2024/2025 中期報告 香港中環皇后大道中十八號新世界大廈三十 樓 電 話 : (852) 2523 1056 傳 真 : (852) 2810 4673 www.nwd.com.hk 目錄 | 2 | 財務摘要 | | --- | --- | | 4 | 主席報告書 | | 5 | 行政總裁報告書 | | 16 | 簡明綜合收益表 | | 17 | 簡明綜合全面收益表 | | 18 | 簡明綜合財務狀況表 | | 20 | 簡明綜合權益變動表 | | 22 | 簡明綜合現金流量表 | | 23 | 簡明賬目附註 | | 38 | 流動資金及資本來源 | | 40 | 其他資料 | | 48 | 公司資料 | The Artisanal Movement是我們的文化願景，透過推崇手藝、傳統和想像力，承載著人文的細膩、情感與溫度。 隨著我們的業務與社會一同發展，如今，我們為這文化願景帶來一個嶄新的目標 — 為社會上不同的持份者創造共享價值，與社會同創共贏。 我們相信以商業和創新的力量，可回饋社會，並透過聚焦於三大核心 — 文化與創意，可持續發展和社會創新，讓業務成功與社會進步緊扣一起。 Because t ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 6.98, representing a potential upside of 30% from the current price of HKD 5.36 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company is actively reducing its debt and has shown impressive sales performance, particularly in the Hong Kong market, where contract sales reached HKD 5.22 billion, a significant recovery from HKD 0.14 billion in the previous year [6]. - The company has a substantial land bank, with 7.23 million square feet of rights in Hong Kong and 2.99 million square meters in mainland China, primarily located in key first and second-tier cities [6]. - The company is set to open two major K11 projects in 2025, which are expected to contribute positively to rental income [6]. - The company has successfully reduced total liabilities by HKD 5.1 billion to HKD 146.4 billion, maintaining a stable net debt ratio of approximately 54.5% [6]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to decline from HKD 54.57 billion in 2023 to HKD 35.78 billion in 2024, with a subsequent slight recovery in the following years [3][7]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to show significant losses, with projections of HKD -19.68 billion in 2024 and HKD -4.16 billion in 2025 [3][7]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to drop to HKD -7.82 in 2024, with a gradual improvement to HKD -0.02 by 2027 [3][7]. - The dividend per share (DPS) is expected to decrease significantly, with no dividends projected from 2025 onwards [3][7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for New World Development (00017.HK) is maintained as "Buy" [5][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight decline in revenue, with fair value changes eroding profits. The financial condition remains stable, and land reserves are sufficient. The profit forecast for FY2025-2027 is maintained, with expected net profits of HKD 370 million, HKD 600 million, and HKD 860 million, respectively, corresponding to EPS of HKD 0.15, HKD 0.24, and HKD 0.34. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 36.3, 22.6, and 15.6 times [5][6]. Revenue Performance - For FY2025, the company achieved revenue of HKD 16.79 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%. Core operating profit was HKD 4.42 billion, down 18% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was a loss of HKD 66.33 billion, primarily due to fair value changes in property projects eroding profits by HKD 49.5 billion [6][7]. Property Development - The property development revenue increased to HKD 8.38 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.27%. Revenue from property development in Hong Kong was HKD 1.73 billion, up 39.2%, while revenue from mainland property development was HKD 6.64 billion, up 20.9%. The unrecognized contract sales amount in Hong Kong was HKD 12.32 billion, and in mainland China, it was HKD 8.3 billion, expected to be recognized in the second half of FY2025 and FY2026 [7][8]. Property Investment - The property investment revenue slightly decreased to HKD 2.56 billion, down 4.31% year-on-year. The revenue from Hong Kong was HKD 1.62 billion, and from mainland China was HKD 0.94 billion. The K11 division's performance increased by 5% year-on-year. Upcoming projects K11 ECOAST and Guangzhou Hanxi K11 Select are set to open in 2025 [8]. Financial Summary - The financial summary indicates that the company had total assets of HKD 445.187 billion for FY2025E, with a net debt ratio of 57.5%. The cash and bank deposits amounted to HKD 22 billion, with available bank loans of HKD 12 billion. The short-term debt decreased by HKD 9.4 billion year-on-year [6][9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5][17]. Core Views - The company reported a slight decline in revenue, with fair value changes eroding profits. However, the financial condition remains stable, and land reserves are sufficient. The profit forecast for FY2025-2027 is maintained, with expected net profits of 370 million, 600 million, and 860 million HKD, respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.15, 0.24, and 0.34 HKD [5][6]. Revenue and Profitability - For FY2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.79 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%. Core operating profit was 4.42 billion HKD, down 18% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was -6.633 billion HKD, primarily due to fair value changes in property projects that eroded profits by 4.95 billion HKD [6][8]. - The property development revenue increased to 8.38 billion HKD, a year-on-year growth of 24.27%. Specifically, Hong Kong property development revenue was 1.73 billion HKD, up 39.2%, while mainland property development revenue was 6.64 billion HKD, up 20.9% [7]. Property Investment and Land Reserves - The property investment revenue slightly decreased to 2.56 billion HKD, down 4.31% year-on-year. The company has a robust land reserve, with 3.46 million square feet in Hong Kong and 2.99 million square meters in mainland China [8][9]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The financial summary indicates a projected revenue decline from 95.214 billion HKD in FY2023 to 31.812 billion HKD in FY2025, with a significant drop in net profit from 4.081 billion HKD to 372 million HKD in the same period. The projected P/E ratios for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 are 36.3, 22.6, and 15.6, respectively [9][12].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [2][11]. Core Views - The company is expected to improve operational efficiency and reduce debt levels in the future. The new management team has shown promising sales progress, with an upward revision of sales targets in mainland China [5][6]. - The company has achieved a core profit of 4.42 billion HKD for the first half of the fiscal year 2025, which is a 17.6% decrease year-on-year [5][6]. - The target price has been adjusted downwards to 6.94 HKD, reflecting a potential upside of 43.9% from the current price of 4.82 HKD [5][11]. Financial Overview - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2023, the company reported revenues of 54,566 million HKD, with a projected revenue of 42,999 million HKD for 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 20.2% [4][13]. - The company’s net profit for the first half of fiscal year 2025 was reported at -6,633 million HKD, a significant decline compared to the previous year [6][13]. - The net debt ratio increased slightly to 57.5%, primarily due to the repurchase of perpetual bonds and other adjustments [5][6]. Sales and Revenue Performance - The company reported a slight revenue decline of 1.6% to 16,789 million HKD for the first half of fiscal year 2025, with a notable increase in real estate development revenue by 24.3% [6][5]. - The company achieved contract sales of 7.5 billion RMB in mainland China, raising its annual sales guidance from 11 billion RMB to 14 billion RMB [5][6]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is expected to see rental income growth of approximately 15-20% annually from fiscal years 2025 to 2027, driven by new property completions [5][6]. - The report suggests that the market's concerns regarding the company's debt levels are already reflected in its low price-to-book ratio of approximately 0.07, compared to the industry average of 0.3-0.4 [5][11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [2][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a slight revenue decline of 1.6% year-on-year to HKD 16.79 billion for the first half of the 2025 fiscal year, which met expectations. However, gross profit decreased by 8% to HKD 6.67 billion due to a decline in gross margin [5][6]. - The new management team is expected to enhance operational efficiency, with sales performance exceeding expectations. The company has raised its sales target for mainland China from RMB 11 billion to RMB 14 billion [5][6]. - The company aims to reduce debt through accelerated sales, releasing land value, selling non-core assets, and suspending dividends to improve cash flow [5][6]. Financial Overview - For the fiscal year ending June 30, 2023, the company reported revenues of HKD 54.57 billion, with a projected revenue of HKD 42.99 billion for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.2% [4][13]. - The core profit for 2025 is estimated at HKD 1.19 billion, down 13.5% from the previous year [4][13]. - The company’s net debt ratio increased slightly to 57.5%, primarily due to perpetual bond repurchases and asset revaluation [5][6]. Price Target - The target price for the company has been adjusted down to HKD 6.94, reflecting an 85% discount to net asset value, with a potential upside of 43.9% from the current price of HKD 4.82 [5][11].

Financial Performance - The group's revenue for the six months ended December 31, 2024, was HKD 16,789 million, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6%, with gross profit declining 8% to HKD 6,675 million[4]. - Core operating profit was HKD 4,416 million, representing an 18% year-on-year decline[5]. - The group recorded a loss attributable to shareholders of HKD 6,633 million, primarily due to rapid changes in macroeconomic factors and a decline in market value of development and investment properties[5]. - For the six months ending December 31, 2024, the group reported a loss from continuing operations of HKD 5,700.6 million, compared to a profit of HKD 1,543.1 million in the same period of 2023[48]. - The company reported a net loss of HKD 5,700.6 million for the six months ended December 31, 2024, compared to a loss of HKD 5,772.0 million in the previous year[59]. - The operating profit decreased significantly to HKD 731.1 million from HKD 5,729.0 million in the prior year, reflecting a decline of 87.2%[57]. - The company incurred a net loss of HKD 5,700.6 million for the six months ended December 31, 2024, primarily due to changes in the fair value of property projects[67]. Property Development and Investment - Hong Kong property development revenue was HKD 1,734 million, with attributable contract sales of approximately HKD 5,222 million during the review period[7]. - The group anticipates recognizing approximately HKD 12,320 million in unrecognized attributable contract sales revenue in the second half of the 2025 fiscal year and 2026 fiscal year[8]. - The Hong Kong residential market is expected to become more active in the second half of 2024 due to favorable policies, with a reported increase of over 70% in the number of first-hand residential sale agreements from July to December 2024[6]. - In mainland China, the group's property development revenue for the period was HKD 6,644 million, with a segment profit of HKD 2,699 million, driven by projects in Hangzhou, Shenyang, and Guangzhou[17]. - The group's total contracted sales in mainland China reached approximately RMB 7.5 billion, with a total sales area of about 315,400 square meters, averaging over RMB 23,600 per square meter[20]. - The group anticipates unrecognized contracted sales revenue of approximately RMB 8.3 billion to be recognized in the second half of the 2025 fiscal year and in the 2026 fiscal year[21]. - The new residential project in Guangzhou, Guangyue Guandi, achieved sales of RMB 2 billion upon its launch, showcasing strong market demand[19]. - The group is actively developing multiple new projects, including a large commercial and residential project in Fanling, with a total floor area exceeding 1.11 million square feet[13]. Financial Position and Debt Management - As of December 31, 2024, the group's net debt was HKD 124,630.0 million, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 57.5%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points from June 30, 2024[51]. - The group successfully refinanced approximately HKD 18,677.6 million of existing bank loans from July 2024 to the announcement date[54]. - The group maintains a total of HKD 21,858.3 million in cash and bank deposits as of December 31, 2024, down from HKD 27,990.1 million on June 30, 2024[51]. - The total amount of outstanding cross-currency swap contracts as of December 31, 2024, was approximately HKD 23,105.4 million[50]. - The total liabilities were HKD 210,925.8 million as of December 31, 2024, compared to HKD 220,268.8 million as of June 30, 2024[66]. - The group is implementing asset disposal plans to improve liquidity by monetizing certain assets[69]. - The group is focused on controlling operating costs and capital expenditures to enhance financial stability[69]. Market Outlook and Strategic Plans - The group plans to continue focusing on the Greater Bay Area and key regions in the Yangtze River Delta for strategic expansion and development of diverse business models[34]. - The group anticipates a significant increase in market confidence by 2025, focusing on core property development and investment in first-tier cities in Hong Kong and mainland China[40]. - The company plans to launch the "STATE PAVILIA" residential project in North Point in January 2025, offering 388 units, with 279 units sold within a month for a total transaction value of nearly HKD 3.2 billion[42]. - The group is optimistic about property investment prospects in Hong Kong despite a weak retail market, aiming to enhance customer experience and attract international brands[43]. - The group plans to expand its operations in mainland China, with property development revenue from this region reaching HKD 6,643.7 million[88]. Operational Highlights - The rental rates for prime office buildings remained satisfactory, with K11 ATELIER King's Road and K11 ATELIER office building at 93% and 99% occupancy rates, respectively[11]. - The overall occupancy rate of the Guangzhou CBD project, Guangyue Tiandi, remained at 97% as of December 31, 2024, with a year-on-year increase in foot traffic of 10%[31]. - The hotel operations in Hong Kong saw a 4% year-on-year increase in overall occupancy, with visitor numbers rising by 10% to 23 million, despite challenges in the long-haul market[35]. - The group operates 17 hotel properties across Hong Kong, mainland China, and Southeast Asia, providing a total of 6,595 rooms[39]. - The company’s segment assets for property investment reached HKD 211,393.8 million, indicating a strong position in this area[81]. Corporate Governance and Compliance - The company adhered to the corporate governance code, except for a deviation regarding employee trading guidelines due to the large and diverse workforce[107]. - The company's unaudited interim results for the six months ending December 31, 2024, were reviewed by the audit committee but not by external auditors[108]. - The company submitted its financial statements for the year ending June 30, 2024, to the Companies Registry, which were reported without any reservations by the auditors[109].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive outlook on New World Development, indicating a new development cycle under the leadership of the new management team [2]. Core Insights - The appointment of Huang Shaomei as the CEO is expected to enhance the company's operations in both Hong Kong and mainland China, leveraging her extensive experience in real estate [2]. - The company has a land reserve of 3.72 million square meters, with 58% located in the Greater Bay Area and Yangtze River Delta, which supports its long-term growth strategy [2]. - The company has successfully divested non-core assets, with sales reaching HKD 8 billion in the fiscal year 2024 and projected to reach HKD 13 billion in fiscal year 2025 [2]. - Financing activities have been robust, with over HKD 50 billion in loans arranged and debt repayments completed in 2024, including the issuance of USD 400 million bonds [2]. - Recent policy adjustments in the real estate sector are expected to stabilize the mainland property market, particularly in the key regions of Guangzhou and Shanghai [2]. Summary by Sections Management Changes - Huang Shaomei has been appointed as the CEO, bringing over 20 years of real estate experience, which is anticipated to strengthen the company's strategic direction [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a market capitalization of HKD 16.132 billion and a share price of HKD 6.41, with a 52-week high of HKD 11.98 and a low of HKD 6.20 [2]. Asset Management - The company is focusing on core assets in prime locations and has ongoing urban renewal projects, which differentiate its competitive position [2]. Financing Strategy - The company has completed significant financing arrangements, including long-term, low-interest loans totaling RMB 5.8 billion, with an average cost of 3.1% [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a **Buy** rating for New World Development (17 HK) with a target price of HKD 11.44, representing a potential upside of **74.5%** from the current price of HKD 6.56 [1][3] Core Views - New management is expected to improve operational efficiency, particularly in the mainland China business, with the appointment of Ms. Wong Siu Mui as CEO [1] - The company has completed the sale of NEW WORLD SPORTS DEVELOPMENT LIMITED (NWSPL) for HKD 416.7 million, which is expected to help recover investment costs and reduce financial burdens [2] - Sales progress is strong, with HKD 3.7 billion in attributable sales completed in Hong Kong (62% of FY2025 guidance) and RMB 4.8 billion in contracted sales in mainland China, with expectations to reach RMB 7 billion by the end of 2024 (64% of full-year guidance) [2] - The stock is currently trading at around **0.1x P/B**, which is believed to reflect most negative factors, with potential re-rating catalysts including improved operational efficiency, strong FY2025 sales progress, reduced capex, and potential interest rate cuts [3] Financial Summary - Revenue is expected to decline by **34.4% YoY** in FY2024 to HKD 35,782 million but rebound by **20.2% YoY** in FY2025 to HKD 42,999 million [4] - Core profit is projected to decrease by **47.5% YoY** in FY2024 to HKD 1,377 million but recover by **19.8% YoY** in FY2025 to HKD 1,648 million [4] - The company's P/E ratio is expected to improve from **12.0x** in FY2024 to **10.0x** in FY2025 [4] - Dividend yield is forecasted to increase from **3.0%** in FY2024 to **4.0%** in FY2025 [4] Operational Highlights - The company has established separate operating committees for Hong Kong and mainland China businesses to enhance operational efficiency [1] - The launch of Guangzhou Kaixuan New World is expected to contribute to mainland China sales, with contracted sales projected to reach RMB 7 billion by the end of 2024 [2] Industry Context - The report covers other Hong Kong and mainland China real estate companies, including Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK), Link REIT (823 HK), and Henderson Land (12 HK), with varying ratings and target prices [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The management team has undergone a significant change, with the appointment of Huang Shaomei as the CEO, who has over 20 years of experience in the real estate sector. This leadership change is expected to enhance the company's operational capabilities in both Hong Kong and mainland China [2][6] - The company has maintained its profit forecasts, expecting net profits for FY2025-2027 to be HKD 370 million, HKD 600 million, and HKD 860 million respectively, with corresponding EPS of HKD 0.15, HKD 0.24, and HKD 0.34. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 44.7, 27.9, and 19.3 times [2][6] - The company reported a revenue of HKD 35.826 billion for FY2024, a decrease of 62% year-on-year, and a core operating profit of HKD 6.898 billion, down 18% year-on-year. The net profit for continuing operations was negative HKD 11.807 billion due to non-cash impairments and losses [2][6] Financial Summary - For FY2023, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 95.214 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 39.6%. However, for FY2024, the revenue is projected to drop to HKD 35.782 billion, reflecting a significant decline of 62.4% [8] - The net profit for FY2023 was HKD 4.081 billion, but it is expected to turn negative in FY2024 at HKD -17.126 billion, indicating a drastic year-on-year decline of 519.7% [8] - The gross margin for FY2024 is projected to be 35.9%, while the net margin is expected to be -55.1% [8] - The company’s total assets are projected to decrease from HKD 616.483 billion in FY2023 to HKD 445.158 billion in FY2024 [8]