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每周观察 | 预估2025年DCI市场产值或破400亿美元;1Q25新能源车销量突破400万辆;HBM4溢价幅度预估将突破30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-23 04:06
Group 1: Data Center Interconnection and AI Impact - The global market value for Data Center Interconnection (DCI) is expected to grow at an annual rate of 14.3%, surpassing $40 billion by 2025, driven by the integration of generative AI into everyday applications [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Sales - In the first quarter of 2025, global sales of new energy vehicles (including BEVs, PHEVs, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles) reached 4.02 million units, marking a 39% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 18.4% of total global car sales [3] Group 3: HBM4 Technology and Market Trends - The development of HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) technology is being propelled by demand from AI servers, with major manufacturers advancing HBM4 products. The increased complexity and size of HBM4 chips are expected to lead to a premium of over 30%, compared to approximately 20% for HBM3e at launch [7]
研报 | HBM4新规格拉高制造门槛,预期溢价幅度逾30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-22 04:05
Core Insights - The development of HBM technology is driven by the demand for AI servers, with major manufacturers actively advancing HBM4 product timelines [1][5] - HBM4 is expected to have a premium exceeding 30% due to increased manufacturing complexity compared to HBM3e, which had a premium of about 20% at launch [1] Group 1: HBM Technology Overview - HBM4 is set to release in 2026, featuring a core die density of 24Gb, with layers ranging from 12 to 16 and a speed of 8-10 Gbps, doubling the I/O count from 1024 to 2048 compared to previous generations [2][5] - HBM3e, released in 2024, has a core die density of 24Gb and an I/O count of 1024, while HBM3, released in 2022, has a core die density of 16Gb [2] Group 2: Market Projections - TrendForce forecasts that the total shipment volume of the HBM market will exceed 30 billion Gb by 2026, with HBM4 expected to surpass HBM3e in market share by the second half of 2026 [6] - SK hynix is projected to maintain a leading position with over 50% market share in HBM4, while Samsung and Micron need to improve product yield and capacity to catch up [6]
光伏周价格 | 产业链价格跌幅收窄,尚待终端托底企稳
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-22 04:05
01 周价格表 | 多晶硅 (Per KG) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N型复投料(RMB) | 39.000 | 36.000 | 37.500 | -1.32% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 37.000 | 35.000 | 35.000 | -2.78% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 35.000 | 32.000 | 34.000 | -1.45% | | 非中国区多盟娃(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 18.200 | 0.00% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | मुद्री | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130pm (RMB) | 0.950 | 0.920 | 0.930 | -2.11% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130µm (RMB) | 1.300 | 1.250 | 1.300 | 0.00% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.100 | 1.050 | 1.080 ...
研报 | 2025年第一季新能源车销量突破400万辆,年增39%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-21 04:03
May. 21, 2025 产业洞察 根 据 TrendForce 集 邦 咨 询 最 新 统计,2025年第一季全球纯电动车 ( BEV ) 、 插 电 混 合 式 电 动 车 (PHEV)和氢燃料电池车等新能源车合计销量达402万辆,年增39%,新能源车占第一季全球汽车销 售比例为18.4%。 | Rank | BEV | Market Share | PHEV | Market Share | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 比亚迪 | 15.4% | 比亚迪 | 38.7% | | 网 | Tesla | 12.6% | 理想 | 6.7% | | 3 | 書利 | 6.9% | 吉利 | 5.9% | | 4 | 上汽通用五菱 | 6.6% | 奇瑞 | 3.6% | | 5 | Volkswagen | 4.0% | BMW | 3.5% | | 6 | 小鵬 | 3.5% | Mercedes-Benz | ﻟﻴﻨﻴ 3.4% | | 7 | BMW | 3.3% | 同界 | 3.2% | | B | 小米 | 2.8% | Volvo cars | ...
面板价格观察 | 5月显示器面板需求仍强劲,价格可望维持上涨
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-21 04:03
Core Insights - The panel prices for televisions and laptops remained stable in May 2025, while monitor panel prices saw a slight increase [3][4][6]. Group 1: Television Panel Market - Demand for television panels has shown signs of weakening as brand clients increase their inventory, leading to adjustments in orders and price negotiations with panel manufacturers [4][7]. - Manufacturers are implementing capacity adjustments to stabilize panel prices amid decreasing demand, with expectations of a price standoff between buyers and sellers [4][7]. - Overall, television panel prices are projected to remain flat in May 2025 [4][7]. Group 2: Monitor Panel Market - The monitor panel market is experiencing good demand driven by tariff issues, with some brand clients increasing their stock ahead of the expiration of a three-month tariff exemption [6][7]. - Prices for Open Cell panels are expected to rise by $0.2, with specific sizes like 21.5-inch and 27-inch projected to increase by $0.1, and the 23.8-inch size expected to rise by $0.2 due to strong demand [6][7]. - Despite some urgent orders, the demand remains inconsistent due to varying progress in Southeast Asia, leading to a cautious approach from manufacturers regarding price increases [7].
最新面板价格趋势(2025年5月)
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-20 07:56
Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for televisions and laptops remained stable in May 2025, while monitor panel prices experienced a slight increase [1]. Group 1: Television Panels - The average price for a 65-inch television panel was $177, with a minimum of $173 and a maximum of $182 [5]. - The average price for a 55-inch television panel was $127, with a minimum of $122 and a maximum of $130 [6]. - The average price for a 43-inch television panel was $66, with a minimum of $64 and a maximum of $67 [8]. - The average price for a 32-inch television panel was $36, with a minimum of $35 and a maximum of $37 [9]. Group 2: Monitor Panels - The average price for a 27-inch IPS monitor panel was $63, reflecting an increase of $0.1 or 0.2% from the previous month, with a minimum of $57.6 and a maximum of $65.8 [11]. - The average price for a 23.8-inch IPS monitor panel was $49.9, showing an increase of $0.2 or 0.4% from the previous month, with a minimum of $47.1 and a maximum of $51.4 [12]. Group 3: Laptop Panels - The average price for a 17.3-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $38.3, with a minimum of $37.7 and a maximum of $39.8 [14]. - The average price for a 15.6-inch Value IPS laptop panel was $40.3, unchanged from the previous month, with a minimum of $38.6 and a maximum of $41.9 [14]. - The average price for a 14.0-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $26.9, with a minimum of $26.4 and a maximum of $28.1 [14]. - The average price for an 11.6-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $25.1, with a minimum of $24.2 and a maximum of $26.5 [14].
研报 | AI浪潮驱动数据中心互连应用崛起,预估2025年全球市场产值年增14.3%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-19 03:51
May.19, 2025 产业洞察 根据TrendForce集邦咨询最新研究,2025年随着生成式AI逐步融入人们的生活应用,SK Telecom、Deutche Telekom 等全球主要电信商陆续针对一般用户推出代理式AI (Agentic AI) 服务。在电信商和CSP大厂持续建置数据中心的情况 下, 数据中心互连(Data Center Interconnect, DCI)技术日益受到关注,预估2025年产值将年增14.3%,突破400亿 美元 。 聚焦新趋势,6/10 锁定TrendForce集邦咨询2025半导体产业高层论坛,与讲者共探新机 TrendForce集邦咨询表示,DCI技术可连接两个或多个数据中心,在短、中长距离范围内进行高速数据传输,有助于 降低数据中心庞大的AI数据运算负载。现阶段主要由光通讯设备厂与美国、北欧、东南亚区域电信商合作,共同部署 DCI场景验证。其中以美国的Ciena最为积极提供DCI服务,其合作的电信商Telia、e&和Arelion皆有采用Wavelength Logic6 Extreme方案。 Nokia则拓展其DCI业务至沙特阿拉伯和越南等国家,在越南,Nok ...
聚焦新趋势,6/10 锁定TrendForce集邦咨询2025半导体产业高层论坛,与讲者共探新机
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-16 04:08
6,10 ★ TSS2025 2025年,全球半导体产业在复杂国际形势、终端市场需求波动及颠覆性技术突破的三重变量中深度演 进。AI算力革命与人形机器人产业风口加速形成,晶圆代工市场呈现高端制程与成熟工艺两极化发展, 先进封装产能需求持续攀升,存储芯片周期波动仍存不确定性,第三代半导体产业化进程全面提速。 展望未来,在AI与机器人浪潮驱动下,半导体产业技术变革与产业机遇并存,但也同样面临一系列挑 战。 2025年6月10日(周二) ,TrendForce集邦咨询将在深圳举办" 2025集邦咨询半导体产业高层论坛 (TrendForce Semiconductor Seminar 2025)"。 本次会议为主要面向产业链高层的精品会议,行业精英云集,全程干货分享交流。 目前,演讲嘉宾团队已集结完毕。届时,集邦咨询多位重量级资深分析师将持续聚焦AI人工智能领域, 围绕晶圆代工、IC设计、内闪存、服务器、宽禁带半导体等产业链热门议题,全方位剖析半导体产业现 状与未来,敬请期待! 演讲阵容 TSS2025 演讲嘉宾: 郭祚荣 集邦咨询资深研究副总经理 分享主题: AI持续升温,全球半导体市场战略布局 ✦ • ✦ 分享 ...
每周观察 | 2024年全球前十大封测厂营收排名;2024年SiC衬底营收年减9%;云端巨头自研ASIC进程…
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-16 04:08
Group 1: SiC Substrate Market - The global N-type SiC substrate market is projected to experience a revenue decline of 9% in 2024, amounting to $1.04 billion, due to weakened demand in the automotive and industrial sectors, alongside intensified market competition and significant price drops [1] Group 2: Semiconductor Packaging and Testing Market - The combined revenue of the top ten semiconductor packaging and testing companies is expected to reach $41.56 billion in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3% [4] - ASE Holdings and Amkor maintain their leading positions, while companies like JCET and Tianshui Huatian are experiencing double-digit growth, posing strong challenges to the existing market structure [4][5] Group 3: AI Chip Development - The demand for AI servers is accelerating the self-research of ASIC chips among major North American cloud service providers, with new versions expected to be released every 1-2 years [6] - The proportion of AI chips sourced from foreign suppliers like NVIDIA and AMD in the Chinese market is anticipated to decrease from approximately 63% in 2024 to about 42% in 2025, while local suppliers are expected to increase their share to 40% under government policy support [6]
研报 | AI芯片自主化进程加速,云端巨头竞相自研ASIC
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-15 07:15
Core Insights - The article discusses the accelerating trend of AI server demand driving major North American Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) to develop their own Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs) to reduce reliance on external suppliers like NVIDIA and AMD [1][2][3][4][5]. Group 1: North American CSP Developments - Google has launched the TPU v6 Trillium, focusing on energy efficiency and optimization for large AI models, with plans to significantly replace the TPU v5 by 2025 [2]. - AWS is collaborating with Marvell on the Trainium v2, which supports generative AI and large language model training, and is expected to see substantial growth in ASIC shipments by 2025 [2]. - Meta is developing the next-generation MTIA v2 in partnership with Broadcom, emphasizing energy efficiency and low-latency architecture for AI inference workloads [3]. - Microsoft is accelerating its ASIC development with the Maia series chips, optimizing for Azure cloud services, and is collaborating with Marvell for the Maia v2 design [3]. Group 2: Chinese AI Supply Chain Autonomy - Huawei is actively developing the Ascend chip series for domestic markets, targeting applications in LLM training and smart city infrastructure, which may challenge NVIDIA's market position in China [4]. - Cambricon's MLU AI chip series is aimed at cloud service providers for AI training and inference, with plans to advance its solutions to the cloud AI market by 2025 [4]. - Chinese CSPs like Alibaba, Baidu, and Tencent are rapidly developing their own AI ASICs, with Alibaba's T-head launching the Hanguang 800 AI inference chip and Baidu working on the Kunlun III chip [5].