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每日钉一下(指数成分股,加权的4种方式)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-06 13:51
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 基金投顾,顾名思义,就是基金的投资顾问。 很多行业都有顾问,特别是一些专业性很强的行业。 例如, 基金投资也是如此。 基金投顾的诞生,正是为了解决基金行业存在的"基金赚钱,基民不赚钱"的问题。 那么,基金投顾有哪些优势? 是如何通过"投"和"顾",帮助投资者获得好收益的呢? 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了基金投顾的方方面面。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 基金投顾 」领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 ◆◆◆ ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 • 看病吃药,需要医生,医生就是顾问; • 有法律问题,需要律师,律师也是顾问。 ...
[6月5日]指数估值数据(自由现金流指数有效果吗;红利专题估值表更新;百分位估值表更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-05 13:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market trends, focusing on the performance of various stock indices, particularly in the context of value and dividend strategies, as well as the recent developments in the Hong Kong stock market. Group 1: Market Performance - The market opened slightly lower but closed higher, with minor fluctuations, maintaining a 5-star rating close to 4.9 stars [1] - Large, medium, and small-cap stocks experienced slight increases with similar growth rates [2] - Recently strong sectors like dividend and value styles, as well as pharmaceuticals, have seen declines [3] Group 2: Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hong Kong stock market remains strong, outperforming A-shares by approximately 20% since the Chinese New Year [4] - The technology sector in Hong Kong has led the gains, with significant earnings growth driving index increases [4] - The Hang Seng Technology Index has returned to normal valuation levels, currently around 5200 points, compared to its previous range of 4800-4900 points [4] Group 3: Value and Dividend Strategies - Value styles often have a high allocation to the financial sector, with the CSI Dividend Index comprising about 25% financial stocks [6] - Not all value styles have high financial sector allocations; for instance, small-cap value indices have lower financial exposure [7] - New indices focusing on free cash flow have emerged, which do not consider financial stocks in their selection process [10][13] Group 4: Free Cash Flow Strategy - The effectiveness of free cash flow strategies is debated, with historical backtesting showing high returns, but concerns about over-optimization exist [14][15] - The free cash flow ratio is defined as free cash flow divided by enterprise value, similar to dividend yield metrics [16][18] - Current valuations for free cash flow indices are around 32%, indicating they are near undervalued territory [21] Group 5: Dividend Index Valuations - The article provides a summary of various dividend indices and their valuation metrics, including earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and dividend yield [22][24] - Specific indices such as the Shanghai Dividend Index and the CSI Dividend Index are highlighted with their respective metrics [23][24] Group 6: Investment Opportunities - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying undervalued investment opportunities, particularly during market downturns [36] - It encourages a strategy of patience and discipline in pursuing low-valuation investments for potential future gains [36]
月薪宝这类策略,需要在市场高估时止盈么?|投资小知识
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-05 13:50
Group 1 - The article introduces the concept of "Yuexinbao," highlighting it as a good choice for obtaining regular cash flow through a diversified investment portfolio [1] - It emphasizes the importance of understanding the composition of Yuexinbao to maximize returns and manage risks effectively [1] - The article suggests that Yuexinbao can be a suitable option for families looking to optimize their asset allocation [1]
每日钉一下(投资中,为什么要长期持有呢?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-05 13:50
想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 全球 」领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 那么,如何做好全球投资,分享全球市场长期上涨的红利呢? 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了通过指数基金投资全球股市的方法。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 不同地区股票市场不是同涨同跌的。了解多个股票市场,投资者可以把握更多的投资机会。 全球投资还可以显著降低波动风险。 ◆◆◆ ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 ...
财报更新,港股上市公司盈利增长情况如何?|第387期精品课程
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-05 05:33
与A股类似,港股上市公司定期报告,也主要是季报、年报等。 不同的是,港股对季报披露时间,并没有强制要求。 实际的披露时间,通常也会比A股要晚一些。 另外,港股的财政年度有可能不是自然年度,而是可以自定义的。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 有朋友问,港股上市公司的定期报告有哪些,在哪里查看呢? 过去几年,港股哪些指数盈利增长,哪些盈利下降? 港股上市公司盈利增长恢复了么?盈利波动变化,我们该如何投资? 针对大家的这些疑问,螺丝钉也通过直播课,进行了讲解。 长按识别下面二维码,添加 @课程小助手 微信,回复「 0527 」即可观看直播回放。 (提示:回复后可以耐心等待几秒哦~) 港股上市公司定期报告及披露时间 | | 港股 | AIR | | --- | --- | --- | | 季度报告 | 港股对季度报告无强制要求 A + H股公司需按内地规则披露 | 1个月内披露 | | 中期报告 | 3个月内披露 | 2个月内披露 | | 年度报告 | 4个月内披露 | 4个月内披露 (业绩公告需3个月内发布) | | 财政年度 | 可自定义连续12个月 | 自然年度 | | | | (1月1日-12月31日 ...
[6月4日]指数估值数据(小盘股今年为啥比大盘强;免费领取3周年奖章)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-04 13:48
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 今天大盘整体微涨,截止到收盘,还在5星。 大中小盘股都上涨,小微盘股上涨略多。 成长风格比较强势,科技主题领涨。 价值风格微涨。 港股也整体上涨。 港股科技指数领涨。 港股科技指数上涨后,估值又摸到正常偏低水平了。 港股的波动大一些,后面也不缺少低估机会的。 1. 今年小盘股指数比大盘表现强一些。 A股也有大小盘轮动的特点。 像去年就是大盘股比较强,小盘股比较弱。 不过这不是因为上涨导致的。 今年上半年变成了小盘股强势。 过去两年因为经济低迷,上市公司盈利增长停滞。 对小公司来说,受经济周期影响程度更大。 以中证1000指数为例, 2023年盈利下降近18%,2024年盈利下降2%。 市盈率=市值/盈利。 盈利下降,导致市盈率被动提高。 单看市盈率位置,1000指数达到最近10年的50%多,不算低。 指数还是盈利的,净资产还在增长,所以看市净率的位置会比较低。 1000指数的市净率还在过去10年的15-20%上下。 2. 今年一季度,一些品种出现了盈利复苏的迹象。 (1)A股港股的盈利同比都出现了增长,港股的盈利增速快一些。 恒生指数Q1盈利同比增长16%。 (2)A股 ...
螺丝钉股市牛熊信号板来啦:当前还在低估吗|2025年6月份
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-04 13:48
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the stock market, focusing on the bull-bear signal board for June 2025, which includes both quantitative and qualitative indicators to assess market conditions [1]. Quantitative Indicators - The Buffett Indicator, which measures the total market capitalization of listed companies against GDP, indicates that the market is in a relatively low valuation zone when below 80% [27]. - The price-to-book ratio percentile shows that various market styles, including small-cap growth, are experiencing low valuations, with the growth style rebounding faster than value style [29][30]. - The stock-bond valuation ratio is currently at 3.24, suggesting that stocks are undervalued compared to bonds, as this figure exceeds 94% of historical data [33]. - Financing balance in the A-share market reflects investor sentiment, with lower balances indicating a cooler market [8][36]. - The trading volume percentile is at 81.20%, suggesting that current trading activity is relatively high compared to historical levels [9]. Qualitative Indicators - The number of new stock issuances and their initial failure rates are used to gauge market sentiment, with higher failure rates typically indicating a bearish market [41]. - The relationship between the total return of the CSI All Share Index and M2 money supply can help identify market liquidity and potential bottoming out [43]. - The scale of established funds has been declining significantly, with many funds down by 50%-60% from their peaks in 2021, indicating a low market sentiment [46]. - The proportion of funds under purchase restrictions is currently at 20.93%, which may suggest that fund managers perceive the market as expensive [17][54]. - Recent market news has been predominantly positive, with several monetary policy adjustments aimed at stimulating the market, such as lowering reserve requirements and interest rates [58]. Summary - The current market is characterized by low valuations and mixed investor sentiment, with indicators suggesting potential investment opportunities despite a generally bearish outlook [61][62].
每日钉一下(H股指数的估值百分位高,是真的吗?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-04 13:48
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) ◆◆◆ ▼点击阅读原 文,免费学习大额家庭资产配置课程 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程,介绍了个人养老金的投资方法。 想要获取这个课程,可以添加下方「课程小助手」,回复「 养老金 」领取哦~ 更有课程笔记、思维导图,帮您快速搞懂课程脉络,学习更高效。 投资个人养老金,既可以为自己的养老增添一份保障,还能享受个税递延的优惠。 个人养老金账户如何开通?5大品种如何投资? ...
红利指数上涨的底层逻辑是什么,还能持续吗?|第386期精品课程
银行螺丝钉· 2025-06-04 08:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strong performance of the dividend index in recent years, its driving factors, and the potential for continued growth in the future [1][5][47]. Performance Overview - The dividend index has shown strong performance in recent years, with some dividend funds increasing in value by 50%-80% [8][47]. - From 2018 to 2021, the growth style bull market saw the growth style index rise over 150%, while the dividend index lagged behind [6]. - However, from 2022 to 2024, the dividend index has performed well, showing overall growth [7]. Sources of Returns - The four main sources of returns for dividend index funds are: 1. **Undervalued Buy-in and Valuation Improvement**: The dividend index has seen a significant increase in price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from around 7-8 times in 2018 to approximately 9-10 times by May 2025 [18][19][22]. 2. **Profit Growth**: The underlying companies of the dividend index have shown stable profit growth, particularly from 2022 to 2024, which supports the index's performance [27]. 3. **Dividend Yield**: The current dividend yield has increased significantly compared to 5-10 years ago, with many stocks now yielding 5%-6% [30][34]. 4. **Rule Optimization**: The optimization of index rules has improved returns, with newer indices incorporating additional criteria for stock selection [39][44]. Historical Performance Metrics - The annualized return of the dividend index since the end of 2004 is 8.73%, which increases to 12.52% when accounting for dividends [13][14]. - The long-term growth rate of the dividend index is estimated at 8%-9%, with an additional annual dividend yield of 3%-4% [14]. Policy Impact - Recent policies have encouraged companies to increase dividend payouts, resulting in a rise in the number and amount of cash dividends distributed by A-share companies, reaching approximately 2.4 trillion in 2024 [33]. - The proportion of profits distributed as dividends has increased from 30%-40% to 40%-50% for some companies [34]. Conclusion - The combination of undervalued buy-in, profit growth, increased dividend yields, and optimized rules are expected to continue driving the long-term growth of the dividend index [47].