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每周观察 | 预估2025年全球新能源车销量年增21%;预估2027年折叠手机渗透率将突破3%;液冷散热技术渗透率预估…
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-22 04:07
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant growth in the sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs), with a projected 30% year-on-year increase in global sales for the second quarter of 2025, reaching 4.868 million units for BEVs, PHEVs, and hydrogen fuel cell vehicles [2] - Including hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), total electric vehicle (EV) sales are expected to reach 6.456 million units, accounting for 29% of global automobile sales [2] Group 2 - In the BEV market, BYD leads with an 18.3% market share, followed by Tesla at 11.7% and Geely at 6.4% [3] - For PHEVs, BYD also holds the top position with a 28.9% market share, while Li Auto and AITO follow with 7.4% and 6.2% respectively [3] Group 3 - The article discusses the anticipated increase in the penetration rate of foldable phones, expected to rise from 1.6% in 2025 to over 3% by 2027, driven by Apple's entry into the market [4] - The evolution of hinge technology and materials is noted as a key factor in making foldable phones lighter and thinner, becoming a competitive focal point [5] Group 4 - The article mentions the expected growth of liquid cooling technology in AI data centers, with penetration rates projected to increase from 14% in 2024 to 33% in 2025, driven by the release of NVIDIA's GB200 NVL72 servers [7]
面板价格观察 | 预期8月电视/显示器/笔电面板价格持平,电视面板需求转强
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-21 06:04
Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for TVs, monitors, and laptops remained stable in August 2025, with expectations of increased demand, particularly for small-sized TV panels, as brands aim to boost sales towards year-end promotions [4][6]. Panel Price Observations - The prices for TV panels, including sizes from 32 inches to 75 inches, are expected to stabilize, reflecting a trend of demand recovery [6]. - The demand for monitor panels decreased slightly by 4.7% compared to the second quarter, leading to potential price negotiations between buyers and sellers, although most manufacturers are maintaining stable pricing due to ongoing losses [7]. - The demand for notebook panels is anticipated to see a slight increase of 1.8% in the third quarter, with manufacturers reluctant to raise prices amid competitive order conditions [8].
研报 | AI数据中心将规模化导入液冷散热技术,预估2025年渗透率逾30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-21 06:04
Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid adoption of liquid cooling technology in AI data centers, driven by the release of NVIDIA's GB200 NVL72 server, with penetration rates expected to rise from 14% in 2024 to 33% in 2025 [2][4]. Group 1: Liquid Cooling Technology Adoption - The introduction of NVIDIA's GB200/GB300 NVL72 systems, which have a thermal design power (TDP) of 130kW-140kW, necessitates the use of liquid-to-air (L2A) cooling technology due to the limitations of traditional air cooling systems [4]. - Liquid-to-liquid (L2L) cooling architecture is anticipated to gain traction starting in 2027, as new data centers are completed and AI chip power consumption increases, gradually replacing L2A technology [4]. Group 2: Market Expansion and Key Players - Major cloud service providers (CSPs) in North America are expanding AI infrastructure, with companies like Google and AWS implementing liquid cooling-compatible facilities in Europe and Asia [5]. - The demand for cooling modules, heat exchange systems, and peripheral components is expected to grow as liquid cooling penetration increases [5]. - Key suppliers of cold plates, a core component of contact heat exchange, include Cooler Master, AVC, BOYD, and Auras, with several expanding production capacity in Southeast Asia to meet demand from U.S. CSPs [5]. Group 3: Critical Components in Liquid Cooling Systems - The fluid distribution unit (CDU) is essential for heat transfer and coolant distribution, with the market currently favoring sidecar CDU configurations, led by Delta [6]. - Quick disconnects (QDs) are crucial for the reliability and safety of liquid cooling systems, with major manufacturers like CPC, Parker Hannifin, Danfoss, and Staubli involved in the NVIDIA GB200 project [6].
光伏周价格 | 反内卷会议支撑价格持稳,终端对组件报涨态度谨慎
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-21 06:04
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current pricing trends and market dynamics in the photovoltaic (PV) industry, particularly focusing on polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules, highlighting a stable pricing environment despite supply and demand imbalances [4][5][6][7][8]. Polysilicon Segment - The mainstream transaction prices for N-type polysilicon are reported as follows: N-type re-investment material at 45.0 RMB/kg, N-type dense material at 43.0 RMB/kg, and N-type granular silicon at 42.5 RMB/kg [4]. - The trading environment is characterized by a tug-of-war, with leading manufacturers trying to maintain prices while downstream demand remains weak, leading to cautious purchasing behavior [5]. - Overall polysilicon inventory has accumulated to nearly 400,000 tons, primarily due to increased production from leading manufacturers [6]. - The supply-demand framework's influence on pricing is diminishing, with policy expectations becoming more dominant in the market [7]. - Prices for various N-type polysilicon products have remained stable, supported by recent policy meetings aimed at preventing excessive competition [8]. Silicon Wafer Segment - The mainstream transaction prices for N-type silicon wafers are as follows: M10 at 1.20 RMB/piece, G12 at 1.55 RMB/piece, and G12R at 1.35 RMB/piece [9]. - The supply-demand balance for 183N/210N wafers is relatively stable, while 210RN faces slight oversupply due to increased production and weak demand [10]. - Overall silicon wafer inventory has entered a phase of accumulation, reaching approximately 20 GW, with a focus on 210RN products [11]. - Prices for all specifications of silicon wafers have stabilized, with policy support providing a foundation for potential price increases [12]. Battery Cell Segment - The mainstream transaction prices for battery cells are reported as follows: M10 single crystal TOPCon at 0.295 RMB/W, G12 single crystal TOPCon at 0.285 RMB/W, and G12R single crystal TOPCon at 0.285 RMB/W [12]. - The demand for battery cells is weakening as high-priced overseas orders decrease, leading to a weak balance between supply and demand [13]. - Inventory levels for specialized battery cell manufacturers remain stable, but there is a risk of re-accumulation due to declining demand [14]. - Prices for N-type battery cells have remained stable, supported by recent policy meetings [15]. Module Segment - The mainstream transaction prices for modules are as follows: 182mm double-sided double-glass TOPCon at 0.67 RMB/W and 210mm double-sided double-glass HJT at 0.72 RMB/W [16]. - As September approaches, procurement for ground-mounted power stations is starting, providing some support for module demand, although market acceptance of price increases is limited [17]. - New orders have seen price increases, with leading manufacturers adjusting prices to 0.70 RMB/W and above, while secondary manufacturers are around 0.65 RMB/W [18].
最新面板价格趋势(2025年8月)
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-20 08:34
Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for TVs, monitors, and laptops remained stable in August 2025, according to TrendForce's latest report [2][5]. TV Panel Prices - The average price for a 65-inch TV panel was $173, with a minimum of $167 and a maximum of $176 [7]. - The average price for a 55-inch TV panel was $124, with a minimum of $118 and a maximum of $127 [7]. - The average price for a 43-inch TV panel was $64, with a minimum of $62 and a maximum of $65 [7]. - The average price for a 32-inch TV panel was $35, with a minimum of $34 and a maximum of $36 [7]. Monitor Panel Prices - The average price for a 27-inch IPS monitor panel was $63, with a minimum of $57.6 and a maximum of $65.8 [9]. - The average price for a 23.8-inch IPS monitor panel was $49.9, with a minimum of $47.1 and a maximum of $51.4 [10]. Laptop Panel Prices - The average price for a 17.3-inch TN laptop panel remained stable at $38.3, with a minimum of $37.7 and a maximum of $39.8 [12]. - The average price for a 15.6-inch Value IPS laptop panel was $40.3, consistent with the previous month, with a minimum of $38.6 and a maximum of $41.9 [12]. - The average price for a 14.0-inch TN laptop panel was stable at $26.9, with a minimum of $26.4 and a maximum of $28.1 [12]. - The average price for an 11.6-inch TN laptop panel remained at $25.1, with a minimum of $24.2 and a maximum of $26.5 [12].
TrendForce 自发光显示产业研讨会正式定档!10月30日深圳见
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-20 08:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformative impact of generative AI and spatial computing on various industries since 2024, highlighting the central role of display technology in this evolution and the opportunities and challenges it faces [2]. Group 1: Display Technology Evolution - The display industry is experiencing significant internal evolution, with major technology routes competing and seeking new development points [2]. - Micro LED technology is gaining clarity in its development path, with accelerated industrialization and potential applications in large displays, high-end automotive, and wearable devices [2]. - Mini LED has successfully transitioned from a "technology pioneer" to a "market leader," competing effectively with OLED in high-end TVs and monitors, and expanding its applications in smaller pitch markets [3]. - OLED maintains its dominance in flagship smartphones due to its advantages in flexibility, thinness, and color performance, while also addressing its limitations in brightness and lifespan for mid-size applications [3]. Group 2: Market Opportunities and Challenges - The global display industry is at a crossroads of opportunities and challenges, driven by new applications and scenarios enabled by AI, but also facing uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment and technological bottlenecks [4]. - The industry requires a strategic direction to navigate the evolving landscape, particularly in emerging markets such as gaming displays, automotive displays, AI PCs, and AI glasses [4].
研报 | 铰链标准化加上Apple助攻,预估2027年折叠手机渗透率将突破3%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-19 03:57
Core Insights - The article discusses the anticipated growth of the foldable smartphone market, driven by Apple's expected entry in the second half of 2026, which is projected to increase the penetration rate from 1.6% in 2025 to over 3% by 2027 [2] Group 1: Foldable Smartphone Market Trends - TrendForce forecasts that the global foldable smartphone hinge market will reach a value of $1.2 billion by 2025, with hinges currently accounting for approximately 5% to 8% of the bill of materials (BOM) cost per device [3] - Samsung has adopted a droplet-type hinge design in its Galaxy Z Fold 5 and Flip series starting in 2023, which improves folding flatness and durability while reducing the visibility of creases, becoming a mainstream design in the industry [3] - The industry is accelerating the push towards modular designs and standardization to reduce costs and improve yield rates, which will enhance overall assembly efficiency and optimize the profit structure of the supply chain [3] Group 2: Apple's Potential Impact - Apple is considering the use of liquid metal as a structural material for its foldable devices, aiming to leverage its properties for lightweight and high toughness, which could lead to a comprehensive upgrade of the high-end structural component supply chain [4] - Historically, Apple has preferred to enter markets once they stabilize, employing an "early majority" strategy to capture market share quickly while minimizing risks and R&D costs [4] - The entry of Apple into the foldable smartphone market signifies a maturation of the technology, shifting the core competition towards manufacturing efficiency, cost control, and supply chain integration [4]
研报 | 2025年第二季度新能源车销量年增30%
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-18 04:08
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant growth in global new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, with a 30% year-on-year increase in Q2 2025, reaching 4.868 million units sold [2][8] - The market share of electric vehicles (EVs), including battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), is expanding, accounting for 29% of total global car sales in the same period [2] BEV Market Summary - BEV sales reached 3.28 million units, marking a 39% year-on-year growth [5] - BYD leads the BEV market with an 18.3% market share and a 43% increase in sales [6] - Tesla, while maintaining second place, experienced a 14% decline in overall sales due to underperformance in key markets [6] - Geely holds the third position with a 6.4% market share, while Leapmotor and XPeng both surpassed 100,000 units in quarterly sales for the first time [6] PHEV Market Summary - PHEV sales totaled 1.587 million units, reflecting a 15% year-on-year increase [7] - BYD remains the leader in the PHEV segment but saw a 12% decline in sales, reducing its market share to 28.9% [7] - Li Auto and AITO have increased their market shares to 7.4% and 6.2%, respectively, indicating strong competition [7] - The introduction of new models by BYD's sub-brand Denza has led to a 41% increase in sales, allowing it to enter the top ten for the first time [7] Market Outlook - The global NEV sales forecast for 2025 is projected at 19.7 million units, a 21% increase, with growth expected to slow to 14% in 2026 [8] - In the U.S. market, the expiration of EV subsidies by September 30 may hinder future growth prospects for the electric vehicle industry [8]
2025年全球LED照明市场需求承压,智能与高附加值产品成增长亮点 | 最新报告
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-15 04:09
Core Viewpoint - The global LED lighting market is experiencing a downturn, with a projected decline of 4.4% in 2025, reaching a market size of $53.573 billion. Despite overall market weakness, certain segments like high-efficiency, human-centric, smart, and circular lighting are showing growth potential [2][7][12]. General Lighting Market Analysis - The general lighting market continues to decline, with both new installations and renovations slowing down. The overall market is characterized by a "volume and price drop" trend, making it difficult to reverse the downward trajectory [7][16]. - The estimated revenue for the global LED lighting market in 2024 is projected to be $17.961 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 4% [3]. Smart Lighting Market Analysis - The smart lighting market is accelerating its penetration due to energy-saving policies and consumer demand for dynamic lighting solutions. The global smart lighting market is expected to reach $11.573 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 19.2% [10][11]. - The demand for smart home lighting products, such as smart bulbs and smart ceiling lights, is rebounding strongly in the consumer market [11]. Agricultural Lighting Market Analysis - The agricultural lighting market is facing pressure on new and replacement demand due to international market changes, particularly in North America. However, the European market is experiencing growth driven by energy regulations [12][13]. - The LED agricultural lighting market is projected to reach $1.366 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9% [12]. Company Revenue and Market Share - The top 20 global lighting manufacturers are expected to generate $22.947 billion in revenue in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 3.9%. The market concentration is increasing, with major players like Signify, Acuity, and Panasonic maintaining stable rankings [15][16]. - The revenue of the top 10 LED lighting companies in 2024 is projected to be $17.961 billion, down 4% from the previous year [3]. Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The average price of LED packaging is declining, driven by international brands adjusting their product structures and pricing strategies to optimize costs and enhance competitiveness [18]. - The LED lighting market's value is expected to drop to $3.325 billion in 2025, a decrease of 7.6% year-on-year [18].
每周观察 |DDR4、LPDDR4供给收敛,下半年价格或大幅上涨;2026年电子产业增长动能趋缓;2025年OLED显示器出货量
TrendForce集邦· 2025-08-15 04:09
Group 1: DDR Market Insights - The DDR4 market is expected to face a structural shortage and significant price increases in the second half of 2025 due to strong demand from server orders, which are squeezing supply for PC and consumer markets [2] - Price increases for DDR4 and LPDDR4X are projected, with consumer DDR4 prices expected to rise by 85-90% in Q3 2025, marking a substantial increase [3] Group 2: Electronic Industry Trends - The global electronic industry is anticipated to show a divergence in growth, with AI server demand driving growth in 2025, while smartphones, laptops, and other consumer electronics face growth challenges due to inflation and lack of innovation [3] - A slowdown in overall electronic industry growth is expected in 2026, entering a low-growth adjustment period [3] Group 3: OLED Display Market - Strong demand from the esports sector is projected to drive an 86% year-on-year increase in OLED display shipments in 2025, with a shift in market share from North America to Europe and China [4][5]