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核心观点 本报告起始于一个核心问题：汽车行业景气度（总量增速）与汽车板块估值的关系如何？ 当前汽车行业既面临总量红利逐步消退的压力，又迎来AI大模型快速迭代的变革机 遇，行业景气度与板块估值的关联逻辑更趋复杂。为此，我们采用定性和定量分析相结合的方式，系统性探究汽车行业景气度与汽车板块估值的关系，提供低增速时代下汽车 行业的投资策略和分析框架。 汽车板块估值和景气度有关系吗？有关系且估值前置于景气度。 复盘20年汽车历史，但凡高景气度（销量高增长）的年份，汽车板块行情表现一定提升（但并非每次汽车板块 行情的提振都来自于高景气度）。长期看，板块估值和景气度存在正相关关系，同时拟合分析下来汽车板块月度估值相对月度销量增速有1个月左右的领先性，当前汽车估值隐 含未来销量增速预期。 高估值一定由高景气度驱动吗？不一定，景气度是估值的充分非必要条件。 2019年以后，汽车行情与景气度之间的正相关关系弱化，出现两大效应：①脱钩效应：景气度是估 值的充分不必要条件，传统"销量增速驱动估值"的逻辑正在弱化，二者有明显的脱钩；②非对称效应：更深入看，景气度对估值的影响具有非对称效应，高景气度能驱动行业 估值提升，但低景气度并不 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xidi Intelligent Driving (03881.HK) is a leading enterprise in the field of commercial vehicle intelligent driving products and solutions, focusing on autonomous mining trucks and logistics vehicle solutions, V2X, and intelligent perception [2][7]. Company Overview - Established in 2017, Xidi Intelligent Driving is a global leader in intelligent driving hard technology products, dedicated to innovation in hard technology and the application of autonomous driving and vehicle-road collaboration technology [7]. - The company reported a revenue of 408 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 57.9%, with a net loss of 450 million yuan [2][6]. Business Segments Autonomous Driving - The autonomous driving segment includes solutions for autonomous mining trucks and logistics vehicles, with a revenue contribution of 92.7% in 2025H1 [14]. - The market for autonomous mining truck solutions in China is projected to grow from 1.9 billion yuan in 2024 to 39.6 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 65.3% [3]. - Xidi holds approximately 12.9% market share in the autonomous mining truck solutions market in China [3]. V2X - The V2X market in China is expected to grow from 2 billion yuan in 2024 to 23.8 billion yuan by 2030, with a CAGR of 51% [3]. - Xidi's V2X solutions integrate advanced perception technology and traffic optimization algorithms, enhancing road safety and traffic management [24][25]. Intelligent Perception - The intelligent perception segment includes the Train Autonomous Perception System (TAPS) and vehicle-mounted intelligent perception solutions, contributing 5.0% to the revenue in 2025H1 [14][30]. - TAPS is designed to enhance train safety through active perception capabilities, utilizing various detection technologies [30]. Financial Analysis - The company has shown rapid revenue growth, with a significant increase in the autonomous driving segment's revenue by 142.47% year-on-year in 2025H1 [16]. - The gross margin for the autonomous driving segment was 15.59%, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.52 percentage points year-on-year [16]. Research and Development - Xidi emphasizes strong R&D capabilities, with over 50% of its workforce dedicated to research, and core team members averaging over 15 years of engineering experience [4][39]. - The company has been one of the earliest in China to commercialize intelligent driving technology in closed environments since 2018 [4]. Customer Base - Xidi's diverse customer base includes mine owners, government entities, universities, commercial vehicle manufacturers, and other enterprises, continuously expanding its clientele [4][10].

Core Insights - The article discusses the latest developments in the automotive intelligence sector, highlighting advancements in L3 autonomous driving technology and the increasing penetration rates of various intelligent features in vehicles. Group 1: L3 Autonomous Driving Developments - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has approved two L3 autonomous driving vehicle models, marking a significant step towards commercial application in China [10]. - Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology is expected to receive full approval in China by early 2026, indicating progress in regulatory acceptance [11]. - Xiaopeng Motors has obtained a road testing license for L3 autonomous driving in Guangzhou, furthering its testing capabilities [12]. Group 2: Market Penetration Rates - As of October 2025, the penetration rate of passenger vehicles with L2 and above features reached 33%, a year-on-year increase of 19 percentage points [8]. - The penetration rates for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) such as highway NOA and urban NOA are 33.8% and 16.2%, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 21 and 8 percentage points [8]. - The penetration of 800 million pixel cameras in passenger vehicles has reached 49.7%, up 31% year-on-year [6]. Group 3: Industry Collaborations and Innovations - WeRide's Robotaxi service has successfully launched in over 10 cities globally, demonstrating the commercial viability of autonomous driving technology [13]. - Hiydi Zhijia has become the first company focused on commercial vehicle intelligent driving to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising approximately 1.422 billion HKD [15]. - RoboSense has secured a contract with Dongfeng Nissan for nearly one million units of digital lidar products, set to begin mass production in 2026 [17]. Group 4: Sensor and Technology Advancements - The penetration rate of laser radar in passenger vehicles has reached 14.3%, with a year-on-year increase of 7.9 percentage points [6]. - The market share of NVIDIA chips in passenger vehicle driving domain controllers has increased to 58%, reflecting a 22.2% year-on-year growth [6]. - The cumulative shipment of Huayang Group's HUD products has surpassed 3.5 million units, solidifying its position as a leading supplier in the global market [16].

Core Viewpoint - Chery Automobile, founded in 1997, has nearly 30 years of history and is entering a new era in 2025 with significant advancements in its electric vehicle (EV) and international business strategies [2][4]. Company Overview - Chery has a rich historical foundation, with rapid revenue growth and stable profitability in recent years. The company operates under five major brands: Chery, Jetour, iCAR, Exeed, and Zhijie, along with two overseas brands, Omoda and Jaecoo. It has extensive production capacity both domestically and internationally [3][50]. Development Stages - The company's development can be divided into five phases: 1. Layout and Investment Period (1997-2004) 2. Rapid Development Period (2005-2010) 3. Brand Accumulation Period (2011-2017) 4. Multi-Brand Restructuring Period (2018-2020) 5. Hybrid/Intelligent Transformation Period (2021-2024) [5][59]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Chery achieved revenue of 214.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.94%, and a net profit of 14.365 billion yuan, up 28.19% [23][43]. - The company’s total sales volume reached 2.5157 million units in 2024, a 42.89% increase year-on-year, with overseas sales exceeding 1 million units for the first time [20][28]. Domestic Market Strategy - Chery's hybrid products are experiencing rapid growth, with a clear sub-brand strategy. The A9L model is expected to significantly boost the company's performance in the hybrid segment starting in the second half of 2025 [6][7]. - The company is focusing on enhancing the quality of its electric vehicle offerings, with a notable increase in the penetration rate of its hybrid products [7][32]. International Market Strategy - Chery has been expanding its international presence systematically, with plans for local production in multiple regions. By 2025, the company aims to deepen its overseas production capabilities, particularly in Southeast Asia and Europe [8][9]. - The company has transitioned from primarily exporting fuel vehicles to a comprehensive, ecosystem-based international strategy [9][56]. Brand Positioning - Chery's brand matrix includes: - **Chery**: Targeting family users with a focus on safety and quality. - **Jetour**: Catering to family travel and outdoor enthusiasts. - **Exeed**: Aiming at performance-oriented users. - **iCAR**: Targeting tech-savvy younger consumers. - **Zhijie**: Focusing on intelligent and high-performance vehicles [50][51][54]. Production Capacity - Chery has a robust domestic production capacity, primarily located in Wuhu, Anhui, with additional facilities in Henan, Liaoning, and Inner Mongolia. This allows the company to meet both domestic and international demand [56][57]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas production capabilities, with multiple production bases in Southeast Asia, Central Asia, South Asia, Europe, North Africa, and South America [56][57].

低空经济系列 车中旭霞 行业深度 低空经济行业专题系列一： 深度 | eVTOL行业专题：低空经济的先导产业，飞行汽车商业化渐近【国信汽车】 低空经济行业专题系列二：eVTOL动力系统的市场空间、技术趋势和产业链机遇【国信汽车】 低空经济行业专题系列三：低空经济乘风而至，产业机遇前景广阔 公司深度 深度|万丰奥威：汽车轻量化为基，通航飞机打开低空经济成长空间【国信汽车】 深度 | 亿航智能：低空经济领先企业，集齐适航三证，商业化落地有望加速【国信汽车】 核心观点 通用航空以航空器制造和飞行活动为核心，除了军用以及民用客货运航班以外，其他所有的飞行活动都可以归入 通用航空的范畴 通用航空具有灵活性、个性化的服务特点，作业范围广、作业空域低、作业时效性强，涉及多样化民用领域。传统通 用航空器以固定翼飞机和直升机为主，技术和应用都比较成熟。新兴通用航空器则以无人机和eVTOL为代表，具有智 能化、无人化和绿色化等特点 。 通用航空在我国迎来新发展机遇主要源于政策、技术和市场化三个因素推动 政策方面，低空经济上升成为国家战略推动空域管理制度变革以及带动通航基础设施和运营体系建设完善，为产业发 展创造了有利条件。技术方 ...

Industry Insights - The Robo-X initiative is expected to reach a milestone in 2026, driven by supportive policies, technological advancements, and cost reductions in L4 autonomous driving [3][4] - The global L4 market is projected to exceed trillions by 2030, with the domestic Robotaxi market estimated at 236 billion yuan annually, and Robovan and Robotruck markets also showing significant potential [4][12] - The competitive landscape includes key players such as Pony.ai and WeRide in the Robotaxi sector, with various companies emerging in Robovan, Robotruck, Robobus, and Robosweeper markets [4] Company Analysis - Pony.ai reported a 72% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, with ongoing progress in the commercialization of Robotaxi services [1][2] - WeRide achieved a remarkable 144% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3, indicating accelerated commercialization of its L4 products [2][1] Policy Developments - Global policies are increasingly supportive of autonomous driving, with countries like the UAE and Singapore implementing frameworks to facilitate the testing and deployment of autonomous vehicles [12][14] - In China, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated pilot programs for smart connected vehicles, involving major automotive companies [14][15] Investment Trends - In 2025, the L4 sector is expected to attract significant investment, with over 49 financing events reported, totaling nearly 21.8 billion yuan in funding [16]

Core Viewpoint - EHang Intelligent is advancing towards commercial operations in the low-altitude economy, with significant milestones achieved in regulatory approvals and product development, particularly with the introduction of the VT35 aircraft and the operational certification of the EH216-S model [2][7][28]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, EHang Intelligent reported total revenue of 0.92 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 27.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 37.2% [3][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was -82.16 million RMB, compared to -48.06 million RMB in the same period last year [3][10]. - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 60.8%, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.4 percentage points [4][5]. Group 2: Product Development and Launches - EHang launched the new long-range unmanned aerial vehicle VT35 in October 2025, designed for intercity air travel with a maximum range of approximately 200 kilometers [20][21]. - The VT35 is an upgraded version of the VT30, featuring a compact design that enhances aerodynamic efficiency and flight stability [21][23]. - The company has received purchase orders for the VT35, priced at 6.5 million RMB each, and began deliveries in Q3 2025 [24]. Group 3: Regulatory Approvals and Commercial Operations - EHang's subsidiaries received the first operational certificates for manned unmanned aerial vehicles in China, marking a significant step towards commercial operations in the low-altitude economy [24][28]. - Since obtaining the operational license, EHang has completed over 1,700 flights and is preparing to launch eVTOL flight services based on reservations [28][30]. - The company has expanded its eVTOL global flight operations to 21 countries, with significant developments in Thailand, Qatar, Japan, Kazakhstan, and Rwanda [31][32][35][36]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Development - EHang has formed strategic partnerships with companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and Minshi Group to enhance the safety and efficiency of its eVTOL aircraft [37][38]. - The company is collaborating with Tsinghua University to establish a research institute focused on low-altitude aviation technology, aiming to drive innovation in the industry [41]. - EHang's production capacity is set to increase with the expansion of its manufacturing facilities, targeting an annual production of 1,000 eVTOL aircraft and components [38].

Core Viewpoint - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 407 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.2% [3][9]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net loss of 101 million yuan, compared to a loss of 51 million yuan in Q2 2025 and a loss of 82 million yuan in Q3 2024 [3][9]. - The company's gross margin in Q3 2025 was 23.9%, an increase of 6.5 percentage points year-on-year, but a decrease of 3.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][5][14]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2% [9]. Product Performance - In Q3 2025, total sales volume of LiDAR products reached 185,600 units, a year-on-year increase of 34.0% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.3% [10]. - Revenue from ADAS application LiDAR products in Q3 2025 was 245 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 25.7% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.8% [3][9]. - Revenue from LiDAR products for robotics and other applications was 142 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 157.8% [3][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a global leader in the LiDAR and perception solutions market, integrating hardware and software to provide advanced perception capabilities for vehicles and robots [18]. - The company has established partnerships with over 90% of global Robotaxi and Robotruck enterprises, including major players like Didi and Pony.ai [55]. - The company aims to become a leading robotics technology platform, focusing on chip development, algorithms, and digital architecture [61]. Research and Development - In Q3 2025, the company's R&D expenses increased, with a R&D expense ratio of 44.15%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.95 percentage points [20]. - The company has developed proprietary SPAD-SoC chips and 2D VCSEL chips, which have passed AEC-Q automotive certification, marking a significant technological advancement [27][26]. Product Innovations - The company launched the "Active Camera" as part of its robotics vision product line, integrating multiple sensor technologies to enhance robotic perception capabilities [39][32]. - The company has introduced a digital product matrix, including the EM platform, which has secured contracts with 13 automakers for 56 vehicle models [45][51]. Market Expansion - The company has received significant orders from major automotive manufacturers, with total orders exceeding one million units [51]. - The company is actively exploring the embodied intelligence field, focusing on autonomous movement and operation capabilities for robots [29].

Core Viewpoint - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of $25.44 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 72% [2][3][7]. Revenue Breakdown - The company's revenue from Robotaxi services in Q3 2025 was $6.7 million, up 89.5% year-on-year, with passenger fare revenue increasing by over 200% [3][8]. - Robotruck service revenue reached $10.2 million, reflecting an 8.7% year-on-year growth, aided by a 70% reduction in BOM costs for the fourth-generation Robotruck [3][8]. - Revenue from licensing and applications surged to $8.6 million, a significant increase of 354.6%, driven by rising demand for autonomous driving domain controllers (ADC) and delivery services [3][8]. Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin in Q3 2025 was 18.4%, an increase of 9.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -242.0%, improving by 42.8 percentage points year-on-year [5][13]. - The overall expense ratio was 292.2%, up 7.7 percentage points year-on-year but down 9.5 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4][17]. Operational Expansion - The company is advancing its Robotaxi operations with a fleet of 961 vehicles, including 667 of the seventh-generation model, aiming to exceed 1,000 vehicles by year-end and 3,000 by the end of 2026 [6][22]. - The seventh-generation Robotaxi has achieved profitability on a per-vehicle basis in urban areas, validating the business model [6][22]. - Strategic partnerships have expanded the Robotaxi business into eight countries, including collaborations with Mowasalat in Qatar and various ride-hailing platforms [26][27]. Market Development - The company has launched full autonomous Robotaxi services in major Chinese cities, including Shanghai and Shenzhen, significantly increasing the number of pick-up and drop-off points [25]. - The seventh-generation Robotaxi has received positive user feedback, with a notable increase in new registrations since its launch [23]. Technological Advancements - The fourth-generation Robotruck has been introduced, designed for mass production, with a significant reduction in BOM costs by approximately 70% compared to the previous generation [28][30]. - The company is leveraging AI algorithms and fleet management expertise to enhance the efficiency and safety of its autonomous vehicles [22][30]. Strategic Partnerships - The company has formed a strategic alliance with Sunshine Travel to develop a large-scale autonomous vehicle fleet, enhancing operational capabilities in major cities [26]. - Collaborations with Stellantis and other global partners are aimed at accelerating the deployment of Robotaxi services in Europe and the Middle East [32][33].