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研报 | Micro LED应用场景再拓展,透明与非显示技术助力新商机
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-29 06:28
Core Viewpoint - The Micro LED technology is focusing on optimizing manufacturing costs and exploring niche markets, with an expected chip output value of $740 million by 2029 and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 93% from 2024 to 2029 [1]. Group 1: Large Display Cost Improvement - The current output value of Micro LED display applications is primarily driven by large displays, with Samsung leading the market. Future development relies on key process breakthroughs and collaboration among Chinese chip manufacturers and brand companies to enhance cost advantages in large-scale production [4]. - The industry standard for Micro LED large displays is a resolution of 4K and above, with commercially available pitch currently at 0.5mm. Continuous miniaturization of pitch and overcoming challenges related to low yield and seams are essential for differentiation from Mini LED products [5]. Group 2: Transparent Display and Non-Display Applications - Micro LED technology shows significant potential in transparent displays, which can be categorized into direct view and micro-projection systems. Direct view is suitable for public viewing, while micro-projection systems have potential in personal electronic devices due to their compact size [6]. - The urgent need for the Micro LED industry is to expand market size for economic benefits, with non-display applications becoming a crucial avenue. These applications span various fields, including AI-driven optical communication, biotechnology in medical fields, and industrial production technologies like 3D printing and photopolymerization [6].
光伏周价格 | 多晶硅价格再探底,光伏产业链供需格局生变
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-29 06:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in the photovoltaic (PV) industry, highlighting price fluctuations across various segments such as polysilicon, wafers, cells, and modules, indicating a cautious market outlook with potential for further price declines [5][9][12][16]. Polysilicon Segment - The main transaction price for N-type re-investment material is 37.0 RMB/KG, while N-type dense material and N-type granular silicon are priced at 34.5 RMB/KG and 33.5 RMB/KG respectively [5][9]. - Overall polysilicon inventory is above 370,000 tons, with a slowing purchasing speed from downstream, suggesting a continued upward trend in inventory levels [7]. - Major manufacturers are planning production cuts, and there is a strong consensus among other manufacturers to adjust operating rates in response to declining prices [8][9]. Wafer Segment - The main transaction prices for N-type M10 wafers, N-type G12 wafers, and N-type G12R wafers are 0.93 RMB/piece, 1.27 RMB/piece, and 1.07 RMB/piece respectively [9][12]. - Inventory levels for wafers remain stable at around 20 GW, with no expected increase in the short term [11]. - Demand for 210RN wafers has improved, leading to a slight price rebound, although overall demand remains weak [12][14]. Cell Segment - The main transaction prices for M10 single crystal TOPCon cells, G12 single crystal TOPCon cells, and G12R single crystal TOPCon cells are 0.255 RMB/W, 0.273 RMB/W, and 0.260 RMB/W respectively [13][16]. - Inventory levels for specialized cell manufacturers are around one week, indicating a relatively light inventory pressure across the supply chain [15]. - The demand for 210RN cells has provided some support, leading to a slight price increase despite overall market weakness [16]. Module Segment - The main transaction prices for 182mm double-sided double-glass TOPCon modules and 210mm double-sided double-glass HJT modules are 0.67 RMB/W and 0.77 RMB/W respectively [16]. - There is a noticeable decline in order visibility for modules in June, with many manufacturers reducing operating rates and maintaining low inventory levels [17][18]. - The European market has seen stable module prices in May, but future prices may be affected by the decline in imported products [18].
全球首个《人形机器人智能化分级》标准推出,行业商业化进程加速
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-28 07:28
Core Insights - The article discusses the establishment of the world's first group standard for humanoid robots, titled "Intelligent Classification of Humanoid Robots" (T/CIE 298-2025), which includes a four-dimensional and five-level intelligence capability grading system [1][2]. Group 1: Standardization and Industry Impact - The new standard categorizes humanoid robot intelligence into four core capabilities: Perception and Cognition (P), Decision Making and Learning (D), Execution Performance (E), and Collaboration and Interaction (C) [1]. - The standard provides a grading system from L1 to L5, indicating a progressive increase in intelligence capabilities, along with 22 primary indicators and over 100 technical clauses [1]. - TrendForce indicates that the standardization is crucial for the commercialization of humanoid robots, helping to regulate technical indicators and lower barriers to entry, thus facilitating large-scale production and cost reduction [1][4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Player Analysis - As of May 2025, there are 54 companies in China actively engaged in the humanoid robot sector, with startups making up 61% of this market [4]. - Different types of companies are entering the humanoid robot space, including traditional industrial robot firms (11%), automotive companies (13%), large internet firms (9%), and home appliance companies (4%) [4]. - Automotive companies leverage their experience in autonomous driving and established supply chains, while startups excel in innovation and rapid market responsiveness [4][5]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The establishment of national standards is expected to enhance the technical iteration of hardware and software systems among participating teams in upcoming events like the 2025 World Robot Conference and the World Humanoid Robot Games [2]. - Long-term, the standard is anticipated to accelerate the commercial deployment of humanoid robots across various sectors, including industrial manufacturing, healthcare, and home services [2].
研报 | AI需求刺激企业级SSD增长,预计2025年第三季NAND Flash价格有望上涨
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-26 04:07
Core Insights - The cloud service providers (CSPs) in North America are significantly increasing their investments in AI, which is expected to drive the demand for enterprise SSDs, leading to a tight supply situation by Q3 2025 and a potential price increase of around 10% [1] - The NAND Flash market is gradually moving towards a supply-demand balance due to conservative production strategies by suppliers, although recent market dynamics have introduced price volatility [1][2] - There is a resurgence in storage demand driven by the release of high-end AI servers like NVIDIA's GB200 and an increase in HDD orders reflecting corporate expansion trends, indicating a positive outlook for both SSD and HDD orders due to capital expenditure growth [2] Summary by Sections - **Market Dynamics**: The enterprise SSD market is expected to experience significant growth due to low inventory levels and increased demand from CSPs investing in AI [1] - **NAND Flash Market**: The NAND Flash market is stabilizing as suppliers adopt conservative production strategies, but external factors have introduced uncertainties in pricing [1][2] - **Storage Demand Trends**: The demand for storage is recovering, supported by high-end AI server shipments and increased HDD orders, suggesting a robust growth trajectory for storage solutions [2]
每周观察 | 预估2025年DCI市场产值或破400亿美元;1Q25新能源车销量突破400万辆;HBM4溢价幅度预估将突破30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-23 04:06
Group 1: Data Center Interconnection and AI Impact - The global market value for Data Center Interconnection (DCI) is expected to grow at an annual rate of 14.3%, surpassing $40 billion by 2025, driven by the integration of generative AI into everyday applications [1] Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Sales - In the first quarter of 2025, global sales of new energy vehicles (including BEVs, PHEVs, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles) reached 4.02 million units, marking a 39% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 18.4% of total global car sales [3] Group 3: HBM4 Technology and Market Trends - The development of HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) technology is being propelled by demand from AI servers, with major manufacturers advancing HBM4 products. The increased complexity and size of HBM4 chips are expected to lead to a premium of over 30%, compared to approximately 20% for HBM3e at launch [7]
研报 | HBM4新规格拉高制造门槛,预期溢价幅度逾30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-22 04:05
Core Insights - The development of HBM technology is driven by the demand for AI servers, with major manufacturers actively advancing HBM4 product timelines [1][5] - HBM4 is expected to have a premium exceeding 30% due to increased manufacturing complexity compared to HBM3e, which had a premium of about 20% at launch [1] Group 1: HBM Technology Overview - HBM4 is set to release in 2026, featuring a core die density of 24Gb, with layers ranging from 12 to 16 and a speed of 8-10 Gbps, doubling the I/O count from 1024 to 2048 compared to previous generations [2][5] - HBM3e, released in 2024, has a core die density of 24Gb and an I/O count of 1024, while HBM3, released in 2022, has a core die density of 16Gb [2] Group 2: Market Projections - TrendForce forecasts that the total shipment volume of the HBM market will exceed 30 billion Gb by 2026, with HBM4 expected to surpass HBM3e in market share by the second half of 2026 [6] - SK hynix is projected to maintain a leading position with over 50% market share in HBM4, while Samsung and Micron need to improve product yield and capacity to catch up [6]
光伏周价格 | 产业链价格跌幅收窄,尚待终端托底企稳
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-22 04:05
01 周价格表 | 多晶硅 (Per KG) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | N型复投料(RMB) | 39.000 | 36.000 | 37.500 | -1.32% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 37.000 | 35.000 | 35.000 | -2.78% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 35.000 | 32.000 | 34.000 | -1.45% | | 非中国区多盟娃(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 18.200 | 0.00% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | मुद्री | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130pm (RMB) | 0.950 | 0.920 | 0.930 | -2.11% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130µm (RMB) | 1.300 | 1.250 | 1.300 | 0.00% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.100 | 1.050 | 1.080 ...
研报 | 2025年第一季新能源车销量突破400万辆,年增39%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-21 04:03
May. 21, 2025 产业洞察 根 据 TrendForce 集 邦 咨 询 最 新 统计,2025年第一季全球纯电动车 ( BEV ) 、 插 电 混 合 式 电 动 车 (PHEV)和氢燃料电池车等新能源车合计销量达402万辆,年增39%,新能源车占第一季全球汽车销 售比例为18.4%。 | Rank | BEV | Market Share | PHEV | Market Share | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 比亚迪 | 15.4% | 比亚迪 | 38.7% | | 网 | Tesla | 12.6% | 理想 | 6.7% | | 3 | 書利 | 6.9% | 吉利 | 5.9% | | 4 | 上汽通用五菱 | 6.6% | 奇瑞 | 3.6% | | 5 | Volkswagen | 4.0% | BMW | 3.5% | | 6 | 小鵬 | 3.5% | Mercedes-Benz | ﻟﻴﻨﻴ 3.4% | | 7 | BMW | 3.3% | 同界 | 3.2% | | B | 小米 | 2.8% | Volvo cars | ...
面板价格观察 | 5月显示器面板需求仍强劲,价格可望维持上涨
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-21 04:03
Core Insights - The panel prices for televisions and laptops remained stable in May 2025, while monitor panel prices saw a slight increase [3][4][6]. Group 1: Television Panel Market - Demand for television panels has shown signs of weakening as brand clients increase their inventory, leading to adjustments in orders and price negotiations with panel manufacturers [4][7]. - Manufacturers are implementing capacity adjustments to stabilize panel prices amid decreasing demand, with expectations of a price standoff between buyers and sellers [4][7]. - Overall, television panel prices are projected to remain flat in May 2025 [4][7]. Group 2: Monitor Panel Market - The monitor panel market is experiencing good demand driven by tariff issues, with some brand clients increasing their stock ahead of the expiration of a three-month tariff exemption [6][7]. - Prices for Open Cell panels are expected to rise by $0.2, with specific sizes like 21.5-inch and 27-inch projected to increase by $0.1, and the 23.8-inch size expected to rise by $0.2 due to strong demand [6][7]. - Despite some urgent orders, the demand remains inconsistent due to varying progress in Southeast Asia, leading to a cautious approach from manufacturers regarding price increases [7].
最新面板价格趋势(2025年5月)
TrendForce集邦· 2025-05-20 07:56
Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for televisions and laptops remained stable in May 2025, while monitor panel prices experienced a slight increase [1]. Group 1: Television Panels - The average price for a 65-inch television panel was $177, with a minimum of $173 and a maximum of $182 [5]. - The average price for a 55-inch television panel was $127, with a minimum of $122 and a maximum of $130 [6]. - The average price for a 43-inch television panel was $66, with a minimum of $64 and a maximum of $67 [8]. - The average price for a 32-inch television panel was $36, with a minimum of $35 and a maximum of $37 [9]. Group 2: Monitor Panels - The average price for a 27-inch IPS monitor panel was $63, reflecting an increase of $0.1 or 0.2% from the previous month, with a minimum of $57.6 and a maximum of $65.8 [11]. - The average price for a 23.8-inch IPS monitor panel was $49.9, showing an increase of $0.2 or 0.4% from the previous month, with a minimum of $47.1 and a maximum of $51.4 [12]. Group 3: Laptop Panels - The average price for a 17.3-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $38.3, with a minimum of $37.7 and a maximum of $39.8 [14]. - The average price for a 15.6-inch Value IPS laptop panel was $40.3, unchanged from the previous month, with a minimum of $38.6 and a maximum of $41.9 [14]. - The average price for a 14.0-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $26.9, with a minimum of $26.4 and a maximum of $28.1 [14]. - The average price for an 11.6-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $25.1, with a minimum of $24.2 and a maximum of $26.5 [14].