ANTA SPORTS(02020)

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安踏体育(02020):户外品牌表现亮眼,渠道持续升级
Guosen International· 2025-07-18 09:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports with a target price of HKD 113.6, reflecting a potential upside from the current price of HKD 92.45 [6]. Core Insights - Anta's main brand recorded low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, slightly below expectations, while FILA achieved mid-single-digit growth. Other brands saw significant growth of 50-55% [2][3]. - The company has completed the acquisition of Jack Wolfskin, a German outdoor brand, for USD 290 million, which is expected to enhance its presence in the outdoor market in China [3]. - The financial projections for EPS from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at RMB 4.72, RMB 5.26, and RMB 5.88 respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory despite some fluctuations in profit margins [4][3]. Summary by Sections Brand Performance - Anta's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, with children's products performing better than bulk items. The overall H1 performance showed mid-single-digit growth [2]. - FILA's Q2 2025 revenue growth was in the mid-single digits, aligning with expectations, while other brands, including Descente and KOLON, reported over 40% and 70% growth respectively [2][3]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 62.36 billion in 2023 to RMB 92.97 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.8% [4]. - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be RMB 13.25 billion, reflecting a decrease of 15% compared to 2024, followed by a recovery in subsequent years [4]. Valuation Metrics - The report assigns a 2025 PE ratio of 22 times, based on industry averages and brand premium considerations, supporting the target price of HKD 113.6 [3][4]. - The projected gross margin remains stable around 62%, with net profit margins expected to fluctuate between 16.9% and 17.8% over the forecast period [4][11].
安踏体育(02020):多品牌发力集团流水依然亮眼,新业态探索成效显著
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-07-17 13:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2][5][24] Core Views - Anta Sports has shown strong group revenue growth driven by multiple brands, with significant results from new retail formats [5][7] - The company is expected to stabilize its performance in the second half of 2025 after a temporary slowdown in the main brand's growth [7] - The multi-brand strategy continues to demonstrate strong potential for future growth, particularly with the acquisition of the Wolf Claw brand [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Anta Sports are as follows: - FY2023: 623.6 billion RMB - FY2024: 708.3 billion RMB - FY2025E: 779.5 billion RMB - FY2026E: 839.2 billion RMB - FY2027E: 900.7 billion RMB - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 16% for FY2023, 14% for FY2024, and gradually decreasing to 7% by FY2027 [6][15] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - FY2023: 102.4 billion RMB - FY2024: 156.0 billion RMB - FY2025E: 134.1 billion RMB - FY2026E: 147.0 billion RMB - FY2027E: 160.1 billion RMB - The projected PE ratios are 23 for FY2023, 15 for FY2024, and 18 for FY2025E [6][15] Brand Performance - Anta's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, while FILA showed mid-single-digit growth [7] - Other brands such as Descente and KOLON saw revenue growth between 50-55% in Q2 2025, continuing strong performance in niche segments [7] - The new retail formats, including Champion stores and SV collection stores, have shown significantly higher sales efficiency compared to traditional stores [7] Market Position and Strategy - Anta Sports is focusing on enhancing its brand health and optimizing its online product distribution system [7] - The company has successfully maintained healthy inventory levels, with inventory turnover ratios around five months [7] - The report highlights the scarcity and quality of Anta's multi-brand matrix as a key competitive advantage [7]
安踏体育(02020):Q2主品牌流水略有承压,全年预期不变
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-07-17 02:47
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to less than 35% from the current price [3][9]. Core Insights - The company's Q2 retail sales showed slight pressure, with the Anta brand experiencing low single-digit positive growth year-on-year, while the FILA brand recorded mid-single-digit positive growth. Other brands saw a significant increase in retail sales, with growth rates between 50% and 55% [5][8]. - The overall outlook for the year remains unchanged, with expectations for improved sales in the second half due to store renovations and e-commerce adjustments. The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is expected to enhance the company's long-term growth potential [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the textile and apparel industry, with a current H-share price of HKD 91.85 and a market capitalization of approximately HKD 211.95 billion [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the Anta brand's retail sales grew at a mid-single-digit rate year-on-year, while FILA's retail sales grew at a high single-digit rate. Other brands achieved a growth rate of 60% to 65% [5][8]. - The projected net profits for 2025 to 2027 are RMB 132.48 billion, RMB 149.62 billion, and RMB 169.18 billion, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 4.72, RMB 5.33, and RMB 6.02 [7][8]. Market Position - The company's product mix includes footwear (41.2%), apparel (55.6%), and accessories (3.2%) [3]. - The stock has shown a price increase of 32.44% over the past year, indicating strong market performance [2]. Future Projections - The company anticipates a recovery in the Anta brand's sales in the latter half of the year, supported by ongoing brand strength and network expansion for other brands [8]. - The expected P/E ratios for 2025 to 2027 are 18, 16, and 14, respectively, suggesting a favorable valuation relative to earnings growth [8].
国信证券晨会纪要-20250717
Guoxin Securities· 2025-07-17 01:48
Group 1: Company Overview - Yili Group (600887.SH) is positioned as a leading dairy enterprise in China, focusing on high-quality transformation and platformization in the industry [7][9] - The company has shifted its development strategy from prioritizing market share to focusing on profit, enhancing its research and promotion of high-value products like adult milk powder [7][9] - Yili maintains a commitment to a dividend payout ratio of over 70%, making it a typical dividend yield asset in the food and beverage sector [7][9] Group 2: Industry Trends - The dairy product demand is experiencing a steady recovery, with a notable increase in health awareness among consumers since 2020, leading to a pulse-like growth in demand [8] - The industry is expected to face a supply-demand turning point by Q4 2025, as overcapacity issues are anticipated to be addressed through a reduction in dairy cattle numbers [8][9] - The dairy industry in China is entering a mature phase, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.61% from 2024 to 2028, reaching a market size of 611.7 billion yuan by 2028 [8] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for Yili Group are estimated at 119.34 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, and net profit projections of 11.31 billion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 33.8% [10] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.78 yuan, with a reasonable price range of 33.8 to 35.6 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 23% to 30% from the current stock price [10]
安踏体育(02020):户外亮眼,精进运营
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-17 01:44
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [7] Core Insights - The company reported retail sales growth for Q2 2025, with Anta brand showing low single-digit growth, FILA brand showing mid-single-digit growth, and other brands experiencing a significant increase of 50-55% [1] - For the first half of 2025, Anta brand retail sales grew in the mid-single digits, FILA brand saw high single-digit growth, and other brands achieved a growth rate of 60-65% [1] - Anta's channel stratification focuses on precise matching of "different people, different scenarios, different products," leading to a differentiated store model that enhances brand value [2] - FILA maintains a high average selling price strategy, avoiding direct competition in the low-price segment, and has seen strong performance in key product categories during the 618 shopping festival [3] - The company is expanding its outdoor segment with new store openings and acquisitions, including the full acquisition of German outdoor brand Jack Wolfskin [4] Financial Projections - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 78.6 billion RMB, 87.8 billion RMB, and 98.1 billion RMB respectively, with net profits projected at 13.5 billion RMB, 15.6 billion RMB, and 17.3 billion RMB [5] - Corresponding EPS estimates are 4.82 RMB, 5.56 RMB, and 6.16 RMB, with PE ratios of 17x, 15x, and 13x for the respective years [5]
看好运动服饰消费K型分化下的投资机会
Orient Securities· 2025-07-17 00:53
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The sports apparel sector is expected to continue outperforming the overall apparel market in the second half of the year, with a persistent K-shaped differentiation trend [3][8] - High-end sports outdoor brands are experiencing significant growth, while value-oriented brands are showing resilience [8] - The K-shaped differentiation reflects the segmentation of domestic consumption, creating investment opportunities at both ends of the market [8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Focus on Anta Sports (02020, Buy) due to its internationalization and multi-brand operational capabilities, along with several distinctive high-end brands [3] - Other companies to watch include 361 Degrees (01361, Not Rated), Xtep International (01368, Buy), and Tabo (06110, Hold) [3] Market Performance - In June, the retail sales growth for clothing, shoes, and textiles was 1.9%, with a year-to-date growth of 3.1% [8] - Major Hong Kong sports brands reported second-quarter revenue growth rates between low single digits to 10%, with overall growth for the first half mostly in the mid-single to 10% range, outperforming the overall apparel market [8] Consumer Trends - High-end outdoor brands like DESCENTE and KOLON SPORT under Anta saw growth rates of 50%-55% and 60%-65% respectively in Q2 and the first half of the year [8] - Xtep's Saucony brand also reported over 20% growth in Q2 and over 30% in the first half [8] - The demand for high-quality, professional, and health-oriented brands is increasing, leading to a shift in consumer preferences [8]
高盛:安踏体育-2025 年第二季度符合预期,重申全年指引,对 2025 年下半年持积极基调;买入
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-16 15:25
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to Anta Sports Products with a 12-month price target of HK$117, indicating an upside potential of 30.3% from the current price of HK$89.80 [16][18]. Core Insights - Anta's operational update for 2Q25 shows retail sales growth for its core brand at +LSD% year-over-year, while Fila and other brands performed better, with Fila growing at +MSD% and Descente and Kolon exceeding +40% and +70% respectively [1][12]. - The management expressed confidence in the recovery of the Anta brand in 2H25 following restructuring efforts in 2Q25, with a full-year growth target of HSD% for Anta core, MSD% for Fila, and over 30% for other brands [1][12]. - The report highlights the solid performance of Fila and smaller brands, which are expected to offset any potential weaknesses in the Anta brand, thus providing a positive outlook for the overall group [1][12]. Operational Updates - In 2Q25, Anta's core brand faced challenges due to management restructuring and weaker offline traffic, leading to a slower sales growth compared to previous quarters [7][8]. - The e-commerce channel showed growth at +LSD%, while offline sales also recorded similar growth rates, indicating a balanced performance across channels [7][8]. - The management has initiated a "Light-house Store Campaign" to enhance store performance in lower-tier cities, which involves optimizing underperforming stores and potentially closing some temporarily [8][12]. Brand Performance - Fila's retail sales grew by +MSD% year-over-year in 2Q25, with the core Fila brand achieving +HSD% growth, indicating strong brand momentum [11][12]. - Other brands like Descente and Kolon reported impressive growth rates, with Descente achieving over 40% and Kolon over 70% year-over-year [11][12]. - MAIA, still in its incubation stage, posted over 30% growth in 2Q25, driven by an expanding offline presence and innovative retail formats [12]. Margin and Cost Control - Management noted some headwinds on gross profit margins due to a shift towards online sales channels, which typically involve deeper discounts [13]. - Operating expenses for the Anta brand were well-controlled in 1H25, with expectations for increased marketing expenses in 2H25 due to planned events [13]. - The overall margin outlook remains positive, supported by stronger growth in smaller brands that typically carry higher operating profit margins [13].
运动品牌高调入局 争相为人形机器人“穿鞋”
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-07-16 10:32
李宁集团方面表示,"人形机器人运动科学联合实验室"充分融合了北京人形机器人创新中心在运动控 制、实时感知、自主决策等方面的领先能力,以及李宁集团在运动科学、人体科学、运动装备研发及市 场洞察等方面的优势,强强联合的战略合作将聚焦在两大研究重点方向:人形机器人运动科学数据采集 与分析、以及人形机器人与具身智能技术在终端门店的应用。 在揭牌仪式现场,"天工"机器人跑者穿着李宁赤兔8 PRO跑鞋亮相,并展示了其动态运动能力,未来它 将利用集成专业运动传感器与仿生运动控制技术,精准模拟人类跑步姿态,为李宁专业运动装备研发创 新提供精准的数据支撑。 "李宁品牌具有独特的运动员基因,非常重视运动科学研究及应用,聚焦以科技赋能专业产品,打造前 沿的专业运动装备。"李宁集团鞋研发创新系统总经理徐剑光在揭牌仪式上表示,"共建'人形机器人运 动科学联合实验室',双方共同探索人形机器人运动科学的理论前沿与技术突破,推动科研成果转化, 引领智能运动与机器人产业的融合发展。" 与李宁集团官宣的"全国首个"人形机器人运动科学联合实验室相比,安踏集团的步伐要更快一些。在6 月19日,安踏集团与宇树科技、香港理工大学南京技术创新研究院共同为 ...
安踏体育(02020):25Q2主品牌增速环比放缓,重点提升渠道运营效率
CMS· 2025-07-16 10:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Anta Sports [2] Core Views - Anta's main brand experienced low single-digit growth in Q2 2025, while FILA saw mid-single-digit growth, and other brands grew by 50%-55%. The company is focusing on enhancing channel operational efficiency and expanding new business formats for the Anta brand [1][5] - The company expects net profits of 13.43 billion, 15.51 billion, and 17.15 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of -14%, 15%, and 11%. Excluding one-time gains from the acquisition of Amer, the net profit growth rates are projected to be 13%, 15%, and 11% [1][5] - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 18x for 2025 and 15x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation [1][5] Summary by Sections Overall Revenue Situation - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand revenue showed low single-digit growth, while FILA's revenue grew in the mid-single digits, and other brands experienced growth of 50%-55% [5][6] - The slowdown in Anta's main brand growth is attributed to the acceleration of offline channel upgrades and store renovations, which impacted sales [5][6] Brand Performance - FILA's revenue in Q2 2025 saw high single-digit growth, with notable performance in golf and tennis product lines [5][6] - Other brands, such as Descente and KOLON, reported growth exceeding 40% and 70%, respectively, benefiting from the rise in winter sports and outdoor leisure activities [5][6] Discount and Inventory Management - In Q2 2025, Anta's main brand offered discounts of 27% for bulk purchases and 50% online, with a slight increase in discount levels [5][6] - The inventory turnover ratio for Anta's main brand was around 5 months, indicating relatively healthy inventory management [5][6] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company anticipates revenue of 77.96 billion, 85.45 billion, and 92.97 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 10%, and 9% [6][9] - The report emphasizes the ongoing expansion of Anta's channel new business formats and the optimization of overall channel operational efficiency [5][6]
安踏体育(02020):安踏(2020HK)
BOCOM International· 2025-07-16 09:32
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Anta (2020 HK), with a target price of HKD 110.20, indicating a potential upside of 22.7% from the current price of HKD 89.80 [1][2][15]. Core Insights - The company's second-quarter revenue met expectations, with management reaffirming the annual guidance for growth across its brands, despite a competitive industry landscape. The expected revenue growth for Anta, FILA, and other brands is high single digits, mid single digits, and over 30% respectively [6][7]. - The report maintains revenue forecasts for the next three years but slightly lowers profit margin expectations due to industry discount pressures. Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are estimated to be between RMB 134.1 billion and RMB 165.4 billion [6][7]. - Anta's brand sales momentum has slightly slowed, but improvements in online channels are anticipated in the second half of the year. The company is optimizing its offline store strategy and expects to maintain high single-digit growth for the Anta brand [6][7]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 62,356 million in 2023, RMB 70,826 million in 2024, RMB 77,140 million in 2025, RMB 83,936 million in 2026, and RMB 90,550 million in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.2%, 13.6%, 8.9%, 8.8%, and 7.9% respectively [5][8][16]. - The net profit forecast for the same years is RMB 10,236 million in 2023, RMB 15,596 million in 2024, RMB 13,410 million in 2025, RMB 15,021 million in 2026, and RMB 16,543 million in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 30.8%, 50.3%, -14.0%, 12.4%, and 10.1% [5][8][16]. - The report highlights a projected decline in profit margins, with gross profit margins expected to be 62.0% in 2025, 62.1% in 2026, and 62.2% in 2027 [7][17]. Brand Performance - Anta's brand recorded low single-digit revenue growth in the second quarter, while FILA achieved mid single-digit growth. Other brands like Descente and KOLON saw high growth rates of over 40% and 70% respectively [6][7]. - The inventory turnover ratio for FILA improved to five months, and the company strategically increased discounts in the e-commerce channel to optimize inventory [6][7].