Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 19.14 CNY [2][11]. Core Views - The company is advancing its "Three Expansion" strategy, focusing on franchise, live streaming, and AI business layouts, indicating a positive long-term development outlook [3]. Financial Summary - In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 8,753 million CNY, which is expected to grow to 9,337 million CNY in 2024, reflecting a 6.7% increase. By 2027, revenue is projected to reach 12,654 million CNY [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 105 million CNY in 2023, with a significant increase to 181 million CNY in 2024, marking a 72.4% growth. The forecast for 2027 is a net profit of 621 million CNY [5][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to rise from 0.08 CNY in 2023 to 0.14 CNY in 2024, and further to 0.49 CNY by 2027 [5][11]. Operational Highlights - The company added 96 new stores in 2024 while closing 75, resulting in a total of 1,046 stores by year-end [11]. - The company has initiated a franchise model, with 9 new franchise stores generating 1.09 million CNY in revenue [11]. - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 29.7%, with a net profit margin of 2.68% after adjusting for convertible bonds and stock incentives [11]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on expanding its product categories, particularly in non-standard and mid-to-large children's products, with a revenue contribution of 12.3% and a growth rate of 22.3% [11]. - The company is also enhancing its operational efficiency through a self-built traceable delivery system, covering over 200 cities [11]. - Collaborations with partners for live streaming and smart incubators are part of the company's strategy to enhance its market presence [11].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][23]. Core Viewpoints - The company's business development is stable and improving, with an increase in both quantity and quality of operations [3]. - The property management services are experiencing steady growth, and profitability is on the rise [7][8]. - The company is focusing on expanding its non-residential business to enhance operational independence [10][13]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's total revenue is projected to increase by 7.5% to HKD 14.024 billion, with a gross profit increase of 12.4% to HKD 2.326 billion, resulting in a gross margin of 16.6%, up 0.7 percentage points from 2023 [6][8]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise by 12.5% to HKD 1.511 billion, with basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of HKD 0.46, reflecting a 12.6% year-on-year growth [6][8]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 32.7%, a decrease of 4.1 percentage points compared to 2023 [8]. Business Analysis Summary - As of the end of 2024, the company manages 448 retail projects and 2,232 property projects, covering a service area of approximately 431 million square meters [10][13]. - Revenue from property management services is expected to reach HKD 10.666 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, accounting for 76.1% of total revenue [13]. - The gross margin for property management services is anticipated to improve to 16.0%, driven by effective cost control measures [14]. Dividend Analysis - The company plans to declare a total dividend of HKD 0.18 per share for 2024, with a dividend payout ratio of 35.7% and a dividend yield of 3.52% [21][25]. Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to have an EPS of HKD 0.51 in 2025, with a valuation range of HKD 6.16 to HKD 7.70 per share based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12-15 times [23][24].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [6] Core Views - The report highlights a recovery in core business in the second half of 2024, alongside the rise of AI-related products and services [6][9] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of 16.95 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.62%, with full-stack AI products contributing 957 million yuan, accounting for 5.65% of total revenue [9] - The report emphasizes a multi-dimensional improvement in gross margin and effective cost control measures [9] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 17.23 billion yuan - 2024: 16.95 billion yuan (YoY -1.6%) - 2025E: 18.65 billion yuan (YoY +10.0%) - 2026E: 20.88 billion yuan (YoY +12.0%) - 2027E: 24.02 billion yuan (YoY +15.0%) [8][10] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: 713.39 million yuan - 2024: 512.93 million yuan (YoY -28.1%) - 2025E: 707.65 million yuan (YoY +38.0%) - 2026E: 883.31 million yuan (YoY +24.8%) - 2027E: 1.12 billion yuan (YoY +26.5%) [8][10] Business Segmentation - The revenue breakdown by business segment for 2024 is: - Technical Professional Services (TPG): 14.77 billion yuan (YoY -1.7%) - Internet Information Technology Services (IIG): 2.18 billion yuan (YoY +4%) [9][10] - The top five customers account for 57.4% of service revenue, while the top ten customers account for 65.1% [9] Profitability and Cost Management - The company aims to improve gross margin through: - Increasing the proportion of high-margin services - Transitioning to productized software and hardware offerings - Integrating AI tools into delivery processes [9] - The gross profit for 2024 is projected at 3.74 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 22.1% [9] Valuation and Investment Recommendation - The report suggests a dynamic PE of 23-27 times for 2025, with a 6-month fair value range of 6.43-7.55 HKD [9] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the AI sector, particularly through its partnerships and product offerings [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Insights - The company has achieved over 100% growth in its generative AI business, which has become its largest revenue source, accounting for 63.7% of total revenue in 2024 [6][8] - The company completed a restructuring of its "1+X" organizational framework, focusing resources on core businesses, particularly generative AI and visual AI [6] - The company is set to release its new model, "Riri Xin 6.0," in Q2 2025, which is expected to significantly enhance multimodal understanding and interaction capabilities [6] - The company maintains a leading position in the visual AI market, with a customer repurchase rate increase of 31 percentage points in 2024 [8] - The company has made significant advancements in its autonomous driving business, with over 1.1 million new designated vehicles added in 2024 [8] Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue is projected to grow from 34.06 billion CNY in 2023 to 73.97 billion CNY by 2027, with a year-on-year growth rate of 27% in 2027 [6][9] - The net profit is expected to improve from a loss of 6.44 billion CNY in 2023 to a profit of 305 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround [6][9] - The gross margin is forecasted to increase from 44.07% in 2023 to 57.82% in 2027 [6][9] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to turn positive by 2026, reaching 1.33% in 2027 [6][9] Market Performance - The company's stock closed at 1.47 HKD on April 1, 2025, with a market capitalization of 54.401 billion HKD [2] - The stock has experienced a 52-week price range of 0.58 to 2.35 HKD [2] Valuation - The company is assigned a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 16-20 times for 2025, indicating a fair value range of 2.15 to 2.69 HKD per share [6][9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2][18]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 142.99 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.4%, while the core net profit attributable to the parent company was 4.27 billion yuan, down 1.6% year-on-year [7]. - The property development business contributed 138.62 billion yuan to revenue, accounting for approximately 97% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 13.3% and a net profit margin of 3.4% in 2024 [7]. - The company maintained a high dividend payout ratio of over 50%, proposing a final dividend of 1.2 HKD per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 7.4% based on the closing price on March 26, 2025 [7][18]. - The company ranked 7th in the sales performance among the top 100 real estate companies in 2024, with a total contract signing amount of 133.5 billion yuan [7]. - The company has a strong liquidity position with cash on hand amounting to 57.26 billion yuan and a net debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 31.78% [7]. Financial Data and Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 134.43 billion yuan in 2023 to 142.99 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% [6]. - The net profit is expected to decrease slightly from 4.34 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.27 billion yuan in 2024, with a forecasted recovery to 4.72 billion yuan in 2025 [6]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 11.1% in 2023 to 13.27% in 2024, while the return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 13.0% to 11.36% [6][7]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected to be 2.34 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 8-10 times, leading to a reasonable market capitalization range of 41.2-51.5 billion HKD [18]. Market Performance - The company's stock closed at 16.42 HKD on April 1, with a 52-week price range of 10.06-19.58 HKD [2]. - The company’s absolute performance over the last month was a gain of 2.53%, while it underperformed the Hang Seng Index over the last two and three months [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.314 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 41% [4] - The gross margin improved to 72.9%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Adjusted net profit reached 131 million yuan, with an adjusted net profit margin of 3.0%, up by 2.7 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Adjusted EBITDA was 500 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 64%, with an EBITDA margin of 11.5%, up by 1.6 percentage points [6] Summary of Relevant Sections Market Performance - The company's stock showed an absolute increase of 31.59% over the last three months [3] Store Performance - Same-store sales grew by 2.5% for the year, marking 30 consecutive quarters of positive growth [5] - The average daily sales per store were 13,100 yuan, a 4% increase year-on-year, with a decline in average transaction value by 5% [5] - The total number of stores reached 1,008 by the end of 2024, with a net addition of 240 stores during the year [5] Profitability and Cost Management - The operating profit margin for the company was 14.5%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year [6] - Employee costs accounted for 27.5% of revenue, up by 0.6 percentage points due to the expansion of new market stores [6] Valuation Forecast - Revenue estimates for 2025 and 2026 have been raised to 5.437 billion yuan and 7.033 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26% and 29% [7] - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected to be 188 million yuan, reflecting a 43.6% year-on-year increase [7] - The company is assigned a price-to-sales (PS) valuation of 2.5-3 times for 2025, resulting in a fair value range of 111.2 to 133.5 HKD per share [7]

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/房地产/房地产 证券研究报告 新城控股（601155）公司年报点评 2025 年 04 月 02 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 维持 股票数据 | 04[Table_StockInfo 月 02日收盘价（元）] 12.36 | | --- | | 52 周股价波动（元） 7.95-16.70 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万股） 2256/2256 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） 27879/27879 | | 相关研究 | | [Table_ReportInfo] 《商业收入保持稳定，出租率持续提升》 | | 2024.11.18 | | 《毛利率转升，租金收入贡献稳定现金流》 | | 2024.09.05 | | 《减值计提影响利润，租金收入再提升》 | | 2024.05.29 | | 市场表现 | | [Table_QuoteInfo] 新城控股 | | 海通综指 | -14.01% 4.99% 23.99% 42.99% 61.99% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 沪深 300 对比 1M ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [2]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 3.9% in 2024, driven by professional categories such as running and fitness [7]. - The gross margin is projected to improve to 49.4%, while net profit is expected to decline by 5.5% to 3.01 billion [7]. - The company is focusing on optimizing channel structures and enhancing operational efficiency to expand its influence in the professional sports market [7]. Financial Data and Forecast - Revenue (in million) for 2023 is 27,598.49, projected to be 28,675.64 in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 3.9% [6]. - Net profit (in million) for 2023 is 3,186.91, expected to decrease to 3,012.92 in 2024, reflecting a decline of 5.46% [6]. - The diluted EPS for 2024 is projected at 1.17, with a gross margin of 49.37% [6][10]. - The company anticipates a net profit of 27.3 billion and 28.6 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a PE valuation range of 13-15X for 2025 [7]. Market Performance - The company's stock price closed at 15.78 HKD, with a 52-week price range of 12.56-24.60 HKD [2]. - The total market capitalization is 40,788 million HKD [2]. - The company has faced challenges in offline traffic, with a reported decline in daily customer flow by 10-20% [7]. Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from the Li Ning brand is expected to reach 26.82 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 3.4% [7]. - Revenue from footwear, apparel, and equipment is projected at 14.3 billion, 12.05 billion, and 2.32 billion, respectively, with footwear showing a growth of 6.8% [7]. Inventory and Efficiency - The company maintains a healthy inventory structure with a turnover period of 64 days and an inventory cost increase of 4.2% year-on-year [7]. - The overall inventory turnover ratio is 4.0 months, indicating a stable inventory management strategy [7]. Valuation and Estimates - The estimated reasonable value range for the stock is between 14.92 and 17.22 HKD per share based on the projected earnings [7]. - The company is expected to maintain a dividend yield of approximately 3.71% in 2024 [10].

[Table_MainInfo] 基金研究 证券研究报告 基金季报 2025 年 4 月 2 日 [Table_Title] 相关研究 [Table_ReportInfo] 《海通证券：基金公司权益及固定收益类 资 产 业 绩 排 行 榜 （ 2025.04.02 ）》 2025.04.02 《 海通证券 - 基 金 系 列 评 级 一 览 （2025.01.27）》2025.01.27 《海通证券-2024 年四季度基金份额点 评》2025.01.24 2025 年 1 季度基金公司业绩点评 [Table_Summary] 投资要点： 分析师:魏玮 Tel:(021)23185677 Email:ww14694@haitong.com 证书:S0850524070003 首席分析师 [Table_AuthorInfo] :倪韵婷 Tel:(021)23185605 Email:niyt@haitong.com 证书:S0850511010017 联系人:刘雨婷 Tel:(021)23185707 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和法律声明 [Table_AuthorInfo] Email:lyt16228@ha ...

[Table_MainInfo] 公司研究/信息服务/软件 证券研究报告 佳讯飞鸿（300213）公司研究报告 2025 年 04 月 02 日 [Table_InvestInfo] 投资评级 优于大市 首次 覆盖 股票数据 | 0[4Table_StockInfo 月 01 日收盘价（元）] | 8.66 | | --- | --- | | 52 周股价波动（元） | 5.13-11.24 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万股） | 594/551 | | 总市值/流通市值（百万元） | 5142/4773 | | 市场表现 | | [Table_QuoteInfo] -26.65% -11.65% 3.35% 18.35% 33.35% 48.35% 2024/4 2024/7 2024/10 2025/1 佳讯飞鸿 海通综指 | 沪深 300 对比 | 1M | 2M | 3M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对涨幅（%） | -5.4 | 13.7 | 7.3 | | 相对涨幅（%） | -5.3 | 11.9 | 9.7 | | 资料来源：海通证券研究所 | | | | ...