Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market has entered a new wave of share buybacks since November, led by major technology companies, which is seen as a positive signal for long-term development and financial optimization [1][5]. Group 1: Buyback Activity - In November, the total number of shares repurchased by Hong Kong listed companies exceeded 700 million, a significant increase compared to previous months where the numbers were 260 million, 530 million, and 530 million respectively from August to October [2]. - Major companies like Tencent Holdings and Xiaomi Group have resumed their buyback activities, with Tencent repurchasing over 1 million shares daily and spending more than 630 million HKD each day, which is higher than the previous buyback period [2][3]. - Xiaomi Group has repurchased shares worth over 2.9 billion HKD since November, accounting for more than half of its total buyback amount since 2025, indicating a notable increase in buyback intensity [2]. Group 2: Leadership of Technology Companies - The current buyback wave is primarily led by technology companies, with Tencent and Xiaomi dominating the buyback amounts [3]. - Other tech companies like Kuaishou and Kingsoft are also starting to appear on the buyback leaderboard, while non-tech companies like HSBC and China Hongqiao have seen a decline in buyback activity [3]. Group 3: Timing and Strategy of Buybacks - Experts suggest that companies typically choose to buy back shares when they believe their stock is undervalued, avoiding periods like earnings silence to mitigate risks [4]. - The buyback strategy is influenced by regulatory constraints, financial strength, and market sentiment, with larger companies having more capacity for significant buybacks compared to smaller firms [4]. Group 4: Long-term Development Signals - Share buybacks are viewed as a demonstration of a company's confidence in its performance and are common in mature capital markets [5]. - Buybacks can optimize equity and financial structure, enhance earnings per share, and stabilize control against hostile takeovers [5][6]. - Continuous buyback actions signal to the market that a company's value is underestimated and its cash flow is stable, which can attract institutional investors and improve the overall investment environment [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the US economy is expected to maintain moderate growth next year, supported by factors such as Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and AI investments, while remaining strategically bullish on US stocks but cautious of structural differentiation and short-term risks in Q1 [1] - For the Hong Kong stock market outlook, it is anticipated that the market will shift from valuation-driven to profit growth-driven, with valuation expansion likely to weaken but liquidity remaining supportive [1] - The combination of profit-driven growth and liquidity support is expected to emerge by 2026, with new supply creating new demand as a new driving force for the Hong Kong stock market [1] Group 2 - The technology sector in the US stock market is expected to become more rational, with AI remaining a key driver, and the regulatory environment being favorable for mergers and acquisitions [1] - The AI advancements are projected to continue driving revenue and valuation recovery in the Chinese internet sector's cloud business [1] - The domestic pharmaceutical and innovative drug sectors are likely to benefit from a resurgence in mergers and acquisitions by large multinational pharmaceutical companies, as well as an increase in BD transactions [1] Group 3 - The automotive industry is expected to see flat or slightly declining sales next year, with current market sentiment being sufficiently pessimistic, presenting an opportunity to gradually accumulate stocks of companies with high earnings growth certainty [2] - The consumption sector's recovery remains uneven, suggesting a strategy of "anchoring on earnings while leveraging growth" for investment [2] - The education sector is viewed positively for its resilient growth and expansion opportunities [2] Group 4 - Recommended stocks for Q1 next year include: Alphabet (GOOGL.US), Meta (META.US), Netflix (NFLX.US), Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba (BABA.US), Bilibili (BILI.US), Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692), CanSino Biologics-B (02162), Innovent Biologics (01801), and others [2]

宏观方面，美联储如期降息25个基点，中国银河证券指出，美联储降息后，美元走弱预期会推动港元利 率中枢下行，同时还能推动外资回流，双重作用将有效改善港股的流动性，进一步带动港股整体向好。 港股科技方面，12月10日，通义千问宣布语音合成模型Qwen3-TTS迎来升级，支持多音色、多语种和多 方言。此外，有消息称，美国科技巨头Meta使用阿里千问优化其最新AI模型。在行业看来，这一动向 从侧面证实了阿里千问作为开源模型的硬核实力。 招商证券表示，AI科技赛道长期产业趋势还在，从生产率的提升、应用范围的扩大都可以看出AI技术 仍蕴含潜能，短期市场波动并不影响实体产业的投资价值。已在业绩表现上开始兑现其AI投资回报的 企业，或将成为港股科技调整后，更具投资价值的标的。 12月11日，港股三大指数悉数飘绿，自带"科技+红利"哑铃策略的——香港大盘30ETF（520560）逆市 飘红，彰显韧性。成份股方面，百胜中国领涨超1%，美团、招商银行、中国平安、小米集团、泡泡玛 特、百济神州等个股飘红。 数据显示，香港大盘30ETF（520560）近5日连续吸金，合计金额3886万元，拉长时间来看，近20日累 计吸金7518万元， ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Asian stock markets have risen approximately 25% this year, driven by a revaluation of price-to-earnings ratios, with strong support from a resilient macro environment and robust corporate earnings momentum [1] - The report highlights that South Korea and China maintain strong momentum, while India's stock market continues to reach new highs. Japan remains attractive amid accelerated reforms, and the Australian market shows steady performance [1] - The report anticipates that by mid-2026, the reality of AI returns will be tested, with a peak in the US dollar exchange rate, which will help Asian and emerging markets outperform the broader market [1] Group 2 - In China, strong earnings momentum is expected to drive a 15% upside potential, with a consensus forecast of 16% earnings growth per share by 2026. The private sector and high-tech manufacturing are expected to lead this growth [2] - The report identifies key sectors for 2026, including alternative energy (lithium batteries, solar), automotive, beauty, healthcare, industrial automation, internet technology, and semiconductors, while maintaining a cautious stance on materials and durable consumer goods [2] Group 3 - The report recommends several thematic stocks for 2026, including Tencent, CATL, Sungrow Power Supply, Mindray, Yili, Geely, Galaxy Entertainment, Huahai Pharmaceutical, Yihua Healthcare, and InnoCare Pharma [3]

港股消费ETF（513230）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，一键打包互联网电商龙头+新消费，成分股近 乎囊括港股消费的各个领域，包括泡泡玛特、老铺黄金、蜜雪集团等新消费龙头，又包含腾讯、阿里巴 巴、美团等互联网电商龙头，科技+消费属性突出。 12月10日，国家统计局发布了最新月度居民消费价格指数（CPI）及工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）。 数据显示，11月，居民消费持续恢复，CPI同比上涨0.7%，涨幅比上月扩大0.5个百分点，为2024年3月 份以来最高。同时，扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨1.2%，涨幅连续3个月保持在1%以上。 华泰证券研报表示，展望2026年，促消费政策持续发力有望激发供需潜力，内需有望延续稳健复苏态 势，行业延续景气分化，龙头凭借领先与创新优势，以及整合能力将实现持续成长。 12月11日，港股三大指数早盘回落，恒指涨0.09%，国企指数跌0.13%，恒生科技指数跌0.65%。港股消 费板块早盘窄幅震荡，港股消费ETF（513230）现小幅微跌至0.2%，其持仓股中，古茗、思摩尔国际、 老铺黄金、万洲国际等涨幅靠前，巨子生物、统一企业中国、同程旅行、中国儒意等跌幅靠前。 ...

文 | 游戏茶馆 12月7日，为期两天的DNFU 2025嘉年华在上海西岸落下帷幕。 除了端手游之外，今年在海外上线的《地下城与勇士：卡赞》以及未来格斗方向的新品也在本次嘉年华 上亮相。尤其是《地下城与勇士：卡赞》，据了解即将上线的国服版本将会提供一个绝对良心的首发价 格，而除了原有内容之外，还会加入一些国服独有的定制内容更新，来满足国服玩家的需求。 相比此前的嘉年华，本次最大的变化就是首次将DNF端游、手游、单机游戏以及众多衍生作品共同汇聚 成一个共有IP宇宙。在现场你能够看到不同平台不同受众的玩家欢聚一堂，共同享受DNF所带来的各种 乐趣。 腾讯国内发行支持业务&Nexon合作业务市场负责人李洁露告诉茶馆，直到今年他们才敢把DNF称之为 真正的IP。在她看来，真正的IP应该是一个生态共建的状态，这意味着除了原来的研发团队之外，应该 以IP吸引更多领域热爱的用户进来共同创作不同的内容，由此发挥他们的才华来不断完善这个IP宇宙， 这种价值才能够称之为IP。 借此机会，茶馆以及业内同行也和腾讯国内发行支持业务&Nexon合作业务市场负责人李洁露、DNF端 游发行制作人丁文斌以及DNF手游发行制作人解卅共同聊了聊 ...

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The U.S. economy is expected to maintain moderate growth in the coming year, supported by factors such as Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and AI investments [1] - The Hong Kong stock market is anticipated to shift from valuation-driven to profit growth-driven, with a projected earnings growth rate of 6% to 10% for the Hang Seng Index [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The valuation expansion in the Hong Kong market may weaken, but liquidity will remain supportive, leading to a new supply creating new demand [1] - The dual liquidity easing in both China and the U.S. is expected to increase foreign and southbound capital supply, translating into new demand for Hong Kong stocks [1] Group 3: Sector Analysis - The U.S. tech sector is expected to become more rational, with AI continuing to be a key driver, while the regulatory environment will favor mergers and acquisitions [2] - The domestic pharmaceutical and innovative drug sectors are likely to benefit from a resurgence in M&A activity from large multinational companies [2] - The automotive sector is projected to see flat or slightly declining sales, presenting opportunities to gradually accumulate stocks of companies with high earnings growth certainty [2] Group 4: Recommended Stocks - Top stock picks for the first quarter of next year include Alphabet (GOOGL.US), Meta (META.US), Netflix (NFLX.US), Tencent Holdings (00700), Alibaba (BABA.US), and others [3]

港股通周三净流出10.2亿港元，其中小米集团(01810.HK)净流入最多，达6.2亿港元，其次是农业银行(01288.HK)。另 一方面，盈富基金(02800.HK)录得最大净流出，达15.6亿港元，其次是腾讯控股(00700.HK)。 美联储在货币政策委员会FOMC会后公布，联邦基金利率的目标区间从3.75%至4.00%下调至3.50%至3.75%，同时启动 短期美国国债的购买。美联储主席鲍威尔在会后强调，"下次会加息"不是任何人的基本假设，就业增长实际或被高 估，自四月以来就业增长可能已经略微转负，劳动力市场仍在持续、逐步降温，可能只是比此前预期的降温幅度略微 更温和一些。通胀方面，他表示关税影响明年料逐渐消退。他说，目前利率所处位置使美联储能够耐心等待，观察经 济接下来将如何演变。 ...

Core Insights - The HarmonyOS version of WeChat Moments now supports sending and viewing live photos [1] - The installation of the HarmonyOS version of WeChat has exceeded 27 million times [1] - The app supports essential features such as basic communication, social networking, WeChat Pay, official accounts, mini-programs, video accounts, and live streaming [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The gaming sector's valuation has reached a lower limit of 15 times, with expectations of maintaining high prosperity and performance growth certainty through 2026, making it an attractive investment opportunity [1][3][25] - The A-share market recommends a "3+2" combination: Giant Network, Kaiying Network, and Century Huatong as stable fundamentals; Gibit and 37 Interactive are positioned lower but showing recent improvements [1][4] Company-Specific Insights Tencent - Expected to launch multiple mid-sized new games in 2026, with a diverse range of genres [7] - Notable titles include "Under One Person," "Rock Kingdom World," and "Monster Hunter Traveler" [7] NetEase - Anticipates additional revenue of 2-3 billion from international IP adaptations and domestic MMO games [2][24] - Key upcoming titles include "Forgotten Sea" and "Infinite," with the former developed by the team behind "Identity V" [7][24] Giant Network - "Famous General Kill" is expected to contribute 200-300 million in profit, with "Supernatural Action Group" potentially increasing annual revenue to 7-8 billion if successful during the Spring Festival [10][12] Kaiying Network - The "Legend Box" platform is driving growth, with DAU expected to reach 650,000 to 700,000 by the end of 2026, and annual advertising revenue projected at around 2.4 billion [10][13] Bilibili - Strong growth in advertising business, with expectations to outperform the overall internet advertising growth rate [21] - Anticipated game revenue growth in the low double digits, with "Three Kingdoms Hundred Generals Card" projected to generate 1-1.5 billion [21] Gibit - Recent performance impacted by a decline in revenue from "Sword of the World," but new game "Nine Mu of the Wild" expected to contribute 1-1.5 billion [19][20] Heart Company - Facing stock price pressure but has potential due to rapid progress in programmatic advertising, with profits expected to reach 150-200 million in 2026 [22] Market Trends and Predictions - The gaming sector is expected to maintain strong growth certainty compared to other sectors, with a focus on identifying high-certainty investment targets [25] - The first quarter of 2026 is anticipated to be stable, with significant product launches concentrated in the summer [11][25] Additional Insights - The competitive landscape is expected to increase in 2026, but companies will focus on their strengths without excessive suppression of smaller firms [11] - The overall sentiment is optimistic for the gaming industry, with a recommendation for investors to strategically select stocks based on performance certainty and market conditions [25]