Core Insights - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is committed to enhancing collaboration with various parties, optimizing listing arrangements, and expanding connectivity mechanisms to promote the development of capital markets in both Hong Kong and mainland China [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Since September of the previous year, China's investment opportunities have regained global investor attention, leading to strong performance in the Hong Kong market [1] - As of September 30, 2023, the total IPO financing amount reached HKD 182.9 billion, more than doubling compared to the same period in 2022 [1] - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong securities market was HKD 256.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126% [1] - The derivatives market saw an average daily trading volume of 1.68 million contracts, up 11% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Strategic Developments - HKEX plans to launch the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index futures to meet the growing risk management needs of investors in the biotechnology sector [2] - The company is collaborating closely with the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges to incorporate REITs into the Stock Connect, introduce block trading mechanisms, and include RMB counters in the Hong Kong Stock Connect [2] - HKEX aims to enhance the international competitiveness of the Hong Kong stock market and cater to the diverse investment needs of global investors, including those from mainland China [2] - As a leading offshore RMB center, HKEX will continue to build a competitive ecosystem for fixed income and currency products, providing various asset allocation and risk hedging tools [2]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange is focusing on enhancing its fixed income and currency markets, with a series of initiatives planned for the next six months to attract issuers and investors [1][4][2] Group 1: Market Development - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) aims to promote government bond issuance to lead market development and expand the investor base, including family offices and corporate treasury centers [1][4] - The total trading volume of collective investment schemes reached a historical high, with sales surging by 76% to HKD 22.4 trillion, while the proportion of money market funds is expected to rise from 76% in 2023 to 80% in 2024 [2][4] Group 2: Liquidity and Infrastructure - The SFC has identified four pillars for the fixed income and currency market: promoting issuance, increasing liquidity, expanding offshore RMB business, and new generation infrastructure [4][6] - Plans to enhance liquidity include implementing an over-the-counter fixed income and currency derivatives system and developing a central counterparty for repurchase transactions [4][6] Group 3: Geopolitical and Economic Trends - The global economic growth model is changing, with a shift towards active management funds as investors seek alpha returns amid slowing growth and declining traditional asset yields [1][7] - Geopolitical risks have become the primary concern for sovereign wealth funds, surpassing inflation worries, with 83% of respondents expressing concern about geopolitical risks [9] Group 4: Cross-Border Cooperation - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) are working together to optimize the Stock Connect mechanism, enhancing cross-border investment opportunities [11][14] - Since its inception, the Stock Connect has seen significant growth in trading volumes, with foreign capital through the Northbound channel reaching a cumulative total of CNY 90.1 trillion by September 2025 [13][14]

Core Insights - The collaboration between Shenzhen and Hong Kong stock exchanges has significantly enhanced financial connectivity, information sharing, and technological integration, reinforcing Hong Kong's status as an international financial center [1] Group 1: Deepening Interconnectivity - Since the launch of the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect in 2016, the trading volume has rapidly increased, with a cumulative transaction amount reaching 125 trillion yuan by the end of September [1] - The Shenzhen Stock Connect accounted for 98 trillion yuan of this total, with an average daily trading volume of 47.7 billion yuan, making it the primary channel for foreign investment in A-shares [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect contributed 27 trillion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 13.3 billion yuan, injecting liquidity into the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2: Bond Market Cooperation - The establishment of the Greater Bay Area Bond Platform in 2022 has enhanced cross-border bond trading cooperation, improving transparency in cross-border financing information disclosure [2] - As of September, the platform has showcased 46 products, including 35 offshore local government bonds and 10 cross-border bonds from policy financial institutions [2] - The platform aims to leverage the "dual zone" policy for innovative practices in capital market connectivity [2] Group 3: Financial Infrastructure Development - The Shenzhen and Hong Kong exchanges have initiated a collaboration project to provide stable and low-latency market data services, with a communication forwarding system for Hong Kong stock market data set to launch in 2024 [3] - A comprehensive fund platform has been established to enhance the efficiency of the Hong Kong fund market, with 42 financial institutions already participating [3] - Future plans include further reforms and expansions to enhance market attractiveness and support high-quality economic development [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is expected to report strong earnings growth for Q3 2025, driven by high trading activity and increased revenue from main fee categories, despite a decline in investment income due to margin pressures [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Forecast - Q3 2025 earnings are projected to increase by 49% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter, reaching HKD 46.8 billion [1]. - Total revenue for Q3 2025 is expected to rise by 40% year-on-year and 4% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 75.3 billion, with main fee income increasing by 57% year-on-year and 18% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 65.1 billion [1]. Group 2: Trading Activity - Trading activity remains robust, with Q3 average daily turnover (ADT) expected to rise by 141% year-on-year and 20% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 2,864 billion [1]. - Southbound ADT is anticipated to increase by 285% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 1,525 billion, accounting for 26.6% of Hong Kong stocks [1]. - Northbound ADT is projected to grow by 144% year-on-year and 77% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 2,687 billion, representing 7.1% of A-shares [1]. Group 3: Investment Income and Margin Pressure - Investment income for Q3 2025 is expected to decline by 18% year-on-year and 36% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 9.9 billion due to margin pressures [2]. - The narrowing of margin interest spreads is anticipated as long-term yields decline while short-term costs rise, alongside a decrease in derivative margin requirements due to lower market volatility [2]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - The basic fundamentals of the market remain solid, with October ADT reaching HKD 2,880 billion, indicating sustained high trading activity [2]. - The potential for a rapid interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in Q4 could support liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market [2]. - The company is advised to focus on the valuation adjustments following changes in risk appetite among investors [2]. Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2025 has been raised by 3% to HKD 171 billion, while the 2026 forecast remains unchanged [2]. - The current trading multiples are at 31x for both 2025 and 2026 earnings, with a target price maintained at HKD 500, indicating an 18% upside potential [2].

Group 1: Alibaba (Code: 00988) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 144.6 and a resistance level at 185.6, with strong rebound momentum from the support level, suggesting a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21370, 20017, and 15432, while bull warrants are 57383, 57470, and 57384 [1] Group 2: Meituan (Code: 03690) - Support level is at 88 and resistance level at 107.1, with a high probability of breaking through the resistance level, indicating an upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19971, 20069, and 20116, with bull warrants being 58005, 53778, and 53780 [1] Group 3: Xiaomi (Code: 01810) - Technical indicators show a support level at 39.8 and a resistance level at 56.4, with the price at the lower end of an upward channel, indicating a high safety margin and short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 16253, 13630, and 13979, while bull warrants are 67393, 67394, and 67402 [1] Group 4: AIA (Code: 01299) - Support level is at 68.6 and resistance level at 77.2, characterized by low volatility as a blue-chip stock, with a stable short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18410, 17948, and 18411, with bull warrants being 61825, 53008, and 61274 [1] Group 5: Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (Code: 00388) - Technical analysis shows a support level at 399 and a resistance level at 460, with strong performance driven by active market trading, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 27741, 15562, and 23503, while bull warrants are 62570, 56665, and 68548 [1] Group 6: BYD (Code: 01211) - Support level is at 95.8 and resistance level at 113.8, with the stock benefiting from the popularity of the new energy sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20458, 20495, and 20219, while bull warrants are 56780, 64027, and 63130 [1] Group 7: HSBC (Code: 00005) - Support level is at 94.3 and resistance level at 110.5, with a stable trend influenced by the valuation recovery in the banking sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19105, 18901, and 19104, while bull warrants are 65343, 66095, and 68629 [1] Group 8: China Construction Bank (Code: 00939) - Technical indicators show a support level at 7.38 and a resistance level at 8.26, characterized as a low valuation high dividend stock with strong safety attributes, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17265, 19572, and 20261, while bull warrants are 62134, 62178, and 57112 [1] Group 9: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (Code: 01398) - Support level is at 5.55 and resistance level at 6.35, characterized by low volatility as a large-cap bank stock, indicating a clear short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 20585, 20618, and 16703, while bull warrants are 65682, 57199, and 58321 [1] Group 10: China Mobile (Code: 00941) - Technical analysis indicates a support level at 78.7 and a resistance level at 91.7, with strong earnings supporting the stock price as a leader in the telecommunications industry, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 21277, 21344, and 28920, while bull warrants are 57975, 56130, and 63412 [1] Group 11: SMIC (Code: 00981) - Support level is at 58.5 and resistance level at 89.6, benefiting from favorable policies in the semiconductor sector, indicating high elasticity and a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13923, 20790, and 20292, while bull warrants are 61294, 61093, and 60800 [1] Group 12: Kuaishou (Code: 01024) - Support level is at 63.1 and resistance level at 88, with strong rebound momentum driven by stable demand in the short video sector, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 17442, 17594, and 15122, while bull warrants are 59046, 59410, and 61399 [1] Group 13: JD.com (Code: 09618) - Technical indicators show a support level at 115.9 and a resistance level at 141.3, benefiting from the recovery in the e-commerce sector and positive earnings expectations, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 19677, 19641, and 19529, while bull warrants are 56434, 55794, and 56562 [1] Group 14: Anta (Code: 02020) - Support level is at 81 and resistance level at 95.6, characterized as a leader in sports apparel, benefiting from consumer recovery, indicating a short-term upward trend [1] - Recommended call warrants are 13440, 13921, and 15902, while bull warrants are 54515, 54416, and 65820 [1] Group 15: Tencent (Code: 00700) - Technical indicators show a support level at 581 and a resistance level at 680, indicating a short-term upward trend with ample room for growth [1] - Recommended call warrants are 18949, 18902, and 13713, while bull warrants are 55125, 67093, and 55772 [1]

Core Insights - The number of listing applications in Hong Kong is rapidly increasing, with nearly 300 applications being processed by the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as of the end of September 2023 [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, Hong Kong's new stock market welcomed 69 new listed companies, raising over HKD 180 billion, which is more than double the amount from the same period last year, making it the top globally [1] - More overseas issuers are choosing to list in Hong Kong, with over half of the companies listed this year having international business operations, averaging about 50% of their revenue from overseas markets [1] Market Developments - The GEM (Growth Enterprise Market) has seen 4 companies listed since its reform in 2024, raising HKD 280 million, with 11 applications from small and medium-sized enterprises received this year [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange and the Securities and Futures Commission are working on further optimizing the system to enhance market vitality and competitiveness [1] Revenue Projections - The stock stamp duty revenue for the fiscal year 2024-2025 is projected to be approximately HKD 52 billion, an increase of about 43% compared to the previous year [1] - For the first two quarters of 2025-2026, the stock stamp duty revenue is expected to be around HKD 44 billion, reflecting a 143% increase compared to the same period last year [1]

Group 1 - The average daily trading volume of the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect reached new highs in the first half of 2025, with the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Connect averaging a daily trading volume of RMB 206.4 billion, a 68% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect's average daily trading volume reached HKD 126 billion, more than double the level of the same period in 2024 [1] - The strong performance of the Hong Kong market is attributed to favorable economic policies and technological innovations in China, leading to increased global investor interest [1] Group 2 - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) is collaborating closely with the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges to include REITs in the Stock Connect, introduce a block trading mechanism, and incorporate RMB counters into the Hong Kong Stock Connect [1] - HKEX aims to deepen collaboration with various parties to optimize listing arrangements, expand the connectivity mechanism, and enhance market efficiency [2] - The exchange is focused on building a competitive ecosystem for fixed income and currency products, providing diverse asset allocation and risk hedging tools for domestic and international investors [2]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is set to advance key initiatives in the next six months to promote the development of the fixed income and currency markets in Hong Kong [1][5] - The global economic growth model is changing, with a shift from beta to alpha returns, leading to increased interest in actively managed funds and alternative assets [1][9] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) are collaborating to enhance the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect mechanism, aiming to improve the competitiveness and influence of both financial centers [1][12][16] Group 1: Fixed Income and Currency Market Development - The SFC's focus includes promoting issuance through government bonds, expanding the investor base, and enhancing liquidity in the fixed income market [1][3][5] - Collective investment schemes have reached a record trading volume of 22.4 trillion HKD, with a 76% increase, and the proportion of money market funds is expected to rise from 76% in 2023 to 80% in 2024 [3][5] - The SFC identified four pillars for the fixed income and currency market: promoting issuance, increasing liquidity, expanding offshore RMB business, and new generation infrastructure [5][7] Group 2: Global Economic Trends and Investment Strategies - The global debt levels are unsustainable, leading to a redefinition of traditional safe assets, with gold and Bitcoin prices rising due to concerns over fiat currency purchasing power [9][11] - Geopolitical risks have become the primary concern for sovereign wealth funds, surpassing inflation as the main focus for investors [11] - The shift in global economic growth from expansion to rebalancing emphasizes the importance of technology competition, particularly in artificial intelligence [11] Group 3: Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect - The Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect has evolved since its inception, with significant enhancements such as the removal of total quota limits and the inclusion of various stock types [12][15] - As of September 2025, the cumulative trading volume through the Stock Connect reached 90.1 trillion CNY for northbound trading and 37.5 trillion CNY for southbound trading [15][16] - The SSE aims to continue optimizing the Stock Connect mechanism to facilitate cross-border investment and enhance market collaboration [12][16]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is set to advance key initiatives in the next six months to promote the development of the fixed income and money markets in Hong Kong [1][4] - The global economic growth model is changing, with a shift towards active management and alternative assets as traditional asset returns decline [1][7] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) are collaborating to optimize the Stock Connect mechanism, enhancing the competitiveness of both markets [1][10] Group 1: Market Development Initiatives - The SFC plans to lead market development through government bond issuance and promote Hong Kong's advantages to targeted issuers and investors [1][4] - The total trading volume of collective investment schemes reached a historical high, with sales surging by 76% to HKD 22.4 trillion, and the proportion of money market funds is expected to rise from 76% in 2023 to 80% in 2024 [2][4] - The SFC aims to enhance liquidity by implementing an over-the-counter fixed income and derivatives framework and developing a central counterparty for repurchase transactions [4][6] Group 2: Strategic Insights - The global debt growth is unsustainable, leading to a redefinition of traditional safe assets, with gold and Bitcoin prices rising due to concerns over fiat currency purchasing power [7][9] - Geopolitical risks have become the primary concern for sovereign wealth funds, surpassing inflation worries, with 83% of respondents expressing concern over geopolitical risks [9] - Hong Kong is positioned as a "super connector" and "super value creator," leveraging its status as an international financial center to facilitate cooperation in technology and data exchange [9] Group 3: Stock Connect Mechanism - The Stock Connect mechanism has evolved since its inception, with significant enhancements including the removal of total quota limits and the inclusion of various stock types [10][12] - As of September 2025, foreign capital through the Stock Connect has reached a cumulative transaction total of CNY 90.1 trillion, with daily trading volumes increasing significantly [12][13] - The SSE plans to continue optimizing the Stock Connect mechanism to better serve domestic and foreign investors, fostering a collaborative market environment [10][13]

Core Insights - The Hong Kong market is experiencing a strong recovery as it approaches 2025, coinciding with the 25th anniversary of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange Group, which is enhancing capital flow between China and the world [1][3]. Market Performance - By the end of September, the new stock issuance scale on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reached HKD 182.9 billion, more than doubling compared to the same period in 2024, with nearly 300 public listing applications currently being processed [3][4]. - The average daily trading volume in the Hong Kong securities market reached HKD 256.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 126% [5]. IPO Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong IPO market has regained its top position globally by the end of September, with refinancing activities also growing rapidly, totaling HKD 456.1 billion, which is more than double the new stock market fundraising during the same period [4][5]. - The A+H listing model has further developed, with nearly half of the new stock total coming from A+H listed companies, indicating closer integration between mainland and Hong Kong markets [3][4]. International Investment Trends - International investors are showing strong interest in Hong Kong IPOs, with long-term funds from Europe, the Middle East, and emerging markets actively participating in the issuance of Chinese tech companies, reflecting growing confidence in China's technological innovation [3][4]. Regulatory and Market Innovations - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has implemented various reforms to enhance market vitality, including measures to optimize the listing process for tech companies and improve market quality and transparency [4][6]. - Recent initiatives include the launch of the "Hang Seng Biotechnology Index Futures" to provide diversified risk management tools for investors, responding to the rising interest in the biotechnology sector [6][7]. Future Outlook - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange aims to enhance its international competitiveness and continue optimizing its listing system and product offerings to meet the diverse needs of global investors, particularly from mainland China [7].