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万科起诉万达
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-20 00:54
Core Viewpoint - The ongoing legal dispute between Vanke and Wanda Group, stemming from a long-standing cooperation disagreement over the "Changchun International Film City" project, has drawn significant attention, with a court date set for November 3, 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Background of the Dispute - The partnership between Vanke and Wanda began in 2015, aiming for deep collaboration in domestic and international projects, with Vanke focusing on residential development and Wanda on commercial aspects [2][4]. - The "Changchun International Film City" project, initiated in 2019, involved a planned investment of 20 billion yuan, covering a vast area and aiming to create a world-class cultural and tourism project [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Disputes - Vanke decided to terminate the partnership in June 2021, leading to disagreements over the repayment of investment funds, with Vanke claiming an additional 1.38 billion yuan was owed [7]. - The legal dispute has resurfaced after Vanke previously sought to freeze Wanda's shares worth nearly 2 billion yuan, indicating ongoing tensions and financial pressures on both companies [7][8]. Group 3: Debt Situations - Wanda Commercial Management reported a significant debt burden, with interest-bearing liabilities totaling 137.56 billion yuan, including 30.27 billion yuan due within a year, indicating substantial financial pressure [8][9]. - Vanke is also facing severe liquidity challenges, with short-term borrowings of 23.15 billion yuan and non-current liabilities due within a year reaching 134.71 billion yuan, leading to a cash shortfall exceeding 88.5 billion yuan [11][12].
左右没有对错,但极端带来灾难
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-20 00:01
所以我想聊聊政治,我运气很好(或者很不好),在很多国家和地区混乱的时候,都机缘巧合出现在当地。2012年前后尼泊尔 选举和政府的危机,希腊债务危机,2013-2014哈萨克的汇率贬值,后面还有很多......我很崇拜那些革命者,我觉得有很多事情 都可以改变,也应该改变,我听着左派的口号:自由,平等,博爱;Workers of the world,unite!还有那句经典的XX有理。我 和他们共情。 在我踏上南美大陆之前,我的一个好朋友和我说,这个大陆被两种思想深深影响,一个是天主教信仰,一个是马克思主义。他 觉得我一定会很享受这个旅程。当然除了休闲和一些政治思考之外,我还有一个理由:好奇今年南美铜矿产量的干扰来源,这 一点在因为目的地戒严和动乱,取消一整段行程之后,我觉得多少已经有点眉目。 所以很多时候,我相信大家都看过,用极左攻击左,用极右攻击右。我姑且不说这两者之间还有点区别,更多时候最搞笑的 是,因为极左和极右是类似的,所以我看过很多次,右派开除了极右翼的籍贯,然后说他们其实是披着皮的左派。反之亦然。 如果说这些理论太枯燥,我想用一个我自己的亲身经历解释这个问题。在很多时候,矿山和当地的社区或者说原住民 ...
中美谁治谁?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-20 00:01
有制服他人的能力,就能掌握主动权。被他人所控制,就不能掌控自己的命运。 2025年并非中美关系史上最紧张的年份。这一年两国沟通畅顺,政治和军事上也没有剑拔弩张。但在经 贸领域,却是一波未平一波又起、始终不得歇的一年。 这一年,或许会成为两国经贸关系的一个转折点,即中方开始从耐心克制走向明确反制,从"跟随式对 等反制"走向"关键供应链反制"。 古代典籍《鬼谷子》中说,"道贵制人,不贵制于人也;制人者握权,制于人者失命。"强调主动权的重 要性。 大历史的背景 美国作为全球最大经济体、最大市场和金融、科技、军事等方面的超强国,在全球经贸领域一直处于制 人者的地位。 中方的基本态度是,经贸关系的本质是互利共赢,"合则两利,斗则俱伤";有分歧和摩擦,可以磋商谈 判,寻找解决方案。中方很少主动先出招,其策略更像是对方策略的一种镜像——谈,敞开大门,打, 奉陪到底;人不犯我,我不犯人;人若犯我,我必犯人。 5月在日内瓦,6月在伦敦,7月在斯德哥尔摩,9月在马德里,中美双方举行了四轮经贸会谈,谈出了不 少共识,避免了冲突升级。但也看得出,合作的根基并不很牢,一直存在磕磕绊绊,呈现出一种且行且 缠斗的状态。 1947年的关贸总 ...
“死亡互联网理论”刷屏硅谷
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 23:26
Core Viewpoint - The internet is increasingly dominated by AI-generated content, leading to a decline in authentic human-created content, which some are referring to as the "death of the internet" [2][3][6]. Group 1: The "Death of the Internet" Theory - The "Death of the Internet" theory posits that the loss of authenticity equates to the internet's demise, as it becomes overrun by fake content [13][14]. - This theory gained traction in 2021, highlighting the growing perception that much of the internet is becoming artificial [15][17]. - The rise of generative AI has provided more support for this theory, as AI-generated content increasingly mimics human behavior on social media [19][20]. Group 2: The Impact of AI on Internet Content - According to Cloudflare, bot traffic accounts for approximately 31% of overall application traffic, with some regions experiencing even higher levels [24]. - Imperva's 2025 report indicates that automated traffic will reach 51% by 2024, with malicious bots making up 37% of that traffic [25][26]. - By November 2024, AI-generated articles are expected to surpass those written by humans, marking a significant shift in content creation [29][32]. Group 3: The Crisis of Model Collapse - The concept of model collapse arises from the recursive training of AI models on AI-generated data, leading to a loss of diversity and quality in content [36][38]. - As AI-generated content becomes more prevalent, the risk of producing lower-quality AI outputs increases, potentially resulting in a downward spiral of content quality [40][41]. Group 4: The Need for Authenticity and Trust - Google and Nvidia executives emphasize the importance of integrating AI-generated content with human input to maintain authenticity [42][43]. - There is a growing challenge in distinguishing between AI-generated and human-generated content, as many AI outputs are guided by human input [45][48]. - Sam Altman advocates for verifiable sources and governance tools to enhance trust in content, stressing that authenticity is paramount [49][50]. Group 5: Regulatory Responses - Recent legislative efforts, such as the U.S. "TAKE IT DOWN Act" and the EU's AI Act, aim to regulate AI-generated content and ensure transparency [55][56]. - These regulations highlight the necessity of identifying AI content to mitigate risks associated with misinformation and maintain the integrity of digital interactions [57][58].
今年有极寒,冷冬?A股谁受益?| 1019 张博划重点
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 14:45
Group 1 - The deterioration of the China-US trade environment is a direct trigger for market adjustments this week, with Trump announcing a potential 100% tariff increase on China [1] - The US Department of Commerce released export control rules in late September, placing several Chinese companies on the entity list, prompting China to implement countermeasures, including stricter controls on rare earth exports [1] - Recent increases in Chinese assets were largely driven by overseas technology linkages, highlighting a short-term vulnerability in Chinese assets [1] Group 2 - A video call took place between Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng and US Treasury Secretary Yellen, focusing on important issues in bilateral economic and trade relations, with an agreement to hold new rounds of China-US economic consultations [4] - Trump's softened stance indicates that a 100% tariff increase is unsustainable, and he expressed intentions to meet in the coming weeks [5] Group 3 - Citic Securities maintains an optimistic outlook on the stock market but advises caution in asset allocation [8] - The market's core contradiction lies in the pricing of economic fundamentals, with a need to pay attention to tactical changes in market valuation [9] - The fourth quarter is critical for validating leading indicators' transmission to the economic cycle, with a focus on non-bank sectors and commodity price expectations [9]
实探预制菜生产厂,你点的拼好饭为什么越来越难吃?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 14:00
你叫小帅,今天刷短视频,一不小心看到批发预制菜料理包仅需5元左右的广告,于是手一滑买了试吃装。 你按照包装上的指引,把料理包统统丢进沸水里泡了个澡,咕嘟5分钟,天才的你一不小心就做出了一桌丰盛的大餐。 于是你灵机一动,又买入更多料理包,将热好的菜分装进打包盒里。恭喜你接住了泼天富贵!轻轻松松就用最小的投入,拥有了一家自己的外卖店。 一家纯外卖店档口。社交平台截图 这看似荒诞的剧情,正在现实中上演。5元料理包外卖早已不是什么秘密,但你不知道的是,这并非传统餐饮工业化升级的简单课题,其背后是外卖平台 算法对出餐速度和商户利润的挤压、毫无餐饮经验的小本创业者"降级"生存的选择,以及预制菜厂家精准捕捉失业、低收入群体"求稳畏险"心态后,使出 的分销推广花样。 迈克尔·波伦曾在《为食物辩护》一书中描述令人沮丧的现实:"母亲们对于家庭一日三餐的话语权几乎丧失殆尽,全都拱手让给了科学家、食品推销 商。"过去一个月,人们对"西贝式"高价预制菜的讨论,正是消费者对话语权的争夺。 但面对无处不在的廉价预制菜料理包,人们似乎已经习以为常。近日,凤凰网《风暴眼》探访多家预制菜料理包生产工厂,深入行业各环节,为你解锁 ——资本究竟是如 ...
万物皆可联名,IP谷子大爆发,吃谷妹先扛不住了
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 13:19
Core Insights - The rapid growth of the "Guzi economy" is leading to a surge in group purchases and collaborations with game IPs, creating a unique consumer culture among young people [1][33][36] - Despite the booming market, the actual spending on game content remains low, indicating a disconnect between merchandise purchases and in-game spending [40][41][52] Group 1: Guzi Economy Dynamics - The Guzi economy is projected to reach a market size of 168.9 billion RMB in 2024, with expectations to exceed 300 billion RMB by 2029 [33] - The rise of group purchases has led to a specialized language within the Guzi community, making it difficult for outsiders to understand [3][5] - Players are increasingly engaging in blind box purchases, which creates a gamble-like experience, leading to mixed feelings among consumers [9][10][18] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Preferences - Many consumers prefer to buy merchandise rather than invest in game content, with some spending limits set at around 30 RMB for in-game purchases [41][42] - The popularity of certain characters influences pricing, with rare characters commanding higher prices while less popular ones are sold at lower rates [14][15][17] - The community dynamics show that group leaders often face challenges in managing group purchases, including dealing with cancellations and ensuring successful transactions [24][31][32] Group 3: Market Trends and Challenges - The frequency of collaborations between game IPs and merchandise brands has increased, but this has led to consumer fatigue and heightened expectations [42][48] - Recent collaborations have sparked debates within the community, indicating a growing divide among players regarding the value of merchandise versus in-game content [44][51] - The sustainability of the Guzi economy is questioned as the novelty of collaborations wears off, emphasizing the need for game developers to focus on enhancing the core gameplay experience [52]
网球课60块,清迈成了打工人的“中产班”
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 11:53
这几年,打工人经历了几轮旅行演变。 之前流行特种兵旅游,主打"5天征战欧洲8国",结果累成美丽世界的无头苍蝇;紧接着,特种应激的打工人,开始尝试彻底享受,旅游就是花钱找个度假 村买服务,主打一站式出片。 图源:赵葱葱葱姜鱼 清迈,这座泰国旅游城市,正以"世界打工人兴趣班"的姿态,成为这场跨国学艺运动的宇宙中心。 所谓跨国学艺,就是利用"汇率差"进行一场文化套利,"用县城消费,学中产技能。"跟出国留学不同,跨国学艺不卷学历、不熬时长,重点全在"艺"字上 ——花几百块解锁一门手艺,没准还能顺带揣几张证书回家,堪称当代打工人的"海外蓝翔速成班"。 而且,还不用担心语言问题。"因为这里的课程不但便宜,而且外国人众多,老师会用最简单的词汇跟你交流,即使是四级没过,都能无痛融入。" 在清迈能做运动员! 运动指南! 很全 在清迈呆了一星期,瑜伽去了2次,网球2次,冥想课1 次,crossfit 1次,一整天雨林徒步,晨跑1次,还有泰拳 和攀岩没去, 以下为直男。 但是,无论是高密度打卡还是直接躺平,对于一些最想要获得感的打工人来说,都是隔靴搔痒,如今,他们开始研究跨国学艺了。 图源:陈小如啦啦啦 从泰拳、瑜伽到音疗冥想,从 ...
科技板块压力,短期会缓解吗?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 11:40
Group 1 - The core reason for the recent weakness in the Chinese technology sector is the high valuations that need to be corrected to digest the bubble [2] - The technology sector is highly interconnected between the US and China, with significant linkage increasing since October [2] - The decline in the US tech sector, particularly in emerging industries like AI, has a direct impact on the Chinese market, as seen with Oracle's 8% drop affecting A-share tech stocks [2] Group 2 - Market sentiment has shifted towards increased "insecurity," prompting a search for sectors that may benefit from this trend [1]
用减肥做借口号召全球将领回国,特朗普是如何统一兵权?
Hu Xiu· 2025-10-19 11:01
特朗普用"减肥"作借口,把全球美军高级将领召回,实际上是搞一场服从性测试,敲打不听话的"诸 侯"。 ...