ANTA SPORTS(02020)

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2024年一季度经营情况点评:Q1流水顺利增长、经营保持健康,期待多品牌继续协同发力
光大证券· 2024-04-19 00:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2][3]. Core Views - Anta Sports reported steady growth in Q1 2024, with retail sales increasing across its brands, particularly FILA, which saw a high single-digit growth, and other brands achieving a 25-30% increase [2]. - The company is expected to continue its multi-brand strategy, with revenue growth targets of 10-15% for Anta and FILA, and over 20% for Descente and KOLON [3]. - The upcoming Paris Olympics in July 2024 is anticipated to enhance the company's market influence through coordinated product and marketing efforts [3]. Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - Anta brand retail sales grew in the mid-single digits year-on-year, with a notable increase in late March [2]. - FILA brand retail sales increased by 25-30% year-on-year, with inventory turnover improving [2]. - Other brands, including KOLON and Descente, reported significant growth, with KOLON exceeding 50% year-on-year [2]. Brand Strategy - Anta launched new basketball products and secured sponsorships, enhancing its global presence [3]. - FILA continues to focus on premium products and optimizing its channel structure [3]. - Descente and KOLON are expanding their product lines and channels, contributing to their revenue growth [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 70,347 million RMB in 2024 to 88,059 million RMB by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12.8% [4]. - Net profit is expected to rise from 13,002 million RMB in 2024 to 15,782 million RMB in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 27% in 2024 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 4.59 RMB in 2024 to 5.57 RMB in 2026 [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 for 2024 and 16 for 2025, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical levels [4][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 22.8% in 2024, indicating strong profitability [10].
第一季度流水稳健增长,库销比下降和折扣收窄
国信证券· 2024-04-18 12:02
证券研究报告 | 2024年04月18日 安踏体育(02020.HK) 买入 第一季度流水稳健增长,库销比下降和折扣收窄 公司研究·海外公司快评 纺织服饰·服装家纺 投资评级:买入(维持评级) 证券分析师: 丁诗洁 0755-81981391 dingshijie@guosen.com.cn 执证编码:S0980520040004 证券分析师: 关竣尹 0755-81982834 guanjunyin@guosen.com.cn 执证编码:S0980523110002 事项: 4月17日,公司公告第一季度零售表现,2024第一季度,安踏主品牌录得中单位数正增长,FILA录得高 单位数正增长,其他品牌录得25-30%正增长。 国信纺服观点: 1、2024第一季度:高基数上流水稳健增长,各品牌目标达成率100%,库销比改善,折扣收窄; 2、风险提示:疫情反复冲击消费需求;改革不及预期;品牌形象受损;市场的系统性风险。 3、投资建议:第一季度经营质量高,看好主品牌势能升级和多品牌矩阵的成长潜力。第一季度安踏和FILA 分别增长中单位数和高单位数,主要由于去年疫情管控放开后的高基数,实际上各品牌目标达成率 ...
美银证券:维持安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级 目标价110港元
智通财经· 2024-04-18 08:11
智通财经APP获悉,美银证券发布研究报告称,安踏体育(02020)2024年首季的营运表现大致符合预期,在新产品发布和巴黎奥运会相关营销活动的支持下,下半年的业绩增长可能会更加强劲,维持“买入”评级,目标价110港元。 报告中称,集团强大且经过验证的多品牌零售营运能力,有助于其更好地捕捉消费者偏好,其核心品牌定位于大众市场,而其他品牌由于独特的功能和情感价值及强大的执行力而更具弹性。 ...
中银国际:维持安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级 目标价97.5港元
智通财经· 2024-04-18 07:51
智通财经APP获悉,中银国际发布研究报告称,维持安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级,2024财年营业收入增长14%的预测不变,并预期公司可于今年下半年实现更多销量,同时预计核心品牌将有约10%同比增长,目标价97.5港元。鉴于公司去年的高基数,公司2024财年第一季的经营业绩表现,在一定程度上符合市场预期。该行认为安踏旗下主要品牌于2024年第一季仍实现到温和增长,但数字低于10%至15%的年度成长目标。 该行预计,安踏的零售销售或于往后数季加速增长,主要由于公司将于巴黎奥运临近之际加大旗下产品的发布力度。该行因而认为安踏未能达到业绩指引的风险应该可控,但须一段时间才能看到结果。该行对安踏仍持有乐观态度,并预计公司凭借自身强大的产品供应能力,将可继续跑赢同业。此外,中银国际提及安踏营运指标改善,奠定了公司良好的基础。并认为安踏对自身的预期合理,主要由于公司2024财年首季成功将库存降至更合理水平,并提供更佳零售折扣。 ...
安踏/FILA2024年1季度增长偏软,但预计2季度起将重新加速
交银国际证券· 2024-04-18 07:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports (2020 HK) with a target price of HKD 135.00, indicating a potential upside of 65.4% from the current price of HKD 81.60 [1][5]. Core Insights - Anta's sales growth in Q1 2024 was softer than expected, but a reacceleration is anticipated starting from Q2 as the high base effect diminishes. The sales growth for Anta brand was in the low single digits year-on-year, while FILA experienced high single-digit growth. Descente and Kolon brands showed a robust growth of 25-30% [1]. - The report highlights that the Chinese sportswear market is showing signs of differentiation, with lower-tier brands demonstrating resilience compared to international brands. Anta's performance is noted to be weaker than 361 Degrees but better than Nike and Adidas [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of brand renewal for FILA, as its performance has been mixed, particularly in high-tier cities where consumer spending is soft. The need for continuous investment in brand innovation is highlighted [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Anta are as follows: - 2022: RMB 53,651 million - 2023: RMB 62,356 million (16.2% YoY growth) - 2024E: RMB 71,151 million (14.1% YoY growth) [2][6]. - Net profit estimates are: - 2022: RMB 7,590 million - 2023: RMB 10,236 million (30.8% YoY growth) - 2024E: RMB 13,571 million (36.2% YoY growth) [2][6]. - The report projects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 22% for earnings per share from 2024 to 2026 [1]. Market Performance - Anta's stock has shown a year-to-date change of +7.72% and has a market capitalization of approximately HKD 229.41 billion [3][5]. - The stock's 52-week high and low are HKD 100.70 and HKD 64.15, respectively [3]. Brand Performance - Anta's brand performance in Q1 2024 showed a mixed picture, with the core brand experiencing high single-digit growth, while FILA's performance was affected by brand-specific issues and a decline in its fashion line [1][4]. - The report notes that the children's segment for Anta is expected to see a negative growth trend, while online sales remain strong with mid-single-digit growth [1][4]. Conclusion - The report concludes with a positive long-term outlook for Anta, driven by its strong brand positioning and execution capabilities, alongside its expansion into fast-growing segments like winter sports and outdoor markets [1].
高盛:予安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级 目标价115港元
智通财经· 2024-04-18 07:03
智通财经APP获悉,高盛发布研究报告称,予安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级,目标价115港元。 报告中称,首季安踏核心品牌、FILA及其他品牌的增长分别为中单位数、高单位数及25%至30%,大致符合市场预期,其中安踏品牌略高于预期,主要受惠于3月下半月新产品推动销售加快。就渠道而言,安踏品牌及FILA得益于新产品、强劲的线上执行力及基数效应,其线上表现较线下优秀。同时,各品牌的库存及折扣水平进一步改善,显示出健康的成长路径。 该行表示,管理层强调全年增长目标,安踏品牌及FILA为10%至15%,并预计今年剩余时间将比首季增长加速,推出更多产品,开展更多市场推广活动,以及基数较佳;各品牌与前几季相比下库存水平较低,加上健康的折扣水平,增强管理层以可持续增长达到全年目标的信心;管理层寻求有序的门市扩张计划,并将店铺生产力放在首位。另指,扎实的线上执行力也有助FILA等品牌有效渗透到低线城市客户。 ...
一季度营运表现符合预期
平安证券· 2024-04-18 06:32
公 纺织服装 司 2024年04月 18日 报 安踏体育(2020.HK) 告 一季度营运表现符合预期 强烈推荐(维持) 事项: 公司发布2024年一季度营运公告:相较2023Q1,2024Q1安踏品牌零售金额 股价:81.6 港元 (按零售价值计算)同比实现中单位数正增长;FILA品牌同比实现高单位数正 增长;其他所有品牌(不包括 2023 年1 月1 日之后新加入集团的品牌)同比 公 主要数据 实现25%-30%的正增长。 司 行业 纺织服装 平安观点: 季 公司网址 www.anta.com;ir.anta.com 大股东/持股 安踏国际集团控股有限公司/42.4% 安踏品牌:流水稳增长,库存表现健康。1)从流水表现看,安踏品牌24Q1 报 实际控制人 丁世忠 流水实现同比正的中单位数增长。2)从存货表现看,安踏品牌 24Q1 存 点 总股本(百万股) 2832.62 货周转低于5个月,处于健康水平。 流通A股(百万股) 评 流通B/H股(百万股) FILA 品牌:持续保持高质量增长。1)从流水表现看,FILA 品牌 24Q1 总市值(亿元) 2096.23 流水实现同比正的高单位数增长。2)从 ...
An inline 1Q24 plus an improving outlook
招银国际· 2024-04-18 06:02
M N 18 Apr 2024 CMB International Global Markets | Equity Research | Company Update Anta Sports (2020 HK) An inline 1Q24 plus an improving outlook Retail sales growth in 1Q24 was slow, but it was widely expected. We see Target Price HK$101.73 FY24E growth supported by: 1) healthy momentum in late Mar, 2) an exciting (Previous TP HK$101.73) product launch pipeline, 3) further segmentation by Anta in terms of products Up/Downside 24.7% and store format, and 4) gradual improvement in retail discounts (rather C ...
里昂:予安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级 目标价116港元
智通财经· 2024-04-18 03:53
智通财经APP获悉,里昂发布研究报告称,予安踏体育(02020)“买入”评级,预计下半年安踏及FILA品牌开店策略更集中,相信今年在产品、推广及销售网络方面,已作好最佳化的准备,支持中期增长前景,目标价116港元。 报告中称,公司首季零售销售符合市场预期,实现增长之外,库存及折扣水平健康,同比及按季皆改善,户外用品业务仍然强劲,由第二季开始,核心品牌推出更多产品,包括第二季推出奥运相关产品,及下半年推出与Kyrie Irving合作的球鞋。 ...
中金:维持安踏体育(02020)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价109.19港元
智通财经· 2024-04-18 01:37
智通财经APP获悉,中金发布研究报告称,维持安踏体育(02020)“跑赢行业”评级,2024/25年EPS预测4.63/4.94元不变,目标价109.19港元。公司公布一季度经营情况:安踏品牌零售流水同比增长中单位数,FILA品牌零售流水同比增长高单位数,其他品牌(不含2023年以来新增品牌)零售流水同比增长25-30%。 中金主要观点如下: 虽然去年零售环境好转带来较高基数,1Q24公司继续实现高质量增长。 安踏品牌在1Q22冬奥、1Q23零售环境好转带来两年较高基数下,1Q24零售流水仍同比增长中单位数(1Q22/1Q23分别同比增长10-20%高段、中单位数)。分渠道看,线上流水同比增长20-25%,好于线下渠道表现。截至3月末,安踏品牌库销比维持在5x以下,环比改善继续保持健康水平。虽然行业竞争较为激烈,以及季内春节等传统促销节日,得益于安踏品牌持续提升的品牌力、产品力及健康的库存,季内线下折扣同比保持稳定,线上折扣有所改善。 FILA品牌1Q24零售流水同比增长高单位数,其中FILA大货得益于产品组合及门店布局优化,继续实现较快增长;FILA 儿童及FUSION因短期门店调整增长相对较慢。分渠道看, ...