全球矿业巨头嘉能可周四确认，正就被力拓收购的可能性进行早期谈判。若交易达成，将打造全球规模 最大的矿业公司。嘉能可表示，相关讨论仍处于初步阶段，尚未达成任何具有约束力的协议。此次接触 是双方继2024年短暂沟通后，再度探讨潜在合并事宜。 ...

Market Performance - The US stock market showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.55% to close at 49,266.11, while the S&P 500 saw a slight increase of 0.01% to 6,921.46, and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.44% to 23,480.02 [1] - Major tech stocks experienced a pullback, with Broadcom down 3.21%, Nvidia down 2.19%, and Apple declining for the seventh consecutive trading day, down 0.5% [1] - Conversely, some large tech stocks rose, including Amazon up 1.96%, Alphabet up 1.1%, and Tesla up 1.02% [2] Chinese Market Insights - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 1.09%, with Alibaba rising by 5.29%, JD.com by 2.20%, and Pinduoduo by 0.52%, while Baidu fell by 3.78% [3] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil for February delivery rose by $1.77 to $57.76 per barrel, marking a 3.16% increase [4] - Gold prices remained stable, with spot gold at $4,452.64 per ounce and futures gold slightly down to $4,460.70 [5] Regulatory Developments - The Chinese market regulator held discussions with major photovoltaic companies regarding monopoly risks and required them to submit written rectification measures by January 20 [6] - The Guangzhou government issued a plan to accelerate the development of advanced manufacturing, focusing on low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace, aiming to establish a series of launch vehicle industry bases [7] Corporate Actions - China Petroleum and Chemical Corporation is undergoing a restructuring with China Aviation Oil [7] - Notable corporate announcements include Vanke A's executive retirement, and several companies reporting significant expected losses or restructuring plans [7]

Group 1 - The A-share market has shown a strong start in 2026, with the Shanghai Composite Index remaining above 4000 points for four consecutive trading days [2] - UBS and Goldman Sachs have expressed optimism about the Chinese market in 2026, highlighting that the current valuation levels are not overheated and that the market is driven by long-term investment rather than speculative trading [2][6] - UBS predicts a 14% or higher earnings growth for the MSCI China Index in 2026, driven by sectors such as internet platforms, high-end manufacturing, and companies with global expansion capabilities [4] Group 2 - In 2025, the A-share market outperformed expectations, with major indices showing significant increases: the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 18.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.87%, and the ChiNext Index by 49.57% [3] - The valuation of the MSCI China Index is approximately 13 times earnings, slightly above the ten-year average, indicating room for growth [3] - International investors have shifted from a passive to an active approach in the Chinese market, with a notable increase in capital inflow [4] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs forecasts a 20% increase in the MSCI China Index and a 12% increase in the CSI 300 Index for 2026, with growth driven by earnings rather than valuation expansion [6] - The technology, media, and telecommunications (TMT) sector is expected to see a profit growth of around 20% in 2026, supported by artificial intelligence and corporate strategies [6] - High levels of interest from foreign investors in Chinese technology and AI companies are noted, with a significant gap in valuation compared to similar U.S. firms [5][6] Group 4 - Goldman Sachs anticipates record net inflows of $200 billion from southbound capital in 2026, alongside a potential 3 trillion RMB increase in domestic asset reallocation [7] - Investment themes to focus on include companies benefiting from AI development, export leaders, and those with substantial shareholder returns [7] - High valuations are seen in sectors such as technology hardware, insurance, materials, media/entertainment, and internet retail, which are rated as overweight by Goldman Sachs [7]

Core Viewpoint - The successful IPO of Zhiyu (02513.HK) on January 8, 2026, marks it as the first global stock focused on general artificial intelligence (AGI) models, with a closing price of 131.50 HKD, up 13.16% from the issue price, and a market capitalization nearing 58 billion HKD, providing substantial returns for early investors [3][4]. Capital Landscape - Zhiyu raised over 4.3 billion HKD through its IPO, with an opening price of 120 HKD and a market cap of approximately 52.8 billion HKD at that time [4]. - The company has seen a nearly 130% increase in public market valuation compared to its post-B6 round valuation of approximately 24.4 billion RMB in May 2025 [4]. - Since 2022, Zhiyu has completed eight rounds of financing, raising a total of about 8.36 billion RMB, primarily directed towards AGI model training, multi-modal technology development, and computing infrastructure [4]. Shareholder Structure - Strategic investors include major internet companies, venture capital/private equity firms, and state-owned enterprises [5][6]. - Notable shareholders include Meituan, Ant Group, and various VC/PE firms like Junlian Capital, which has significant holdings [6][8]. Financial Performance - Zhiyu's revenue is heavily reliant on privatized deployment projects, with 95.5% of its revenue coming from this source in 2022, decreasing to 69.4% in the first half of 2025, but still representing over half of total revenue [12]. - The company has experienced rapid revenue growth, with projections showing an increase from 57.41 million RMB in 2022 to 312 million RMB in 2024, and a 300% year-on-year growth in the first half of 2025 [11]. - However, the company faces challenges with high customer concentration, as revenue from its top five clients accounted for 55.4%, 61.5%, and 45.5% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024 [13]. R&D and Losses - R&D expenditures have surged from 84.4 million RMB in 2022 to 2.195 billion RMB in 2024, leading to increasing net losses, which reached 2.143 billion RMB in 2024 and 2.351 billion RMB in the first half of 2025 [13]. - The company’s business model is heavily B-end focused, which raises concerns about customer stability and the sustainability of its revenue streams [11][12]. Market Reaction and Future Outlook - The stock experienced volatility on its first trading day, reflecting market speculation and concerns over high valuations and ongoing losses [10][14]. - The IPO is seen as a potential catalyst for a wave of listings in the AI sector, with other companies like MiniMax and Biran Technology also preparing for public offerings [15][16]. - Market analysts suggest that the future performance of Zhiyu and similar companies will depend on their ability to establish sustainable competitive advantages and improve profitability [16].

随着农历新年临近，各类投资理财活动日益活跃，然而伴随而来的，还有非法金融App诈骗案件的高 发。近日，上海市嘉定区发生的一起案件引发关注，当事人季女士在骗子客服反复劝导下，差点按 照"正规证券App"指示，提取50万元现金进行所谓"线下交易"。 此类案件揭示了当前非法金融App的新型套路：先通过仿冒知名券商或银行App制造虚假盈利，诱导投 资者持续充值，再以"账户冻结""对冲认证"等理由要求线下交付现金或实物，形成"线上诈骗、线下送 钱"的模式。 各地监管部门近期纷纷发布风险提示，警示公众警惕非法金融App。业内人士提醒，投资应通过正规渠 道，资金应进入对公账户，凡涉及私人账户或线下交付的行为，几乎可判定为诈骗。 从"假App盈利"到"线下送钱" "只要完成对冲认证，资金马上就能解冻到账。"在骗子客服的反复催促下，家住上海的季女士一度坚 信，自己下载并使用的是一款"正规的证券交易软件"。2025年12月，季女士按照对方要求前往银行提取 50万元现金，准备进行所谓的"线下交易"。所幸，银行柜员察觉异常并及时报警，在警方连续两个多小 时的耐心劝阻下，这笔现金最终没有交到骗子手中。 多地监管密集发声 近期，各地监管 ...

Core Insights - Shanghai is accelerating its development as a world-class financial technology center, with Huangpu District leading innovative practices that integrate historical significance with modern financial technology [1][9] - The FinTech Community (FTC) at the Bund is set to begin substantial operations by 2025, focusing on the integration of finance and technology to create a replicable model for global financial technology development [1][9] Group 1: Historical and Spatial Transformation - The FTC is located in the renovated Gu Xiang Building, which previously served traditional office functions but lacked modern relevance [2] - The renovation follows a "light modification" principle, maintaining the building's original structure while introducing new financial technology and content creation functions [2] - The redesigned FTC features a vertical ecological community layout, including public spaces, offices, and event areas, promoting flexible use of space [2] Group 2: Operational Mechanisms and Models - The establishment of the Shanghai Bund FinTech Economic Development Co., Ltd. marks the transition of FTC to a professional and market-oriented operational phase [3][4] - The operational model emphasizes a dual empowerment approach of "finance + technology" and "content + technology," creating an integrated ecosystem for incubation, investment, and industry collaboration [3][4] Group 3: Industry and Ecosystem Development - The FTC has quickly demonstrated its industry aggregation effects, attracting numerous financial technology companies and content creators since its trial operation [5][6] - By December 2025, 74 companies and over 1,670 content creators are expected to be engaged, forming a diverse network of technology firms, content creators, financial institutions, and service providers [7][8] Group 4: Service and Empowerment - The FTC is developing a comprehensive service system that covers the entire lifecycle of enterprises, providing integrated services such as market registration and financial support [8] - The initiative includes the establishment of a digital platform for content creators and businesses, facilitating resource matching and community interaction [8] Group 5: Broader Implications and Future Goals - The FTC's model offers a solution for urban areas to foster high-level financial technology innovation without relying on large-scale land development [9][10] - Future goals include collaboration with top universities and research institutions to extend financial technology innovation into cutting-edge fields and enhance global connectivity [11][12]

作为"全球大模型第一股"，智谱（02513.HK）于1月8日登陆港交所。上市首日股价低开高走，收报 131.50港元，较发行价上涨13.16%，市值接近580亿港元，为潜伏多年的早期投资机构带来了可观回 报。其背后，浮现出包括互联网大厂、一线创投、国资等多方资本构成的战略版图。 然而，光环之下，挑战犹存。尽管根据第三方统计，智谱2024年以6.6%的市场份额居中国独立大模型 厂商首位，但其收入仍高度依赖面向政府、国企的私有化部署项目，客户集中度高且复购存在不确定 性。与此同时，公司研发开支三年间从千万元级跃升至数十亿元，净亏损同步扩大。 值得注意的是，智谱的上市或许只是开端。在智谱率先跑通上市路径后，AI大模型厂商会否迎来一波 IPO热潮，已成为业界关注的新焦点。 背后的资本版图 1月8日，智谱于港交所主板挂牌，成为全球首家以通用人工智能（AGI）基座模型为核心业务的上市公 司。当日开盘价为120港元，对应市值约528亿港元。根据本次发行价116.20港元计算，共募集资金超43 亿港元。 上市首日，智谱股价呈现"低开高走"，收盘较发行价上涨超过13%，市值近580亿港元。相比2025年5月 完成B6轮融资时的 ...

L3级自动驾驶正在加速落地。2025年12月15日，工业和信息化部正式公布我国首批L3级有条件自动驾 驶车型准入许可。到12月末，首批获颁L3号牌的车辆已经在北京、重庆的试点路段上路。 当智驾更进一步，当方向盘开始更多地在人与机器之间切换控制权，延续数十年的车险行业未来又将随 之面临怎样的变化？L3真的到来时，智驾险是否会取代车险成为新的"主角"？ "未来很长一段时间仍会以车险为主，智驾险不会取代现在的车险。"平安产险上海分公司总经理何莹对 第一财经表示。这也是记者采访的多位业内人士的一致判断。但这并不意味着车险市场会一成不变。受 访的业内人士表示，一旦L3大范围铺开，会有更多新的场景出现，从而催生新的保险责任。但同时， 如何定责、数据匮乏等也成为L3下智驾保险发展所要面临的挑战。 车险会被替代吗？ 车险一直是财险市场最重要的险种。金融监管总局数据显示，2025年前11个月，车险累计原保险保费收 入为8432亿元，占财产险公司总保费的52.19%。当前车险格局下，燃油车与新能源车均采用"交强险 +车损险+第三者责任险+附加险"的传统方案；部分L2级车型中，车企与保险公司联合开发的智能辅助 驾驶责任险保障计划（ ...

1月8日，港股恒生指数收跌1.17%，恒生科技指数跌1.05%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 26149.31c | -309.64 | -1.17% | 2683亿 | | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 5678.34c | -60.18 | -1.05% | 754亿 | | HSBIO | 恒生生物科技 | 15879.59c | -13.66 | -0.09% | 127亿 | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9039.34c | -99.41 | -1.09% | 941亿 | | HSCI | 恒生综合指数 | 4004.72c | -43.44 | -1.07% | 1729亿 | 科网股普跌，联想集团跌逾5%，百度集团、美团跌超3%， 阿里巴巴、 快手、京东、腾讯控股均走 低。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 ◆ | | --- | --- | --- | | 联想集团 | 8.780 | -5.59% | | 0992.HK | | | ...

Core Insights - The white liquor industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with 2025 being particularly challenging due to rational consumption and ongoing anti-corruption efforts, prompting companies to reassess their market strategies [1][4] Group 1: Market Conditions - Many liquor businesses, including those in Tianjin, reported losses in 2025, with sales figures dropping significantly compared to previous years, indicating a severe market contraction [2][4] - The average retail price of major liquor brands has decreased by 30% in 2025, with 99% of premium liquor prices falling [3][4] - The industry is facing a deep adjustment period, with many companies experiencing double-digit declines in revenue and net profit in the third quarter of 2025 [4] Group 2: Changes in Business Strategy - Liquor companies are shifting their focus from traditional sales models to consumer-centric approaches, emphasizing supply-demand matching and price balance [6][8] - There is a notable trend of companies avoiding long-term contracts with suppliers to mitigate financial risks associated with unsold inventory [3][4] - New growth models are emerging, with companies like Moutai and Fenjiu focusing on consumer engagement and exploring new consumption scenarios [6][7] Group 3: Consumer Behavior and Preferences - The demand for liquor is declining, particularly in corporate gifting and festive occasions, leading to increased competition and pressure on distributors [3][5] - The industry is witnessing a shift towards lower-alcohol products and innovative offerings to attract younger consumers and diversify market reach [7][8] - The implementation of new regulations against wasteful consumption has further altered drinking scenarios, compelling companies to adapt their strategies [7][8]