Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that copper stocks in Hong Kong have collectively rebounded, led by China Daye Nonferrous Metals with a rise of approximately 9% [1] - Glencore is planning to close its Horne smelter and associated copper refinery in Quebec, Canada, due to environmental issues and the need for significant capital investment for upgrades [1] - The Horne smelter has an estimated annual production capacity of over 300,000 tons, accounting for about 17% of copper imports to the United States, indicating a potential disruption in the North American copper supply chain [1] Group 2 - Earlier this year, traders moved large quantities of copper into the U.S. market in anticipation of potential tariffs on copper, leading to a surge in copper prices on the COMEX [1] - In August, former President Trump decided not to impose tariffs on bulk copper but targeted tariffs on processed copper products, while leaving the possibility of tariffs on raw copper starting in 2027 [1] Group 3 - The stock performance of key companies includes: - China Daye Nonferrous Metals: latest price 0.098, up 8.89% - Jiangxi Copper: latest price 30.740, up 2.95% - China Gold International: latest price 125.400, up 1.37% - China Nonferrous Mining: latest price 13.390, up 1.36% [2]

江西铜业股份有限公司是一家主要从事铜和黄金的采选、冶炼与加工的中国公司。该公司主要通过两个 分部开展业务。铜相关产业分部主要从事铜及铜相关产品的生产和销售。金相关产业分部主要从事金及 金相关产品的生产和销售。该公司的产品主要包括阴极铜、黄金、白银、 硫酸、铜杆、铜管、铜箔、 硒、碲、铼和铋。该公司的产品主要应用于电气、电子、轻工、机械制造、建筑、交通、军工工业等行 业。该公司主要在国内市场开展业务。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成 投资建议。 | 交易日 | 持股总数(股) | 持股变动(股) | 变动幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-11-04 | 3.43亿 | 135.20万 | 0.40% | | 2025-11-03 | 3.41亿 | 512.10万 | 1.52% | | 2025-10-31 | 3.36亿 | 191.10万 | 0.57% | | 2025-10-30 | 3.34亿 | 1318.10万 | 4.11% | | 2025-10-28 | 3.21亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices and the continuous drop in A-shares have led to a significant decrease in gold and precious metal-related ETFs, although there has been a net inflow of funds into gold stock ETFs despite the downturn [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - As of 14:10 on November 4, the performance of various ETFs was as follows: Gold ETF Huaxia (518850) fell by 0.89%, Non-ferrous Metals ETF (516650) dropped by 3.65%, and Gold Stock ETF (159562) decreased by 3.88% [1] - The holdings of the Gold Stock ETF, including companies like WanGuo Gold Group, saw declines exceeding 6%, while Zijin Mining, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, and Jiangxi Copper also experienced significant losses [1] Group 2: Fund Inflows - Despite the three-day decline in the Gold Stock ETF (159562), it recorded a net inflow of funds totaling 57.12 million yuan over the same period [1] Group 3: Market Outlook - Major Wall Street banks remain optimistic about the future of gold prices, with UBS stating that the current price drop is temporary and maintaining a year-end target of $4,200 per ounce [1] - UBS also indicated that if geopolitical or market risks escalate, gold prices could potentially rise to $4,700 per ounce within the year [1] - GF Securities noted that the decline in real interest rates continues to provide marginal support for gold prices, with expectations of a new round of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a halt to balance sheet reduction in December [1] - The continuation of monetary easing and rising inflation are expected to support gold prices, with ETF investments and central bank purchases being key drivers for sustained upward movement [1]

（原标题：港股异动 | 江西铜业股份(00358)现跌超4% 铜精矿冶炼加工费下滑拖累毛利 机构预计影响总 体可控） 智通财经APP获悉，江西铜业股份(00358)现跌超4%，截至发稿，跌3.91%，报30港元，成交额2.62亿港 元。 消息面上，江西铜业此前发布业绩，公司第三季度营业收入1390.88亿元，同比增长14.09%；净利润 18.49亿元，同比增长35.2%；扣非归母净利润19.1亿元，同比增长94.7%。三季度公司毛利润40.8亿元， 环比下降11亿元，主因铜精矿冶炼加工费下滑。 国信证券发布研报称，全球铜精矿供应愈加紧张。当前长单加工费和现货加工费劈叉，现货加工费 在-40美元/吨以下，长单加工费在21美元/吨。冶炼厂全部使用长单盈利尚可，如果使用部分现货，冶炼 利润就会受到影响。对于江西铜业而言，2025年阴极铜产量目标237万吨，前三季度产量估计180万吨， 四季度生产压力不大。另外公司可以一定程度上灵活选择铜精矿、冷料的使用配比，预计四季度加工费 压力不会显著增加。 ...

每经AI快讯，江西铜业股份(00358.HK)现跌超4%，截至发稿，跌3.91%，报30港元，成交额2.62亿港 元。 ...

江西铜业（600362）股份(00358)现跌超4%，截至发稿，跌3.91%，报30港元，成交额2.62亿港元。 消息面上，江西铜业此前发布业绩，公司第三季度营业收入1390.88亿元，同比增长14.09%；净利润 18.49亿元，同比增长35.2%；扣非归母净利润19.1亿元，同比增长94.7%。三季度公司毛利润40.8亿元， 环比下降11亿元，主因铜精矿冶炼加工费下滑。 国信证券发布研报称，全球铜精矿供应愈加紧张。当前长单加工费和现货加工费劈叉，现货加工费 在-40美元/吨以下，长单加工费在21美元/吨。冶炼厂全部使用长单盈利尚可，如果使用部分现货，冶炼 利润就会受到影响。对于江西铜业而言，2025年阴极铜产量目标237万吨，前三季度产量估计180万吨， 四季度生产压力不大。另外公司可以一定程度上灵活选择铜精矿、冷料的使用配比，预计四季度加工费 压力不会显著增加。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiangxi Copper's stock price has shown significant volatility, with a year-to-date increase of 96.10%, but a recent decline of 2.00% on November 4, indicating potential market fluctuations and investor sentiment shifts [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jiangxi Copper reported a revenue of 396.05 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.08% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 20.85% to 6.02 billion yuan [2] - The company has distributed a total of 22.18 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.22 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Jiangxi Copper had 125,600 shareholders, an increase of 6.64% from the previous period [2] - The top three circulating shareholders include China Securities Finance Corporation with 104 million shares, unchanged from the previous period, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which reduced its holdings by 24.08 million shares to 44.51 million shares [3] Market Activity - On November 4, 2023, Jiangxi Copper's stock traded at 39.11 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 135.43 billion yuan [1] - The stock experienced a net outflow of 82.73 million yuan in principal funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1]

Summary of Jiangxi Copper's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Jiangxi Copper - **Industry**: Copper Smelting and Mining Key Points Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiangxi Copper reported a revenue of **396.046 billion CNY**, a year-on-year increase of **0.98%** [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was **6.024 billion CNY**, reflecting a year-on-year growth of **20.85%** [3] - Despite a decline in Q3 profits compared to Q2, the overall operational plan remains on track without adjustments [3] Profitability Factors - Q3 profits decreased primarily due to rising copper prices impacting hedging operations, resulting in losses on the futures side while the spot market remained profitable [2][6] - The smelting business faced challenges due to low long-term contract prices, leading to a shift towards spot purchases, which affected profitability [2][7] - By Q3 2025, the smelting business contributed approximately **15%** to the overall profit, maintaining profitability despite a decline [8] Industry Dynamics - The copper smelting industry is currently experiencing limited effectiveness in anti-competitive measures, with the non-ferrous metals association advocating for reduced competition since 2024 [4] - The potential for production cuts among domestic copper smelting plants depends on whether TC long-term contract prices fall below cost levels or if there are unified policy directives from authorities [9] - The cancellation of long-term contract negotiations could lead to less transparent pricing, which is unfavorable for smelting plants [10] Production and Cost Management - Jiangxi Copper plans to maintain its copper concentrate production at **200,000 tons** without expansion, relying on cooperative mining rights or acquisitions for any increases [11] - The company’s overall production costs are below the industry average, with the Dexing copper mine being a significant contributor to low costs [12][13] Future Outlook - For 2025, profits are expected to be primarily driven by mining activities, accounting for about **85%** of total profits, while smelting will contribute around **15%** [14] - The profitability of the smelting segment is supported by rising sulfuric acid prices and stable metal prices, which help offset losses in processing operations [15] - The copper processing segment is projected to incur losses of approximately **200 million CNY** for the year, primarily due to losses in lithium battery copper foil business [15] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing copper mine acquisitions, focusing on projects in Central Asia, Africa, and South America, although no significant updates are available yet [4][25] - Jiangxi Copper is considering increasing its stake in Jiaxin International, currently holding nearly **30%** of the shares, with plans to achieve control by 2026 [21] Capital Expenditure and Dividends - The company has significant capital expenditure plans primarily for resource acquisitions, which may impact dividend distributions [28] - Dividends will be adjusted based on performance, with a preference for steady growth rather than substantial increases due to investment plans [29] Digital Management - Jiangxi Copper is working on implementing management assessment indicators set by the Jiangxi Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, focusing on market value management despite operational challenges [30]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 江西銅業股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月3日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 600362 | 說明 | | 於上海證券交易所上市 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 2,075,247,405 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 2,075,247,405 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 2,075,247,405 | RMB | | 1 | RMB | | 2,075,247, ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangxi Copper is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [3][5][13] Core Views - Jiangxi Copper's net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 35.2% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 139.1 billion yuan, a 12.8% increase [1][6] - The company's smelting business is under short-term pressure due to a decline in copper concentrate processing fees, but overall profitability remains manageable [1][6] - The company aims for a cathode copper production target of 2.37 million tons in 2025, with an estimated production of 1.8 million tons in the first three quarters [1][6] - The report highlights the potential for profit recovery in Q4 2025 if copper prices remain high, as some inventory impairment losses may be reversed [2][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Jiangxi Copper reported a gross profit of 4.08 billion yuan, with a sequential decline of 1.1 billion yuan due to lower processing fees for copper concentrates [1][6] - The company recorded a significant increase in sales expenses in Q3 2025, amounting to 360 million yuan, compared to 20 million yuan in Q2 2025, attributed to seasonal factors [2][7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 anticipates net profits of 8.41 billion, 9.62 billion, and 10.72 billion yuan respectively, with adjusted copper price assumptions leading to higher earnings per share [3][4][13] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the upcoming years are 16.3, 14.2, and 12.8 times [3][4][13] Market Dynamics - The report notes that the global supply of copper concentrates is tightening due to the shutdown of the Panama copper mine and the commissioning of new smelting plants [1][6] - The current processing fees for long-term contracts are at 21 USD/ton, while spot processing fees have dropped below -40 USD/ton, indicating a significant divergence in profitability based on sourcing strategies [1][6]