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蔚来迎来弯道时刻
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-06 10:10
在访谈过程中,李斌没有回避蔚来的财务情况,也深知蔚来所处的经营境况和竞争环境。其认为,在 内部调整和产品推新并行的举措下,蔚来的转机即将到来。 "最低的谷底已经在今年一季度过去了。" 在2025年一季度财报发布次日,李斌在接受多家媒体访谈 时提到。 对一季度的财务表现,蔚来已有预期。背后有多方面原因:一是一季度本就是销售淡季,难以延续四 季度的涨势;二是财报周期正值蔚来内部调整时期,部分调整成效未能释放;再者,一季度蔚来产品 尚未焕新,新产品势能仍有保留。 李斌上调了二季度的交付预期,并依旧维持四季度盈利的目标。在泥潭之中的蔚来,需要向外界解释 ——今年销量到底从哪儿来?四季度盈利目标如何实现?蔚来的整改动作,是否能够带来实际成效? 最难的时候已经过去 今年一季度,蔚来营收超120亿元,同比增长超21%。一季度整车毛利率10%,整体毛利率为 7.6%, 环比有所下滑。李斌解释称由于前期存在清库和促销活动,实际上二季度蔚来新车的平均售价已经提 升 10% 以上,毛利率也因此提升了近 10 个百分点。 相比去年同期,蔚来的销量已有明显提升。一季度交付新车 42094 辆,同比增长 40.1%。受季节性 因素影响, ...
Kimi和DeepSeek又撞车?
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-06 10:10
Core Viewpoint - Kimi is focusing on improving user retention and model capabilities, particularly in vertical fields like healthcare and law, while facing increased competition in the AI application market [2][11]. Summary by Sections Kimi's Current Focus - Kimi's CEO emphasized the importance of user retention as a key metric, with monthly active users surpassing 36 million, placing Kimi among the top three AI native applications in China [2]. - The company is concentrating on enhancing model capabilities, with the K1.6 model outperforming others in global benchmarks [3]. Recruitment and Expansion - Kimi is hiring data experts in legal and medical fields to improve the quality of information retrieval in these areas [3][10]. - The launch of an academic search feature indicates Kimi's commitment to strengthening its vertical capabilities [4]. Competitive Landscape - Kimi is competing with DeepSeek, which is also focusing on the medical field and has similar recruitment strategies [7][8]. - Both companies are targeting the legal sector, with Kimi seeking professionals with legal experience to enhance its offerings [10]. Market Position and Strategy - Kimi has dropped to the fourth position in monthly active users among AI applications, prompting a shift from paid marketing to a focus on organic growth and user retention [11][12]. - The company aims to explore AGI while maintaining a strong foundation in model capabilities, indicating a dual focus on vertical applications and core model development [13]. Industry Insights - Industry experts note that many AI models currently perform at a moderate level in specialized fields, highlighting the challenges of developing effective vertical solutions [10]. - The recent collaboration with Caixin Media aims to improve the accuracy of financial content generated by Kimi's models [10]. Future Developments - The anticipated release of OpenAI's GPT-5 could significantly impact the AI industry, potentially leading to a new wave of advancements [15][16].
大模型推理,得讲性价比
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-06 10:10
Core Insights - The article discusses the evolution and optimization of the Mixture of Experts (MoE) model, highlighting Huawei's innovative MoGE architecture that addresses inefficiencies in the original MoE model and enhances cost-effectiveness and deployment ease [1][3]. Group 1: MoE Model Evolution - The MoE model has become a key path for improving large model inference efficiency due to its dynamic sparse computing advantages [3]. - Huawei's Pangu Pro MoE 72B model significantly reduces computational costs and ranks first domestically in the SuperCLUE benchmark for models with over 100 billion parameters [3]. - The Pangu Pro MoE model achieves a 6-8 times improvement in inference performance through system-level optimizations and can reach a throughput of 321 tokens/s on the Ascend 300I Duo [3][30]. Group 2: Optimization Strategies - Huawei's H2P (Hierarchical & Hybrid Parallelism) strategy enhances inference efficiency by allowing specialized communication within task-specific groups rather than a "full team meeting" approach [5][6]. - The TopoComm optimization focuses on reducing communication overhead and improving data transmission efficiency, achieving a 35% reduction in synchronization operations [8][10]. - The DuoStream optimization allows for concurrent execution of communication and computation, significantly improving inference efficiency [11]. Group 3: Operator Fusion - Huawei has developed two specialized fusion operators, MulAttention and SwiftGMM, to optimize resource access and computation scheduling, leading to substantial performance improvements [15][17]. - MulAttention enhances attention computation speed by 4.5 times and achieves over 89% data transfer efficiency [17]. - SwiftGMM accelerates GMM computation by 2.1 times and reduces end-to-end inference latency by 48.7% [20]. Group 4: Inference Algorithm Acceleration - The PreMoE algorithm dynamically prunes experts in the MoE model, improving throughput by over 10% while maintaining accuracy [25]. - The TrimR algorithm reduces unnecessary inference steps by 14% by monitoring and adjusting the model's reasoning process [26]. - The SpecReason algorithm leverages smaller models to enhance the efficiency of larger models, resulting in a 30% increase in throughput [27]. Group 5: Performance Breakthroughs - The Ascend 800I A2 platform demonstrates exceptional performance with a single-card throughput of 1528 tokens/s under optimal conditions [30][31]. - The Ascend 300I Duo platform offers a cost-effective solution for MoE model inference, achieving a maximum throughput of 321 tokens/s [32][33]. - Overall, Huawei's optimizations have established a robust foundation for high-performance, large-scale, and low-cost inference capabilities [33].
马斯克特朗普四天撕破脸,特斯拉血亏1万亿
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-06 10:10
Core Viewpoint - The public feud between Elon Musk and Donald Trump has escalated, significantly impacting Tesla's stock price and market perception, highlighting the intersection of politics and business in the electric vehicle industry [3][4][6]. Group 1: Musk and Trump's Feud - The conflict began on June 3, when Musk publicly opposed Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill," which aimed to raise the U.S. debt ceiling by $4 trillion [7][10]. - Musk criticized the bill as a "disgusting abomination" that would increase the national debt by $2.5 trillion, urging his followers to pressure Congress against it [12][13]. - Trump expressed disappointment in Musk, suggesting that Musk's opposition stemmed from self-interest regarding electric vehicle policies [17][18]. Group 2: Impact on Tesla - Tesla's stock experienced significant volatility, with a peak drop of 14.26%, resulting in a market value loss of approximately $150 billion during the feud [19][35]. - The electric vehicle market is projected to grow by 25% in 2024, yet Tesla's market share has declined from 70% in 2021 to below 50% [36]. - Tesla's sales revenue fell by 71% in the first quarter of 2025, marking the lowest level in three years, amid a challenging political environment [36][37]. Group 3: Broader Industry Implications - The feud has led to a rise in anti-Tesla sentiment, with incidents of vandalism against Tesla service centers and charging stations [39]. - The political dynamics have raised concerns about the future of Tesla, as the company warned that changing political sentiments could adversely affect product sales [37][38]. - The ongoing conflict illustrates the risks associated with intertwining business interests with political affiliations, as Musk's political actions have seemingly backfired on Tesla [42][44].
早报 | 特朗普与马斯克决裂,特斯拉暴跌;国足无缘世界杯;印尼考虑采购歼10;饶毅“炮轰”75岁董事长带货“假药”
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 23:46
Group 1: Tesla and Elon Musk - Trump expressed disappointment in Musk, indicating a potential rift in their relationship, which could impact Tesla's market perception [2][20] - Following Trump's comments, Tesla's stock plummeted, resulting in a market value loss of approximately $100 billion, with a 14.26% drop in share price [20][21] Group 2: Pharmaceutical Industry - Controversy arose around the drug Ergotamine, with a prominent figure claiming it is a "fake drug," leading to public scrutiny of its efficacy and the marketing practices of Kolun Pharmaceutical [7] - Kolun Pharmaceutical defended its product, stating positive feedback from users, despite the ongoing debate regarding regulatory compliance [7] Group 3: Consumer Goods - The "1.5 bucket" product from Jinmailang faced criticism for misleading marketing, as the actual weight did not meet the advertised quantity, raising concerns about consumer trust [8][10] - The controversy follows a similar issue with another brand, indicating a trend of scrutiny in the instant noodle market regarding product labeling and consumer perception [8][10] Group 4: Technology Partnerships - Xiaopeng Motors and Huawei announced a collaboration on AR-HUD technology, which is expected to enhance the automotive experience and benefit related supply chain companies [23] - This partnership marks a significant step in the integration of advanced technology in vehicles, potentially influencing market dynamics in the automotive sector [23] Group 5: Apple and Tata Group - Apple has transferred its iPhone and MacBook repair services in India to Tata Group, indicating a strategic move to strengthen its operational capabilities in the region [22] - This transition reflects Apple's ongoing commitment to expanding its presence in the Indian market, despite previous pressures from political figures [22] Group 6: Aviation Industry - Airbus is reportedly in discussions with Chinese airlines for a potential order of up to 500 aircraft, which could significantly impact the aviation market and Airbus's sales figures [26] - The negotiations highlight China's growing demand for new aircraft as it continues to modernize its aviation fleet [26] Group 7: Defense Industry - Indonesia is evaluating the procurement of Chinese-made J-10 fighter jets, focusing on performance and cost-effectiveness, which could reshape regional defense dynamics [26] - This consideration reflects Indonesia's ongoing military modernization efforts and its search for high-value defense equipment [26]
别让AI替你做判断
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 23:46
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the phenomenon of "cognitive outsourcing" due to the increasing reliance on AI for information processing and decision-making, which may lead to a decline in critical thinking and independent analysis skills. Group 1: Cognitive Outsourcing - The reliance on AI tools is creating a dependency on "cognitive outsourcing," where individuals are encouraged to think less and rely more on AI for information processing [2][3][4]. - AI's ability to reduce cognitive load through features like one-click summaries and intelligent recommendations is leading to a decrease in active information filtering and judgment [3][4][5]. - The trend of cognitive outsourcing is evident as more people trust AI tools, resulting in diminished confidence in independent analysis when faced with complex problems [4][5][6]. Group 2: Impact on Critical Thinking - Frequent reliance on AI has been linked to difficulties in independent reasoning, with users experiencing a decline in cognitive sharpness compared to periods without AI assistance [5][6][9]. - Companies are systematically integrating AI into workflows, which, while seemingly increasing efficiency, may also weaken critical thinking abilities among employees [6][7]. - The article highlights a shift in academic environments, where students increasingly use AI for research and analysis, leading to a passive learning approach [7][8]. Group 3: The Role of Experience and Understanding - The article argues that experience is becoming a "compressed capsule," with individuals relying on AI to generate solutions rather than internalizing knowledge through experience [17][18]. - Certain types of knowledge and experience, particularly those requiring intuition and hands-on practice, cannot be replaced by AI, emphasizing the need for a balance between AI tools and human judgment [18][19]. - The understanding of complex concepts requires a foundational knowledge that cannot solely depend on AI, as true comprehension involves active engagement and critical thinking [15][16]. Group 4: The Future of Human-AI Interaction - The article suggests that as AI becomes more integrated into daily tasks, individuals must find their role in this evolving landscape, transitioning from creators to users of AI technology [25][26]. - There is a call for individuals to maintain their judgment and creativity in the face of increasing AI influence, ensuring that technology serves as a tool rather than a replacement for human thought [26][27]. - The ultimate boundary of AI's role is proposed to be in processing "what" and "how," while the "why" must remain a human domain, highlighting the importance of maintaining human agency in decision-making [23][24].
海底捞下乡,“地头蛇”引路
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 23:46
Core Viewpoint - Haidilao's cautious approach to franchise expansion aims to penetrate lower-tier cities while maintaining brand control and operational consistency through a "strong management" strategy [2][10][12]. Summary by Sections Franchise Strategy - Haidilao opened its franchise model in March 2024, receiving over 20,000 applications but only establishing 13 franchise stores, primarily converting existing locations [1][2]. - The franchise strategy focuses on attracting "mysterious franchisees" with significant resources and local connections, particularly in third-tier cities [2][4]. Franchisee Characteristics - The franchisees are categorized into four types: professional franchisees, property owners, industry transitioners, and institutional investors, all possessing substantial financial backing and local market knowledge [6][5]. - The franchise application process includes rigorous online evaluations and multiple interview rounds to ensure alignment with Haidilao's values and operational standards [6][7]. Operational Control - Haidilao employs a "strong management" model, requiring franchisees to purchase existing stores and adhere strictly to corporate guidelines, ensuring consistency with the brand's operational standards [10][12]. - This model allows franchisees to leverage existing customer bases and operational frameworks, facilitating quicker market entry and brand establishment [10][11]. Market Dynamics - The franchise model is part of a broader trend in the hot pot market, with significant growth in lower-tier cities, where the number of hot pot restaurants has increased by 18% year-on-year [4][19]. - Haidilao's strategy contrasts with other brands that allow greater operational autonomy, positioning itself as a more controlled franchise model [14][15]. Future Prospects - Haidilao aims to expand its franchise operations further, with plans to eventually apply the franchise model to its sub-brands, enhancing overall market presence [18][19]. - The company is currently focused on processing the influx of franchise applications and establishing a robust operational framework to support future growth [18][19].
传统包装面包,日子不好过
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 14:24
以下文章来源于剁椒Spicy ,作者剁椒团队 剁椒Spicy . 专注于电商、营销、流量生态,以及消费者洞察的全新商业自媒体 本文来自微信公众号: 剁椒Spicy ,作者:Mia,原文标题:《谁杀死了面包第一股?一场由山姆、 711、三只松鼠们发动的绞杀》,头图来自:AI生成 2025年第一季度财报犹如一记重锤。数据显示,桃李面包营收同比暴跌14.2%至12.01亿元,归母净 利润更是雪崩式下滑27.07%,仅剩8403.72万元,毛利率与净利率也双双跳水,创下上市以来最惨烈 单季表现。 | 单位: | | --- | | 元 币种: | | 人民币 | | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | 本报告期比上年同期 增减变动幅度(%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 1, 201, 171, 488. 40 | 1, 400, 002, 318. 86 | -14. 20 | | 归属于上市公司股东的净利润 | 84, 037, 214. 32 | 115, 230, 925. 14 | -27.07 | | 归属于上市公司股东的扣除非 经常性损益的净利润 | 79, ...
一张卡干俩活,华为要把算力榨干
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 14:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the advancements in AI, particularly focusing on Huawei's innovations in the MoE (Mixture of Experts) architecture and the introduction of RL (Reinforcement Learning) post-training techniques, which aim to enhance the efficiency and performance of large language models (LLMs) in the competitive AI landscape [1][3]. Group 1: MoE Architecture and Huawei's Innovations - The MoE model, originally proposed by Canadian scholars, has evolved significantly, with Huawei introducing the MoGE architecture that addresses inefficiencies in the traditional MoE model, leading to cost reduction and improved training and deployment [1]. - Huawei's approach emphasizes the importance of creating a collaborative ecosystem to foster the growth of the Ascend ecosystem in China [1]. Group 2: RL Post-Training Techniques - RL post-training has emerged as a critical pathway to enhance LLM performance, with models like OpenAI's o1 and DeepSeek-R1 leveraging this technique to improve reasoning capabilities in complex tasks [3][5]. - The RL post-training phase currently consumes 20% of the total computational resources, projected to rise to 50%, significantly impacting model performance and costs [3]. Group 3: Challenges in RL Post-Training - The traditional On-Policy algorithms create a "computational black hole" due to the alternating execution of training and inference tasks, leading to underutilization of resources [6][7]. - The complexity of task scheduling in large-scale clusters, exacerbated by the adoption of various parallel strategies, poses significant challenges for efficient resource utilization [8]. Group 4: Innovations in Resource Utilization - Huawei's RL Fusion technology allows a single card to handle both training and inference tasks simultaneously, effectively doubling resource utilization and throughput [9][10]. - The StaleSync mechanism enables near-asynchronous execution of tasks, achieving over 90% efficiency in horizontal scaling across CloudMatrix 384 super nodes [16][20]. Group 5: Performance Metrics and Results - The combination of RL Fusion and StaleSync has led to a significant increase in efficiency, with single-node throughput improving by 78.5% and overall performance enhancement of 1.5 times [30][31]. - StaleSync's implementation in cluster scaling shows a linear throughput increase from 35k tokens/s to 127k tokens/s as the number of super nodes increases, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing scalability [32]. Group 6: Conclusion - The advancements in RL post-training techniques by Huawei represent a significant leap in AI efficiency, positioning the company as a key player in the next generation of AI technology [33].
暴跌的榴莲
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-05 14:24
Group 1 - The core issue behind the sharp decline in durian prices is related to supply and quality problems, with wholesale prices dropping from 69.26 yuan/kg in April to 51.38 yuan/kg by May 23, a decrease of 25.8% [2][3] - The increase in supply is significant, with Thailand's eastern region expected to see a 30% increase in production, reaching a total of 1.5 million tons, while Vietnam's production is projected at 850,000 tons, far exceeding China's expected import volume of 1.56 million tons in 2024 [2][3][4] - Trade facilitation improvements have also contributed to the price drop, as the efficiency of cross-border supply chains has increased, reducing transportation time by approximately 30% and lowering costs [4][5] Group 2 - There is a notable decline in the quality of imported durians, with a high proportion of "raw packages" that appear ripe but have poor taste, leading to consumer dissatisfaction [8][10] - The quality issues are exacerbated by adverse weather conditions affecting the sugar accumulation and ripening of durians, resulting in a significant number of low-quality fruits entering the market [8][12] - The market is experiencing a severe polarization in quality, with low-quality durians flooding the market at low prices, while high-quality durians remain scarce and maintain stable prices [9][11] Group 3 - The volatility in durian prices reflects deeper changes in the high-end fruit market, prompting retailers to rethink their business models and strategies [14][15] - Retailers are facing reduced profit margins, with some reporting that profits have been nearly halved due to the price drop, leading to increased competition and pressure on profitability [15][16] - Consumer demand for high-end fruits is uncertain, as economic instability leads to reduced spending on non-essential items, further complicated by quality issues that have resulted in negative consumer experiences [17][18] Group 4 - Retailers are now focusing on quality control and are establishing direct relationships with quality suppliers to ensure better product offerings [18][19] - There is a shift towards diversifying product offerings to mitigate risks, with retailers introducing new fruit varieties to attract customers and enhance resilience against market fluctuations [19][20] - The future of high-end fruit retailing will likely emphasize quality and service as core competitive advantages, with a need for retailers to balance quality, service, and cost to meet diverse consumer demands [19][20]