Core Insights - The report from Everbright Securities maintains a "Buy" rating for Tongcheng Travel (00780), highlighting robust performance in Q3 with double-digit growth in both revenue and adjusted net profit, driven by strong performance in the core OTA business, particularly in international ticketing and hotel management [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tongcheng Travel achieved revenue of 5.509 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%; adjusted net profit reached 1.060 billion yuan, up 16.5% year-on-year; the adjusted net profit margin was 19.2%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The core OTA business revenue reached 4.609 billion yuan in Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.9% [2] Business Segmentation - Accommodation booking revenue in Q3 2025 was 1.579 billion yuan, up 14.7% year-on-year, driven by strong summer demand and an increase in high-quality hotel bookings [2] - Transportation ticketing revenue was 2.209 billion yuan, a 9.0% year-on-year increase, supported by the growth in international ticketing, which accounted for 6% of total transportation revenue, up 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Other business revenue reached 821 million yuan, a significant increase of 34.9% year-on-year, primarily due to strong performance in hotel management [2] Profitability and Efficiency - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 65.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year; the adjusted net profit margin was 19.2%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is leveraging AI technology to enhance operational efficiency, with the AI trip planning tool DeepTrip attracting millions of users [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of annual paying users reached 253 million, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year, with over 87% of registered users residing in non-first-tier cities [3] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the core OTA business is expected to maintain double-digit year-on-year revenue growth, with other business revenues likely to be driven by hotel management [4]

Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value of HKD 27 for Tongcheng Travel (00780), highlighting strong growth in accommodation bookings as a key driver for a 10% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 [1] Financial Performance - The company's Q3 revenue growth of 10% is primarily attributed to robust growth in accommodation bookings, aligning with expectations [1] - Operating profit margin exceeded expectations by 100 basis points, with core revenue growing by 15% [1] Growth Catalysts - The firm believes that the expansion of international business and profit margin will serve as long-term growth catalysts [1] - Tongcheng's hotel room nights are expected to increase by 23%, indicating strong demand [1] Future Projections - The group anticipates a 15-20% growth in core business revenue for Q4, which includes additional revenue from the recent acquisition of Wanda [1] - Excluding the acquisition, the projected revenue is still expected to achieve double-digit growth [1] Profitability Insights - The monetization rate for international tourism is approximately 10-15%, higher than the 5-6% for domestic low-star hotels, suggesting potential for future margin improvement [1] - Long-term expectations indicate that international tourism revenue will account for over 15% of total revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morningstar maintains a fair value of HKD 27 for Tongcheng Travel (00780), highlighting strong growth in accommodation bookings as a key driver for a 10% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 [1] Financial Performance - The company's Q3 revenue growth of 10% aligns with expectations, driven by robust accommodation booking growth [1] - Operating profit margin exceeded expectations by 100 basis points, with core revenue increasing by 15% [1] Growth Catalysts - International business and margin expansion are seen as long-term growth catalysts for the company [1] - The number of hotel room nights for Tongcheng is expected to increase by 23%, indicating strong demand [1] Future Projections - The group anticipates a 15-20% growth in core business revenue for Q4, including additional revenue from the recent acquisition of Wanda [1] - Excluding the acquisition, projected revenue growth is still expected to be in double digits [1] Market Insights - The monetization rate for international tourism is approximately 10-15%, higher than the 5-6% for domestic low-star hotels, suggesting potential for future margin improvement [1] - Long-term expectations indicate that international tourism revenue will account for over 15% of total revenue [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.509 billion yuan for Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, and an adjusted net profit of 1.060 billion yuan, up 16.5% year-on-year, with an adjusted net profit margin of 19.2%, an increase of 1.0 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. Revenue Breakdown - The core OTA business showed steady growth with revenue reaching 4.609 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%. - Accommodation booking revenue was 1.579 billion yuan, up 14.7% year-on-year, driven by strong summer demand and an increase in high-quality hotel bookings [2]. - Transportation ticketing revenue was 2.209 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year, supported by the growth in international ticket sales, which accounted for 6% of total transportation revenue, an increase of 2.0 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - Other business revenue reached 821 million yuan, up 34.9% year-on-year, primarily due to strong performance in hotel management, with nearly 3,000 hotels in operation and 1,500 under preparation [2]. - Vacation revenue was 900 million yuan, down 8.0% year-on-year, mainly due to ongoing safety concerns regarding travel to Southeast Asia [2]. Profitability and Efficiency - The company's gross margin reached 65.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, and the adjusted net profit margin was 19.2%, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year. This improvement in profitability is attributed to the positive effects of revenue scale and the application of AI to enhance operational efficiency [3]. - The company has 253 million annual paying users, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year, with over 87% of registered users residing in non-first-tier cities [3]. Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the core OTA revenue is expected to maintain double-digit year-on-year growth, with other business revenue likely to continue high growth driven by hotel management [3]. - The company forecasts adjusted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 3.368 billion yuan, 4.044 billion yuan, and 4.667 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding adjusted PE ratios of 14, 12, and 10 times [4][5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Ctrip (00780) has had its target price raised by 5.8% from HKD 24 to HKD 25.4, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] - Ctrip's Q3 2025 performance shows total revenue of RMB 5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, exceeding both the expectations of the company and market consensus by 1% [1] - Adjusted net profit for the same period reached RMB 1.06 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.5%, which is 4% and 2% higher than the company's and market's forecasts respectively, driven by better-than-expected operational leverage in the core OTA business [1] Group 2 - The operating profit margin for the core OTA business increased to 31.2% in Q3 2025, slightly above the company's forecast by 0.1 percentage points [1] - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards by 1-3% due to the consolidation of Wanda Hotel Management starting October 2025, which is expected to generate additional revenue [1] - Ctrip anticipates a year-on-year revenue growth of 14% and adjusted net profit growth of 12% in 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guotou Securities has raised the target price for Tongcheng Travel (00780) to HKD 27.2 from HKD 24.9, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to strong revenue and adjusted net profit growth, driven by the robust performance of its core advertising platform Mintegral and the application of AI technology in service enhancement [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue reached RMB 5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10%, aligning with expectations from both the firm and the market. Adjusted net profit rose 17% year-on-year to RMB 1.06 billion, slightly exceeding the firm's and market's expectations by 4% and 2% respectively, with an adjusted profit margin of 19.2%, up 1 and 3 percentage points year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from improved operational efficiency [1] - Core OTA operating profit increased by 15% year-on-year to RMB 1.4 billion, with a stable operating profit margin of 31.2%, showing a 4 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter [1] Core OTA Business Insights - In Q3, core OTA revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, with accommodation booking revenue also increasing by 15%, supported by a record high average daily room nights and a slight increase in ADR, outperforming the industry. High-quality hotel room nights rose by 20% year-on-year, increasing its share of total room nights [2] - Transportation ticketing revenue grew by 9% year-on-year, with a stable monetization rate, and international ticketing contributed 6% to transportation revenue, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [2] User Metrics - In Q3, the monthly paying users (MPU) reached 47.7 million, a 3% year-on-year increase, while annual paying users (APU) grew by 9% to 253 million. The ARPPU (Average Revenue Per Paying User) for the last 12 months was RMB 74 for total revenue and RMB 63 for core OTA revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% and 7% respectively, indicating the gradual release of the platform's user scale advantage [3] Financial Forecast - The firm anticipates a 17% year-on-year increase in core OTA revenue for Q4, with accommodation booking and transportation ticketing expected to grow by 15% and 9% respectively. The domestic hotel booking revenue is primarily driven by room night growth. The firm sees long-term potential in the business, with accommodation bookings as the main growth driver, and an increase in high-star hotel bookings expected to boost ADR. New accommodation scenarios are anticipated to provide additional room night growth [4] - For international business, the company projects that its contribution to total revenue could rise to 10-15% over the next 2-3 years, focusing on enhancing user stickiness and volume for international ticketing and building international hotel supply capacity. Future attention should be on the increase in high-star hotel room nights domestically, progress in international business, and collaboration with Wanda Hotel Management [4]

Core Viewpoint - Guotou Securities has raised the target price for Tongcheng Travel (00780) to HKD 27.2 from HKD 24.9, maintaining a "Buy" rating due to strong revenue and adjusted net profit growth, driven by the robust performance of its core advertising platform Mintegral and the widespread adoption of its AI bidding products [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue reached RMB 5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10%, aligning with expectations from both the firm and the market. Adjusted net profit rose 17% year-on-year to RMB 1.06 billion, slightly exceeding the firm's and market's expectations by 4% and 2%, respectively. The adjusted profit margin improved to 19.2%, up 1 and 3 percentage points year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, benefiting from enhanced operational efficiency [1] - Core OTA operating profit increased by 15% year-on-year to RMB 1.4 billion, with a stable operating profit margin of 31.2%, showing a 4 percentage point increase quarter-on-quarter [1] Core OTA Business Insights - In Q3, core OTA revenue grew by 15% year-on-year, with accommodation booking revenue also increasing by 15%, supported by a record high average daily room nights and a slight increase in ADR, outperforming the industry. High-quality hotel room nights rose by 20% year-on-year, continuing to increase its share of total room nights [2] - Transportation ticketing revenue grew by 9% year-on-year, with a stable monetization rate. International ticketing contributed 6% to transportation revenue, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [2] User Metrics - In Q3, the monthly paying users (MPU) reached 47.7 million, a 3% year-on-year increase, while annual paying users (APU) grew by 9% to 253 million. The ARPPU (Average Revenue Per Paying User) for the last 12 months was RMB 74 for total revenue and RMB 63 for core OTA revenue, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6% and 7%, respectively, indicating the platform's user scale advantage is gradually being realized [3] Financial Forecast - The firm anticipates a 17% year-on-year increase in core OTA revenue for Q4, with accommodation booking and transportation ticketing expected to grow by 15% and 9%, respectively. The domestic hotel booking revenue is primarily driven by room night growth. In the medium to long term, accommodation bookings are seen as the main growth driver, with an increasing share of high-star hotels expected to boost ADR. New accommodation scenarios are anticipated to provide additional growth in room nights [4] - For international business, the company projects that its contribution to total revenue could rise to 10-15% over the next 2-3 years, focusing on enhancing user stickiness and volume for international ticketing and building international hotel supply capabilities. Future attention should be given to the increase in high-star hotel room nights domestically, progress in international business, and synergies with Wanda Hotel Management [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Tongcheng Travel (00780), highlighting the sustained release of leisure travel demand since the summer peak season, driven by the company's subsidy strategy and an increase in the proportion of hotels rated three stars and above, leading to a trend of simultaneous growth in both volume and price in the hotel business [1] Group 1: Revenue and Performance - The company achieved revenue of 5.51 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.4%; adjusted EBITDA reached 1.51 billion yuan, up 14.5%, and adjusted net profit was 1.06 billion yuan, increasing by 16.5%, with both revenue and performance meeting expectations [1] - In Q3 2025, the company generated revenue from accommodation bookings, transportation tickets, vacation services, and other businesses amounting to 1.58 billion, 2.21 billion, 900 million, and 820 million yuan respectively, with other businesses performing exceptionally well, primarily driven by strong growth in hotel management [1] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of hotels under the group's management platform increased to nearly 3,000, with an additional 1,500 hotels in preparation; the acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management Co., Ltd. was completed on October 16, 2025, with 239 hotels operated under Wanda as of Q3 2025 [1] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The company's overall gross margin was 65.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year; the management, R&D, and sales expense ratios were 5.3%, 9.3%, and 31.1% respectively, with an adjusted net profit margin of 19.2%, up 1.0 percentage point, indicating steady improvement in profitability [2] Group 3: User Growth and Services - The average monthly paying users reached 47.7 million, an increase of 2.8%, while annual paying users totaled 250 million, up 8.8%, marking a historical high; the total number of travelers served over the past 12 months was 2.02 billion, reflecting a 7.3% increase, indicating a continued steady growth trend in paying users [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities maintains a "strong buy" rating for Tongcheng Travel (00780), highlighting the sustained release of leisure travel demand since the summer peak season, driven by the company's subsidy strategy and an increase in the proportion of hotels rated three stars and above, leading to a trend of rising volume and price in hotel business [1] Group 1: Revenue and Performance - The company achieved revenue of 5.51 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, with adjusted EBITDA of 1.51 billion yuan (+14.5%) and adjusted net profit of 1.06 billion yuan (+16.5%), meeting expectations [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue from accommodation booking, transportation ticketing, vacation business, and other businesses reached 1.58 billion, 2.21 billion, 900 million, and 820 million yuan respectively, with strong performance in hotel management driving growth [1] - As of September 30, 2025, the number of hotels under the group's management platform increased to nearly 3,000, with an additional 1,500 hotels in preparation, and the acquisition of Wanda Hotel Management Co., Ltd. was completed on October 16, 2025, managing 239 hotels under Wanda [1] Group 2: Profitability and Margins - The company's overall gross margin was 65.7%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points year-on-year, indicating steady improvement in profitability [2] - The management, R&D, and sales expense ratios were 5.3%, 9.3%, and 31.1% respectively, with an adjusted net profit margin of 19.2%, up by 1.0 percentage point, aligning with expectations [2] Group 3: User Growth and Services - The average monthly paying users reached 47.7 million, an increase of 2.8%, while annual paying users grew to 250 million, up by 8.8%, marking a historical high [3] - The total number of travelers served in the past 12 months was 2.02 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.3%, indicating a continued upward trend in paying users [3]

同程旅行 20251125 摘要 同山旅游 2025 年第三季度净收入达 55 亿元人民币，同比增长 10.4%，经调整净利润 10.6 亿元人民币，同比增长 16.5%，利润率提 升至 19.2%。核心在线旅游业务收入同比增长 14.9%，达到 46 亿元人 民币，其中住宿预订收入 16 亿元人民币，同比增长 14%。 住宿业务表现强劲，每日房间预订量和季度收入创新高，高品质住宿销 售间夜数增长超 20%。升级会员计划和加强与第三方合作，提升用户粘 性和扩展服务范围，推动业务增长。 交通业务稳健增长，通过算法整合优质交通选择，利用营销活动提升用 户体验。国际航空票务业务占比达 6%，同比增长约 2 个百分点，专注 于增强用户忠诚度，实现销量和收入均衡增长。 酒店管理业务快速扩张，运营酒店总数增至近 3,000 家，完成对万达酒 店管理公司的收购，丰富品牌组合。截至 9 月底，公司在国内外拥有 239 家酒店网络，通过创新用户参与计划产生积极财务影响。 公司持续推动人工智能技术在供应链资源中的应用，推出基于人工智能 的深度旅行规划器，并将其应用扩展到各项业务流程中，提高运营效率 和用户体验，从而提高客户满意度 ...