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微软小冰往事:一个AI明星产品是如何坠落的
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-11 09:38
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rise and fall of the AI chatbot "QQ Xiaobing," its creator Li Di, and the internal dynamics of the company after its split from Microsoft, highlighting the challenges faced in maintaining innovation and profitability in a competitive landscape [4][5][6]. Group 1: The Rise of QQ Xiaobing - QQ Xiaobing, developed by a predominantly Chinese team, became a groundbreaking AI product with 660 million users globally by 2018, marking a significant achievement in AI development [4]. - Li Di, known as the "father of Xiaobing," emphasized emotional intelligence over task-oriented AI, aiming to create a chatbot that users could form emotional connections with [5][6]. Group 2: Li Di's Leadership and Disappearance - Under Li Di's leadership, the company grew rapidly, achieving a post-investment valuation of $2 billion and expanding its workforce to nearly 800 employees [8]. - In early 2025, Li Di unexpectedly disappeared from the company without prior notice, leading to speculation about his departure and the internal power dynamics at play [10][12]. Group 3: Internal Dynamics and Power Struggles - Following Li Di's departure, the company underwent significant restructuring, with COO Hu Xiaoguang leading meetings that emphasized moving forward without addressing Li Di's exit [13][14]. - Li Di's absence raised questions about the legitimacy of the board's decision-making process, as he was a major shareholder and had not been formally notified of his removal [14][15]. Group 4: Challenges in Business Strategy - The company faced difficulties in transitioning from a Microsoft-backed entity to an independent business, struggling with profitability and operational efficiency [30][31]. - As the company shifted focus to monetization, it began to cut non-core projects and reduce staff, leading to a significant decrease in employee numbers from over 800 to around 300 [24][25]. Group 5: Technological and Market Challenges - The company initially thrived on its unique AI framework but failed to adapt quickly to the rise of generative models like GPT, which began to dominate the market [36][37]. - Despite early recognition of the potential of generative models, the company lacked the resources to compete effectively, leading to a delayed internal reform that ultimately could not keep pace with industry advancements [44][45]. Group 6: The Aftermath of Li Di's Departure - After Li Di's exit, the company continued to operate but struggled with identity and direction, leading to a significant shift in its operational and strategic focus [52][53]. - The article concludes with a reflection on the transformation of the company, likening it to the Ship of Theseus, where the original essence has been lost despite retaining the name [54].
OpenClaw爆火两周后,它的用法已经比科幻世界还离谱了
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-11 09:38
Core Insights - The article discusses the emergence and capabilities of OpenClaw, an AI agent that operates on personal computers and interacts through messaging platforms like WhatsApp, Telegram, and Discord, allowing users to automate various tasks seamlessly [6][7]. Group 1: OpenClaw Overview - OpenClaw is an AI agent that runs locally on users' computers, providing system-level permissions for tasks such as file management, terminal commands, and email handling [6]. - It features persistent memory, allowing it to retain context across sessions and remember user preferences and past interactions [6]. - The project gained significant traction, with over 170,000 stars on GitHub shortly after its launch, indicating strong community interest and support [3]. Group 2: Use Cases - A software engineer utilized OpenClaw to negotiate the purchase of a Hyundai Palisade, resulting in a savings of approximately $4,200 by automating the communication with multiple dealerships [9][10]. - Another developer reported that OpenClaw autonomously decided not to send notifications on his wife's birthday, showcasing its ability to understand social contexts [12][13]. - Users have employed OpenClaw for various tasks, including managing emails, booking flights, and even negotiating restaurant reservations, demonstrating its versatility [13][19]. Group 3: Community and Market Response - The rapid rise of OpenClaw has led to concerns among major tech companies, prompting them to restrict its use within their organizations [7]. - Following OpenClaw's popularity, a new platform called RentAHuman.ai emerged, allowing users to hire individuals to perform physical tasks that AI cannot complete [22][24]. - The article highlights a growing interest in developing infrastructure around AI agents, including security systems and credit systems for autonomous agents [27][28]. Group 4: Risks and Challenges - The article notes potential risks associated with AI agents, including the possibility of malicious code in plugins and unauthorized installations in corporate environments [26]. - There are concerns about the unpredictability of AI behavior when given broad permissions without clear boundaries, leading to unintended consequences [20][21]. - Despite the excitement surrounding OpenClaw, there are calls for more robust security measures and oversight as the technology evolves [26][27].
早报 | 特朗普称若美伊谈判失败将强硬行动;雷军宣布初代小米SU7正式停产;多平台称春节期间配送费涨价;谷歌百年期债券获7倍认购
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-11 00:48
Group 1 - The article discusses President Trump's consideration of deploying an additional aircraft carrier strike group to the Middle East if negotiations with Iran fail, highlighting the ongoing military buildup in the region [2][4][5] - The second round of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran is expected to take place next week, with Trump emphasizing the need for a strong agreement or else face tough actions [3][4] Group 2 - Alphabet, Google's parent company, raised nearly $32 billion in debt financing, showcasing the significant funding needs of tech giants in the AI race, with a record issuance of a century-long bond that received over 7 times the demand [6][6] - The issuance of the century bond is notable as it reflects Alphabet's financial stability and long-term planning, especially as the company plans to double its capital expenditure to $185 billion this year, primarily for AI infrastructure [6] Group 3 - xAI, Elon Musk's AI startup, has lost another co-founder, Tony Wu, amid a series of departures from the company, which is facing consumer backlash and regulatory scrutiny [8][8] - The company has been criticized for its AI product, Grok AI, which has been involved in creating unauthorized deepfake images [8] Group 4 - Paramount Skydance has revised its hostile takeover bid for Warner Bros Discovery, offering to pay a $2.8 billion breakup fee if Warner Bros terminates its agreement with Netflix, and promising to refinance Warner's debt [9][10] - Following the announcement, shares of Paramount and Warner Bros saw slight increases, indicating market interest in the revised proposal [10] Group 5 - The European Commission accepted Volkswagen's price commitment for exporting electric vehicles from China, allowing the company to avoid anti-subsidy taxes on its CUPRA Tavascan model [11][12] - Volkswagen has also committed to limiting the quantity of vehicles exported to the EU and investing in significant projects related to electric vehicles to support EU industry strategies [12] Group 6 - Xiaomi's founder announced the official cessation of production for the first-generation Xiaomi SU7, with total deliveries nearing 370,000 units [13][14] - The company is adjusting its service and delivery fees during the Spring Festival period, with various platforms announcing price changes [15] Group 7 - Country Garden's executives received disciplinary action from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for failing to timely disclose debt defaults, although the board believes there is no reason to doubt their integrity [16] - Investors such as Ge Weidong and Fang Wenyuan participated in Jianghuai Automobile's private placement, each investing 1 billion yuan [17][18] Group 8 - ByteDance launched its image generation model Seedream 5.0 across various platforms, indicating a push in AI capabilities [19][20] - The model is positioned to compete with existing technologies in the market [20] Group 9 - The Shanghai Gold Exchange announced adjustments to margin requirements and price limits for gold and silver contracts to mitigate risks during the Spring Festival [28] - The U.S. is set to release its non-farm payroll data, a key economic indicator that influences global financial markets [30] Group 10 - The National Healthcare Security Administration implemented new pricing regulations for innovative drugs to enhance transparency and expedite the market entry of new medications [31] - Elon Musk predicted that general artificial intelligence (AGI) could emerge within three years, potentially leading to significant job displacement in various sectors [32][33]
还乡之路
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-11 00:48
本文来自微信公众号: 秦朔朋友圈 ,作者:刘子1984,头图来自:AI生成 一 离过年还有几天,大家或早或晚,都回了乡吧。 我的故乡在赣西北,宜春市下辖的一个县。上海出发的320国道,行至九百二三十公里处,便是了。 我就从上海出发,说远不远,说近不近,以往回乡过年,是个麻烦事。 2010年以前,动车还未普及,从上海坐火车到南昌或宜春,要十四五个小时。每年春节返乡前,我 一般早早上网发帖或回帖,约顺风车——有人开车回乡过年,顺路带几个人赚点钱。有几年都是到南 昌,上班族们约个地方,晚上下班后出发,第二天凌晨到,一车人疲惫不堪。 我家离南昌还有三个多小时车程,我再打车去长途车站,买票及等车再需三个小时,到得本县与邻县 交界处,就看见父亲开着他的小面包,停靠在国道边等我。又几公里山路,到得村里,又近天黑。如 此说来,900多公里,几乎一天时间。 2010年动车开通后,中国铁路速度大为提升,基本能买到票。只是春运动车票依然紧张,到宜春的 基本抢不到,到南昌还好一些,但上班族不可能去车站排队抢票,只好捡漏一大早或半夜十一二点出 发的加班车。如此虽然疲惫,总是快了不少,行程可压缩到半天。 二 客流之外,是趋同的城乡物流。 ...
下一个DeepSeek时刻正在酝酿?
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-11 00:48
Core Viewpoint - The Seedance 2.0 concept is emerging as a new market trend, with significant movements in media stocks and AI video generation technology [2][6][12]. Group 1: Seedance 2.0 and Market Dynamics - Seedance 2.0 is seen as a pivotal moment in AI video generation, allowing users to create high-quality videos with minimal input, significantly reducing production costs [6][7]. - The global AI video generation market is projected to exceed several billion dollars by 2025, with China's market expected to surpass 90 billion yuan [7]. - Companies with substantial IP resources and distribution channels, such as Chinese Online and Hengdian Film, are positioned to benefit from this trend [8]. Group 2: Comparison with Previous Trends - The current market sentiment differs from the previous DeepSeek moment, as the emotional and market environment has changed significantly [10][12]. - The DeepSeek phenomenon saw a broad range of stocks being driven by speculation, but the current Seedance 2.0 trend is more focused on practical applications and financial performance [12][18]. - The media sector is experiencing a bifurcation, with some companies benefiting from AI advancements while others face challenges due to high debt and demand issues [16][19]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in the media sector are categorized into two types: those driven by industry benefits and those propelled by AI advancements [14][15]. - Companies that can effectively leverage AI for cost reduction and efficiency improvements are likely to emerge as key players in the evolving landscape [18][22]. - Specific companies to watch include those in AI gaming, marketing, and IP production, such as Kaiying Network and BlueFocus Communication Group [20][21][22].
她用AI一年上架200本小说,那个叫“作者”的身份死于2026
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-10 14:12
以下文章来源于不懂经 ,作者不懂经也叔的Rust 不懂经 . 《主权个人》:未来会活得很爽的有三种人,一是技术精英,二是各行业头部,三是有资本及良好判断 力的人。本号专注后面两种。 本文来自微信公众号: 不懂经 ,作者:不懂经也叔的Rust,题图来自:视觉中国 一、"如果我一天就能写出一本 书,而你需要六个月,谁会赢得 这场比赛?" 科勒尔·哈特,美国人,言情小说作家。她在最近接受《纽约时报》的采访中透露,2024年,她在亚 马逊上架了超过200本小说,年收入六位数美元。她甚至只需要45分钟就能创作或生成一部完整的小 说。 她用Claude起草情节框架,用Grok润色对话,用NovelAI生成整章内容,包括那些情色的部分。是 的,连床戏都是AI写的。 她还开了一个培训项目,专门教人如何用AI批量生产小说。学员多达1600人。更有意思的是,其中 很多都是公开反对AI写作的人。 如果说科勒尔·哈特的故事只是关于商业效率,那《纽约客》不久前发表的一篇文章,则触及了更深 的层面,也更加耐人寻味。 一位计算机科学家图欣·查克拉巴蒂 (Tuhin Chakrabarty) 做了一个实验。他用GPT-4o对30位当代 著名 ...
华强北,为什么能持续产生硬件创新?
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-10 14:12
Core Viewpoint - The article explores why Huaqiangbei, a district in Shenzhen, can continuously produce hardware innovations with minimal venture capital involvement, contrasting it with the Silicon Valley model that relies heavily on venture capital funding [4][6][18]. Group 1: System's Minimum Unit - Huaqiangbei is often referred to as "China's Electronics First Street," characterized by a vast network of trade, solution providers, and factories, functioning as a large API interface [10][12]. - The minimum unit in Huaqiangbei consists of sharp traders, solution companies, supporting factories, and a network of trust, allowing for a "Lego-style" survival philosophy where components can be easily assembled [13][14]. - This "physical open-source" approach lowers the hardware development barrier, enabling non-technical entrepreneurs to thrive [14][15]. Group 2: Why VC Fails Here - The business model in Huaqiangbei inherently rejects the venture capital logic due to different return cycles and exit mechanisms [18][22]. - Entrepreneurs in Huaqiangbei prioritize cash flow and quick returns, often completing product cycles in a matter of weeks or months, which does not align with the long-term investment horizon of VCs [22][24]. - A unique distributed financial system based on "familiar credit" allows entrepreneurs to leverage supplier credit and customer deposits to fund operations, bypassing traditional capital requirements [23][24]. Group 3: Innovation Funnel and Market Dynamics - Huaqiangbei's innovation logic is based on survival of the fittest, where low barriers to entry lead to a high volume of product experimentation [32][34]. - The market acts as the ultimate judge, with a rapid feedback loop that results in a high failure rate (95% of products) and a few successes that can become major hits [37][38]. - Unlike Silicon Valley, which reduces uncertainty through lab testing, Huaqiangbei eliminates it through market trials and rapid iteration [38]. Group 4: The Role of Chaos - Huaqiangbei's chaotic environment, often criticized for producing "high copies," is actually a source of its vitality, allowing for rapid innovation without stringent regulations [42][44]. - The lack of strict order fosters a low-cost environment for innovation, enabling entrepreneurs to test ideas quickly and adapt based on market response [45][46]. - This chaotic ecosystem has historically contributed to the development of a robust supply chain and skilled workforce in China, despite its controversial reputation [48]. Group 5: Future Challenges - Looking ahead to 2026, Huaqiangbei faces challenges from the hollowing out of hardware value due to the rise of AI and cloud computing, which may render traditional hardware innovation less relevant [56][57]. - The emergence of digital supply chain platforms could threaten Huaqiangbei's role as an intermediary, raising questions about the future of its business model [58][59]. - Despite these challenges, Huaqiangbei is evolving from a product-selling hub to a capability-selling entity, positioning itself as a global hardware innovation factory [60][61].
中国车企,要接受新车销量“仅微涨”的新常态
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-10 14:12
头图|视觉中国 2026年,中国车市迎来了尴尬时刻。 一面是比亚迪2026年1月销量下跌30%,理想下滑7.55%。卷到第一的吉利集团也仅仅微增1%,这个 成绩还是得益于吉利出海的强力拉动,换算到国内市场也难言"涨势喜人"。 相关报告显示,因补贴下滑加之宏观经济影响,消费者信心指数预计仍将低于枯荣线、消费复苏乏 力。2026年乘用车销量预计将达到2400万,增速近一步收窄至1%。新能源汽车或将迎来最后一年二 位数增长。 出品|虎嗅汽车组 作者|邢书博 简单讲, 2026年的中国车市新车不好卖了。 但另一面,则是中国二手车汽车销量呈现冰火两重天的另一面。与新车寒冬不同,二手车市场繁荣的 让人难以置信:中国汽车流通协会日前发布数据显示,2025年, 我国二手车市场交易规模以2010.8 万辆的成绩首次突破2000万辆大关,同比增长2.52% ,累计交易金额12897.9亿元。 其中新能源车 二手车增速或超50%。 消费在哪里,是因为需求在那里。 为什么越来越多的消费者会选择二手车?真实的消费诉求是什么?二手车对车企来说意味着什么? "买台二手车回老家" 返乡潮通勤是节前二手车增长的真实需求。 在北京的打工人兰子, ...
字节与OpenAI的战争,摆在了桌面上
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-10 14:12
版面之外,才是真相。 本文来自微信公众号: 版面之外 ,作者:画画,头图来自:视觉中国 不知道你的朋友圈是否和我一样,被一些 AI 生成的视频刷屏了。 以下文章来源于版面之外 ,作者画画 版面之外 . 画面里,镜头自然地从全景推向特写,光影流转,动作顺滑得不像话。最神的是,场景竟然能根据旁 白的节奏精准切换。这不是好莱坞大片的花絮,而是字节跳动新发布的视频模型 Seedance 2.0。 说实话,过去我们让AI 画个艺术图、搞个几秒钟的动作视频,早就见怪不怪了。但这次,连平时从 不关注科技的朋友都在转发。那种惊奇、兴奋,甚至带点陌生感的情绪,混合在一起。 仔细想想,这种情绪很关键。以前我们看到OpenAI的Sora、谷歌的Gemini出彩时,感觉更多是仰 望,那是别人家孩子又考了满分。但这次,感觉变了,有一种自己孩子出息了的感觉,让人忍不住想 比较一下:这个好像不比那些眼球顶级的差啊? 这个瞬间让人恍惚。还记得 2024 年初 Sora 横空出世吗?东京街头那条漫步视频,逼真得让人惊到 了下巴。当时国内科技圈讨论的全是差距,是又要落后一个时代的焦虑。 到了2026年初,Seedance 2.0的刷屏,把那种沉 ...
回调不是虚惊一场,科技股投资开始“去伪求真”
虎嗅APP· 2026-02-10 09:28
Group 1 - The article discusses a crisis of confidence in the AI narrative among global tech investors, with significant stock price declines in both US and Chinese markets [3][4]. - Nvidia's CEO, Jensen Huang, defended the sustainability of AI infrastructure spending, which led to a temporary rebound in AI-related stocks [4][26]. - The article highlights that the capital market's expectations for AI are excessively high, requiring continuous performance that exceeds expectations to avoid severe stock price corrections [6][7]. Group 2 - AMD experienced a significant stock drop of 17.31% due to its revenue guidance not meeting overly optimistic expectations, despite being above analyst consensus [9]. - Similarly, Qualcomm's stock fell over 8% after it lowered its revenue guidance for mobile chips, reflecting the market's sensitivity to performance expectations [9]. - The article notes that the domestic AI chip leader, Cambricon, has also seen its stock decline by 21.96% this year, with a significant drop of 9.18% in a single day due to underwhelming performance forecasts [15][12]. Group 3 - Investors are increasingly concerned about the return on investment in AI, as high capital expenditures from major tech companies like Google and Amazon raise questions about future profitability [18][19]. - The SaaS industry is facing a survival crisis due to the emergence of AI tools that threaten traditional business models, leading to significant stock declines in major SaaS companies [22][23]. - The article emphasizes that if SaaS businesses are replaced by AI, it could negatively impact demand for computing power, affecting companies like Nvidia [24]. Group 4 - The macroeconomic environment, particularly concerns about potential tightening monetary policy under a new Federal Reserve chair, has contributed to the decline in tech stock valuations [28][29]. - Recent political developments suggest that fears of immediate monetary tightening may be alleviated, leading to a rebound in tech stocks [31]. - The upcoming release of key macroeconomic data, including non-farm payrolls and CPI, is critical for determining the future trajectory of tech stocks [33][34]. Group 5 - The article concludes that the recent market corrections are a rational adjustment rather than a full-blown collapse, with a focus on distinguishing between genuine tech companies and those lacking solid performance [38][41]. - The investment strategy should shift from indiscriminate buying to careful selection of companies that can convert capital expenditures into actual cash flow [39][40]. - The tech sector is expected to experience differentiation, with "pseudo-tech stocks" facing potential declines while core assets with technological advantages may present buying opportunities [41][42].