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东方财富证券:中国宏桥(01378)一体化优势和高股息属性突出 首予“买入”评级
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 04:43
Group 1 - The company has a complete aluminum product supply chain and is one of the world's leading aluminum manufacturers [1] - The company aims to become a world-leading century-old manufacturing enterprise with a focus on high dividend returns, similar to Shenhua [1] - The company has a projected net profit of 22.64 billion, 24.21 billion, and 25.39 billion CNY for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.44, 2.61, and 2.73 CNY [1] Group 2 - The company has maintained an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of 6.459 million tons since 2017, with a strategic shift of production from Shandong to Yunnan [2] - The company’s electrolytic aluminum production is primarily based on large anode prebaked electrolytic cells with a current intensity of over 400KA, which helps reduce casting costs [2] - The company has a self-sufficient power supply rate of approximately 50% due to its self-built thermal power plants [2] Group 3 - The company has an abundant alumina production capacity of 21 million tons, with significant contributions from both domestic and overseas projects [3] - The company’s Indonesian alumina project is the first large-scale alumina smelting plant built by a Chinese enterprise overseas [3] - The company established the "Winning Alliance" in 2015 to secure stable upstream bauxite supply, achieving a bauxite production of 44.188 million tons in 2023 [3] Group 4 - The company has advanced aluminum deep processing technology and is actively developing recycled aluminum and circular economy projects [4] - The company has an aluminum processing capacity of 1.5665 million tons, with significant breakthroughs in high-end aluminum materials [4] - The company completed a 200,000-ton waste aluminum recycling project in 2023, aiming to become a competitive player in the green aluminum packaging industry [4]
国联民生证券:维持中国宏桥(01378)“买入”评级 25H1盈喜预告净利润同比高增
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 04:43
Core Viewpoint - The report from Guolian Minsheng Securities projects that China Hongqiao's net profit attributable to shareholders will grow steadily from 2025 to 2027, driven by supply constraints and favorable policies in the aluminum industry [1][2]. Group 1: Profit Forecast and Growth - The expected net profits for China Hongqiao from 2025 to 2027 are 227.59 billion, 261.69 billion, and 289.69 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 1.73%, 14.98%, and 10.70% respectively [1]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, estimated at approximately 123.59 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of around 35% [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The aluminum price is expected to rise due to supply constraints, with limited new capacity for electrolytic aluminum in the future, while demand from sectors like power grids and electric vehicles remains resilient [1]. - The domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its limit, leading to a gradual emergence of supply-demand gaps that will drive up aluminum prices [1]. Group 3: Production Capacity and Integration - As of March 2025, the company has a total electrolytic aluminum capacity of 645.9 million tons, with recent increases in its equity capacity through acquisitions [3]. - The company has increased its equity capacity in Yunnan by 48.36 million tons, bringing its total capacity in the region to 193.44 million tons [3]. Group 4: Dividend and Valuation - The company is positioned to benefit from the upward cycle in aluminum prices, with projected dividends of 54.6 billion and 138.7 billion yuan for 2023 and 2024, respectively, and dividend payout ratios of 47.6% and 62.0% [4]. - The estimated dividend yield for 2025 is projected at 8.0%, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.5 times, indicating attractive valuation and yield potential [4].
中国宏桥(01378):深度研究:产业升级顺势而为,前瞻布局穿越周期
East Money Securities· 2025-08-05 02:30
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][6]. Core Views - The company is recognized as one of the world's leading aluminum manufacturers, with a complete vertical integration of the aluminum product supply chain, enhancing its resilience and performance stability [5][14]. - The company aims to become a century-old leading manufacturing enterprise, similar to Shenhua, with a strong emphasis on high dividend returns for investors [6][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has established a complete aluminum product supply chain, integrating mining, alumina, primary aluminum, aluminum deep processing, and recycling [5][14]. - As of March 2025, the company has an electrolytic aluminum capacity of 6.459 million tons and alumina capacity of 21 million tons [14][37]. 2. Electrolytic Aluminum Business - The company currently holds an electrolytic aluminum capacity of 6.459 million tons, with production primarily located in Shandong and Yunnan [37][39]. - The company is implementing a "North Aluminum South Move" strategy to relocate production capacity from Shandong to Yunnan, with expected capacities of 3.451 million tons and 3.008 million tons by 2027, respectively [37][44]. 3. Alumina Business - The company has a robust alumina capacity of 21 million tons, with significant contributions from both domestic and overseas sources [5][19]. - The alumina project in Indonesia is notable as the first large-scale alumina refinery established by a Chinese company overseas [5][25]. 4. Aluminum Processing Business - The company has advanced aluminum processing technology and is actively developing recycled aluminum projects, aiming to become a competitive player in the green aluminum packaging industry [5][6]. - As of 2024, the company has an aluminum processing capacity of 1.5665 million tons, with significant growth in high-precision aluminum products [5][6]. 5. Financial Performance and Forecast - The company forecasts a net profit of 22.64 billion RMB in 2025, with an EPS of 2.44 RMB, reflecting a PE ratio of 7.9 times based on the market value as of July 30, 2025 [6][7]. - The company has shown a historical growth trend in revenue and net profit, with a record net profit of 22.372 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 95.21% [17][19].
智通港股通持股解析|8月5日
智通财经网· 2025-08-05 00:33
Core Insights - The top three companies by Hong Kong Stock Connect holding ratios are China Telecom (74.76%), Gree Power (70.14%), and China Shenhua (67.05%) [1] - The largest increases in holdings over the last five trading days were seen in the following companies: Yingfu Fund (+2.967 billion), Li Auto-W (+2.821 billion), and Hang Seng China Enterprises (+2.531 billion) [1] - The largest decreases in holdings over the last five trading days were recorded for Pop Mart (-807 million), China Mobile (-777 million), and Geely Automobile (-630 million) [2] Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Connect Holding Ratios - China Telecom (00728) holds 10.377 billion shares with a holding ratio of 74.76% [1] - Gree Power (01330) has 284 million shares and a holding ratio of 70.14% [1] - China Shenhua (01088) possesses 2.265 billion shares with a holding ratio of 67.05% [1] Group 2: Recent Increases in Holdings - Yingfu Fund (02800) saw an increase of +2.967 billion with a change of +11.772 million shares [1] - Li Auto-W (02015) increased by +2.821 billion with a change of +2.787 million shares [1] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) rose by +2.531 billion with a change of +2.782 million shares [1] Group 3: Recent Decreases in Holdings - Pop Mart (09992) experienced a decrease of -807 million with a change of -321.66 thousand shares [2] - China Mobile (00941) saw a reduction of -777 million with a change of -908.28 thousand shares [2] - Geely Automobile (00175) decreased by -630 million with a change of -3,480.90 thousand shares [2]
中国宏桥(01378.HK):涂一锴获委任为非执行董事
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-04 08:44
格隆汇8月4日丨中国宏桥(01378.HK)发布公告,自2025年8月4日起,田明明因工作调动辞任非执行董 事,张浩停任田明明的替任董事。 此外,(i)涂一锴已获委任为非执行董事,自2025年8月4日起生效;及(ii)张浩已获委任为涂一锴的替任 董事,自2025年8月4日起生效。 ...
中国宏桥(01378):涂一锴获委任为非执行董事
智通财经网· 2025-08-04 08:41
涂一锴先生已获委任为非执行董事;张浩先生已获委任为涂一锴先生的替任董事。 智通财经APP讯,中国宏桥(01378)发布公告,自2025年8月4日起:田明明先生因工作调动辞任非执行董 事,张浩先生停任田明明先生的替任董事。 ...
中国宏桥:涂一锴获委任为非执行董事
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 08:40
中国宏桥(01378)发布公告,自2025年8月4日起:田明明先生因工作调动辞任非执行董事,张浩先生停 任田明明先生的替任董事。 涂一锴先生已获委任为非执行董事;张浩先生已获委任为涂一锴先生的替任董事。 ...
中国宏桥(01378) - 董事名单与其角色及职能
2025-08-04 08:35
執行董事 張波先生 (主席、行政總裁、授權代表) 鄭淑良女士 (副主席) 張瑞蓮女士 (副總裁、財務總監) 王雨婷女士 (企業融資部主管) 非執行董事 楊叢森先生 張敬雷先生 涂一鍇先生 (張浩先生為其替任董事) 孫冬冬女士 China Hongqiao Group Limited 中國宏橋集團有限公司 (根據開曼群島法例註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號:1378) 董事名單與其角色及職能 中國宏橋集團有限公司(「本公司」)董事會(「董事會」)成員載列如下: 獨立非執行董事 文献軍先生 韓本文先生 董新義先生 傅郁林女士 1 董事會下設四個委員會。下表提供各董事會成員在此等委員會中所擔任的角色。 審核委員會 韓本文先生 (委員會主席) 文献軍先生 董新義先生 提名委員會 張波先生 (委員會主席) 韓本文先生 傅郁林女士 薪酬委員會 韓本文先生 (委員會主席) 張波先生 文献軍先生 可持續發展委員會 張波先生 (委員會主席) 鄭淑良女士 楊叢森先生 張敬雷先生 張瑞蓮女士 王雨婷女士 孫冬冬女士 中國香港 二零二五年八月四日 2 ...
中国宏桥(01378) - 非执行董事辞任及停任替任董事以及委任非执行董事及替任董事
2025-08-04 08:33
香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責,對其準確性或完 整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因依賴該等內容 而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 China Hongqiao Group Limited 中國宏橋集團有限公司 (根據開曼群島法例註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號:1378) 中國宏橋集團有限公司(「本公司」)董事(「董事」)會(「董事會」)謹此宣佈: 1 (1) 田明明先生(「田先生」)因工作調動辭任非執行董事,自二零二五年八月四日起生效;及 (2) 張浩先生(「張先生」)因田先生辭任而停任田先生之替任董事,於田先生辭任後自二零二五年八月 四日起生效。 田先生及張先生已各向本公司確認,彼與董事會概無任何意見分歧,且概無任何與其辭任╱停任有 關的事項須提請本公司股東(「股東」)或香港聯合交易所有限公司垂注。 董事會謹藉此機會衷心感激田先生及張先生於任期內對本公司作出的寶貴貢獻。 非執行董事辭任及停任替任董事 以及委任非執行董事及替任董事 非執行董事辭任及停任替任董事 董事會宣佈,自二零二五年八月四日起,田明明先生因工作調動辭任非執行董事 ...
非农下修衰退预期再起,看好金价上行
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-08-03 11:21
Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the Market (Maintain Rating) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the basic metals sector, with copper and aluminum prices experiencing downward pressure due to macroeconomic factors and weak demand [4][10][20] - Precious metals are expected to see upward movement in gold prices driven by recession fears and adjustments in U.S. economic data [6][24] - The report highlights the stability in the rare earth sector, with expectations for improved fundamentals in the upcoming quarter [8] Summary by Sections 1. Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper: Price has retreated to 78,170 CNY/ton, with low inventory providing some support despite seasonal demand weakness [4][13] - Aluminum: Prices have decreased, with the average price at 20,623 CNY/ton, influenced by rising social inventory and subdued market demand [5][20] - Precious Metals: Gold price averaged 767.63 CNY/gram, down 1.67%, while silver averaged 9,158 CNY/kg, down 1.44% [6][24] 2. Minor Metals - Antimony: Prices remain stable, with market dynamics showing limited supply and demand [7][40] - Lithium: Carbonate prices have dropped, reflecting a cooling market sentiment [40] - Cobalt: Prices are strong due to tight supply conditions, with cobalt intermediate prices rising [42][43] - Tin: Prices have declined, with the average price at 33,410 USD/ton, reflecting weakened macro sentiment [45] - Tungsten: Prices have increased across the board, with black tungsten concentrate averaging 195,500 CNY/ton [51] - Molybdenum: Prices have surged, with molybdenum concentrate averaging 4,315 CNY/ton, driven by strong market demand [61][62] 3. Rare Earths - Rare earth prices are stable, with light rare earth oxide prices increasing by 3.3% to 531,000 CNY/ton, indicating a potential for significant improvement in fundamentals [8]