Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise to 24,300 points due to the recent US-China trade talks resulting in a reduction of tariffs, with the US lowering tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30% and China reducing tariffs on US imports from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days [2] - The market anticipates a new round of financial policies from mainland China, including interest rate cuts and structural monetary policy tools, which are expected to bolster investor confidence in the mainland economy [2] Economic Indicators - The US GDP for the first quarter was slightly revised to a contraction of 0.2%, while the core PCE price index was adjusted down to 3.4% [4] - The Federal Reserve is expected to consider interest rate cuts if large-scale tariffs can be avoided, indicating a cautious approach to future monetary policy adjustments [4][9] Company News - Li Auto (2015) reported a 1.1% increase in revenue to 25.93 billion yuan, but adjusted net profit fell by 20% to 1 billion yuan [11] - JD.com (9618) saw a doubling in user scale and order volume in Hong Kong and Macau over the past two months, with transaction value increasing by 200% [11] - Alibaba's Tmall reported a 283% increase in sales for home appliances and digital products during the first phase of the 618 shopping festival compared to last year's Double 11 [11] - Meituan's flash sales for alcoholic beverages saw an 18-fold increase in overall transaction value compared to the same period last year [11] Sector Focus - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to benefit from renewed COVID-19 outbreaks and ongoing cooperation between Chinese and US pharmaceutical companies [7] - The AI sector is experiencing significant growth, with advancements in models like DeepSeek driving demand [7][11]

每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 5 月 29 日星期四 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 24,300 點：中美在瑞士日內瓦經貿會談後發布聯合聲明，雙方 降低加徵關稅，互相保留加徵 10%關稅。美國對中國進口貨品關稅將由 145%降至 30%，中國對美國進口貨品將由 125%降至 10%，為期 90 日。 貿談進展超預期，局勢明顯降溫。加上，內地 5 月推出一籃子金融政策支 持穩市場穩預期，包括降準降息、加推結構性貨幣政策工具。市場預期為 新一輪政策周期開端，其他跟進政策將會適時加推，有助鞏固投資者對內 地經濟信心。若然貿談取進一步突破，恒指上望 24,300 點，相當於未來 12 個月預測市盈率 11 倍。 短期看好板塊 企業消息 ➢ 金山軟件(3888)首季純利按年跌0.2% 收入增長9% 遜預期； 泡泡瑪特(9992)王濤：獨立飾品品牌POPOP將開首間正店 不會盲 目追求門市擴張； 德昌電機(0179)去年賺20.5億增15% 勝預期； | 各國指數 | 收市價 | | 變動% 年初至今% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 恒生 | 23 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise to 24,300 points due to the easing of trade tensions between China and the US, with tariffs on Chinese imports reduced from 145% to 30% and on US imports from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days [2] - The Chinese government is implementing a series of financial policies to stabilize the market, including interest rate cuts and structural monetary policy tools, which are expected to boost investor confidence in the mainland economy [2] Company Performance - Kuaishou (1024) reported a 11% year-on-year revenue increase in Q1, with adjusted profit rising 4%, driven by the commercialization of its AI technology, contributing 150 million RMB in revenue for the quarter [4][10] - Xiaomi (1810) saw a 47.4% year-on-year revenue growth in Q1, with adjusted net profit reaching 10.676 billion RMB, exceeding market expectations [4][10] - Alibaba (9988) is reportedly in talks with investment banks regarding the sale of its stake in ZTO Express (2057) [4][10] - Tencent Music (1698) is acquiring approximately 9% of SM Entertainment for 1.4 billion RMB [4] Economic Indicators - The US Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, citing increased uncertainty in the economic outlook, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year [4] - China's industrial profits grew by 3% year-on-year in April, marking the fastest growth rate of the year, with total profits reaching 2.117 trillion RMB [8] - The automotive industry in China reported a revenue increase of 7% in the first four months of 2025, but profits declined by 5.1%, indicating rising cost pressures [8][10] Industry Trends - The pharmaceutical sector is benefiting from renewed COVID-19 outbreaks and ongoing cooperation between Chinese and American pharmaceutical companies [7] - New consumption sectors are showing resilience, particularly in low-priced and emotional consumption-related demands [7] - The automotive industry is facing challenges with profitability, as major manufacturers are under pressure to control costs while maintaining quality [10]

每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 5 月 27 日星期二 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 24,300 點：中美在瑞士日內瓦經貿會談後發布聯合聲明，雙方 降低加徵關稅，互相保留加徵 10%關稅。美國對中國進口貨品關稅將由 145%降至 30%，中國對美國進口貨品將由 125%降至 10%，為期 90 日。 貿談進展超預期，局勢明顯降溫。加上，內地 5 月推出一籃子金融政策支 持穩市場穩預期，包括降準降息、加推結構性貨幣政策工具。市場預期為 新一輪政策周期開端，其他跟進政策將會適時加推，有助鞏固投資者對內 地經濟信心。若然貿談取進一步突破，恒指上望 24,300 點，相當於未來 12 個月預測市盈率 11 倍。 短期看好板塊 今日市場焦點 宏觀焦點 港4月出口升14.7% 好過預期 進口升15.8%； 歐盟貿談代表:與美方進行良好對話； OPEC+本周預計大幅增產，意將油價壓低至60美元以下； 企業消息 ➢ 美團(3690)首季經調整純利按年升46%勝預期 惟料競爭加劇短期 業績或波動； 阜博(3738)折讓逾9.3%配股 淨籌5.13億元； 陳樂怡 tracy.chan@ ...

每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 5 月 26 日星期一 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 24,300 點：中美在瑞士日內瓦經貿會談後發布聯合聲明，雙方 降低加徵關稅，互相保留加徵 10%關稅。美國對中國進口貨品關稅將由 145%降至 30%，中國對美國進口貨品將由 125%降至 10%，為期 90 日。 貿談進展超預期，局勢明顯降溫。加上，內地 5 月推出一籃子金融政策支 持穩市場穩預期，包括降準降息、加推結構性貨幣政策工具。市場預期為 新一輪政策周期開端，其他跟進政策將會適時加推，有助鞏固投資者對內 地經濟信心。投資者風險偏好改善，恒指上望 24,300 點，相當於未來 12 個月預測市盈率 11 倍。 短期看好板塊 今日市場焦點 ➢ 香港4月進出口； 美團(3690)、匯量科技(1860)等業績； 企業消息 ➢ 比亞迪(1211)內地又促銷 22款車最多減5.3萬； 名創優品(9896)首季純利4.16億元人民幣 按年跌28.5% 遜預期； 同程旅行(0780)首季多賺68.65% 經調整EBITDA增41.3% 勝預期； 外圍市況展望 美國聯儲局5月一如預期維持息 ...

每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 5 月 23 日星期五 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 24,300 點：中美在瑞士日內瓦經貿會談後發布聯合聲明，雙方 降低加徵關稅，互相保留加徵 10%關稅。美國對中國進口貨品關稅將由 145%降至 30%，中國對美國進口貨品將由 125%降至 10%，為期 90 日。 貿談進展超預期，局勢明顯降溫。加上，內地 5 月推出一籃子金融政策支 持穩市場穩預期，包括降準降息、加推結構性貨幣政策工具。市場預期為 新一輪政策周期開端，其他跟進政策將會適時加推，有助鞏固投資者對內 地經濟信心。投資者風險偏好改善，恒指上望 24,300 點，相當於未來 12 個月預測市盈率 11 倍。 短期看好板塊 企業消息 ➢ 聯想集團(0992)全年盈利升37%，遜預期； BOSS直聘(2076)第一季盈利按年升逾1.1倍； 雷軍指小米YU7預計7月正式上市，入門價不可能19.9萬元人民幣； 比亞迪股份(1211)歐洲銷量首超特斯拉； 「京東外賣」平台遭四川天府新區市監局約談； 嗶哩嗶哩(9626)額外發售9000萬美元可換股票據； 新世界發展(0017)傳獲1 ...

➢ 恒瑞醫藥(1276)上限44.05元定價，集資約99億元； 百度集團(9888)第一季經調整盈利跌8%，勝預期； 小鵬汽車(9868)第一季經調整虧損收窄至4.3億元人民幣，勝預期； 滔搏(6110)去年盈利跌42%，連特別息派14分； 嗶哩嗶哩(9626)擬發售5億美元可換股優先票據； 每日港股評析 港股早晨快訊 2025 年 5 月 22 日星期四 2012-01- 17 市場回顧 中港股市短期展望 恒指上望 24,300 點：中美在瑞士日內瓦經貿會談後發布聯合聲明，雙方 降低加徵關稅，互相保留加徵 10%關稅。美國對中國進口貨品關稅將由 145%降至 30%，中國對美國進口貨品將由 125%降至 10%，為期 90 日。 貿談進展超預期，局勢明顯降溫。加上，內地 5 月推出一籃子金融政策支 持穩市場穩預期，包括降準降息、加推結構性貨幣政策工具。市場預期為 新一輪政策周期開端，其他跟進政策將會適時加推，有助鞏固投資者對內 地經濟信心。投資者風險偏好改善，恒指上望 24,300 點，相當於未來 12 個月預測市盈率 11 倍。 短期看好板塊 宏觀焦點 ➢ 金管總局等八部門提出增加小微企業融資供給； 美國 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise to 24,300 points due to the easing of trade tensions between China and the US, with tariffs on Chinese imports reduced from 145% to 30% and on US imports from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days [2] - The Chinese government is set to introduce a series of financial policies in May to stabilize the market and bolster investor confidence, including potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions [2] Macro Focus - Hong Kong's GDP grew by 3.1% in Q1 2025, maintaining the annual forecast [4][9] - The US consumer confidence index hit a historical low, with inflation expectations rising significantly [4][9] - Japan's economy contracted by 0.2% in Q1, missing expectations [4][9] Corporate News - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) priced its H-shares at 263 HKD, with plans to raise funds through a private equity investment in carbon neutrality [10] - Haitian Flavor Industry Co., Ltd. is reportedly preparing for an IPO to raise approximately 1 billion USD [10] - The biotechnology company, Paige Biopharma, is seeking to raise 300 million HKD through its IPO [10] - The advertising firm, Jihong, plans to raise up to 730 million HKD in its IPO [10] Industry Insights - The shipping and export sectors are expected to benefit from the reduction in tariffs, leading to increased shipments [7] - The financial sector is adapting to new public fund regulations, which will guide asset allocation closer to the CSI 300 index [7] - The domestic demand sector is anticipated to improve as trade tensions ease, potentially boosting economic growth in mainland China [7] Investment Climate - The Hong Kong IPO market has raised over 60 billion HKD this year, making it the largest globally [9] - The real estate market in mainland China is showing signs of stabilization, which could benefit large banks [8] - The consumer market is experiencing shifts, with a notable increase in the acceptance of new energy vehicles, reaching a penetration rate of 8.7% [9]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise to 24,300 points due to the reduction of tariffs between China and the US, with the US tariffs on Chinese goods decreasing from 145% to 30% and Chinese tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days, indicating a significant easing of tensions [2] - The market anticipates a new round of financial policies from mainland China, including reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions, aimed at stabilizing market expectations and boosting investor confidence [2] Sector Focus - The Chinese central bank and other departments are committed to supporting technological innovation through various investment strategies, emphasizing long-term and hard technology investments [3][7] - The US Federal Reserve has maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting a cautious approach to economic uncertainties [3][7] Company News - Alibaba (9988) reported a 7% year-on-year revenue increase to 236.45 billion yuan, but adjusted net profit of 29.847 billion yuan fell short of expectations [9] - NetEase (9999) achieved a 32% increase in adjusted net profit, driven by a 12% rise in gaming revenue, exceeding market expectations [9] - Geely (0175) reported a 2.6 times increase in first-quarter profit, with revenue rising 24.51% year-on-year [9] - JD.com (9618) announced that its food delivery business has surpassed 20 million daily orders, marking a new high since its launch [9] - NIO (9866) plans to launch its new model, the L90, in the next quarter, aiming to expand its market presence [9] Economic Indicators - Hong Kong's overall export and import volumes increased by 15.8% and 13.5% year-on-year in March, respectively, indicating a positive trade outlook [7] - The United Nations has downgraded its global economic growth forecast to 2.4% for the year, with China's growth expected to slow to 4.6% due to various economic pressures [7][8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise to 24,300 points due to the recent US-China trade talks resulting in a significant reduction of tariffs, with US tariffs on Chinese goods dropping from 145% to 30% and Chinese tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for a period of 90 days [2] - The market anticipates a new cycle of financial policies from mainland China, including potential interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, aimed at stabilizing market expectations and boosting investor confidence [2] Sector Outlook - Positive sentiment towards export stocks due to breakthroughs in the tariff war [7] - Domestic demand stocks are expected to benefit from anticipated stronger policy support for consumption [7] Company News - JD.com (9618) reported a 15.8% year-on-year revenue increase for Q1, with adjusted net profit reaching 12.8 billion RMB, exceeding expectations [4][9] - Tencent Music (1698) saw a remarkable 201.8% increase in net profit for Q1, driven by strong growth in online music services [4][9] - Meituan (3690) plans to invest 1 billion USD in Brazil over the next five years to expand its food delivery service [9] - MicroPort (2252) announced a share placement at a 14% discount to raise approximately 4 billion RMB for business development [9] - Nocera (9969) reported a net profit of 17.97 million RMB for Q1, marking a turnaround from a loss in the previous year [9] Macroeconomic Focus - The US April CPI rose by 2.3% year-on-year, lower than expected, indicating a cautious economic outlook [3][8] - The US Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, with projections for two rate cuts later in the year [5] - The European Central Bank noted that uncertainty in the global economy may persist even if trade tensions ease [8] Regulatory Environment - Chinese regulators have begun discussions with major food delivery platforms, including JD.com and Meituan, regarding competition issues in the food delivery market [8] - The US Commerce Department has issued guidelines prohibiting the global use of Huawei's AI chips, reflecting ongoing tensions in technology trade [8]