush" effects [2][6][7] - The increase in working days in November (up by 2 days YoY) and the tapering off of the "production rush" phenomenon contributed significantly to the export rebound [2][7] - Exports to emerging economies showed a marked recovery in November, with exports to Africa and Latin America rising by 17.1 percentage points (pct) and 12.8 pct respectively, despite no significant improvement in demand from these regions [2][11] - The export of goods such as food, steel, and auto parts, which had seen significant declines in October, rebounded in November, with respective increases of 34 pct, 18.7 pct, and 13.6 pct [3][18] Import Analysis - Imports also showed a recovery in November, with a YoY increase of 1.9%, up by 0.9 pct from the previous month [3][25] - Processing trade imports surged by 9.2 pct to 13.9%, exceeding previous growth levels, indicating a rebound in supply conditions [3][25] - Major commodities like crude oil and electromechanical products saw improved import growth rates, with crude oil imports increasing by 8.4 pct to 8.1% [3][25][51] Future Outlook - The easing of supply disruptions, combined with ongoing improvements in external demand and China's competitive export advantages, is expected to support exports for the remainder of the year [4][30] - The potential for improved exports to the U.S. is bolstered by the easing of tariffs and the likelihood of inventory replenishment in the U.S. market [4][30] - Continued industrialization in emerging markets is anticipated to drive demand for imported production materials, further supporting China's export of intermediate and capital goods [4][30] Regular Tracking - In November, both exports and imports showed signs of recovery, with notable increases in consumer electronics and light industrial products [5][37] - Capital goods exports exhibited mixed results, with intermediate goods like auto parts and integrated circuits showing growth [5][40] - Exports to non-U.S. developed economies and emerging markets increased, while exports to the U.S. declined [5][47][48]

Core Viewpoint - The significant rebound in exports in November is primarily supported by the dissipation of short-term supply disruptions rather than an improvement in external demand [3][10][82] Export Data Summary - November exports increased by 5.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations of 3% and recovering from a decline of 1.1% in October [2][9][82] - The rebound in exports is attributed to factors such as an increase in working days and the reduction of "production rush" effects, which had previously impacted supply [3][10][82] - The increase in working days in November (up by 2 days year-on-year) contributed significantly to the export recovery [3][10][82] Country-Level Analysis - Regions that previously experienced significant supply shocks saw notable rebounds in exports in November, indicating that the easing of supply disruptions was a key driver [3][21][82] - Exports to emerging economies showed a clear recovery in November, with exports to Africa and Latin America increasing by 17.1 and 12.8 percentage points, respectively [3][21][82] - Despite the rebound, there was no significant improvement in demand from these emerging economies, as indicated by stable PMI readings in South Africa and Brazil [3][21][82] Commodity Export Trends - Commodities that had previously shown significant export volatility also experienced a notable recovery in November, with food, steel, and auto parts exports rebounding sharply [4][29][83] - The export growth rates for consumer electronics and light industrial products also improved significantly in November after substantial declines in October [4][29][83] Import Data Summary - Imports in November increased by 1.9% year-on-year, recovering from a previous expectation of 2.9% [2][9][82] - Processing trade imports saw a significant rise of 9.2 percentage points to 13.9%, indicating a recovery in trade performance due to the easing of supply disruptions [4][37][82] - Major commodities such as crude oil and electromechanical products also showed improved import growth rates in November [4][37][82] Future Outlook - The easing of supply disruptions, combined with ongoing improvements in external demand and China's competitive export advantages, is expected to support exports for the remainder of the year [5][45][46] - The potential for improved exports to the U.S. is bolstered by the easing of tariffs and the possibility of inventory replenishment in the U.S. market [5][45][46] - Continued industrialization in emerging markets is anticipated to drive demand for intermediate and capital goods, further supporting China's export performance [5][45][46] Regular Tracking - November saw a general recovery in both exports and imports, with notable increases in consumer electronics and light industrial products [6][71][82] - Capital goods exports showed mixed results, with intermediate goods like auto parts and integrated circuits experiencing growth [6][59][68] - Exports to non-U.S. developed economies and emerging markets showed positive trends, while exports to the U.S. declined [6][68][71]

Group 1: Export Data Overview - November exports increased by 5.9% year-on-year, exceeding the expected 3% and recovering from a previous decline of -1.1% in October[7] - The rise in exports is attributed to the easing of supply disruptions rather than an improvement in external demand[2] - The number of working days in November increased by 2 days compared to the previous year, contributing to the export rebound[2] Group 2: Import Data Overview - November imports rose by 1.9% year-on-year, slightly below the expected 2.9% but up from 1% in October[7] - Processing trade imports surged by 9.2 percentage points to 13.9%, indicating a recovery in trade activity[26] - Major commodities like crude oil saw a rebound in import growth, with an increase of 8.4 percentage points to 8.1%[26] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - Consumer electronics exports grew by 5.1 percentage points to 3.3%, with significant contributions from mobile phones and LCD display modules[37] - Capital goods exports showed mixed results, with general machinery and medical instruments increasing, while shipbuilding exports fell significantly[43] - Exports to emerging markets, particularly Africa and Latin America, saw notable increases of 17.1 and 12.8 percentage points, reaching 27.7% and 15% respectively[14] Group 4: Future Outlook - The easing of supply disruptions and ongoing competitive advantages for Chinese exports are expected to support export growth in the coming months[30] - Potential improvements in exports to the U.S. are anticipated due to reduced tariffs and ongoing inventory replenishment needs[30] - Continued industrialization in emerging economies is likely to drive demand for intermediate and capital goods from China[30]

Core Viewpoint - Longxin General (隆鑫通用) announced a significant capital increase plan of up to 1.65 billion yuan for its wholly-owned subsidiary, Chongqing Xinlongxin Electromechanical Co., Ltd. (新隆鑫机电), as part of its strategy to focus on core business and asset integration [1][2][3] Group 1: Capital Increase Details - The capital increase will consist of real estate and cash contributions, with a non-cash contribution of 290 million yuan based on the assessed value of 18 properties [2] - The cash contribution will not exceed 1.36 billion yuan, sourced from the company's own funds [2] - Following the capital increase, the registered capital of Xinlongxin Electromechanical will rise from 1 million yuan to a maximum of 1.66 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Business Focus and Asset Restructuring - Xinlongxin Electromechanical, established in April 2025, has not yet commenced operations and is focused on manufacturing generators, agricultural machinery, and energy technology [3] - The company recently announced plans to divest two non-core assets, Jinye Machinery and Zhuhai Longhua, to streamline operations and focus on core business [3] - This asset divestiture is part of a broader strategy initiated in September 2021 to enhance resource integration and improve operational efficiency [3] Group 3: Financial Performance - Longxin General reported a 19.14% year-on-year increase in revenue to 14.557 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit growth of 75.45% to 1.577 billion yuan [7] - The company achieved a gross margin of 18.89%, indicating stable growth in profitability [7] - The financial structure remains robust, with total assets of 17.674 billion yuan and a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.19% as of September 2025 [4] Group 4: Research and Development - Longxin General has invested approximately 1.26 billion yuan in R&D over the past three years, with a focus on enhancing product competitiveness [8] - The company holds 1,556 valid patents, including 340 invention patents, reflecting its commitment to innovation [8] - The R&D expenses for 2023 to the first three quarters of 2025 were 457 million yuan, 513 million yuan, and 289 million yuan, respectively [8] Group 5: Market Position and Global Strategy - Longxin General has maintained a leading position in the motorcycle industry, with sales exceeding 1.8 million units in 2024 and a strong export performance [6] - The company has established a global sales network covering over 90 countries and regions, with international revenue accounting for more than 60% of total income from 2020 to mid-2025 [8] - The company's product lines include motorcycles, engines, and general machinery, with a focus on expanding its market share both domestically and internationally [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - Jianghehui, a major shareholder of Qianli Technology, plans to reduce its stake by up to 90.42 million shares, representing 2% of the company's total share capital, through block trading to attract potential quality investors [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Reduction Plan - Jianghehui holds 900 million shares of Qianli Technology, accounting for 19.91% of the total share capital [1]. - The reduction plan will be implemented within three months after the announcement, starting 15 trading days post-disclosure [1]. - Jianghehui will not conduct any reductions through centralized bidding during this period [1]. Group 2: Company Financial Performance - Qianli Technology reported a total revenue of 6.946 billion yuan for the first three quarters of the year, a year-on-year increase of 44.27% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 53.28 million yuan, up 33.37% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit showed a loss of 176 million yuan [3]. - The increase in net profit is attributed to higher government subsidies and foreign exchange gains [3]. Group 3: Sales and Production Data - In the first ten months of the year, Qianli Technology sold a total of 81,053 vehicles, marking a year-on-year growth of 97.97% [3]. - The company sold 2,090 new energy vehicles in October, a year-on-year increase of 15.34%, with cumulative sales of 28,577 new energy vehicles for the year, up 62.07% [3]. - The total vehicle production for the same period was 6,517 units [3].

Core Viewpoint - Longxin General is transitioning from OEM to developing its own brands, focusing on the motorcycle and general machinery sectors, with a strong emphasis on global expansion and product quality improvement through partnerships, particularly with BMW [14][15][16]. Group 1: Business Overview - Longxin General has diversified its product lines, including motorcycles, engines, ATVs, and general machinery, with a focus on the "motorcycle + general machinery" business model [3][20]. - The company aims for its motorcycle and general machinery business revenues to account for 75% and 21% of total revenue, respectively, by 2024 [3][22]. - The company has undergone a significant ownership change, with the new major shareholder being Zongshen New Manufacturing, which is expected to resolve industry competition issues [20][28]. Group 2: Market Expansion - The company is aggressively expanding its high-end motorcycle brand, Wujing, into European and South American markets, where it has already established brand recognition, particularly in Spain with a market share exceeding 5% [5][42]. - The global market for ATVs is projected to reach $15 billion by 2028, with Longxin General aiming to enhance its market share by leveraging its engine advantages [6][7]. - The company has seen a rise in motorcycle engine exports, supported by the increasing demand for Chinese motorcycles in international markets [9][43]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Longxin General's revenue has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.2% from 2015 to 2024, with a significant recovery expected in 2024, driven by motorcycle exports and the recovery of general machinery business [34]. - The company's net profit is projected to increase by 92.3% in 2024, primarily due to reduced impairment losses and growth in high-end motorcycle sales [34][35]. - The gross margin is expected to improve to 17.6% in 2024, reflecting a recovery in profitability as the company reduces impairment losses and increases the share of high-margin products [35][40]. Group 4: Product Development - Longxin General has developed a comprehensive product matrix, including various types of motorcycles, engines, and general machinery, with a focus on high-performance and cost-effective products [25][31]. - The company has established stable partnerships with leading global manufacturers, enhancing its product quality and supply chain management capabilities [15][31]. - The product offerings include a wide range of motorcycles, from high-end models to ATVs, with a focus on meeting diverse market demands [25][26]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The global motorcycle market is dominated by Japanese and Indian brands, with Longxin General aiming to increase its market share through strategic international expansion [44][46]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for motorcycles in emerging markets, particularly in South America and Southeast Asia, where it has identified significant growth opportunities [67][70]. - Longxin General's strategy includes a "1+N" market approach, focusing on deepening its presence in one market before expanding to similar markets, which is expected to enhance its competitive position [5][42].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Longxin General (603766.SH) is rated "outperform" by Guosen Securities due to its strong position in the motorcycle and general machinery sectors and its global expansion efforts [1] - Longxin General is making significant strides in the motorcycle market, particularly with its Wujie motorcycle brand entering European and South American markets [1] - The all-terrain vehicle segment is expected to maintain rapid growth, contributing positively to the company's overall performance [1] Group 2 - The overseas expansion of motorcycle engines is anticipated to boost export revenue, enhancing the company's financial outlook [1] - The general machinery products are characterized by high cost-performance ratios, suggesting a potential recovery in business operations [1]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company, with a reasonable valuation range of 15.80 to 16.70 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 10% to 17% from the current price of 13.68 CNY [7][4]. Core Insights - The company is transitioning from OEM to developing its own brands, particularly focusing on the high-end motorcycle brand "Wujin" and expanding into global markets, especially Europe and South America [16][19]. - The motorcycle and general machinery sectors are the main business areas, with motorcycle revenue expected to grow significantly, while general machinery is anticipated to recover [22][21]. - The company has undergone a significant restructuring, with a new major shareholder, which is expected to stabilize operations and enhance profitability [33][21]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has a diversified product line including motorcycles, engines, ATVs, and general machinery, with a strong focus on the "motorcycle + general machinery" business model [21][30]. - The company aims to become a global motorcycle enterprise, with motorcycle and general machinery revenues projected to account for 75% and 21% of total revenue, respectively, by 2024 [21][4]. Market Expansion - The "Wujin" motorcycle brand is making significant inroads into the European and South American markets, with a market share exceeding 5% in Spain and growing brand recognition in Italy and other regions [2][4]. - The global ATV market is expected to grow to 15 billion USD by 2028, and the company is leveraging its engine technology to enhance its product offerings in this segment [2][4]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts substantial revenue growth, with expected revenues of 19.69 billion CNY in 2025, representing a 17.1% increase from the previous year [5]. - Net profit is projected to reach 1.91 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a 70.2% year-on-year growth, with earnings per share expected to increase to 0.93 CNY [5][4]. Valuation and Profitability - The report anticipates a recovery in profitability, with net profit margins improving from 2.8% in 2021 to 6.3% in 2024, driven by reduced impairment losses and increased sales of high-end motorcycles [44][42]. - The company's valuation metrics indicate a PE ratio of 15.4 in 2025, suggesting a favorable investment opportunity compared to historical averages [5][4].