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美联储降息25个基点,创业板ETF天弘(159977)低开高走,近三日累计“吸金”近4.85亿元,机构:美联储维持鸽派立场预计支撑股市表现
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-18 02:20
消息面来看,据央视新闻报道,当地时间9月17日,美联储最新的联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)货币 政策会议纪要显示,美联储决定将联邦基金利率目标区间下调25个基点,至4.00%-4.25%之间。这是美 联储自2024年12月以来的首次降息。美国近几个月新增就业远低于预期让美联储终于采取降息措施。此 前市场预计,此次下调之后,今年十月底和十二月初的最后两次美联储政策会议可能还会进行类似幅度 的降息。 华泰证券指出,鲍威尔在会议上表态偏鸽。考虑到9月就业市场仍然可能面临压力,支持10月降息,我 们将美联储年内降息次数从2次上调至3次。美联储维持鸽派立场,叠加经济基本面仍有韧性,预计将继 续支撑全球流动性以及股市表现。 开源证券指出,随着科创板和北交所的崛起,创业板已不再单纯代表"新资产",而是形成更均衡的产业 格局,当前创业板彻底的权重更迭尚未出现,反而其估值处于低位,在AI硬件波动放大后,新能源或 成为主线。 9月18日,三大指数集体低开。 热门ETF方面,创业板ETF天弘(159977)截至发稿跌0.67%,成交额超6400万元。成分股中,新诺威 涨超6%,智飞生物、安克创新、先导智能等跟涨。 据Wind数据, ...
创业板指站上2900点,如何判断入场时机?
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-01 07:29
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market, particularly the ChiNext index, has shown strong performance, with the ChiNext index rising over 2% and maintaining above 2900 points, reflecting a significant recovery and growth trend in the market [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The ChiNext index has outperformed the broader market by 50% over the past year, with a nearly 90% increase, supported by favorable macroeconomic and industrial policies, as well as a significant recovery in certain sectors [3][5]. - The recent performance of the ChiNext index is attributed to three main factors: a dovish shift from the Federal Reserve, supportive policies for high-growth sectors, and positive market sentiment driven by themes like domestic substitution and AI [5][6]. Group 2: Valuation Metrics - The current Buffett indicator, which compares the total market capitalization of A-shares to GDP, stands at approximately 84%, indicating that the market is not significantly overvalued and may still have room for growth [6][7]. - The ChiNext index's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is at 41.61x, which is below its historical average, suggesting that it is in a relatively low valuation zone compared to other major indices [7][9]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider gradual entry into the market rather than making large investments at once, as the market has experienced a prolonged upward trend since April [9][10]. - Setting appropriate profit-taking levels is recommended, especially for those entering the market at a later stage, to manage potential volatility [10].
创指为何近期明显跑赢大盘?这三个驱动是关键
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-29 07:55
Group 1 - The A-share market is performing well, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.5% and the ChiNext Index rising over 2.5%, approaching 2900 points [2] - The ChiNext Index has outperformed the broader market by nearly 50% over the past year, driven by favorable macroeconomic and industrial policies, continued liquidity, and significant recovery in certain industries [3] Group 2 - The outperformance of the ChiNext Index is attributed to three main factors: 1. The recent dovish shift by the Federal Reserve, increasing the likelihood of interest rate cuts in September, alongside a domestic downtrend in interest rates, benefiting growth stocks [5] 2. High industry sentiment in key sectors such as new energy, biomedicine, AI, and semiconductors, which are in an upward cycle with high earnings certainty [5] 3. The resonance of market sentiment and narratives around domestic substitution, AI autonomy, and anti-involution themes, leading to a rally in technology leaders and making the ChiNext Index a key emotional outlet for investors [5] Group 3 - As of the end of August 2025, the ChiNext Index's price-to-book (PB) ratio is 4.9794, with a historical percentile of 47.5% over the past 1440 trading days, meeting the buying criteria for investment [6] - Due to the recent rise in the ChiNext Index, the valuation percentile has increased rapidly, potentially affecting future buying conditions [9] - The company has set up a bi-weekly investment strategy in the low-volatility dividend index, investing 1000 yuan each period, as historical performance has been favorable [9]
创业板指盘中快速拉升,创业板ETF天弘(159977)年内上涨12.02%,机构:A股仍处于牛市中继
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-12 02:25
Group 1 - The three major indices opened higher on August 12, with the ChiNext Index (399006.SZ) rising by 0.26% during the session [1] - Among the ChiNext Index constituent stocks, Xiechuang Data surged over 6%, while Shenghong Technology and Kunlun Wanwei increased by over 4%, and Lepu Medical and Xinyi Sheng rose by over 3% [1] - The ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) rose by 0.28%, with a trading volume of 4.1363 million yuan and a real-time premium rate of 0.03% [1] Group 2 - As of August 11, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) had a total circulation of 3.441 billion shares and a circulation scale of 8.492 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 12.02% in net value [1] - The total margin balance of ChiNext stocks reached 405.212 billion yuan, an increase of 3.772 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the financing balance at 403.970 billion yuan, up by 3.734 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index is a key index of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, consisting of 100 representative stocks from emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [2] Group 3 - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the A-share market continues to face some resistance for short-term upward movement, but remains in a bull market continuation phase, with pullbacks providing good allocation opportunities [2] - The report highlights that recent improvements in overseas conditions and potential changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel may enhance market expectations for interest rate cuts, benefiting emerging market stocks, particularly Hong Kong stocks [2] - The acceleration of industry rotation suggests a focus on low-positioned niche segments in new tracks [2]
权重股胜宏科技盘中股价续创新高,创业板ETF天弘(159977)翻红,机构看好市场调整企稳后延续向上运行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 02:49
Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with the ChiNext Index turning positive, indicating a recovery in the growth sector [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rose by 0.21%, with significant gains in component stocks such as robots, which increased over 14%, and Shenghong Technology, which rose over 6% to reach a new high [1] - The ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies, reflects the operational status of the ChiNext market, with a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China and seven departments issued guidelines to support the integration of the digital economy with the real economy, emphasizing the use of technology to enhance efficiency in manufacturing, especially for SMEs [2] - Current market conditions are favorable, with stable domestic policies leading to positive fundamental expectations, suggesting that after structural adjustments, the market will continue to trend upward [2] - Key sectors to focus on in August include AI applications, AI hardware, non-bank financials, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with a long-term view on the progress of social intelligence and the carbon neutrality industry chain [2]
短期调整不改长期趋势,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中回调,机构:科技成长板块在月底前或将继续活跃
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-05 03:41
Group 1 - The ChiNext Index opened high but experienced fluctuations and a decline on August 5, with the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) down by 0.33% [1] - Among the constituent stocks, Watson Bio rose over 4%, with other stocks like Jingjia Micro, Guanghong Technology, Huace Navigation, and Lens Technology also seeing gains [1] - As of August 5, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) had a circulating scale exceeding 8.3 billion yuan, ranking among the top three in similar products [1] Group 2 - According to the Economic Reference Daily, brokerages have released optimistic strategies for August, viewing the market's recent pullback as a temporary adjustment influenced by policy support, improved corporate earnings, and new capital inflows [2] - Huatai Securities noted that the current market's profit effect has returned to mid-July levels, suggesting that the A-share market may enter a period of increased volatility with active local hotspots [2] - Everbright Securities highlighted that the recent positive news in innovative drugs has led to a surge in pharmaceutical stocks, driving the ChiNext Index higher, and expects a continuation of a structural market trend [2]
重仓股中际旭创、新易盛股价续创新高,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中涨近1%,机构认为A股慢涨格局基本确立
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-31 02:50
创业板ETF天弘(159977)紧密跟踪创业板指数(399006.SZ),该指数是深交所多层次资本市场的核 心指数之一,由最具代表性的100家创业板上市企业股票组成,反映创业板市场层次的运行情况。创业 板指数新兴产业、高新技术企业占比高,成长性突出。截至最新,创业板指前十大指数中包含宁德时 代、东方财富、汇川技术、中际旭创、迈瑞医疗、新易盛、胜宏科技等。创业板ETF天弘(159977)同 时配置场外创业板ETF联接基金(A:001592;C:001593)。 中原证券在7月29日的研报中指出,当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为14.78倍、41.32倍, 处于近三年中位数平均水平,适合中长期布局。当前A股市场已进入政策与资金双轮驱动阶段,慢涨格 局基本确立。配置上建议关注科技成长+周期制造双主线,同时继续关注高股息银行、公用事业及战略 新兴产业。预计短期市场以稳步震荡上行为主,仍需密切关注政策面、资金面以及外盘的变化情况。短 线建议关注医药、通信设备、航天航空以及半导体等行业的投资机会。 7月31日,A股三大指数走势分化,创业板指盘中一度涨超1%,CPO概念再度活跃,中际旭创、新易盛 盘中股价再创历史 ...
近60个交易日涨超24%,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中回调,机构:新兴产业有望成经济新增长点
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-30 02:32
Group 1 - The overall market showed weakness on July 30, with the ChiNext Index dropping over 1.00%, the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.17%, and the Shenzhen Component Index falling 0.54% [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) decreased by 0.68% as of the report, but it has accumulated a gain of over 24% in the last 60 trading days [1][2] - Key stocks in the ChiNext ETF included E-Link Technology, which rose over 7%, along with other stocks like Mindray Medical, New Industry, and Zhifei Biological [1] Group 2 - As of July 29, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) had a latest circulating scale of 8.854 billion yuan [2] - The ChiNext Index (399006.SZ) is a core index of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, consisting of 100 representative companies, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [2] - The top ten stocks in the ChiNext Index include Ningde Times, Dongfang Wealth, Huichuan Technology, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Mindray Medical [2] Group 3 - Everbright Securities indicated that the second half of the year may see expectations affected by the sustainability of profit recovery, liquidity heat, and the importance of the capital market [3] - New emerging industries are expected to become new growth points for the economy, with breakthroughs in fields like artificial intelligence and robotics, supported by policies [3] - The semiconductor sector is continuously advancing to fill gaps, indicating a strong momentum in emerging industries [3]
近30个交易日涨超15%,创业板ETF天弘(159977)续涨1%,机构:科技科创领域有望成为三季度占优方向
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-29 06:43
Group 1 - The A-share market showed strength on July 29, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.28% and the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) increasing by 1.18%, with a trading volume exceeding 31 million yuan [1] - Over the past 30 trading days, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF has accumulated a gain of over 15% [1] - As of July 28, the latest circulating scale of the Tianhong ChiNext ETF is 8.724 billion yuan, closely tracking the ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies in the ChiNext market [3] Group 2 - Notable stocks within the ChiNext Index include Tianfu Communication, which rose over 12%, along with other stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang, Taige Pharmaceutical, and Xinyisheng [2] - The current market structure is shifting from a "barbell strategy" to "middle assets," with the technology and innovation sectors, represented by the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50, experiencing a cyclical turning point [3] - The first quarter profit growth rate of the ChiNext Index reached 19%, highlighting its profitability advantage among broad-based indices [3] Group 3 - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference is expected to catalyze new products and demands in the domestic AI industry chain, focusing on ten major sectors including AI infrastructure and intelligent terminals [4] - The AI industry chain in China is entering a phase of large-scale demonstration applications, with intelligent computing power expected to double by 2026, reaching a market size of approximately 33.7 billion USD [4] - Benefiting from the trends of inclusivity and intelligent equality, sectors such as scientific research, intelligent driving, and fintech are anticipated to gain from the widespread adoption of AI applications [4]
创业板指领涨,创业板ETF天弘(159977)涨0.86%,机构:A股短期上行趋势或延续
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-28 03:23
Group 1 - The market experienced a rebound on July 28, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, and the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rising by 0.86% with a trading volume exceeding 13 million yuan [1] - As of July 25, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF had a latest circulating scale of 8.644 billion yuan, closely tracking the ChiNext Index (399006.SZ), which consists of 100 representative ChiNext listed companies [1] - The ChiNext Index is characterized by a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities' report indicates that the overall market is approaching previous highs, with domestic policies continuing to support demand while promoting market clearing [1] - Huatai Securities' latest report highlights a sustained increase in global risk appetite, with A-shares breaking through and experiencing five consecutive weeks of upward movement [2]