证券研究报告 | 策略点评 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业除煤炭行业下跌外，其余全部上涨。通信、 电子、建筑装饰、综合、房地产、机械设备等行业涨幅靠前。 2025 年 10 月 21 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20251021 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数多数收涨。截止收盘，沪指涨 1.36%，收报 3916.33 点；深证成指涨 2.06%，收报 13077.32 点；科创 50 涨 2.81%，收报 1406.32 点；创业板指涨 3.02%，收报 3083.72 点。总体上，全天个股涨多跌 少，Wind 数据显示，全市场 4624 只个股上涨，729 只个股下跌，80 只个股收 平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 18739 亿元，较上个交易日放量 1362.89 亿元。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为光模块(CPO)、消费电子代工、光 芯片、HBM、一级地产商、培育钻石、覆铜板、电路板、光通信、挖掘机、 存储器、城中村改造、天然气、油气开采、GPU 板块。 风险提示 ...

证券研究报告 | 宏观点评 2025 年 10 月 20 日 投资要点 分析师：罗志恒 执业编号：S0300520110001 电话：010-83755580 邮箱：luozhiheng@ykzq.com 分析师：马家进 执业编号：S0300522110002 电话：13645711472 邮箱：majiajin@ykzq.com 近期报告 《【粤开宏观】关税战下的美国：关税收入、 实际税率与贸易格局演变》2025-10-12 《【粤开宏观】从化债到化险，厘清地方债 务风险的五个认知》2025-10-08 《【粤开宏观】历次牛市回调的原因是什 么？有哪些特征？该如何应对？》 2025-09-25 《【粤开宏观】牛市的成因是什么？牛市还 能否延续？》2025-09-24 《【粤开宏观】迈向中等发达国家："十四 五"经济回顾与"十五五"经济增长目标 测算》2025-09-21 宏观研究 【粤开宏观】三季度经济增速为何放 缓？四季度经济前景如何？ 三季度经济增速放缓，总体符合市场预期，具体有三大原因。首先，全年来 看，宏观政策靠前发力，在支撑上半年经济表现良好的同时，也导致下半年 政策力度相对不足，对经济的托底作用 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a positive trend today, with major indices mostly rising. The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.63% to close at 3863.89 points, while the Shenzhen Component rose by 0.98% to 12813.21 points. The ChiNext Index saw a gain of 1.98%, closing at 2993.45 points. Overall, 4064 stocks rose, 1248 fell, and 121 remained unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 17376 billion, a decrease of 2005.11 million from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, sectors such as telecommunications, coal, power equipment, machinery, electronics, and transportation showed significant gains. Conversely, industries like non-ferrous metals, agriculture, beauty care, food and beverage, and banking experienced declines [1][2]. Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included cultivated diamonds, superhard materials, optical modules (CPO), lithium battery electrolytes, selected coal mining, aviation transportation, germanium-gallium-antimony ink, optical chips, optical communications, ice and snow tourism, oil and gas extraction, RF and antennas, 6G, and natural gas [2].

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline across major indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 1.95% to close at 3839.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 3.04% to 12688.94 points, and the ChiNext Index decreasing by 3.36% to 2935.37 points [1] - Overall, the market saw more stocks decline than rise, with 598 stocks increasing and 4781 stocks decreasing, while 53 stocks remained unchanged [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 193.81 billion yuan, slightly increasing by 7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - All primary industries in the Shenwan classification experienced declines, with the coal, transportation, textile and apparel, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors showing relative resilience [1] - The sectors that led the decline included power equipment, electronics, machinery, automobiles, and national defense, with respective declines of 4.99%, 4.17%, 3.69%, 3.55%, and 3.39% [1] Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors included consecutive boards, speculative boards, first boards, Hainan Free Trade Port, duty-free shops, air transportation, FTSE Russell, banks, lithium battery electrolytes, Xinjiang revitalization, gold and jewelry, animal vaccines, pig industry, and dairy [2] - Conversely, sectors such as charging piles, power equipment, and wireless charging experienced pullbacks [11]

证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2025 年 10 月 16 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20251016 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要宽基指数多数下跌。截止收盘，沪指涨 0.10%， 收报 3916.23 点；深证成指跌 0.25%，收报 13086.41 点；创业板指涨 0.38%， 收报 3037.44 点；科创 50 跌 0.94%，收报 1416.58 点。总体上全天个股涨少 跌多，Wind 数据显示，全市场 1172 只个股上涨，4168 只个股下跌，89 只个 股收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 19311 亿元，较上个交易日缩量 1417 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨少跌多，煤炭、银行、食品饮料、通信 和医药生物行业领涨，涨幅分别为 2.35%、1.35%、0.97%、0.74%、0.20%；钢 铁、有色金属、建筑材料、基础化工和农林牧渔行业领跌，跌幅分别为 2.14%、 2.06%、1.86%、1.76%、1.56%。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.22% to close at 3912.21 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 1.73% to 13118.75 points, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.36% to 3025.87 points [1] - Overall, 4332 stocks rose while 944 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 20,729 billion yuan, a decrease of 5,034 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the 31 first-level industries, the power equipment, automotive, electronics, pharmaceutical biology, and retail sectors led the gains, with increases of 2.72%, 2.37%, 2.29%, 2.08%, and 1.92% respectively [1] - Conversely, the steel and petroleum sectors experienced slight declines of 0.21% and 0.14% [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included aviation transportation, charging piles, CRO, marketing communication, automotive parts, ultra-high voltage, innovative drugs, wireless charging, smart speakers, complete vehicles, consumer electronics OEM, circuit boards, excavators, Apple, and new energy vehicles [2][11]

2025 年 10 月 14 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20251014 证券研究报告 | 策略点评 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要宽基指数多数收跌。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.62%， 收报 3865.23 点；深证成指跌 2.54%，收报 12895.11 点；创业板指跌 3.99%， 收报 2955.98 点；科创 50 跌 4.26%，收报 1410.30 点。总体上全天个股涨少 跌多，Wind 数据显示，全市场 1733 只个股上涨，3547 只个股下跌，148 只个 股收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 25762 亿元，较上个交易日放量 2215 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨少跌多，银行、煤炭、食品饮料、交通 运输和公用事业行业领涨，涨幅分别为 2.51%、2.18%、1.69%、0.50%和 0.49%； 通信、电子、有色金属、计算机和电力设备行业领跌，跌幅分别为 4.98%、4.64%、 3.66%、2.98%和 2.36%。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a majority of major indices decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.19% closing at 3889.50 points, the Shenzhen Component down by 0.93% at 13231.47 points, and the ChiNext Index down by 1.11% at 3078.76 points. The STAR 50 Index, however, increased by 1.40% to 1473.02 points. Overall, there were 1682 stocks that rose while 3628 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 23547 billion yuan, a decrease of 1609 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][2]. Industry Performance - Among the 31 first-level industries, only a few sectors such as non-ferrous metals, environmental protection, steel, national defense and military industry, banking, and computing saw gains, with respective increases of 3.35%, 1.65%, 1.49%, 0.86%, 0.74%, and 0.22%. Conversely, the automotive, home appliances, beauty care, media, and pharmaceutical industries experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 2.33%, 1.74%, 1.58%, 1.54%, and 1.47% respectively [1][2]. Concept Sectors - The leading concept sectors in terms of gains today included rare earths, rare earth permanent magnets, photoresists, semiconductor silicon wafers, rare metals, SMIC, lithium battery electrolytes, wafer industry, small metals, operating systems, semiconductor materials, gold and jewelry, continuous boards, pre-increase, and cobalt mines [2][11].

Revenue and Tax Rate Insights - U.S. tariff revenue surged to $144.4 billion in the first eight months of 2025, 2.8 times higher than the same period last year, making it the fourth largest source of federal revenue at 4.0%[12] - The average tariff rate increased from 2.2% in January to 8.9% in June 2025, reflecting a significant rise driven by higher tariff rates[16] Trade Partner Analysis - The actual average tariff rate on imports from China reached 37.4% in June 2025, up 26.5 percentage points from January, with a peak of 45.6% in May[27] - U.S. imports from China fell by 18.9% and exports by 20.2% in the first seven months of 2025, indicating a significant decline in trade volume[28] Trade Dynamics - U.S. imports grew by 10.7% and exports by 4.8% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, while the trade deficit expanded by 21.3%[27] - The U.S. reliance on Chinese imports decreased, with imports from China constituting 9.4% of total U.S. imports, down 3.4 percentage points year-on-year[5] Product-Specific Tariff Changes - Tariff rates on labor-intensive goods, such as toys and shoes, increased significantly, with rates rising by 24.2 and 13.1 percentage points respectively[37] - The "232 tariffs" on steel and aluminum products saw rates increase from 25% to 50%, leading to substantial hikes in actual tariff rates for these categories[38]

Market Overview - The main indices showed a decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.94%, the Shenzhen Component down by 2.7%, and the ChiNext Index down by 4.55% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry performances, building materials, coal, and textile and apparel sectors led the gains, while non-ferrous metals, media, and telecommunications lagged behind [1] - Concept sectors showed mixed results, with pre-increase, animal vaccines, and continuous board concepts performing relatively well, while power batteries, lithium battery electrolytes, and semiconductors performed poorly [1]