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创业板指站上2900点,如何判断入场时机?
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-09-01 07:29
今天A股行情依旧不错,我们继续聊聊创业板。临近收盘,上证指数涨幅0.42%,创业板涨超2%,站稳2900点,盘中一度突破2950点。 近一年创业板跑赢大盘50%,支撑何在? 我们前面发文解读过,A股近期走高主要基于宏观和产业政策持续利好、流动性仍旧宽松、部分产业基本面复苏显著。 我们复盘最近一年创业板指的涨幅,已经接近90%,跑赢大盘50%。前期我们也给大家分享过一些研报数据,上半年创指基金是各类主流基金里面 收益最好的一类。 那为什么创指表现如此优越?我们认为主要源于三方面 一是,近期美联储转鸽,市场认为9月降息概率大幅增加,国内利率也一直处于下行通道,市场资金流入A股的热情也很高。流动性宽松,成长股 更受益,而创业板指是A股最具代表性的成长风格宽基指数之一(甚至没有之一); 我们在前期发文也强调过:流动性越泛滥,成长股弹性越高。 二是政策助力,赛道景气度持续高位。去年924以来政策持续利好,创业板权重板块如新能源、生物医药、AI、半导体等,均处于产业上行周期, 业绩确定性较高; 三是情绪与叙事共振。国产替代、AI自主化、反内卷等主题持续发酵,带动科技龙头领涨,创业板成为重要情绪出口。 对于后市行情,我们认 ...
创指为何近期明显跑赢大盘?这三个驱动是关键
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-08-29 07:55
一是,近期美联储转鸽,市场认为9月降息概率大幅增加,国内利率也一直处于下行通道。前期我们多次分享,流动性宽松的大背景下,成长股更受益,而 创业板指是A股最具代表性的成长风格宽基指数之一(甚至没有之一); 二是赛道景气度持续高位。创业板权重板块如新能源、生物医药、AI、半导体等,均处于产业上行周期,业绩确定性较高; 三是情绪与叙事共振。国产替代、AI自主化、反内卷等主题持续发酵,带动科技龙头领涨,创业板成为重要情绪出口。 今天A股行情依旧不错。临近收盘,上证指数涨幅0.5%,创业板涨超2.5%,逼近2900点,盘中多次突破。 为什么近一年创业板跑赢大盘近50%? 我们前面发文解读过,A股近期走高主要基于宏观和产业政策持续利好、流动性仍旧宽松、部分产业基本面复苏显著。而近期,创指相较于大盘跑出了明显 超额收益,动力何在? 我们认为主要源于三方面 风险提示:本人持仓均为天弘基金旗下产品,仅客观展提示,投资者应根据自身风险承受能力合理配置持仓。定投非储蓄,不能规避基金固有风险,不能保 证投资者获得收益。观点仅供参考,不构成投资建议,市场有风险,投资需谨慎。投资者在购买基金前应仔细阅读基金招募说明书与基金合同,请根据自 ...
创业板指盘中快速拉升,创业板ETF天弘(159977)年内上涨12.02%,机构:A股仍处于牛市中继
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-12 02:25
Group 1 - The three major indices opened higher on August 12, with the ChiNext Index (399006.SZ) rising by 0.26% during the session [1] - Among the ChiNext Index constituent stocks, Xiechuang Data surged over 6%, while Shenghong Technology and Kunlun Wanwei increased by over 4%, and Lepu Medical and Xinyi Sheng rose by over 3% [1] - The ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) rose by 0.28%, with a trading volume of 4.1363 million yuan and a real-time premium rate of 0.03% [1] Group 2 - As of August 11, the ChiNext ETF Tianhong (159977) had a total circulation of 3.441 billion shares and a circulation scale of 8.492 billion yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 12.02% in net value [1] - The total margin balance of ChiNext stocks reached 405.212 billion yuan, an increase of 3.772 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with the financing balance at 403.970 billion yuan, up by 3.734 billion yuan [1] - The ChiNext Index is a key index of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, consisting of 100 representative stocks from emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [2] Group 3 - According to a report from CITIC Securities, the A-share market continues to face some resistance for short-term upward movement, but remains in a bull market continuation phase, with pullbacks providing good allocation opportunities [2] - The report highlights that recent improvements in overseas conditions and potential changes in the Federal Reserve's personnel may enhance market expectations for interest rate cuts, benefiting emerging market stocks, particularly Hong Kong stocks [2] - The acceleration of industry rotation suggests a focus on low-positioned niche segments in new tracks [2]
权重股胜宏科技盘中股价续创新高,创业板ETF天弘(159977)翻红,机构看好市场调整企稳后延续向上运行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-06 02:49
Group 1 - The A-share market opened lower but rebounded, with the ChiNext Index turning positive, indicating a recovery in the growth sector [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rose by 0.21%, with significant gains in component stocks such as robots, which increased over 14%, and Shenghong Technology, which rose over 6% to reach a new high [1] - The ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies, reflects the operational status of the ChiNext market, with a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises [1] Group 2 - The People's Bank of China and seven departments issued guidelines to support the integration of the digital economy with the real economy, emphasizing the use of technology to enhance efficiency in manufacturing, especially for SMEs [2] - Current market conditions are favorable, with stable domestic policies leading to positive fundamental expectations, suggesting that after structural adjustments, the market will continue to trend upward [2] - Key sectors to focus on in August include AI applications, AI hardware, non-bank financials, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with a long-term view on the progress of social intelligence and the carbon neutrality industry chain [2]
短期调整不改长期趋势,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中回调,机构:科技成长板块在月底前或将继续活跃
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-05 03:41
Group 1 - The ChiNext Index opened high but experienced fluctuations and a decline on August 5, with the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) down by 0.33% [1] - Among the constituent stocks, Watson Bio rose over 4%, with other stocks like Jingjia Micro, Guanghong Technology, Huace Navigation, and Lens Technology also seeing gains [1] - As of August 5, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) had a circulating scale exceeding 8.3 billion yuan, ranking among the top three in similar products [1] Group 2 - According to the Economic Reference Daily, brokerages have released optimistic strategies for August, viewing the market's recent pullback as a temporary adjustment influenced by policy support, improved corporate earnings, and new capital inflows [2] - Huatai Securities noted that the current market's profit effect has returned to mid-July levels, suggesting that the A-share market may enter a period of increased volatility with active local hotspots [2] - Everbright Securities highlighted that the recent positive news in innovative drugs has led to a surge in pharmaceutical stocks, driving the ChiNext Index higher, and expects a continuation of a structural market trend [2]
重仓股中际旭创、新易盛股价续创新高,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中涨近1%,机构认为A股慢涨格局基本确立
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-31 02:50
创业板ETF天弘(159977)紧密跟踪创业板指数(399006.SZ),该指数是深交所多层次资本市场的核 心指数之一,由最具代表性的100家创业板上市企业股票组成,反映创业板市场层次的运行情况。创业 板指数新兴产业、高新技术企业占比高,成长性突出。截至最新,创业板指前十大指数中包含宁德时 代、东方财富、汇川技术、中际旭创、迈瑞医疗、新易盛、胜宏科技等。创业板ETF天弘(159977)同 时配置场外创业板ETF联接基金(A:001592;C:001593)。 中原证券在7月29日的研报中指出,当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别为14.78倍、41.32倍, 处于近三年中位数平均水平,适合中长期布局。当前A股市场已进入政策与资金双轮驱动阶段,慢涨格 局基本确立。配置上建议关注科技成长+周期制造双主线,同时继续关注高股息银行、公用事业及战略 新兴产业。预计短期市场以稳步震荡上行为主,仍需密切关注政策面、资金面以及外盘的变化情况。短 线建议关注医药、通信设备、航天航空以及半导体等行业的投资机会。 7月31日,A股三大指数走势分化,创业板指盘中一度涨超1%,CPO概念再度活跃,中际旭创、新易盛 盘中股价再创历史 ...
近60个交易日涨超24%,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中回调,机构:新兴产业有望成经济新增长点
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-30 02:32
规模上看,截至7月29日,创业板ETF天弘(159977)最新流通规模为88.54亿元。 7月30日,指数走弱,创业板指下挫跌逾1.00%,沪指跌0.17%,深成指跌0.54%。相关ETF方面,创业 板ETF天弘(159977)截至发稿跌0.68%,近60个交易日(截至7月29日收盘)累计涨超24%。成分股 中,电联技术涨超7%,迈瑞医疗、新产业、智飞生物等多股跟涨。 (本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构,不构成任何投资建议,亦不代表平台观点,请投资人独立判断和决 策。) 创业板ETF天弘(159977)紧密跟踪创业板指数(399006.SZ),该指数是深交所多层次资本市场的核 心指数之一,由最具代表性的100家创业板上市企业股票组成,反映创业板市场层次的运行情况。创业 板指数新兴产业、高新技术企业占比高,成长性突出,兼具价值尺度与投资标的的功能。截至7月30 日,创业板指前十大指数中包含宁德时代、东方财富、汇川技术、中际旭创、迈瑞医疗等。创业板ETF 天弘(159977)同时配置场外创业板ETF联接基金(A:001592;C:001593)。 (文章来源:21世纪经济报道) 国泰海通证券指出,A股方面,大幅增配创 ...
近30个交易日涨超15%,创业板ETF天弘(159977)续涨1%,机构:科技科创领域有望成为三季度占优方向
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-29 06:43
Group 1 - The A-share market showed strength on July 29, with the ChiNext Index rising by 1.28% and the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) increasing by 1.18%, with a trading volume exceeding 31 million yuan [1] - Over the past 30 trading days, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF has accumulated a gain of over 15% [1] - As of July 28, the latest circulating scale of the Tianhong ChiNext ETF is 8.724 billion yuan, closely tracking the ChiNext Index, which consists of 100 representative companies in the ChiNext market [3] Group 2 - Notable stocks within the ChiNext Index include Tianfu Communication, which rose over 12%, along with other stocks like Zhongji Xuchuang, Taige Pharmaceutical, and Xinyisheng [2] - The current market structure is shifting from a "barbell strategy" to "middle assets," with the technology and innovation sectors, represented by the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech 50, experiencing a cyclical turning point [3] - The first quarter profit growth rate of the ChiNext Index reached 19%, highlighting its profitability advantage among broad-based indices [3] Group 3 - The 2025 World Artificial Intelligence Conference is expected to catalyze new products and demands in the domestic AI industry chain, focusing on ten major sectors including AI infrastructure and intelligent terminals [4] - The AI industry chain in China is entering a phase of large-scale demonstration applications, with intelligent computing power expected to double by 2026, reaching a market size of approximately 33.7 billion USD [4] - Benefiting from the trends of inclusivity and intelligent equality, sectors such as scientific research, intelligent driving, and fintech are anticipated to gain from the widespread adoption of AI applications [4]
创业板指领涨,创业板ETF天弘(159977)涨0.86%,机构:A股短期上行趋势或延续
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-28 03:23
Group 1 - The market experienced a rebound on July 28, with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, and the Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rising by 0.86% with a trading volume exceeding 13 million yuan [1] - As of July 25, the Tianhong ChiNext ETF had a latest circulating scale of 8.644 billion yuan, closely tracking the ChiNext Index (399006.SZ), which consists of 100 representative ChiNext listed companies [1] - The ChiNext Index is characterized by a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market [1] Group 2 - Guojin Securities' report indicates that the overall market is approaching previous highs, with domestic policies continuing to support demand while promoting market clearing [1] - Huatai Securities' latest report highlights a sustained increase in global risk appetite, with A-shares breaking through and experiencing five consecutive weeks of upward movement [2]
创业板指冲击周线五连阳,创业板ETF天弘(159977)盘中翻红,机构:中期牛市刚刚开始
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-25 02:34
Group 1 - The A-share market showed volatility on July 25, with the ChiNext Index initially declining but later turning positive, indicating a potential five-week winning streak [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) briefly rose by 0.12% during trading, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Kanglong Chemical, which increased by over 10%, and Lepu Medical and Guibao Pet, both rising by more than 3% [1] - The ChiNext Index (399006.SZ) is a key index of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, consisting of 100 representative companies, reflecting the operational status of the ChiNext market, which is characterized by a high proportion of emerging industries and high-tech enterprises [1] Group 2 - According to Guosen Securities, the allocation weight of the ChiNext in public funds' Q2 2025 reports has significantly increased, with the ChiNext allocation weight rising by 1.78% to 15.3%, while the main board allocation weight decreased by 2.64% to 52.44% [2] - Guosheng Securities indicated that the market is expected to rise to a new level, suggesting that the recent consolidation phase is nearing its end, and the recent low points may serve as important support for future growth [2] - Multiple indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, SSE 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, Shenzhen Component Index, ChiNext Index, and Sci-Tech 50, have confirmed weekly-level upward trends, indicating the beginning of a mid-term bull market [2]