Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Central Asia (Horgos) Commodity Trade Expo was held in Xinjiang, showcasing the importance of cross-border financial services in enhancing international economic and trade cooperation [1][2] Group 1: Event Overview - The expo featured three main thematic exhibition areas: investment cooperation, Chinese goods, and Central Asian goods, covering key sectors such as textiles, agricultural products, machinery, and cross-border logistics [1] - The event attracted numerous enterprises from various countries and regions, focusing on trade and investment cooperation between China and Central Asia [1] Group 2: Financial Services Provided - Industrial Bank's Urumqi branch established a dedicated financial service consultation area at the expo, offering professional financial information support in several key areas [2] - The services included interpretations of cross-border financial policies, market dynamics, and risk assessments specific to the Central Asian region [2] Group 3: Specialized Financial Solutions - The bank promoted diversified cross-border financial solutions tailored to different enterprises' needs, including cross-border settlement, trade financing, currency risk hedging, project financing, and cash management [2] - Additionally, the bank provided guidance on green finance and sustainable development in response to national carbon reduction goals and regional green development needs [2] Group 4: Strategic Importance - The bank's participation in the expo is seen as a significant move to support high-level opening-up, demonstrating its professional value and social responsibility as a mainstream commercial bank [2] - This initiative aims to strengthen financial connections and contribute to the establishment of an open regional economic framework, enhancing trade and financial flows between China and Central Asian countries [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the international status of the euro and the potential for the renminbi (RMB) to increase its international role, particularly in light of recent U.S. tariff policies that have altered the dynamics of global financial markets [2][10][21]. Euro's International Role - The euro's international status has remained stable in recent years, with some progress in areas like "reverse Yankee" bonds due to U.S. tariff policies, which have prompted investors to seek alternative currencies [2][7]. - The "International Role Composite Index" introduced in the Lagarde report measures a currency's role in international bonds, cross-border deposits, global foreign exchange reserves, and international settlements [6]. - The euro's share in official foreign exchange reserves has remained around 20% since 2015, while the RMB's share was 2.2% in 2024, down approximately 0.4 percentage points from 2022 [6][17]. Impact of U.S. Policies - U.S. tariff policies have created opportunities for the euro to enhance its international role by breaking the traditional negative correlation between U.S. stocks and bonds, leading investors to diversify into other currencies [10][11]. - The report emphasizes that for the euro to capitalize on these opportunities, Europe must eliminate internal financial market fragmentation and establish a unified capital market [11] . Challenges from Digital Currencies - The rise of cryptocurrencies poses challenges to the international monetary system, with the U.S. actively developing policies around digital assets that could affect global financial stability [13][14]. - The report calls for Europe to accelerate the development of a digital euro and improve cross-border payment systems to strengthen the euro's international position [14]. Geopolitical Influences - Geopolitical factors are increasingly seen as significant in shaping the international monetary system, with a notable rise in gold's share in foreign exchange reserves attributed to concerns over geopolitical risks [16]. - The report indicates that military power is linked to a currency's international status, suggesting that the euro lags behind the dollar partly due to the latter's geopolitical security backing [17][18]. Recommendations for RMB - The article suggests that China should leverage its economic position to enhance the RMB's international role without compromising financial security, focusing on practical measures rather than a formal internationalization roadmap [20][21]. - It emphasizes the importance of maintaining economic growth to bolster the RMB's international status, as perceptions of slowing growth could diminish its appeal [21].

Summary of the BRICS+ Payments System Conference Call Industry Overview - The document discusses the evolving payments system among BRICS+ countries, focusing on the de-dollarization efforts and the development of independent payment infrastructures separate from US and Western systems [2][4][11]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **De-dollarization Debate**: The debate on the US dollar's reserve currency status is intensifying due to geopolitical fragmentation and the use of financial sanctions by the US and its allies [2][4]. 2. **BRICS+ Payment Sovereignty**: BRICS+ countries are pursuing 'payments sovereignty' by developing independent payment infrastructures, which are at various stages of discussion and implementation [4][11]. 3. **Challenges to Alternative Systems**: Geopolitical factors and divergent national objectives among emerging market countries pose significant challenges to establishing an alternative payments system, rather than technical barriers [4][8]. 4. **Multi-CBDC Platform**: The potential for a multi-Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) platform is highlighted, with several BRICS+ countries advancing their domestic digital payment infrastructures [4][9]. 5. **Role of Multilateral Institutions**: Institutions like the AIIB and NDB are seen as foundational for an alternative international financial system, although they currently lack sufficient liquidity support mechanisms [4][11]. 6. **SWIFT and CHIPS**: The document emphasizes the importance of SWIFT and CHIPS in the current global payments architecture, with the dollar accounting for nearly half of all SWIFT transactions [27][31]. 7. **BRICS+ Leaders Summit**: The upcoming BRICS+ leaders summit in Rio de Janeiro is expected to focus on trade, investment, and finance, but no major announcements regarding de-dollarization are anticipated [11][50]. Additional Important Content 1. **Historical Context**: BRICS countries have long opposed the existing international financial architecture, advocating for greater representation of emerging economies [6][38]. 2. **Geopolitical Dimensions**: The geopolitical landscape, particularly following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, has intensified discussions around reducing reliance on the dollar [40][41]. 3. **Future Initiatives**: Various proposals for de-dollarization are being discussed, including a BRICS common currency and cross-border payment initiatives, though many remain in the proposal stage [51][54]. 4. **Political Will**: The main hurdle to establishing an alternative payments architecture is political will, as diverging objectives within BRICS+ countries complicate consensus [9][40]. 5. **US Response**: The US has expressed concern over BRICS+ de-dollarization efforts, with former Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen emphasizing the importance of protecting the dollar [47][48]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call regarding the BRICS+ payments system and the ongoing efforts towards de-dollarization, highlighting both the challenges and potential pathways forward.

Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of weekly announcements from Sunday to Thursday regarding significant stock market events, including suspensions, increases or decreases in holdings, investment wins, acquisitions, earnings reports, unlocks, and high transfers, with key announcements marked in red to assist investors in identifying investment hotspots and preventing black swan events [1] - The company is currently laying out products related to solid-state batteries, indicating a strategic focus on this emerging technology [1] - The company provides information services such as CIPS and digital currency bridges to numerous banks, showcasing its involvement in digital currency, military applications, cross-border payments, cloud computing, blockchain, and low-altitude economy [1] - The company plans to restructure and acquire a computing power enterprise, indicating its expansion into cross-border e-commerce, computing power, and AI glasses [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of global currency payments, highlighting the dominance of the US dollar, the challenges faced by the euro, and the recent decline of the renminbi in international payment rankings [3][5][20]. Group 1: US Dollar Dominance - The US dollar maintains a dominant position in global payments, accounting for 49.08% of the total, which is a new high in eight months [8]. - Despite calls for "de-dollarization," many countries continue to increase their dollar reserves, particularly for commodities like oil and grains [10]. - The dollar's stronghold is attributed to historical factors, including its establishment as the world's reserve currency post-World War II [10][12]. Group 2: Euro's Challenges - The euro holds the second position in global payments with a share of 22.24%, but this figure has been declining, indicating underlying economic issues within the Eurozone [14][18]. - Recent data shows a drop in the euro's payment share from 22.29% to 21.93%, raising concerns about its stability [18]. - Internal conflicts within the Eurozone, such as differing fiscal policies among member states, contribute to the euro's precarious position [16]. Group 3: Renminbi's Decline - The renminbi's share of global payments fell from 3.89% to 3.50%, dropping from fourth to fifth place behind the yen [20][30]. - Despite a reported 8% increase in exports, a significant 20% drop in exports to the US has negatively impacted renminbi settlements [22]. - The renminbi's international payment status is still unstable, with its risk-bearing capacity being questioned [22][24]. Group 4: Future of Currency Competition - The article suggests that the future of currency competition may not solely rely on traditional systems like SWIFT, as alternative payment networks and digital currencies are emerging [26][28]. - China's digital renminbi and other national payment systems could potentially bypass traditional frameworks, reshaping the global payment landscape [28]. - The ability to establish a new payment ecosystem will be crucial in determining which currency can dominate future transactions [28].

4月18日，在柬埔寨首都金边，中国国家主席习近平与柬埔寨参议院主席洪森并肩同行（照片由柬埔寨政府提供，Kyodo） 在20世纪的日本，虽然政府倡导日元国际化，但企业在贸易支付等场景中仍持续依赖美元。中 国从中找出了日元国际化的"失败原因"。因此，将推"一带一路"与"数字丝绸之路"结合起来统筹提 出…… 4月中旬，柬埔寨首都金边，总理洪玛奈（Hun Manet）与时隔7年半来访的中国国家主席习近平会面。 双方确认将在柬埔寨境内扩大人民币支付范围。为柬埔寨的银行加入中国自主开发的国际银行间支付系 统"CIPS"开辟了道路。 "除了美国主导的Swift（环球银行间金融通信协会）之外，还需要另一种选择"，柬埔寨国家银行（央 行）行长谢丝蕾如此阐述加入CIPS的意义。 人民币的全球份额位居第二 中国于2015年启动CIPS，以亚洲为中心，加入该系统的银行已达到1667家。过去三年里增加了3成。 Swift汇总的数据显示，作为支付货币，人民币的全球份额达到4％。这一数字仅次于美元、欧元、英 镑，高于日元。仅从贸易支付来看，人民币占比7％，虽然与占81％的美元存在显著差距，但已位居全 球第二。 在国际社会，人民币的存在感正 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is "Strongly Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a significant increase of 43% in CIPS transactions, indicating an acceleration in the internationalization of the Renminbi [1][22]. - The cross-border digital payment industry is experiencing continuous growth, with the market size reaching 7.5 trillion RMB in 2024 [22][24]. - The integration of CIPS and digital RMB is transforming the cross-border payment landscape, with digital RMB trials expanding to 129 countries and regions [22][24]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Cross-Border Payment System - CIPS + Digital RMB - CIPS is a wholesale payment system dedicated to Renminbi cross-border payment and settlement, aimed at enhancing efficiency and security in cross-border transactions [7][9]. - Digital RMB, issued by the People's Bank of China, is a legal digital currency that supports various payment scenarios and is equivalent to physical cash [11]. Section 2: CIPS Growth and Globalization of Renminbi - The cross-border digital payment industry is projected to grow significantly, with CIPS processing 821.69 million transactions worth 175.49 trillion RMB in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 42.60% [22][24]. - The demand for cross-border payments is surging due to the rise of e-commerce platforms and the "Belt and Road" initiative, which enhances payment needs in emerging markets [24][26]. Section 3: Investment Opportunities in Technology and Applications - Investment opportunities are identified in the underlying technologies for digital RMB, including blockchain and smart contracts, which are crucial for its implementation [36]. - The report emphasizes the need for hardware upgrades to support digital RMB transactions, with companies like Guangdian Yuntong and Lakala poised to benefit from this demand [36][39]. - The digital RMB's programmability offers innovative solutions for supply chain finance and cross-border trade, with companies like Yuxin Technology and Changliang Technology expected to take on more customized projects [36][39]. Section 4: Target Identification - The report outlines potential investment targets related to digital RMB and CIPS, focusing on companies that are positioned to benefit from the growth of cross-border payment systems and digital currency applications [48].

证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 洪依真 A0230519060003 hongyz@swsresearch.com 研究支持 罗宇琦 A0230124070004 luoyq@swsresearch.com 行 业 及 产 业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 深 度 相关研究 - 联系人 罗宇琦 (8621)23297818× luoyq@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 中庚基金 使用。1 2025 年 04 月 12 日 技术创新加速人民币国际化，中国 支付方案出海先行 看好 —— GenAI 系列之 56 暨 Fintech 系列深度之 19 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 计算机 ⚫ 人民币国际化是中美博弈关键战略，正向循环开始形成。1）2024 年以来，政策密集 出台，重心是鼓励跨境电商和跨境支付系统发展。2021-2023 年每年仅两份相关政策 文件，2024 年以来已有 11 份相关政策文件或相关会议报道；2）人民币国际化，中国 跨境贸易是推动力、跨境支付是润滑剂，预计跨境支付支持政策有长期性。 ⚫ CIPS、mBridge、Brics Pa ...