融资融券数据显示，该股最新(12月30日)两融余额82.33亿元，其中，融资余额为81.69亿元，近5日融资 余额合计增加7.73亿元，增幅为10.45%。注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需 谨慎。 紫金矿业股价出现异动，截至今日9时50分，股价大涨5.03%，成交1.03亿股，成交金额35.25亿元，换 手率为0.50%，公司发布的最新业绩预告显示，预计2025年实现净利润510.00亿元—520.00亿元，净利 润同比增长59.00%—62.00%。 资金面上看，紫金矿业近5日主力资金总体呈净流出状态，累计净流出5.04亿元，其中，上一交易日主 力资金全天净流出2.15亿元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of AI Agent smartphones is set to revolutionize the mobile industry by 2026, with significant advancements in technology and collaboration among major players [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The collaboration between Doubao and ZTE has led to the launch of the Doubao AI smartphone (Nubia M153), prompting other manufacturers to accelerate their AI Agent smartphone development [2][3]. - Major companies like ByteDance are reportedly pursuing partnerships with leading hardware manufacturers such as Vivo, Lenovo, and Transsion to develop AI smartphones [3]. - The "Big Model Six Little Tigers," including Zhiyu, have announced the open-sourcing of their core AI Agent model AutoGLM, which is expected to boost the development of AI Agent smartphones [3]. Group 2: Development Paths - The industry is divided into two distinct paths: the "radical faction" represented by Doubao AI smartphones, which utilize high-permission integration, and the "conservative faction" represented by companies like Huawei, which adopt a more cautious approach through API interfaces [4]. - Leading smartphone manufacturers like Vivo and Huawei, which shipped over 40 million units last year, are more likely to treat AI as a feature rather than a foundational element due to the high costs associated with system-level changes [4]. Group 3: Challenges and Concerns - The development of AI Agent smartphones raises concerns regarding user privacy and security, as the ability to control applications without direct user interaction could threaten the interests of existing app platforms [5][6]. - Major applications, including WeChat and Taobao, have begun to block the Doubao AI assistant due to security concerns, highlighting the risks associated with granting extensive permissions to AI applications [5][6]. - The relationship between intelligence and permissions is described as a "seesaw," where increased permissions can enhance AI capabilities but also pose significant privacy risks [6]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts predict that 2026 could mark the "mass production year" for AI Agent smartphones, contingent upon meeting specific technological and cost criteria [8]. - Key conditions for achieving this milestone include the performance of system-on-chip (SoC) NPU exceeding 40 TOPS, the production of 12nm RF amplifiers, and the availability of cost-effective memory modules [8]. - The successful transition from "demo" to "cash flow" for AI smartphones will require overcoming regulatory, cost, and value challenges, including establishing a clear permissions framework and demonstrating compelling use cases for consumers [8][9].

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of stock recommendations from various brokerages, with 10 brokerages achieving over 50% returns in 2025, showcasing their ability to identify and recommend stocks early in the market cycle [2][3]. Group 1: Brokerage Performance - The highest cumulative return was achieved by Guoyuan Securities at 83.73%, followed by Northeast Securities and Kaiyuan Securities with returns of 67.47% and 67% respectively [2]. - Other brokerages such as Dongxing Securities, Huaxin Securities, and China Merchants Securities also reported returns exceeding 60%, while Everbright Securities, Dongguan Securities, Guotai Junan, and Changcheng Securities had returns above 50% [2]. Group 2: Stock Selection Strategy - The success of these brokerages is attributed to their strategy of identifying stocks at low points and consistently recommending them, which has led to significant gains [4][5]. - For instance, Kaiyuan Securities recommended Xinyisheng for four consecutive months, resulting in a total increase of 440% from May to August [6]. Group 3: Popular Stocks - Tencent Holdings emerged as the most recommended stock, being favored by around seven brokerages each month, making it the most popular stock of the year [7]. - The report indicates that the most popular stocks varied throughout the year, with technology stocks dominating in the first quarter, consumer stocks in the second, financial stocks in the third, and a return to technology stocks in the fourth quarter [7].

证券时报记者 韩忠楠 12月30日，国家发展改革委、财政部发布《关于2026年实施大规模设备更新和消费品以旧换新政策 的通知》，明确2026年"两新"政策的支持范围、补贴标准和工作要求。 据悉，国家已于近日向地方提前下达2026年第一批625亿元超长期特别国债支持消费品以旧换新资 金计划，满足元旦、春节等旺季消费需求。 2026年"两新"政策主要在支持范围、补贴标准、实施机制三方面进行优化。 支持范围方面，设备更新领域，总体延续2025年支持范围，在民生领域增加老旧小区加装电梯、养 老机构设备更新，在安全领域增加消防救援、检验检测设备更新，在消费基础设施领域增加商业综合 体、购物中心、百货店、大型超市等线下消费商业设施的设备更新。 消费品"以旧换新"领域，继续实施汽车报废更新和汽车置换更新补贴。国家节能中心主任刘琼表 示，2026年将此前定额补贴优化调整为按车价比例补贴，报废更新补贴最高2万元、置换更新补贴最高 1.5万元。补贴资金支出随车辆价格调节，既能稳定更新总量，又能改善补贴车型结构，减少"内卷 式"、低水平的简单价格竞争。 同时，继续实施家电以旧换新补贴，支持范围聚焦冰箱、洗衣机、电视、空调、电脑、热 ...

Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance have allocated 62.5 billion yuan for the first batch of special bonds to support the consumption upgrade policy for old goods replacement in 2026 [6] - The new policy will expand support to include the installation of elevators in old residential areas, equipment updates in elderly care institutions, and facilities for fire rescue, among others, to better meet public needs [6] - The policy aims to optimize application conditions and review processes, lowering the investment threshold for equipment updates, and increasing support for small and medium-sized enterprises [6] Group 2 - The implementation regulations for the Value-Added Tax Law will take effect on January 1, 2026, detailing taxpayer and tax scope, applicable tax rates, and tax calculation methods [7] - Individuals selling residential properties purchased for less than two years will be subject to a 3% VAT, while those selling properties held for two years or more will be exempt from VAT starting January 1, 2026 [7] Group 3 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has issued a digital transformation implementation plan for the automotive industry, aiming for significant improvements in smart manufacturing capabilities and digitalization by 2027 [8] - The plan includes enhancing labor productivity by 10% and reducing product development and delivery cycles by 20% by 2027 [8] Group 4 - Beijing's Health Commission has released measures to support the innovation and development of the artificial intelligence industry in healthcare, aiming to establish a comprehensive AI product development and application model by 2027 [9] - The goal is to create a support system for AI in healthcare that ensures precise demand matching, efficient data flow, rapid technology transfer, and collaborative ecosystem development [9]

（原标题：科创板首单！预先审阅IPO获受理） 此次科创板IPO，长鑫科技拟募集资金295亿元，将用于"存储器晶圆制造量产线技术升级改造项 目""DRAM存储器技术升级项目"和"动态随机存取存储器前瞻技术研究与开发项目"。 科创板首单预先审阅IPO出炉！ 12月30日，上交所官网显示，长鑫科技集团股份有限公司（以下简称"长鑫科技"）科创板IPO申请获受 理。此前，该IPO申请已预先审阅，并在受理当天披露了两轮预先审阅问询函的回复。这是科创板首单 获受理的预先审阅IPO项目。 根据招股书申报稿，长鑫科技是我国DRAM（动态随机存取存储器）研发设计制造一体化企业，已完成 了第一代工艺技术平台到第四代工艺技术平台的量产，以及DDR4、LPDDR4X到DDR5、LPDDR5/5X的 产品覆盖和迭代。 长鑫科技IPO也是科创板首单预先审阅项目。6月18日，证监会发布《关于在科创板设置科创成长层 增 强制度包容性适应性的意见》，首次明确提出试点IPO预先审阅机制。今年7月13日，上交所发布《发 行上市审核规则适用指引第7号——预先审阅》（以下简称《预先审阅指引》）。根据《预先审阅指 引》，开展关键核心技术攻关或者符合其他特 ...

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of AI Agent smartphones is anticipated to revolutionize the mobile industry by 2026, with significant developments from various manufacturers and AI model companies, although challenges remain in compliance, cost, and value [1][10]. Group 1: Industry Developments - The collaboration between Doubao and ZTE has led to the introduction of the Doubao AI smartphone, marking a significant step in AI Agent smartphone development [1]. - Major companies like ByteDance are reportedly pursuing partnerships with leading hardware manufacturers such as Vivo and Lenovo to advance AI smartphone initiatives [3]. - The "Big Model Six Little Tigers," including Zhipu, are contributing to the AI Agent smartphone landscape, with Zhipu's AutoGLM model being a notable development [3]. Group 2: Diverging Paths - The industry is witnessing two distinct approaches: the "radical faction," represented by Doubao AI smartphones, which integrates high-level permissions, and the "conservative faction," represented by companies like Huawei, which opts for a more cautious approach through API interfaces [4]. - Major smartphone manufacturers like Vivo and Huawei, which had over 40 million units shipped last year, face significant compliance costs for system-level changes, influencing their strategy to treat AI as a feature rather than a foundational element [4]. Group 3: Challenges and Concerns - The development of AI Agent smartphones raises concerns regarding user privacy and security, particularly as applications like WeChat and Taobao have begun to block access to Doubao's AI assistant due to potential risks [6][7]. - The relationship between permissions and intelligence is described as a "seesaw," where increased permissions for AI can enhance functionality but also pose privacy threats, leading to cautious authorization from app and phone manufacturers [7][8]. - To address these challenges, industry experts suggest the need for advancements in privacy computing and regulatory frameworks to establish clear guidelines for AI usage [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The year 2026 is projected to be a pivotal moment for AI Agent smartphones, contingent on achieving specific technological benchmarks, including processing power and cost reductions [10]. - The successful mass production of AI smartphones will depend on overcoming three key hurdles: compliance with regulatory standards, managing production costs, and demonstrating compelling user value [10].

Group 1 - Meta announced the acquisition of AI startup Manus for several billion dollars, following its $15 billion acquisition of Scale AI six months prior, indicating a strategic focus on AI through mergers and acquisitions [2] - The core logic of these acquisitions is to use capital to overcome innovation bottlenecks, with Scale AI providing essential infrastructure for training large models and Manus offering scalable capabilities in general AI Agent technology [2] - The acquisitions aim to secure technology, talent, and ecosystem advantages, positioning Meta to effectively counter competitors like Microsoft and Google [3] Group 2 - The talent acquisition aspect is a critical motivation behind these mergers, as acquiring companies directly brings in top teams and leaders, bypassing traditional recruitment inefficiencies [3] - Meta's strategy includes building ecological barriers, with the two acquisitions forming a complementary strategy to resist competitive pressures and control key technological nodes [3] - The success of these large-scale acquisitions hinges on the ability to integrate the acquired companies effectively, as this will determine the overall success of the investments in the evolving AI landscape [3]

降息现分歧 当地时间12月30日公布的美联储12月货币政策会议纪要显示，多数官员认为，如果通胀如预期所料随时间推移而回落，进一步降息是合适之举。不过，也 有一些官员明确表示，他们认为在12月会议之后，利率应当"在一段时间内"维持不变。 12月9—10日联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）的会议纪要继续反映出央行内部的分歧，以及最近一次决策的艰难程度。 多数与会者支持在12月降息；少数与会者认为，12月降息并不合理。一些支持降息的与会者表示，这一决定权衡得很微妙，他们本也可以支持维持利率不 变。多数官员认为劳动力市场风险仍偏下行，同时又普遍认为通胀风险偏上行。 据报道称，尽管美联储官员已就12月降息达成共识，并暗示未来可能进一步宽松，但这并未促使交易员大幅上调对借贷成本下降的预期。市场仍倾向于押 注明年将进行两次降息，而非12月初预期的三次。虽然政策制定者强调关注劳动力市场风险，但交易员很可能在等待后续数据来验证这些担忧。 隔夜美股尾盘下跌。黄金上涨，白银狂飙。 美联储12月货币政策会议纪要显示，"大多数"与会者支持12月降息，其中少数本可能支持按兵不动。大多数官员预计，若通胀下行趋势符合他们预期，未 来适合进一步降 ...

Core Viewpoint - The first national standard for solid-state batteries has been publicly solicited for opinions, marking a significant step towards the industrialization of solid-state battery technology [1][2]. Group 1: National Standard Development - The national standard titled "Solid-State Batteries for Electric Vehicles Part 1: Terminology and Classification" has been released for public consultation, defining key terms, classifications, and coding related to solid-state batteries [2]. - The standard will be developed in four parts: terminology and classification, performance specifications, safety specifications, and lifespan specifications [4]. - The draft categorizes solid-state batteries based on the type of electrolyte, ion conduction type, and application area, including categories such as sulfide, oxide, polymer, and halide solid-state batteries [6]. Group 2: Stricter Classification and Standards - The draft specifies that solid-state batteries must have a weight loss rate of no more than 0.5%, which is stricter than the previous group standard of less than 1% [6]. - The standard aims to eliminate the concept of semi-solid batteries, focusing on clear definitions and classifications [5]. Group 3: Industry Implications - The establishment of a national standard is expected to unify technical standards, enhance industry collaboration, and strengthen China's position in international regulations, facilitating the transition from laboratory to mass production [7][8]. - The solid-state battery industry in China is experiencing significant capital investment, with major companies completing substantial financing rounds, indicating strong market confidence in the technology [9]. Group 4: Market and Investment Trends - A total of 54 listed companies in A-shares are involved in the solid-state battery supply chain, attracting institutional interest [10]. - In the fourth quarter, 22 concept stocks received institutional research, with companies like Rongbai Technology and Dandeng Technology being the most frequently researched [12]. - Companies are increasing their R&D investments, with several solid-state battery stocks reporting significant growth in R&D expenses as a percentage of revenue [13][14].