Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 39.00, representing a 7% upside from the current price of RMB 31.92 [4][10]. Core Insights - The company has established a cross-border payment subsidiary, NovaPay, and obtained a USA MSB license, which lays the foundation for its cross-border payment operations [5][11]. - The MSB license allows the company to legally operate in various currency-related services, including currency exchange, remittance, and digital currency transactions [12]. - The report highlights the promising cross-border payment market driven by RMB internationalization and the increasing demand for localized payment solutions as Chinese enterprises expand overseas [13]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials indicate a revenue increase from RMB 8,250 million in 2023 to RMB 11,705 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.3% [3]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow significantly from RMB 1,004 million in 2023 to RMB 1,916 million in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 22.0% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is set at RMB 1.30 for 2025, RMB 1.52 for 2026, and RMB 1.86 for 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 30x for 2025 [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report rates the computer industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The computer industry continues to follow core trends of AI, localization, and robotics, with significant developments from Huawei, Hong Kong's digital asset policies, and Xiaomi's product launches [3][18] - Huawei's Developer Conference introduced HarmonyOS 6 and new AI cloud services, marking a new phase for the HarmonyOS ecosystem [3][18] - Hong Kong's Digital Asset Development Policy 2.0 aims to establish the region as a global hub for digital assets, emphasizing blockchain's role in enhancing financial transactions [3][19] - Xiaomi's YU7 model achieved remarkable pre-order success, indicating strong market demand and the company's commitment to R&D investment [3][20] Summary by Relevant Sections Huawei Developer Conference - The conference showcased HarmonyOS 6, with over 40 devices now running the system and more than 9000 applications in development [3][18] Hong Kong Digital Asset Policy - The new policy aims to create a diverse digital asset ecosystem, enhancing Hong Kong's position as a leading international financial center [3][19] Xiaomi Product Launch - Xiaomi's YU7 model received over 200,000 pre-orders within 3 minutes, highlighting its market impact and the company's future R&D investment plans [3][20] Key Companies to Watch - The report highlights key companies in the sector, including Empyrean Technology, Dameng Data, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Newland Digital Technology, Jiangsu Tongxingbao, Kingdee International, and Huhu Information [3][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the computer industry, recommending stocks such as Baidu, Huawei, and others, with an "Outperform" rating for the recommended targets [5][10][6]. Core Insights - Baidu and Huawei's open-source initiatives are expected to significantly promote the adoption of foundation models, lowering the barriers for R&D and application in AI technology [11][12]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation has approved 7 national standards aimed at standardizing AI and digital services, which will enhance competitiveness and market opportunities for companies in the computer industry [12][13]. - The China Internet Association has initiated standards for algorithm management, which will facilitate the governance of recommendation algorithms and promote compliance within internet platform enterprises [13]. Summary by Sections Open-Source Initiatives - On June 30, Baidu and Huawei announced the open-sourcing of various models, including Baidu's Wenxin 4.5 series and Huawei's Pangu models, which will lower the R&D and application thresholds for AI technologies [11][10]. National Standards - The report highlights the approval of 7 national standards by the State Administration for Market Regulation, which will support the digital economy and enhance the interconnectivity of the computer industry [12][10]. Algorithm Management Standards - The initiation of algorithm management standards by the China Internet Association is expected to advance platform algorithm governance, focusing on compliance and security measures [13][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating an expected relative return exceeding the benchmark by over 10% in the next 12-18 months [4][21]. Core Insights - The People's Bank of China has revised the CIPS system rules to enhance the framework for cross-border RMB payments, aiming to facilitate the integration of payment channels and improve clearing efficiency [7][4]. - The updated rules expand the scope of CIPS operations to include additional activities approved by the central bank, thereby supporting the growth and functionality of the CIPS system [7][4]. - The Cross-border Pay Link, launched in Hong Kong, allows for real-time, cost-effective remittances between Mainland China and Hong Kong, significantly improving the efficiency of cross-border transactions [7][4]. Summary by Sections CIPS System Rule Updates - The People's Bank of China released a draft for public comment on the CIPS system rules, focusing on account management, business processing, settlement mechanisms, and risk management [4][7]. - The revisions aim to adapt the rules established in 2018 to current business developments and participant needs, enhancing management standards for CIPS participants [4][7]. Cross-border Payment Innovations - The Cross-border Pay Link, which became operational on June 22, connects the fast payment systems of Mainland China and Hong Kong, allowing residents to conduct cross-border remittances efficiently [4][7]. - This system reduces the remittance process time and costs by minimizing intermediary steps and directly connecting payment infrastructures [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on cross-border payment service providers such as Newland Digital Technology, Xgd Inc, Lakala Payment, and Yeahka Limited, as well as financial IT service providers like Yusys Technologies and Sinodata [7][4].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a bullish outlook for the US Aerospace and Defense (A&D) sector following the passage of the "One Big, Beautiful Bill" [3][11]. Core Insights - The "One Big, Beautiful Bill" allocates an additional $150 billion to the US Department of Defense, addressing chronic underinvestment in the Defense Industrial Base (DIB) and military modernization needs [1][8]. - This funding is a strategic, front-loaded capital injection aimed at signaling long-term demand to the defense industry, encouraging private sector investments in production capacity and supply chain resilience [2][9]. - The bill is expected to create a growth super-cycle in the A&D industry, providing unprecedented certainty for defense contractors' planning and capital expenditures over the next 3-5 years [2][10]. Summary by Sections US A&D Sector - The funding will lead to higher order-to-delivery ratios and earnings growth in the coming years, with management commentary on the impact of new orders being closely monitored [3][11]. - Labor shortages and supply chain bottlenecks are identified as potential execution risks despite a positive demand outlook [11]. European A&D Sector - The substantial funding for US A&D firms will increase competitive pressures on European counterparts, particularly in export orders [12]. - This situation may catalyze European governments to enhance their defense spending to support local champions, necessitating a selective investment approach in the European A&D sector [12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Howmet Aerospace, BAE Systems, Rolls-Royce, Safran, GE Aerospace, and Boeing for potential investment opportunities [5][13].

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a potential rebound in electricity prices, which may exceed the increase in coal prices, indicating a shift in market dynamics [4] - The second half of the year is expected to end the trend of declining performance in the power sector observed in the previous two years [1][4] - Extreme weather conditions are increasing both hydro and thermal power demand, leading to rising coal stockpiles [4] Summary by Sections Electricity Market Dynamics - Recent data shows that national power load reached a historical high of 1.465 billion kW on July 4, an increase of 200 million kW from late June and 150 million kW year-on-year [4] - The East China grid load reached 422 million kW, with air conditioning demand accounting for 37% [4] - Forecasts for Shandong indicate peak loads of 122 million kW during midday and 113 million kW in the evening for the summer of 2025 [4] Coal and Energy Supply - The report notes that coal prices are expected to rebound, but the increase in electricity prices may be more significant [4] - The Ningxia-Hunan ±800 kV UHV DC project is set to enhance power supply in Hunan, with a total investment of RMB 28.1 billion and a transmission capacity of 8 million kW [4] Renewable Energy Trends - The report discusses the U.S. energy policy shift, including the planned cancellation of federal tax credits for wind and solar projects by 2027, which may impact the renewable energy sector [4] - In Guangxi, green power trading has reached 100.05 billion kWh, showing a year-on-year increase of 103.53% [4]

Market Performance - Southeast Asia ETFs rose by 3.38% during the period from June 21 to July 4, 2025, indicating a regional market recovery[5] - The Southeast Asia Technology ETF outperformed the broader Southeast Asia ETF by 0.77 percentage points, gaining 4.15%[35] Country-Specific Performance - iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF increased by 1.69%, underperforming by 1.69 percentage points due to weak market conditions and lack of policy support[39] - iShares MSCI Singapore ETF rose by 3.11%, underperforming by 0.27 percentage points, with market sentiment stabilizing after a short-term pullback[39] - iShares MSCI Thailand ETF surged by 7.36%, outperforming by 3.98 percentage points, driven by political stability amid market volatility[39] - iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF gained 4.27%, outperforming by 0.89 percentage points, showing signs of recovery while still in a correction phase[39] - Global X MSCI Vietnam ETF rose by 5.33%, outperforming by 1.96 percentage points, reaching its highest level since April 2022 due to a U.S.-Vietnam tariff agreement[39] Trading Volume and Liquidity - The trading volume for Global X FTSE Southeast Asia ETF was 121,000 shares, up 8.4% from the previous period[14] - iShares MSCI Singapore ETF saw a significant increase in trading volume by 60.7%, while iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF experienced a decline of 31.5%[14] Risk Factors - The report highlights macroeconomic downturn risks and geopolitical tensions as potential threats to market stability[34]

Group 1: Diplomatic Context - Wang Yi's week-long visit to Europe aims to shape bilateral relations amid the 50th anniversary of China-EU diplomatic ties and the upcoming China-EU leaders' meeting[1] - The visit is intended to preemptively address concerns that EU leaders might convey "self-serving" messages, potentially leading to misunderstandings between China and European nations[5] Group 2: EU Leaders' Responses - EU's High Representative Josep Borrell's demands included lifting China's restrictions on rare earth exports, halting military supplies to Russia, and proposing a plan to reshape China-EU trade relations[2] - Borrell's statements were criticized for being one-sided, ignoring the impact of US tariffs on European industries and the EU's military support to Ukraine exceeding €50 billion[2] Group 3: Diverging Attitudes Among EU Countries - Belgian Foreign Minister Sophie Wilmès expressed that China is a key trade partner for Belgium, indicating a willingness to maintain friendly relations regardless of the broader geopolitical climate[3] - The contrasting attitudes between EU leaders and individual countries highlight a lack of unified stance within the EU regarding relations with China[3] Group 4: Strategic Implications - The report suggests that China should focus not only on official EU statements but also on the individual attitudes of member states, which may influence future diplomatic engagements[3] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly the US-China trade war, necessitate a nuanced approach from China in its dealings with Europe[3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it [4]. Core Insights - The offline retail sales performance of sportswear brands in Southwest China was under pressure in 2Q25, primarily due to weak consumer spending, with major brands experiencing negative sales growth [2][6]. - NIKE's sales in Southwest China saw a significant year-on-year decline, while ADIDAS performed slightly better with a high single-digit to low double-digit decline [2][6]. - Outdoor brands like Columbia and The North Face showed better performance due to strong demand for outdoor activities, camping, and tourism [2][6]. - The summer sports shoe market is facing sluggish consumption in traditional categories, but there is a rising trend in outdoor and fashion footwear [2][6]. Summary by Sections Offline Retail Performance - In 2Q25, offline retail data for sports brands in Southwest China weakened compared to 1Q25, with all major brands reporting negative sales growth [2][6]. - Store traffic remained stable, but transaction rates and average customer spending declined due to weak consumer purchasing willingness [2][6]. Brand Performance - NIKE's focus on footwear has led to a decline in its apparel market share, while ADIDAS maintained stable discount levels and focused on apparel sales, contributing to its relatively better performance [4]. - FILA's sales decline has narrowed, and the brand is shifting towards professional sports categories, enhancing its market position [4]. - LI-NING has become a partner of the Chinese Olympic Committee, while Anta is expanding into the outdoor cycling market [4]. Inventory and Discounts - Inventory levels are slightly elevated, leading to increased discounting across brands, with LI-NING and Anta offering the highest discount rates [3][4]. - The discount intensity for outdoor brands varies, with PELLIOT offering the highest discounts [3][4]. Future Outlook - The report anticipates that outdoor brands will perform better in the second half of the year, driven by increased sales in outdoor activities [4].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a focus on companies involved in nuclear power, energy infrastructure, and industrial robotics, indicating a positive investment outlook for these sectors. Core Insights - AI is increasingly recognized as a strategic asset in global political and technological competition, highlighting its importance in data centers and energy construction [16][18]. - The U.S. energy market is experiencing a shift, with significant demand for flexible resources due to extreme weather conditions, and the need for infrastructure investment remains strong [18][19]. - The European energy market is adapting to new regulations aimed at improving the integration of renewable energy sources [20]. Summary by Sections Global Infrastructure and Construction Equipment - AI's strategic position is emphasized, particularly in data centers, with significant investments planned in the U.S. [16]. - The PJM load reached 161 GW, exceeding expectations by nearly 5%, indicating strong energy demand [18]. - Texas has granted grid operators the authority to disconnect non-critical large loads during crises, reflecting the need for grid reliability [18]. Global Electrical and Intelligent Equipment - The gas turbine price index increased by 5.3% year-on-year, indicating a tightening supply-demand relationship [22]. - The U.S. transformer export value reached 46.82 billion yuan, growing by 29% year-on-year, showcasing strong demand in Asia and Europe [45][49]. Global Energy Industry - The average retail price of electricity in the U.S. was $0.13/kWh, a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month, reflecting market adjustments [3]. - The WTI crude oil futures price was $66.30 per barrel, up 1.3% from the previous week, indicating fluctuating energy prices [3]. Global New Materials - The global uranium market price was $52.17 per pound, showing a slight increase of 0.7% month-on-month, while rare earth prices experienced minor adjustments [3]. Global Defense and Aerospace - The price index for aircraft engine manufacturing remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 1.7%, reflecting steady demand in the defense sector [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Entergy, Talen Energy, and Constellation Energy in the nuclear power sector, as well as GE Vernova and Siemens Energy in energy infrastructure [5][6]. - The industrial robotics sector is expected to see increased demand due to U.S. industrial resurgence, with ABB highlighted as a key player [5].