Core Insights - BYD sold 210,100 new vehicles in January 2026, although overall sales were surpassed by Geely, indicating competitive pressure in the domestic market [1] - The overseas export performance of BYD remains strong, with passenger cars and pickups reaching 100,000 units sold, representing a year-on-year growth of 43.3% [1] - The sales breakdown by brand shows diversification in BYD's portfolio: 177,500 units for BYD brand, 21,600 units for Fangchengbao brand, 6,002 units for Tengshi brand, and 413 units for Yangwang brand [1] - The sales structure indicates that the overseas market has become a significant growth engine for BYD [1]

进入2026年1月后，新能源汽车购置税开始减半征收，车企购 置税兜底政策也随之结束。另外，1月各地具体的购车补贴细 则尚未全部出台，导致消费者存在观望情绪，影响了车市终端 销售情况。 作者：王帅国 封图：图虫创意 2月1日，各家车企相继发布了1月销量。从整体上看，汽车行业实现2026年"开门红"，大多数车 企1月销量同比取得正增长，但这一同比增长是由于2025年春节在1月，去年同期的新车销售基数 较低。 环比数据上，大多数车企1月销量下滑明显，主要原因在于2025年12月新能源汽车还享受购置税 全额减免政策，同时车企为年底冲量，在12月出台了许多其他优惠政策。进入2026年1月后，新 能源汽车购置税开始减半征收，车企购置税兜底政策也随之结束。另外，1月各地具体的购车补贴 细则尚未全部出台，导致消费者存在观望情绪，影响了车市终端销售情况。 广汽集团1月销量为11.66万辆，同比增长18.47%，环比下滑37.79%。其中自主品牌销量超4.9 万辆，同比增长87.58%；海外销量同比增长68.59%。分品牌来看，昊铂+埃安销量2.16万辆， 同比大增171.63%；传祺品牌销量2.77万辆，同比增长51.06%； ...

Core Insights - January saw a significant reshuffling in the domestic automotive market, with new energy vehicle (NEV) purchase tax reinstatement and demand being pulled forward due to promotions leading to changes in rankings among new players [1] - New energy vehicle companies showed a clear divergence in January sales, with Zeekr, NIO, and Xiaomi Auto experiencing over 90% year-on-year growth, while Li Auto and Xpeng faced declines [1][2] Sales Performance - Hommage Zhixing delivered 57,900 vehicles in January, with the AITO brand contributing 40,000 units, accounting for 69.1% of total deliveries [2] - Xiaomi Auto delivered over 39,000 vehicles, marking a 95% year-on-year increase, despite a 22% month-on-month decline [2] - Leap Motor's January deliveries reached 32,100 units, with plans to hit a sales target of 1 million vehicles in 2026 [2] - Li Auto's deliveries were 27,700 units, entering a self-adjustment phase due to supply chain issues affecting production [3] - NIO delivered 27,200 vehicles, with a significant year-on-year increase of 163% driven by the new ES8 model [3] - Xpeng delivered approximately 20,000 vehicles, focusing on new product launches for 2026 [4] Traditional Automakers - Geely topped the sales chart in January with 270,200 units sold, a 1.29% year-on-year increase and a 14.08% month-on-month increase, driven by the Zeekr brand [5][6] - BYD's sales fell to 210,100 units, a 30.11% year-on-year decline, primarily due to weak domestic demand [6] - GAC Group reported sales of 116,600 units, an 18.47% year-on-year increase, although it faced a 37.81% month-on-month decline [7][8] - Chery Group's total sales were 190,000 units, down 10.7% year-on-year, with only the Chery brand showing growth [8] - Great Wall Motors sold 90,300 vehicles, an 11.60% year-on-year increase, with a notable 30% growth in NEV sales [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for BYD (002594.SZ) with a current price of 87.05 CNY per share [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion, with projected revenues of 777.1 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 1,104.5 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [3][20]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 40.3 billion CNY in 2024 to 58.6 billion CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 34.0% in 2024, followed by a decrease of 7.5% in 2025, and then a recovery with growth rates of 27.4% and 23.4% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [3][20]. - The report highlights a significant decline in January's sales figures, with wholesale sales of new energy vehicles dropping by 30.1% year-on-year and 50.0% month-on-month, indicating a challenging market environment [8]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the years 2024 to 2027 are as follows: - 2024: 777.1 billion CNY - 2025: 866.5 billion CNY - 2026: 981.3 billion CNY - 2027: 1,104.5 billion CNY - The expected growth rates for these years are 29.0%, 11.5%, 13.3%, and 12.6% respectively [3][20]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2024: 40.3 billion CNY - 2025: 37.2 billion CNY - 2026: 47.5 billion CNY - 2027: 58.6 billion CNY - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 4.42 CNY in 2024 to 6.43 CNY in 2027 [3][20]. Sales Performance - In January, BYD's wholesale sales of new energy vehicles totaled 210,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 30.1% and a month-on-month decrease of 50.0% [8]. - The report notes that the sales of plug-in hybrid vehicles and pure electric vehicles also saw significant declines, with respective year-on-year decreases of 28.5% and 33.6% [8]. - The high-end brand, Fangchengbao, has shown strong sales momentum, with cumulative sales surpassing 300,000 units, indicating a successful high-end strategy [8]. International Expansion - BYD's international sales have shown a positive trend, with January exports reaching 100,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 51.5% [8]. - The company is expanding its overseas manufacturing capabilities, with new factories in Brazil and plans for additional facilities in Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia, which are expected to enhance profitability [8].

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully achieved mass production of temperature-pressure integrated sensors for the electric vehicle sector, breaking foreign technological barriers with its core invention patents [1] Group 1: Company Developments - The company has commenced large-scale supply of its temperature-pressure integrated sensors to automotive clients, including BYD and a well-known North American electric vehicle customer [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for BYD (002594.SZ) with a current price of 87.05 CNY per share [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by high-end product offerings and international expansion, with projected revenues of 777.1 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 1,104.5 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.6% [3][20]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to grow from 40.3 billion CNY in 2024 to 58.6 billion CNY in 2027, with a notable increase of 34.0% in 2024, followed by a decrease of 7.5% in 2025, and then a recovery with growth rates of 27.4% and 23.4% in 2026 and 2027 respectively [3][20]. - The report highlights a significant decline in January's sales figures, with wholesale sales of new energy vehicles dropping by 30.1% year-on-year and 50.0% month-on-month, indicating a challenging market environment [8]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the years 2024 to 2027 are as follows: - 2024: 777.1 billion CNY - 2025: 866.5 billion CNY - 2026: 981.3 billion CNY - 2027: 1,104.5 billion CNY - The expected growth rates for these years are 29.0%, 11.5%, 13.3%, and 12.6% respectively [3][20]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2024: 40.3 billion CNY - 2025: 37.2 billion CNY - 2026: 47.5 billion CNY - 2027: 58.6 billion CNY - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 4.42 CNY in 2024 to 6.43 CNY in 2027 [3][20]. Market Performance - The report notes that BYD's high-end brand, Fangchengbao, has seen significant sales growth, with the Ti 7 model alone achieving sales of 100,000 units, marking it as a key growth driver for the company's high-end strategy [8]. - International sales are also on the rise, with January exports of new energy vehicles reaching 100,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 51.5%, despite a month-on-month decline of 24.5% [8]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on enhancing its high-end brand positioning and expanding its international footprint, with new factories being established in Brazil and plans for further expansion in Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia [8]. - The report emphasizes the importance of technological advancement and brand loyalty in solidifying BYD's position in the high-end market [8].

Group 1 - A total of 78 stocks reached a 52-week high as of February 3, with notable performers including Asia Pacific Financial Investments (08193) at 57.14%, Chao Wei Holdings (08059) at 36.00%, and Asia Backup (08290) at 33.33% [1] - The closing prices for the top three stocks that reached new highs were 0.550, 0.052, and 0.024 respectively, with their highest prices being 0.550, 0.068, and 0.036 [1] - Other significant stocks that reached new highs include Huameilele (08429) with a high rate of 20.37% and Haode Holdings (08149) at 17.65% [1] Group 2 - The report also lists stocks that reached 52-week lows, with the worst performer being Gaodi Holdings (01676) at -10.00%, followed by Huajian Medical (01931) at -9.29% and Electronic Trading Group (08036) at -9.09% [3] - The closing prices for the stocks that reached new lows include 0.340, 1.280, and 0.021 respectively, with their lowest prices being 0.315, 1.270, and 0.020 [3] - Other notable stocks that reached new lows include Controllon (01912) at -8.93% and Cool Link (08491) at -8.11% [3]

华泰证券研报指出，比亚迪1月乘用车总销量21万辆，同比-30%、环比-50%；其中出口销量突破10万 辆，同比+51%、环比-25%。该行认为公司受需求前置和主动去库影响，1月销量同环比大幅下滑，系 淡季主动调结构，为春节后新车和新技术发布蓄力。看好公司26年出口销量超130万辆，期待公司超 充、智驾等领域的新技术进展，考虑到汽车行业竞争加剧，以及存储抬升公司成本，微调25-27年收入 为8200/9553/11100亿元（相比上次：不变/-3%/-1%）归母净利润预测为350/466/567亿元（相比上次：不 变/-3%/-1%）。可比公司26年平均PE 33x，给予公司26年33xPE（前值26E 31x），对应总市值11910亿 元，调整目标价为130.63元（前值136.93元），维持"买入"评级。 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2026 年 02 月 03 日 比亚迪（002594.SZ） 2026M1 国内外销量显著分化，关注新品周期 中游制造/汽车 2026 年 1 月，由于春节前终端去库存、购置税补贴退坡后的需求透支等行业因 素，国内新能源汽车市场呈现"同比分化、环比普降"的格局。公司作为全球新 能源龙头，当月销量呈现明显的结构性特征，整体受国内市场拖累出现同比下 滑，但海外市场延续高增。 ❑ 风险提示：1、新品需求不及预期；2、海外布局不及预期。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 602315 | 777102 | 854813 | 923198 | 969358 | | 同比增长 | 42% | 29% | 10% | 8% | 5% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 38103 | 50486 | 43564 | 45799 | 48764 | | 同比增长 | 77% | 32% | -14% | 5% | 6 ...

| 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 2 月 | 03 日│中国内地 | 乘用车 | 目标价(人民币): | 130.63 | 2 月 1 日，比亚迪发布产销快报，1 月乘用车总销量 21 万辆，同比-30%、 环比-50%；其中出口销量突破 10 万辆，同比+51%、环比-25%。我们认为 公司受需求前置和主动去库影响，1 月销量同环比大幅下滑，系淡季主动调 结构，为春节后新车和新技术发布蓄力。我们看好公司 26 年出口销量超 130 万辆，期待公司超充、智驾等领域的新技术进展，维持"买入"评级。 国内：受需求前置和主动去库影响，1 月销量同环比大幅下滑 分品牌看，1 月王朝+海洋系列/方程豹/腾势/仰望销量 17.8/2.2/0.6/0.04 万 辆，同比-36%/+247%/-49%/+44%。1 月内销同环比大幅下滑，源于供需两 端压力。1）需求端，26 年新能源购置税增加 5%，导致需求于 25 年底提 前释放，叠加地方置换补贴申请窗口 1 月底才全面铺开，消费者持币 ...