Core Viewpoint - The NAND Flash market is experiencing improved supply-demand balance due to production cuts and inventory reduction, with expectations for price increases in various segments in Q3 2025 [1][4][5]. NAND Flash Market Overview - The NAND Flash market has seen a significant improvement in supply-demand balance following production cuts and inventory reduction in the first half of 2025 [1]. - Major manufacturers are shifting production capacity to high-margin products, leading to a reduction in market supply [1]. Price Forecasts - Average contract prices for NAND Flash are expected to increase by 5% to 10% in Q3 2025, with specific segments showing varied growth rates [2]. - eMMC and UFS products are projected to have limited price increases due to uncertain smartphone demand, with expected growth of 0% to 5% [2][6]. Client SSD Market Dynamics - The Client SSD market is experiencing inventory replenishment, driven by better-than-expected inventory reduction in the first half of the year [4]. - Factors such as the end of Windows 10 support, new CPU launches, and demand from Chinese DeepSeek all contribute to increased Client SSD demand, with price forecasts of a 3% to 8% increase in Q3 2025 [4][5]. Enterprise SSD Demand - The demand for Enterprise SSDs is expected to grow due to rising orders from North American general-purpose servers and strong orders from Chinese clients [5]. - However, supply chain challenges may hinder delivery capabilities, leading to a price increase of 5% to 10% for Enterprise SSDs in Q3 2025 [5]. Mobile Product Segment - The demand for eMMC and UFS products is expected to remain flat, with eMMC prices projected to increase by 0% to 5% due to sufficient supply and rising costs for module manufacturers [6]. - UFS demand is also limited by uncertain smartphone market conditions, with a similar price forecast of 0% to 5% increase [6]. Wafer Supply and Pricing - The overall NAND Flash production is declining, and manufacturers are focusing on high-margin products, leading to an expected price increase of 8% to 13% for wafers in Q3 2025 [6].

Core Viewpoint - The panel prices are expected to decline in July 2025, particularly for TV panels, while monitor and laptop panel prices are anticipated to remain stable [3][4][6]. Group 1: TV Panels - Demand for TV panels remains weak, leading some brand clients to adjust their procurement orders for Q3 while negotiating better prices with panel manufacturers [3][4]. - The forecast indicates a price drop of $1 for 32-inch and 43-inch panels, and a $2 drop for 50-inch, 55-inch, 65-inch, and 75-inch panels [4]. Group 2: Monitor Panels - The demand for monitor panels has also shown signs of slowing down, with only a few specifications experiencing slight supply shortages [4]. - The overall price trend for monitor panels is expected to stabilize, influenced by the declining prices of TV panels [4]. Group 3: Laptop Panels - There is a slight increase in optimism regarding the demand for laptop panels, with brand clients becoming more proactive in negotiations for better pricing [6]. - The overall price for laptop panels is expected to remain stable in July, with future price movements dependent on negotiations between brand clients and manufacturers [6].

Core Viewpoint - The shift in production capacity by major DRAM manufacturers towards high-end products and the end-of-life (EOL) announcements for older generation products like DDR4 and LPDDR4X are driving a significant increase in DRAM prices, with expectations of a 10% to 15% increase in conventional DRAM prices in Q3 2025, and a 15% to 20% increase when including HBM [1][4]. Summary by Category DRAM Price Trends - The demand for DDR4 remains strong, leading to a projected price increase of 40% to 45% for consumer DDR4 in Q3 2025 due to supply constraints and prioritization of server needs [4][5]. - Overall, conventional DRAM prices are expected to rise by 10% to 15% in Q3 2025, while HBM prices may increase by 15% to 20% [2][4]. PC DRAM Market - The price of PC DRAM is anticipated to increase by 8% to 13% in Q3 2025, driven by heightened demand and supply limitations as manufacturers shift focus to server DRAM [5]. - The EOL policy for DDR4 is causing a supply squeeze, particularly affecting consumer applications [5]. Server DRAM Market - The demand for DDR5 is strengthening due to data center expansions, while DDR4 is experiencing preemptive stockpiling ahead of its EOL [5]. - Server DRAM prices are expected to rise by 3% to 8% in Q3 2025, supported by new platform deployments and AI server requirements [5]. Mobile DRAM Market - LPDDR4X prices are projected to increase by 23% to 28% in Q3 2025 due to rising demand and supply reductions from major manufacturers [6]. - LPDDR5X prices are expected to rise by 5% to 10% as a result of seasonal demand [6]. Graphics DRAM Market - GDDR6 is experiencing a supply shortage, leading to significant price increases in Q3 2025, while GDDR7 is being introduced to meet new GPU demands [6].

Core Viewpoint - The latest report from TrendForce indicates a continued decline in TV panel prices for July 2025, while prices for monitors and laptops remain stable [1][3]. TV Panels - The average price for a 65-inch TV panel is $174, down by $2 or 1.1% from the previous month, with a range between $169 and $178 [5]. - The average price for a 55-inch TV panel is $124, also down by $2 or 1.6%, with a range from $119 to $127 [6]. - The average price for a 43-inch TV panel is $64, down by $1 or 1.5%, with a range from $62 to $65 [7]. - The average price for a 32-inch TV panel is $35, down by $1 or 2.8%, with a range from $34 to $36 [8]. Monitor Panels - The forecast indicates that monitor panel prices are expected to remain unchanged [8]. - The average price for a 27-inch IPS panel is projected to be $63, with a range from $57.6 to $65.8 [9]. - The average price for a 23.8-inch IPS panel is expected to be $49.9, with a range from $47.1 to $51.4 [10]. Laptop Panels - The forecast suggests that prices for laptop panels across various sizes will remain stable [10]. - The average price for a 17.3-inch TN panel has stabilized at $38.3, with a range from $37.7 to $39.8 [11]. - The average price for a 15.6-inch Value IPS panel is expected to remain at $40.3, with a range from $38.6 to $41.9 [12]. - The average price for a 14.0-inch TN panel has stabilized at $26.9, with a range from $26.4 to $28.1 [13]. - The average price for an 11.6-inch TN panel has stabilized at $25.1, with a range from $24.2 to $26.5 [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the photovoltaic (PV) industry, highlighting price stability in various segments despite high inventory levels and weak demand, indicating potential challenges ahead for pricing and production [4][5][9]. Price Trends - The price of N-type polysilicon remains stable, with mainstream transaction prices at 34.5 RMB/kg for N-type re-investment material, 32.0 RMB/kg for N-type dense material, and 31.5 RMB/kg for N-type granular silicon [4][5]. - In the silicon wafer segment, the mainstream transaction prices are 0.88 RMB/piece for N-type M10 wafers, 1.20 RMB/piece for N-type G12 wafers, and 1.00 RMB/piece for N-type G12R wafers [9][10]. - For battery cells, the mainstream transaction prices are 0.225 RMB/W for M10 single crystal TOPCon cells, and 0.245 RMB/W for both G12 and G12R single crystal TOPCon cells [13][14]. - In the module segment, the mainstream transaction prices are 0.67 RMB/W for 182mm TOPCon double-sided double-glass modules and 0.72 RMB/W for 210mm HJT double-sided double-glass modules [17][19]. Inventory Dynamics - The inventory of polysilicon in the industry is over 370,000 tons, with leading manufacturers increasing output, leading to a potential oversupply situation [7][8]. - Silicon wafer inventory remains above 2 billion pieces, with 183N wafers accounting for over 50% of the total, indicating a buildup of stock [11]. - Battery cell manufacturers have approximately 10 days of inventory, but this may rise due to oversupply, particularly with 183N cells [15]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - In July, polysilicon output is expected to be between 110,000 to 115,000 tons, with demand from the silicon wafer side showing slow inventory reduction and price pressure from downstream [8][10]. - The module production is projected to be between 52 to 53 GW, with a 6% month-over-month increase, but demand remains weak, particularly from second and third-tier manufacturers [18][19]. - The article notes that the overall demand for components is supported mainly by centralized projects, but there is uncertainty in the market due to declining prices [18][20]. International Market Insights - In Europe, component prices have decreased, affecting overall pricing due to an influx of low-priced components [20]. - In India, DCR component prices have slightly increased due to government projects, while imported components have seen a price drop due to oversupply [20]. - In the U.S., FOB product prices have slightly increased, with ongoing discussions regarding tax credits for projects expected to be operational by the end of 2027 [20].

Core Insights - The North American large CSPs are the main drivers of AI Server market demand expansion, with a forecasted 24.3% year-on-year growth in global AI Server shipments for this year, slightly revised down due to international circumstances [1][4] Group 1: North American CSPs - Microsoft is focusing on AI investments, which has somewhat suppressed the procurement of general-purpose servers, primarily utilizing NVIDIA's GPU AI solutions for AI Server deployment [1] - Meta has significantly increased its demand for general-purpose servers due to new data center openings, primarily using AMD platforms, and is actively expanding its AI Server infrastructure with self-developed ASICs expected to double in shipments by 2026 [1] - Google has benefited from sovereign cloud projects and new data centers in Southeast Asia, significantly boosting server demand, and has begun mainstream production of its TPU v6e for AI inference [2] - AWS is focusing on its self-developed Trainium v2 platform, with plans for Trainium v3 development expected to launch in 2026, anticipating a doubling of its self-developed ASIC shipments by 2025 [2] - Oracle is emphasizing the procurement of AI Servers and In-Memory Database Servers, actively integrating its core cloud database and AI applications [3] Group 2: Market Outlook - Due to international circumstances, many Server Enterprise OEMs are reassessing their market plans for the second half of 2025, with an overall forecast of approximately 5% year-on-year growth in total server shipments, including both general-purpose and AI Servers [4]

Core Viewpoint - The global automotive LED market is expected to face significant price pressure in 2025 due to ongoing economic uncertainties, but a recovery in automotive production is anticipated in the second half of 2025, leading to projected market values of $3.451 billion for automotive LEDs and $35.729 billion for automotive lighting by 2025 [1]. Group 1: Automotive Lighting Trends - Automotive lighting is shifting towards personalization, communication displays, driver assistance, and safety upgrades [3]. - Adaptive headlights (ADB) enhance nighttime visibility and reaction time to obstacles, with a projected market penetration rate of 21.6% by 2029 despite current economic uncertainties [5][6]. - The introduction of Micro/Mini LED technology in adaptive headlights is expected to improve safety through flexible pixel control, with manufacturers like Volkswagen and Tesla adopting these technologies [5][6]. Group 2: Tail Light Innovations - The trend in automotive lighting includes personalized and communication displays, with Mini LED tail lights being integrated into various vehicle models [7]. - Ams OSRAM's ALIYOS technology allows for flexible Mini LED arrangements, enabling dynamic visual effects for design and information display [7]. Group 3: Decorative Lighting Market - The decorative lighting segment, including ambient lights and grille lamps, is projected to reach $311 million by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 28% from 2024 to 2029 [8]. - Intelligent ambient lighting, featuring built-in ICs for RGB LEDs, is expected to see a high growth rate of 69% [8]. Group 4: Mini LED Display Trends - Mini LED technology is being adopted by major automotive manufacturers, enhancing display quality with features like HDR and local dimming [10]. - Companies such as NIO, General Motors, and Ford are expected to implement Mini LED displays in their vehicles by 2024, with further expansions planned through 2029 [10]. Group 5: Market Size and Revenue Performance - The global automotive lighting market is projected to slightly decline to $34.658 billion in 2024 due to pricing pressures and inventory adjustments, despite a rise in electric vehicle sales [12]. - The top ten automotive lighting manufacturers for 2024 include Koito, Valeo, and Forvia Hella, among others [12]. Group 6: LED Manufacturer Revenue - The leading automotive LED manufacturers for 2024 are ams OSRAM, Nichia, and Lumileds, with ams OSRAM being favored for high-end and electric vehicles due to its product quality [14]. - The revenue of Everlight is expected to grow by over 40% in 2024, driven by demand in China, Europe, and South Korea [14].

交易情况 01 周价格表 | | | | | 更新日期:2025/6/25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 多晶硅 (Per KG) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | N型复投料(RMB) | 35.000 | 33.000 | 34.500 | -4.17% | | N型致密料(RMB) | 34.000 | 32.000 | 32.000 | -4.48% | | N型颗粒硅(RMB) | 32.500 | 31.000 | 31.500 | -3.08% | | 非中国区多智娃(USD) | 22.000 | 13.100 | 17.500 | -2.78% | | 硅片 (Per pc) | 高点 | 低点 | 均价 | 涨跌幅 | | N型183单晶硅片-183mm/130μm (RMB) | 0.880 | 0.850 | 0.880 | -2.22% | | N型210单晶硅片-210mm/130μm (RMB) | 1.250 | 1.230 | 1.230 | -1.60% | | N型210R单晶硅片-210*182mm/130µm ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is optimistic about the demand for NVIDIA's RTX PRO 6000 series, but supply chain constraints, particularly in memory supply, may impact actual shipment volumes [1][2]. Summary by Sections Product Launch and Supply Chain - NVIDIA is expected to launch the RTX PRO 6000 series in the second half of this year, with a focus on diversifying suppliers for different product categories [1]. - The main suppliers for the RTX PRO 6000 series include SK hynix for HBM, Micron for LPDDR, and Samsung for GDDR [2]. - The GDDR7 memory, exclusively supplied by Samsung, may face supply tightness, potentially affecting the production and supply capabilities of the RTX PRO 6000 series [2]. Market Applications - The RTX PRO 6000 series is positioned as a key product line for mid-range GPUs, targeting applications in AI inference, edge deep learning training, and imaging/simulation [2]. Collaboration and Future Outlook - NVIDIA has partnered with various ODMs and OEMs to promote MGX AI Server models equipped with the RTX PRO 6000, emphasizing enterprise customers' needs from cloud to edge AI applications [3].

Core Viewpoint - The panel prices for televisions have decreased in June 2025, while monitor and laptop panel prices have remained stable. The demand for television panels is weakening, leading brands to adopt a more conservative purchasing attitude [2][4]. Television Panels - In June, the demand for television panels has shown a more pronounced weakening trend, with brands becoming more cautious in their procurement. The unclear terminal demand for the second half of the year and rising inventory levels have led some brands to consider reducing their procurement momentum for Q3 [2][4]. - It is estimated that the prices for 43-inch, 50-inch, and 55-inch television panels will decrease by $1, while 65-inch and 75-inch panels are expected to drop by $1 to $2 [4]. Monitor Panels - The demand for monitor panels is reaching its peak, with brand clients beginning to adjust their orders. The weakening demand for television panels and their price declines are starting to affect monitor panel prices. Despite manufacturers hoping for slight price increases, most brand clients are not accepting continued price hikes in June, leading to an expected stabilization of monitor panel prices [5]. Laptop Panels - Brands are becoming more optimistic about the demand for laptops in the second half of the year, leading to an increase in orders for laptop panels. However, manufacturers are unlikely to propose price increases to maintain customer relationships and may employ various non-public pricing strategies to secure orders [6][7]. - The prices for laptop panels are expected to remain stable in June, although there are emerging concerns about memory shortages and significant price increases, which could impact future procurement attitudes of brand clients [7].