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麦肯锡重磅报告:2030年中国智能制造十大关键预测
机器人圈· 2025-07-09 09:15
Core Viewpoint - The report by McKinsey highlights the accelerating transformation of the global smart manufacturing and industrial automation industry, driven by advancements in Industry 4.0 and generative AI technologies, with China, Japan, and Western Europe expected to lead the automation revolution by 2030 [12][15]. Industry Overview - The global industrial automation market is projected to reach approximately $108.3 billion by 2025, with China's market exceeding 250 billion RMB, accounting for over one-third of the global market [2][16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of policies such as the "14th Five-Year Plan for Intelligent Manufacturing" in promoting digital transformation and intelligent upgrades in China's manufacturing sector [13]. Key Trends and Directions - The report identifies three major technological trends: platformization, agility, and intelligence, along with ten key technological development directions that will drive advancements in industrial automation and smart manufacturing [2][8]. - The trends include the establishment of software-defined intelligent manufacturing platforms, model-driven design approaches, and the integration of artificial intelligence and low-code/no-code development tools [4][6][7]. Market Segmentation - The industrial automation market is segmented into continuous flow manufacturing and discrete manufacturing, with significant growth potential in both areas. Continuous flow manufacturing is expected to see spending reach approximately $76 billion by 2025, while discrete manufacturing is experiencing faster growth rates [16][17]. - The report highlights the increasing importance of industrial IoT software and cloud services, which are projected to grow at a rate of 18% [33]. Challenges and Opportunities - The global manufacturing industry faces unprecedented risks, including trade tensions and economic slowdowns, which necessitate a reevaluation of production and supply chain strategies [14]. - The report suggests that leveraging industrial automation can enhance production efficiency and address these challenges, positioning companies to better navigate the evolving landscape [15]. Technological Innovations - Key technologies such as artificial intelligence, virtual PLCs, digital twins, and low-code/no-code development are significantly enhancing the performance of industrial automation and robotics [2][36]. - The integration of multi-source heterogeneous data is crucial for achieving product quality and operational efficiency, enabling a more data-driven approach to manufacturing [47][48]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the global and Chinese industrial automation markets will experience accelerated growth over the next five years, driven by labor market changes and technological breakthroughs [33][34]. - By 2030, it is expected that 8 billion jobs globally could be replaced by machines due to advancements in automation and AI technologies [35].
中控技术(688777):国内份额持续提升,创新业务积极推进
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-02 08:44
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][19]. Core Views - The company is expected to maintain stable growth in overall revenue and profit in 2024, with projected revenue of 9.139 billion yuan (+6.02%) and net profit of 1.117 billion yuan (+1.38%) [9][19]. - The company is actively expanding its market share in domestic control systems and industrial software, with significant growth in the DCS and SIS segments [2][3]. - The company is increasing its investment in AI and robotics, and is transitioning to a subscription model for its software products, which is expected to enhance customer value and reduce costs [4][19]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 91.39 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.17 billion yuan and a non-GAAP net profit of 10.38 billion yuan [9][19]. - The fourth quarter saw a revenue of 28.02 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.73%, while the net profit was 4.00 billion yuan, down 1.98% [9][19]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.78%, an increase of 0.61 percentage points year-on-year, with a decrease in overall expense ratios [14][19]. Market Position - The company holds a 40.4% market share in the domestic DCS market, with leading positions in the chemical and petrochemical sectors [2][3]. - The SIS product line has a domestic market share of 31.2%, maintaining its position as the market leader for three consecutive years [2][3]. Growth Opportunities - The company is experiencing rapid growth in emerging industries, with significant revenue increases in the oil and gas sector (+47.84%) and pharmaceuticals (+17.38%) [3]. - The overseas business revenue reached 749 million yuan, a remarkable increase of 118.27%, with new contracts signed exceeding 1.355 billion yuan [3][19]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 100.19 billion yuan, 110.48 billion yuan, and 122.62 billion yuan, with growth rates of 9.6%, 10.3%, and 11.0% respectively [19][20]. - Net profit projections for the same period are 12.08 billion yuan, 13.89 billion yuan, and 16.14 billion yuan [19][20].