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沃什上任在即,流动性红利将终结?美联储前经济学家这么看
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 10:16
其一,沃什是否会坚定降息,还是一个伪装"鸽派",事实"鹰派"?其二,沃什主张"缩表",按常理将会 推高长端利率,或与美国财政部的巨额发债需求产生冲突,金融资产的流动性红利是否随之终结? 沃什展现的观点能否转化为行动力呢?美联储前高级经济学家、上海交通大学上海高级金融学院教授胡 捷在接受第一财经记者专访时表示,沃什的理念听上去行云流水,但在现实中完全是知易行难。 "他面前起码有两个巨大的难点:一是金融圈的剧烈反弹,二是美国财政部的生存压力。"胡捷解释 道,"沃什提出的理念和方向站得住脚,但具体的执行将是一个巨大的挑战。我认为,这个过程不仅会 是渐进的,而且会是一个极其渐进的过程。" "左手工具"和"右手工具" 伴随凯文·沃什接掌美联储主席的日程临近,有两大叙事中的谜团仍需厘清。 沃什将如何重塑美联储和财政部关系 第一财经:沃什批评美联储过度依赖滞后的经济数据是"通过后视镜开车",沃什还称要重塑美联储和财 政部关系,达成新的《财政部-美联储协议》,为何如此? 第一财经:在提名期间沃什展现出"鸽派"立场,但市场认为沃什骨子里是一个"传统鹰派"。沃什获得华 尔街和白宫双重认可,他真实的态度和立场是什么? 胡捷:如果简 ...
神秘模型爆火,智谱股价暴涨
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 08:52
Core Insights - The global model service platform OpenRouter has launched a mysterious model named "Pony Alpha," which quickly topped the platform's popularity chart within 24 hours [1] - OpenRouter describes "Pony Alpha" as a "cutting-edge foundational model" with strong performance in programming, agent workflows, reasoning, and role-playing [1] - Speculation in the industry suggests that the model may be related to either DeepSeek-V4 or the new Zhizhu GLM model, based on the connection between "Pony" and the Year of the Horse [1] - On February 9, the Hong Kong stock market opened high, with significant gains in the large model and AI application sectors, leading to a 36.22% increase in Zhizhu's stock price [1]
港股科网股,集体大涨
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 08:36
2月9日,香港恒生指数收涨1.76%,恒生科技指数收涨1.34%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生指数 | 27027.16 | 467.21 | 1.76% | | 恒生科技 | 5417.60 | 71.40 | 1.34% | | 恒生生物科技 | 15509.95 | 291.28 | 1.91% | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9168.33 | 136.95 | 1.52% | | 恒生综合指数 | 4137.60 | 76.78 | 1.89% | 澜起科技上市首日收涨逾63%。 | < W | 澜起科技(6809) | | --- | --- | | 闭市 02-09 16:08:36 | | | 额33.96亿 股本 12.1亿 市盈 93.8 万得 175.000 | | | 盘口 换 32.1% 市值12348亿 市净 15.80 +68.110 +63.72% | | | A股 173.45 9.91 6.06% 溢价(A/H) 11.40% | | | 分时 五日 日K 周K 月K 更多 ◎ | | | 叠加 ...
港股AI大模型、芯片股,午后大涨
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 07:07
2月9日,港股恒生指数、恒生科技指数午后双双走高,截至发稿,均涨近2%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅, | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 智谱 | 278.600 | 37.11% | 75.400 | | 迅策 | 59.800 | 13.04% | 6.900 | | MINIMAX-WP | 518.000 | 12.36% | 57.000 | | 阅文集团 | 38.080 | 10.63% | 3.660 | | 金山云 | 7.120 | 9.71% | 0.630 | | 汇量科技 | 14.190 | 8.49% | 1.110 | | 讯飞医疗科技 | 86.550 | 8.19% | 6.550 | | 阜博集团 | 4.600 | 7.98% | 0.340 | | 迈富时 | 40.860 | 8.27% | 3.120 | | 明略科技-W | 242.800 | 7.62% | 17.200 | 编辑|钉钉 半导体、芯片股领涨,兆易创新涨超11%,上海复旦涨超10%,华虹半导体、中芯国际涨近5%。 | 兆易创新 | 313.000 | 11 ...
31省份披露去年财政收入
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 06:53
2026.02.09 本文字数:2393,阅读时长大约4分钟 与2024年相比,山西、陕西、内蒙古三地2025年收入规模排名有所下降。这与三地2025年财政收入有所 下滑直接相关。 各地的财政收入规模与当地经济总量、产业结构等直接相关,一般来说经济总量越大,税收贡献大的产 业越多,地方盘活存量资源资产力度越大等,相应地财政收入规模越高。比如,2025年广东、江苏、山 东、浙江经济总量稳居全国前四,四地财政收入规模也位居全国前列。 作者 |第一财经 陈益刊 随着地方近期陆续披露当地政府"账本",2025年31省份地方一般公共预算收入(下称"财政收入")规模 随之揭晓。 | 省份 | 2025地方一般公共预算收入(亿元) | 同比增长(%) | | --- | --- | --- | | 广东 | 13939 | 3 | | 江苏 | 10246 | 2. 1 | | 浙江 | 8865 | 1.8 | | 上海 | 8501 | 1.5 | | 山东 | 7864 | 2 | | 北京 | 6681 | 4.8 | | 116 | 5854 | 3.9 | | 河南 | 4502 | 2.5 | | 河北 | ...
曾10分钟售500万桶,昔日网红“自嗨锅”被申请破产审查
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 06:19
2026.02.09 本文字数:790,阅读时长大约2分钟 封图|图源自嗨锅官方账号 爱企查App显示,近日,自嗨锅关联公司杭州金羚羊企业管理咨询有限公司新增一则破产审查案件,申 请人为马某,经办法院为杭州市余杭区人民法院。 企业品牌项目信息显示,自嗨锅成立于2018年,是一个自热方便火锅品牌,产品包括麻辣牛肉自热火 锅、自热汤锅、自热干锅、自热煮锅等。 | ◎ 爱企查 #2020#1800 | 着企业,杭州金羚羊企业管理咨询有限公司 宜一下 | | | 应用 · w 老户特惠 供需集市 园AF | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 司法信息 211 基本信息 125 | 经营诊断 999+ | 知识产权 110 | 企业发展 26 | 经营状况 30 Frida Carmer | | ਕਿਵੇ 项目名称 | 最新融资轮次 | 成立时间 | 所属地 | 项目简介 | | 25 自時锅 | C+轮 | 2018 | 浙江省 | 自嗨锅是一个自热方便火锅品牌,产品包括麻 辣牛肉自热火锅、目热汤锅、自热干锅、自热 煮锅等,采用来自川西地区的胰根、花椒及腰 椒,不添加食品添加剂,基于 ...
天涯社区宣布回归
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 04:44
Group 1 - Tianya Community announced its relaunch after nearly three years of suspension, with plans to restore access on June 1, 2026 [2][4] - The announcement highlighted liquidity issues that led to the suspension of services on April 1, 2023, due to unpaid telecom IDC fees, putting the data at risk [4][9] - A new investment entity, Chengdu Tianya Ke Network Technology Co., Ltd., was established in April 2024 to support the relaunch and has already invested over 1 million yuan to ensure data preservation [4][7] Group 2 - The "New Tianya Genesis Member Product Service Package" is being launched, with a limited issuance of 9,999 units priced at 1,999 yuan each, aimed at funding the community's data preservation and relaunch efforts [5][6] - The total crowdfunding amount from the Genesis Member initiative is projected to reach 19.988 million yuan [6] - The new Tianya plans include an online and offline integrated platform, a restored Tianya Community, and a WEB3.0-based overseas Tianya for decentralized governance and IP rights trading [4]
白酒春节旺季迟到,头部酒企带头“砸钱”促销
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 04:39
2026.02.09 本文字数:1077,阅读时长大约2分钟 在业内看来,白酒企业加大促销力度,主要还是针对C端消费者,核心目的是围绕"开瓶"战略展开,希 望消费者多"喝"。 白酒独立评论员肖竹青告诉记者,很多酒厂加码"开盖扫码"等促销活动,这是酒企在为渠道减负、促进 真实开瓶动销的重要举措。头部酒企正从过去追求回款增长转向注重实际动销与库存去化,通过扫码红 包、宴席买赠等方式提升开瓶率,缓解渠道压力。 封图 |第一财经 任玉明 摄 春节前是白酒的传统旺季,记者从多地酒商处了解到,今年的春节旺季比往年来迟近1个月,酒企今年 也加大了年末的促销力度,通过红包、抽奖希望帮助经销商消化库存。 "今年进了2月才开始有旺季的感觉。"山东淄博酒商李辰告诉记者,往年一般元旦前后酒水销售就有上 升的趋势,但今年元旦后市场一直不温不火,直到2月才开始转旺。中国酒业协会特邀常务理事、福建 龙基名久负责人席康也表示,今年春节动销从1月中旬才开始有明显迹象,比往年晚了最少1个月。 多位受访酒商告诉记者,一方面今年本身春节时间较晚,春节旺季启动也有所推迟;另一方面,今年企 业团购、家庭消费者等购买行为也更加理性。预计2月10日到除夕前 ...
内存接口芯片龙头港股首秀飙涨近50%
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 04:22
Core Viewpoint - Lanke Technology, a leading memory interface chip company, successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with its stock price significantly increasing from the issue price, reflecting strong market interest and confidence in the company's growth potential [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Lanke Technology is a global leader in fabless integrated circuit design, focusing on providing innovative, reliable, and high-efficiency interconnect solutions for cloud computing and AI infrastructure [3]. - According to Frost & Sullivan, Lanke Technology is projected to be the largest supplier of memory interconnect chips globally by 2024, holding a market share of 36.8% based on revenue [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company plans to achieve a net profit of between 2.15 billion to 2.35 billion RMB for the fiscal year 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.29% to 66.46% [3]. - Excluding non-recurring gains and losses, the expected net profit is projected to be between 1.92 billion to 2.12 billion RMB, with a potential growth rate nearing 70% [3]. - The anticipated increase in performance is attributed to the booming demand in the AI industry, which has significantly boosted the shipment volume of the company's interconnect chips [3].
超4400只股上涨
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2026-02-09 04:01
作者 |一财阿驴 11:31 A股午盘丨创业板指半日涨超3% 截至午盘,沪指涨1.17%,深成指涨2.07%,创业板指涨3.11%,科创综指涨2.22%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 1 | 4113.28 | 47.70 | 1.17% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | 7 | 14194.23 | 287.50 | 2.07% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 3 | 3337.03 | 100.57 | 3.11% | | 000680 | 科创综指 | 5 | 1792.49 | 38.88 | 2.22% | 盘面上,算力硬件产业链爆发,CPO、存储器方向领涨;光伏产业链走强,太空光伏方向活跃;AI应 用、半导体、商业航天、消费电子题材涨幅靠前。 2026.02.06 沪指高开0.93%,深成指高开1.50%,创业板指高开1.95%,科创综指高开1.99%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- ...