Summary of Tongcheng Travel Holdings 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tongcheng Travel Holdings - **Industry**: Online Travel Agency (OTA) in Asia Pacific - **Date of Earnings Call**: November 25, 2025 Key Financial Results - **3Q25 Revenue**: Revenue exceeded estimates by 1%, driven by a 15% growth in the core OTA business, outperforming peers in the domestic market [2][4] - **Gross Profit Margin (GPM)**: Achieved 65.7%, 1 percentage point better than estimates due to a favorable mix shift towards core OTA [2][4] - **Net Profit**: Beat estimates by 3%, with a year-over-year margin improvement of 1 percentage point [2][4] M&A Activity - **Wanda Hotel Management Acquisition**: Closed in mid-October, expected to contribute approximately RMB 160-180 million in revenue and RMB 20 million in profit for 4Q25. This acquisition includes 239 hotels, primarily high-end in tier two or lower cities, and is seen as a future growth engine [3][4] 4Q25 Outlook - **Revenue Growth Projection**: Anticipated growth of 10-15% overall, with core OTA growth at 15-20%. Accommodations expected to be the main contributor with 12-17% revenue growth [4] - **Transportation Revenue Growth**: Projected at 6-11%, driven by improved take rates and value-added service (VAS) adoption [4] - **Other Revenue Growth**: Expected to accelerate to 45-50% due to M&A contributions [4] - **Profit Guidance**: Adjusted profit range for 4Q25 is RMB 720-780 million, with no change to full-year guidance [4] Long-term Projections - **2026 Revenue Growth**: Management expects low to mid-teens organic core OTA revenue growth (13-18% including M&A) and a further 0.5 percentage point margin improvement [4] - **Marketing Investments**: Plans to increase marketing spending for emerging outbound business and its own app [4] Valuation Metrics - **Current P/E Ratios**: Trading at 13.6x for 2025 and 11.6x for 2026, considered attractive given the double-digit core OTA revenue growth and margin expansion [5] - **Price Target**: Set at HK$29.00, indicating a 34% upside from the current price of HK$21.62 [7] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: Strong pent-up demand and moderating competition in lower-tier cities could enhance margins [12] - **Downside Risks**: Softer macroeconomic growth in China and intensifying competition in lower-tier cities could impact performance [12] Additional Insights - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately RMB 45.203 billion [7] - **Average Daily Trading Value**: HK$253 million [7] - **52-Week Price Range**: HK$24.90 - HK$17.02 [7] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings call, highlighting the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and market outlook.

证券研究报告 港股通 2025 年 11 月 26 日│中国香港 互联网 同程公布 3Q25 业绩：收入 55 亿元，yoy+10.4%，基本符合 VA 一致预期 （简称预期）的 54.9 亿元；经营利润 11.6 亿元，超预期 7.5%，经营利润 率持续优化，yoy+1.5pct，主要来自于精细化补贴和费用管控；调整后净利 润 10.6 亿元，超预期 2.8%。公司本季度收入表现基本符合预期，利润超预 期。我们看好国内旅游的需求韧性，同时公司高品质酒店占比提升，带来结 构性改善。维持"买入"评级。 公司收入基本符合预期，酒店/机票价格改善贡献正向驱动 公司 3Q25 收入 55 亿元，yoy+10.4%，基本符合预期。拆分来看,核心 OTA 业务中，住宿及预定服务收入达 15.8 亿元，yoy+14.7%，基本符合预期。 暑期旅游旺季需求释放，同时公司高品质酒店预订占比提升，客房量增长超 20%，而酒店价格止跌回正，成为收入增长正向驱动。交通业务持续稳健增 长，收入 22.09 亿元，yoy+9.0%，主要源于用户的需求增加以及持续丰富 的增值产品及服务，且机票票价止跌，我们预计未来交通业务量将保持稳健 增 ...

摩根士丹利发布研报称，同程旅行(00780)第三季业绩略胜预期，期内收入较该行预期高1%，主要受核 心线上旅游平台(OTA)业务同比增长15%带动，增幅高于国内行业水平，毛利率达65.7%，较该行预期 高1个百分点，因OTA业务占比提高，净利润较该行预期高3%，利润率同比提升1个百分点。该行维持 对其"增持"评级，目标价29港元。 展望第四季，计入并购影响后，预期同程旅行收入将增长10%至15%，当中核心OTA业务增长达15%至 20%。第四季经调整利润指引为7.2亿至7.8亿元人民币，反映全年指引不变，因公司计划稍为加大投入 于新兴出境旅游业务及自有APP。管理层预期2026年核心OTA业务收入有机增长将达低至中十位数。透 过研发及行政效率提升，利润率有望进一步改善约0.5个百分点。 ...

展望第四季，计入并购影响后，预期同程旅行收入将增长10%至15%，当中核心OTA业务增长达15%至 20%。第四季经调整利润指引为7.2亿至7.8亿元人民币，反映全年指引不变，因公司计划稍为加大投入 于新兴出境旅游业务及自有APP。管理层预期2026年核心OTA业务收入有机增长将达低至中十位数。透 过研发及行政效率提升，利润率有望进一步改善约0.5个百分点。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，同程旅行(00780)第三季业绩略胜预期，期内收入较该行预 期高1%，主要受核心线上旅游平台(OTA)业务同比增长15%带动，增幅高于国内行业水平，毛利率达 65.7%，较该行预期高1个百分点，因OTA业务占比提高，净利润较该行预期高3%，利润率同比提升1个 百分点。该行维持对其"增持"评级，目标价29港元。 ...

Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel reported a record high of 253 million annual paying users and over 2 billion cumulative service users as of Q3 2025 [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.509 billion yuan in Q3, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.4%, with transportation and accommodation revenues growing by 9% and 14.7% respectively [1][2] - The growth potential in the mass tourism market remains significant, providing favorable conditions for the long-term sustainable development of the company [1][3] Revenue Breakdown - Transportation business revenue reached 2.209 billion yuan, while accommodation business revenue was 1.580 billion yuan [1] - Other revenue segments saw a year-on-year increase of 34.9%, totaling 821 million yuan in Q3 [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company has established strategic partnerships with over 20 airports or airport groups to enhance the aviation industry chain [2] - Tongcheng Travel is leveraging AI technology to provide personalized travel experiences and has integrated AI tools across various services, attracting millions of users [1][2] - The company is promoting digital upgrades in the accommodation industry through its platform, with nearly 3,000 hotels currently operating and an additional 1,500 under construction [2] Future Outlook - The CEO of Tongcheng Travel emphasized the commitment to enriching high-quality tourism product offerings to meet the travel needs of ordinary consumers and to foster a sustainable industry ecosystem [3]

Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel reported a significant increase in annual paid users and service instances, reaching 253 million and over 2 billion respectively by the end of Q3 2025, marking a historical high [1] - The company achieved a revenue of 5.509 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.4%, driven by the rising consumption potential of the mass tourism market [1][2] - The domestic tourism market continues to recover, with a notable trend towards diversified and experiential travel, supported by both outbound and inbound tourism growth [1][2] Revenue Growth - Transportation revenue grew by 9% year-on-year to 2.209 billion yuan, while accommodation revenue increased by 14.7% to 1.580 billion yuan in Q3 2025 [1] - The overall domestic travel expenditure reached 4.85 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with rural residents' spending growing at a rate of 24%, significantly outpacing urban residents [2] Service Optimization - Tongcheng Travel launched the "First Flight Care" service targeting first-time flyers, which saw a more than 300% month-on-month increase in users in August [2] - The company enhanced user experience by integrating services like "Easy Security Check" into its WeChat mini-program and app, and established nearly 20 member service centers in various cities [2] Product Diversification - The company is expanding its product offerings and utilizing AI technology to provide personalized travel experiences, with its AI tool DeepTrip attracting millions of users [3] - The urban transportation service has expanded to cover over 100 cities, catering to everyday travel needs of regular travelers [2][3] Industry Transformation - The application of intelligent technology is accelerating changes in the tourism industry, with Tongcheng Travel forming strategic partnerships with over 20 airports to enhance the aviation supply chain [4] - The company is promoting digital upgrades in the accommodation sector through its platform, with nearly 3,000 hotels currently operational and 1,500 under construction [4] Strategic Acquisitions - Tongcheng Travel completed the acquisition of 100% equity in Wanda Hotel Management for 2.49 billion yuan, aiming to enhance its high-end brand offerings and align with its user base in lower-tier cities [5] - The CEO emphasized the ongoing growth potential in the mass tourism market and the commitment to enriching high-quality travel product offerings [5]

Core Insights - Tongcheng Travel reported a revenue of 5.509 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and a net profit of 976 million yuan, up 23.1% year-on-year [2] - The company has seen significant growth in its user base, with annual paid users reaching 253 million and cumulative service users exceeding 2 billion, marking a historical high [2][4] Revenue Growth - Transportation business revenue grew by 9% to 2.209 billion yuan, while accommodation revenue increased by 14.7% to 1.580 billion yuan [2][4] - Other income segments saw a year-on-year increase of 34.9%, reaching 821 million yuan [5] User Engagement and Services - The number of annual paid users increased by 8.8%, and cumulative service users grew by 7.3% year-on-year [4][5] - The "First Flight Care" service saw a more than 300% increase in users in August 2025, covering 25 major airport cities [3] Market Trends - Non-first-tier cities are becoming the main drivers of tourism market growth, with rural residents' travel spending increasing by 24% year-on-year [3] - The overall domestic travel expenditure reached 4.85 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025 [3] Strategic Partnerships and Innovations - Tongcheng Travel has established strategic partnerships with over 20 airports to enhance its service offerings and improve the travel experience [5] - The integration of AI technology has allowed for personalized travel experiences, with the AI tool DeepTrip attracting millions of users [4][5] CEO's Vision - The CEO emphasized the ongoing growth potential of the mass tourism market and the company's commitment to providing high-quality travel products while fostering sustainable industry development [6]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net revenue of RMB 5.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.4% [18] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB 1,060 million, marking a 16.5% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted net margin expanding to 19.2% from 18.2% [19][22] - Gross profit increased by 14.4% year-over-year to RMB 3.6 billion, with a gross margin of 65.7% [22] - Annual paying users reached a historic high of 253 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 8.8% [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The accommodation reservation business achieved RMB 1.6 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, a 14.7% increase from the same period in 2024, driven by increased hotel room nights sold [19] - Transportation ticketing revenue reached RMB 2.2 billion, marking a 9.0% year-over-year increase [20] - Other business segments, including hotel management, saw revenue grow to RMB 821 million, a 34.9% year-over-year increase [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The international air ticketing business accounted for around 6% of total transportation ticketing revenue, up about two percentage points year-over-year [21] - The company noted a significant increase in the proportion of higher-quality accommodation bookings, with over 20% growth in room nights sold [38] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance user value and operational efficiency in its domestic business while expanding its outbound business and strengthening its global market presence [24][25] - Following the acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management, the company plans to integrate its operations to accelerate growth in the hotel management segment [6][32] - The focus remains on technological innovation to drive product and service upgrades, ensuring high-quality travel experiences for users [5] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the resilience and growth potential of China's travel industry, driven by changing consumer behaviors and preferences [3][5] - The company anticipates continued growth in the outbound travel segment, targeting a revenue contribution of 10%-15% in the coming years [30] - Management remains committed to balancing market expansion with profitability, aiming for robust growth in both top line and bottom line [24][25] Other Important Information - The company has achieved an MSCI ESG rating of AAA, placing it among the top 5% of companies globally in its industry [15] - The standalone app has seen strong growth, with daily active users hitting nearly 5 million before the National Day holidays [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future growth engines regarding international business and hotel management - Management highlighted that the outbound business is a key growth driver, with expectations for rapid growth and profitability in the coming years [29][30] - The hotel management business is expected to expand significantly, with a focus on integrating the Wanda brand and enhancing operational efficiency [32][33] Question: Future hotel ADR trends and competition in the domestic market - Management noted that domestic ADR has stabilized and is expected to improve, driven by a shift towards higher-quality accommodations [38] - The company believes its established supply chain and user understanding provide a strong competitive advantage against new entrants [42][43] Question: Margin trends and AI technology impact - Management indicated that margin expansion remains a priority, supported by improved operational efficiency and AI integration [55][58] - AI technology is seen as beneficial for enhancing operational efficiency and user experience, with ongoing investments planned [59][60] Question: Impact of recent events in Japan on business performance - Management does not expect a material impact on overall performance but will monitor developments closely and adjust strategies as needed [64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net revenue of CNY 5.5 billion, a 10.4% year-over-year increase from Q3 2024 [18] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB 1,060 million, reflecting a 16.5% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted net margin expanding to 19.2% compared to 18.2% in the same period last year [19][22] - Gross profit increased by 14.4% year-over-year to RMB 3.6 billion, with a gross margin of 65.7% [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core OTA business revenue grew by 14.9% year-over-year to RMB 4.6 billion, driven by accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, and other segments [19] - Accommodation reservation revenue reached RMB 1.6 billion, a 14.7% increase from Q3 2024, attributed to increased hotel room nights sold [19][20] - Transportation ticketing revenue was RMB 2.2 billion, marking a 9.0% year-over-year increase [20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The annual paying users reached a historic high of 253 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 8.8% [11] - The cumulative number of passengers served on the platform exceeded 2 billion over the past 12 months, indicating a stable annual purchase frequency of 8 times per user [11] - The international air ticketing business accounted for around 6% of total transportation ticketing revenue, up about 2 percentage points year-over-year [21][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance user value and operational efficiency in its domestic business while expanding its outbound business and strengthening its global market presence [24][25] - The acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management is expected to accelerate the growth of the hotel management business and strengthen competitive positioning [6][11][32] - The company is committed to integrating AI technologies to enhance operational efficiency and user experience [6][15] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the travel market in China is showing robust growth, driven by rising demand for immersive experiences [7][18] - The company remains focused on balancing market expansion and profitability, aiming for robust growth in both top line and bottom line [24][25] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term sustainable growth and value creation for stakeholders [6][11][33] Other Important Information - The company has achieved an MSCI ESG rating of AAA, placing it among the top 5% of companies globally in its industry [15] - The standalone app has seen strong growth, with daily active users hitting nearly 5 million before the National Day holidays [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future growth engines regarding international business and hotel management - Management highlighted that the outbound business is a key growth driver, with expectations for rapid growth and a revenue contribution of 10-15% in the next two to three years [29][30][31] - The hotel management business is expected to expand significantly, with the acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management enhancing the company's portfolio and market influence [32][33] Question: Future hotel ADR trend and competition in the domestic market - Management indicated that domestic ADR has stabilized and is expected to improve, driven by a shift towards higher-quality accommodations [38][40] - The company believes it has strong defensive moats against competition due to its established supply chain and user understanding [42][43] Question: Margin trends and AI technology impact - Management expects continued margin improvement driven by operational efficiency and AI integration, with a focus on balancing revenue growth and profitability [55][58] - AI technology is seen as beneficial for enhancing operational efficiency and user experience, with ongoing investments planned [59][60] Question: Impact of recent Japan incident on business performance - Management does not expect a material impact on full-year performance but will monitor developments closely and adjust strategies as needed [64]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q3 2025, the company reported a net revenue of CNY 5.5 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.4% from Q3 2024 [17] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB 1,060 million, representing a 16.5% year-over-year growth, with an adjusted net margin expanding to 19.2% compared to 18.2% in the same period last year [18] - Gross profit increased by 14.4% year-over-year to RMB 3.6 billion, with a gross margin of 65.7% [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core OTA business revenue grew by 14.9% year-over-year to RMB 4.6 billion, driven by accommodation reservations, transportation ticketing, and other segments [18] - Accommodation reservation revenue reached RMB 1.6 billion, a 14.7% increase from Q3 2024, attributed to higher hotel room nights sold and a slight increase in ADR [18] - Transportation ticketing revenue was RMB 2.2 billion, marking a 9.0% year-over-year increase [20] - Other business segments saw revenue of RMB 821 million, a growth of 34.9% year-over-year, primarily due to the hotel management business [21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The annual paying users reached a historic high of 253 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 8.8% [11] - The cumulative number of passengers served on the platform exceeded 2 billion, indicating a stable annual purchase frequency of 8 times per user [11] - The international air ticketing business accounted for around 6% of total transportation ticketing revenue, up about 2 percentage points year-over-year [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain its focus on the mass market while expanding its outbound business and exploring new growth drivers across the travel industry [5] - The acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management is expected to accelerate the growth of the hotel management business and strengthen the company's competitive positioning [11] - The company is committed to integrating AI technologies to enhance operational efficiency and user experience [5][15] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the travel market in China is showing robust growth, driven by rising demand for immersive experiences and innovative service models [3] - The company plans to capitalize on market opportunities while managing risks with discipline and prudence, aiming for robust growth in both top line and bottom line [24] - Management expressed confidence in achieving long-term sustainable growth and delivering value to stakeholders through a clear strategic roadmap [5][34] Other Important Information - The company has achieved an MSCI ESG rating of AAA, placing it among the top 5% of companies globally in its industry [15] - The standalone app has seen strong growth, with daily active users hitting nearly 5 million before the National Day holidays [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Future growth engines regarding international business and hotel management - Management highlighted that the outbound business is a key growth driver, with expectations for rapid growth and profitability in the coming years [30][31] - The hotel management business is expected to expand significantly, with a focus on integrating Wanda Hotel Management to enhance offerings and profitability [32][34] Question: Future hotel ADR trends and competition in the domestic market - Management noted that domestic ADR has stabilized and is expected to improve, driven by a shift towards higher-quality accommodations [39][40] - The company believes it has strong defensive moats against competition due to its established supply chain and user understanding [42][43] Question: Margin trends and AI technology impact - Management indicated that margin expansion remains a priority, supported by improved operational efficiency and AI integration [55][57] - AI technology is expected to enhance operational efficiency and user experience, contributing positively to the company's performance [58][60] Question: Impact of recent incidents in Japan on business performance - Management does not expect a material impact on full-year performance but will monitor developments closely and adjust strategies as needed [63]